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LAF

Lafayette 7 at Duke 42

DUKE
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Wallace Wade Stadium
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Win probability · DUKE
modelDUKE aheadLAF aheadconfidence bandkey playDUKE scoreLAF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:13 · Jakob Trestik punt for 34 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 98Pregame prior+27.6Home team on offense+25.7Score differential+16.7Garbage-time factor+5.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.5Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:11: Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 12 yds for a TD (Jack Simonetta KICK) — LAF win probability +0.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: LAF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:17: Jordan Waters run for 16 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK) — DUKE win probability +1.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Dean DeNobile pass incomplete — LAF win probability +0.8 pts (now 3%) (top driver: LAF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:52: Jaquez Moore run for 39 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK) — DUKE win probability +1.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:50: Henry Belin IV run for 1 yd for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK) — DUKE win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
DUKE made the numbers' call on 2 of 3LAF made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 6:33LAF 4th & 6 at DUKE 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:25LAF 4th & 3 at DUKE 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:58LAF 4th & 1 at DUKE 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:42DUKE 4th & 1 at DUKE 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.8%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:53LAF 4th & 16 at LAF 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:13LAF 4th & 9 at LAF 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  7. Q4 12:21LAF 4th & 7 at LAF 28, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  8. Q4 5:34DUKE 4th & 1 at LAF 31, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 1:04DUKE 4th & 12 at LAF 16, up 35
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
DUKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 6LAF made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:31DUKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:11LAF Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:45DUKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:17DUKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:52DUKE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:50DUKE Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:45DUKE Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
DUKEDrive 1TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:2699% → 99%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
99.0%
Jordan Waters run for 17 yds to the DUKE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
98.9%
Jordan Waters run for 9 yds to the LAF 42Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+12
98.9%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 12 yds to the LAF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
98.9%
Jaquez Moore run for 5 yds to the LAF 25Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+6
98.8%
Jaquez Moore run for 6 yds to the LAF 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
98.8%
Jaquez Moore run for 3 yds to the LAF 16Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
98.8%
Jaquez Moore run for no gain to the LAF 16Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+16
98.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 16 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 2TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 7:201% → 2%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.7%
Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 3 yds to the LAF 28Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
98.7%
Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the LAF 29Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
98.7%
Dean DeNobile run for 10 yds to the LAF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
98.6%
Jamar Curtis run for 15 yds to the DUKE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
98.5%
Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carl Smith for 12 yds to the DUKE 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
98.4%
Dean DeNobile pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
98.4%
Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the DUKE 33Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+3
98.4%
Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the DUKE 30Similar
Q1 6:33
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+8
98.3%
Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 8 yds to the DUKE 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
98.2%
Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 7 yds to the DUKE 15Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 3
OPP 15
-2
98.1%
Jamar Curtis run for a loss of 2 yards to the DUKE 17Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
98.1%
Dean DeNobile pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:17
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+5
98.1%
Duke Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the DUKE 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
97.7%
Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 12 yds for a TD (Jack Simonetta KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 3FUMBLE
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
97.8%
Jordan Waters run for 19 yds to the LAF 46 Jordan Waters fumbled, recovered by LAF Gabe DuBoisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:372% → 3%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.7%
Dean DeNobile pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
97.7%
Jamar Curtis run for 6 yds to the DUKE 48Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+1
97.5%
Dean DeNobile run for 1 yd to the DUKE 47Similar
Q1 2:25
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
97.4%
Jakob Trestik punt for 32 yds, downed at the DUKE 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 5TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:2798% → 98%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
97.5%
Jaquez Moore run for 4 yds to the DUKE 34Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+15
97.5%
Lafayette Penalty, Personal Foul (Phillip Peiffer) to the DUKE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
97.5%
Duke Penalty, False Start (Jaquez Moore) to the DUKE 43Similar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+3
97.4%
Jaquez Moore run for 3 yds to the DUKE 46Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+8
97.3%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 8 yds to the LAF 46Similar
Q1 0:07
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+6
97.3%
Jaquez Moore run for 6 yds to the LAF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
97.3%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jontavis Robertson for 5 yds to the LAF 35Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+7
97.2%
Jaquez Moore run for 7 yds to the LAF 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+23
97.1%
Jordan Waters run for 23 yds to the LAF 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.6%
Jordan Waters run for 5 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 6DOWNS
10 plays · 51 yds · 6:473% → 4%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
97.3%
Jermaine Conyers run for 12 yds to the LAF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
97.1%
Jermaine Conyers run for 2 yds to the LAF 39Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+9
97.0%
Dean DeNobile pass complete to Mason Gilbert for 9 yds to the LAF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
96.8%
Jermaine Conyers run for 4 yds to the DUKE 48Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+1
96.6%
Jermaine Conyers run for 1 yd to the DUKE 47Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+14
96.5%
Dean DeNobile pass complete to Mason Gilbert for 14 yds to the DUKE 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
96.2%
Jermaine Conyers run for 2 yds to the DUKE 31Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+2
96.1%
Jermaine Conyers run for 2 yds to the DUKE 29Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+5
96.1%
Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 5 yds to the DUKE 24Similar
Q2 5:58
4TH & 1
OPP 24
0
96.0%
Jermaine Conyers run for no gain to the DUKE 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 7TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 4:3696% → 98%
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
96.4%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 13 yds to the DUKE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
96.5%
Riley Leonard run for 1 yd to the DUKE 38Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
96.4%
Peyton Jones run for 5 yds to the DUKE 43Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+3
96.3%
Peyton Jones run for 3 yds to the DUKE 46Similar
Q2 3:42
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+1
96.2%
Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the DUKE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
96.4%
(03:14) LEONARD, Riley pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for MOORE, Jordan thrown to the LAF0. PENALTY LAF Pass Interference on WHITE, Saiku enforced 15 yards to the LAF38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
