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LOU

Louisville 39 at Georgia Tech 34

GT
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2023 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadLOU aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreLOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:27 · D.Shanahan punts 35 yards to LOU 9, Center-H.Freer. Fair catch by K.Coleman Jr..
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Pregame prior−18.4Home team on offense−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:53: H.King pass complete to LOU 48. Catch made by C.Lane at LOU 48. Gain of 48 yards. C.Lane for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — GT win probability +12.4 pts (now 73%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:53: J.Plummer pass complete to GT 5. Catch made by J.Thrash at GT 5. Gain of 5 yards. J.Thrash for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — LOU win probability +22.2 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q4 8:15: J.Plummer pass complete to GT 20. Catch made by J.Thrash at GT 20. Gain of 20 yards. J.Thrash for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — LOU win probability +22.4 pts (now 67%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:53: J.Jordan rushed to GT End Zone for 74 yards. J.Jordan for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — LOU win probability +46.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:14: H.King pass complete to LOU 5. Catch made by E.Singleton at LOU 5. Gain of 5 yards. E.Singleton for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — GT win probability +26.0 pts (now 34%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5LOU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:18LOU 4th & 9 at GT 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:27GT 4th & 8 at LOU 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    33.2%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:20LOU 4th & 7 at LOU 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:59GT 4th & 7 at GT 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:26LOU 4th & 3 at GT 13, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.5%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    62.0%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:54LOU 4th & 4 at LOU 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:08LOU 4th & 8 at LOU 27, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:48LOU 4th & 4 at GT 40, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    25.7%−1.8
    34% to make
    Punt
    26.1%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:23LOU 4th & 5 at GT 5, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    14.4%−9.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:08GT 4th & 4 at GT 43, up 5
    Close callPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:52LOU 4th & 6 at LOU 12, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−2.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:11GT 4th & 6 at LOU 15, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−1.0
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    55.8%−14.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:04GT 4th & 6 at GT 29, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.7%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.5%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:39LOU 4th & 2 at GT 21, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.4%−0.7
    74% to make
    Punt
    88.5%−4.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4LOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 11:56GT Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:06GT Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:50LOU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:23GT Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:53GT Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:53LOU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:53LOU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−2.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 1:0130% → 30%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
29.8%
H.King pass complete to GT 18. Catch made by M.Rutherford at GT 18. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by B.Perry at GT 22.Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+3
30.0%
D.Smith rushed to GT 25 for 3 yards. Tackled by R.Puryear at GT 25.Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
30.2%
H.King pass INTERCEPTED at GT 26. Intercepted by R.Puryear at GT 26. Tackled by J.Leftwich at GT 27.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 2FG
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:2570% → 69%
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
30.2%
J.Jordan rushed to GT 16 for 11 yards. Tackled by K.Harris at GT 16.Similar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
30.3%
J.Plummer steps back to pass. J.Plummer pass incomplete intended for J.Calloway.Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+1
30.4%
J.Jordan rushed to GT 15 for 1 yards. Tackled by M.Scott at GT 15.Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 9
OPP 15
0
30.7%
J.Plummer steps back to pass. J.Plummer pass incomplete intended for J.Calloway.Similar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 9