96.4%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 6 yds to the LAF 32Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+9
96.3%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 9 yds to the LAF 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
96.2%
Jordan Waters run for 7 yds to the LAF 16Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+16
97.7%
Jordan Waters run for 16 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 8INT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:383% → 3%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.2%
Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the LAF 26Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
97.2%
Dean DeNobile pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
97.2%
Jamar Curtis run for 10 yds to the LAF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
97.2%
Dean DeNobile pass complete to Elijah Steward for 17 yds to the DUKE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
96.8%
Dean DeNobile sacked by Brandon Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 48Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 11
OPP 48
0
97.4%
Dean DeNobile pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 9MISSED FG
8 plays · 64 yds · 0:2698% → 98%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
97.5%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 21 yds to the DUKE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
97.5%
Riley Leonard run for 6 yds to the LAF 48Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+19
97.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 19 yds to the LAF 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
97.9%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+18
97.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaquez Moore for 18 yds to the LAF 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+29
97.9%
Todd Pelino 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:073% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Dean DeNobile pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.1%
Jamar Curtis run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 24Similar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+18
97.3%
Dean DeNobile run for 18 yds to the LAF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
97.0%
Jermaine Conyers run for 1 yd to the LAF 43Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
96.9%
Dean DeNobile pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 9
OWN 43
-7
97.0%
Dean DeNobile sacked by Ryan Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the LAF 36Similar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 16
OWN 36
0
97.2%
Jakob Trestik punt for 48 yds, downed at the DUKE 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 11TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 3:4897% → 99%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
97.3%
Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the DUKE 19Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+9
97.2%
Jordan Waters run for 9 yds to the DUKE 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
97.2%
Riley Leonard run for 3 yds to the DUKE 31Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+3
97.3%
Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the DUKE 34Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+15
97.1%
(09:23) LEONARD, Riley pass to the left incomplete intended for CALHOUN, Jalon thrown to the DU45. PENALTY LAF Leaping on OLIVAS, Marco enforced 15 yards from the DU34 to the DU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
97.4%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 4 yds to the LAF 47Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+5
97.3%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 5 yds to the LAF 42Similar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+3
97.3%
Riley Leonard run for 3 yds to the LAF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
99.0%
Jaquez Moore run for 39 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:361% → 1%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
98.9%
Jamar Curtis run for 6 yds to the LAF 20Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+7
98.8%
Dean DeNobile run for 7 yds to the LAF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
98.8%
Nahjee Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the LAF 25Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 12
OWN 25
-5
98.9%
Lafayette Penalty, False Start (John Olmstead) to the LAF 20Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 17
OWN 20
-1
98.9%
Nahjee Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 19Similar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 18
OWN 19
+9
99.0%
Nahjee Adams run for 9 yds to the LAF 28Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
99.0%
Jakob Trestik punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 13TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 2:1399% → 100%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
98.8%
Peyton Jones run for 9 yds to the DUKE 49Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+49
99.1%
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Jordan Moore for 49 yds to the LAF 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.2%
Peyton Jones run for 1 yd to the LAF 1Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Henry Belin IV run for 1 yd for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 14INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:430% → 0%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Nahjee Adams run for 6 yds to the LAF 31Similar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Dean DeNobile pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 15TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 2:17100% → 100%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
99.9%
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Jordan Moore for 21 yds to the LAF 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
99.9%
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Jontavis Robertson for 11 yds to the LAF 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
99.9%
Peyton Jones run for 3 yds to the LAF 18Similar
Q4 14:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
99.9%
Peyton Jones run for 4 yds to the LAF 5Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Jordan Moore for 5 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Nahjee Adams run for 3 yds to the LAF 28Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Nahjee Adams run for no gain to the LAF 28Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Ah-Shaun Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:21
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Jakob Trestik punt for 39 yds, downed at the DUKE 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 17DOWNS
18 plays · 55 yds · 11:06100% → 100%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.9%
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Mehki Wall for 2 yds to the DUKE 35Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Malik Bowen-Sims for 4 yds to the DUKE 39Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 4
OWN 39
-5
99.9%
Duke Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the DUKE 34Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+14
99.9%
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Jake Taylor for 14 yds to the DUKE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.9%
Travis Bates run for 4 yds to the LAF 48Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Travis Bates run for no gain to the LAF 48Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 6
OPP 48
-10
99.9%
Duke Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mehki Wall) to the DUKE 48Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+12
99.9%
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Malik Bowen-Sims for 12 yds to the LAF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.9%
Travis Bates run for 4 yds to the LAF 36Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+1
100.0%
Peyton Jones run for 1 yd to the LAF 35Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+4
100.0%
Peyton Jones run for 4 yds to the LAF 31Similar
Q4 5:34
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+3
99.9%
Peyton Jones run for 3 yds to the LAF 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
100.0%
Quran Boyd run for 9 yds to the LAF 19Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+5
100.0%
Quran Boyd run for 5 yds to the LAF 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
100.0%
Quran Boyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 15Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 11
OPP 15
-1
100.0%
Quran Boyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 16Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 12
OPP 16
0
100.0%
Quran Boyd run for no gain to the LAF 16Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 12
OPP 16
+4
100.0%
Quran Boyd run for 4 yds to the LAF 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 18END OF GAME
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:320% → 0%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+14
100.0%
Troy Bruce run for 14 yds to the LAF 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
100.0%
Troy Bruce run for 3 yds to the LAF 29Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+2
100.0%
Troy Bruce run for 2 yds to the LAF 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:52
Jaquez Moore run for 39 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q2 1:17
Jordan Waters run for 16 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)
+1.4
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
Dean DeNobile pass incomplete
-0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com