OPP 15
0
30.7%
B.Travelstead 33 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-S.Kochav, Holder-C.Schwartz.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:4131% → 32%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
30.8%
H.King pass complete to GT 17. Catch made by C.Lane at GT 17. Gain of 8 yards. Pushed out of bounds by Q.Riley at GT 25.Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 2
OWN 25
0
31.1%
D.Smith rushed to GT 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Quinn at GT 25.Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+7
31.2%
H.King pass complete to GT 25. Catch made by L.Benson at GT 25. Gain of 7 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Brownlee at GT 32.Similar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
31.5%
H.King pass complete to GT 32. Catch made by M.Rutherford at GT 32. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by J.Minkins at GT 33.Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+6
31.9%
H.King rushed to GT 39 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Minkins at GT 39. The Replay Official reviewed the targeting and the play was upheld. PENALTY on LOU-B.Perry, Defensive Targeting, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
32.5%
J.Haynes rushed to LOU 44 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Alderman at LOU 44.Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
32.6%
H.King steps back to pass. H.King pass incomplete intended for M.Rutherford.Similar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
32.6%
H.King steps back to pass. H.King pass incomplete intended for C.Lane.Similar
Q1 8:27
4TH & 8
OPP 44
+35
32.0%
D.Shanahan punts 35 yards to LOU 9, Center-H.Freer. Fair catch by K.Coleman Jr..Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:0068% → 67%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
32.3%
J.Jordan rushed to LOU 16 for 7 yards. Tackled by L.Brooks; J.Robinson at LOU 16.Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+1
32.4%
J.Jordan rushed to LOU 17 for 1 yards. Tackled by K.Kennard at LOU 17.Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 2
OWN 17
0
32.9%
PENALTY on LOU-E.Miller, Offensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 7
OWN 12
0
33.2%
J.Plummer steps back to pass. J.Plummer pass incomplete intended for J.Thrash.Similar
Q1 6:20
4TH & 7
OWN 12
+48
33.5%
B.Travelstead punts 48 yards to GT 40, Center-S.Kochav. D.Blaylock returned punt from the GT 40. Tackled by M.Turner; J.Reiger at GT 43.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1434% → 33%
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
33.5%
H.King pass complete to GT 43. Catch made by C.Leary at GT 43. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by J.Minkins at GT 45.Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+1
33.5%
E.Dickens rushed to GT 46 for 1 yards. Tackled by S.Herron at GT 46.Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
33.4%
H.King steps back to pass. H.King pass incomplete intended for C.Leary.Similar
Q1 4:59
4TH & 7
OWN 46
+44
32.8%
D.Shanahan punts 44 yards to LOU 10, Center-H.Freer. K.Coleman Jr. returned punt from the LOU 10. Tackled by K.Watson at LOU 8.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 6FG
10 plays · 79 yds · 4:2166% → 68%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
33.7%
M.Turner rushed to LOU 11 for 3 yards. Tackled by K.Harris at LOU 11.Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+40
33.7%
J.Plummer pass complete to LOU 11. Catch made by K.Coleman Jr. at LOU 11. Gain of 40 yards. Tackled by A.Harvey at GT 49.Similar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
32.8%
J.Plummer scrambles to GT 40 for 9 yards. Pushed out of bounds by P.Moala at GT 40.Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+1
32.8%
M.Turner rushed to GT 39 for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Harvey at GT 39.Similar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
32.8%
J.Plummer pass complete to GT 39. Catch made by A.Huggins-Bruce at GT 39. Gain of 9 yards. A.Huggins-Bruce FUMBLES, forced by K.Johnson. A.Huggins-Bruce FUMBLES, out of bounds.Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+10
32.5%
M.Turner rushed to GT 20 for 10 yards. Tackled by T.Tatum at GT 20.Similar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
32.7%
J.Calloway rushed to GT 13 for 7 yards. Pushed out of bounds by K.Johnson at GT 13.Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 3
OPP 13
0
32.8%
J.Plummer steps back to pass. J.Plummer pass incomplete intended for J.Calloway.Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 3
OPP 13
0
33.3%
J.Plummer steps back to pass. J.Plummer pass incomplete intended for A.Huggins-Bruce.Similar
Q1 0:26
4TH & 3
OPP 13
0
31.7%
B.Travelstead 30 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-S.Kochav, Holder-C.Schwartz.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2533% → 41%
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
32.8%
D.Smith rushed to GT 30 for 5 yards. Tackled by C.Kelly at GT 30.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
33.1%
H.King rushed to GT 42 for 12 yards. Tackled by J.Minkins at GT 42.Similar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+46
33.8%
H.King pass complete to GT 42. Catch made by J.Haynes at GT 42. Gain of 46 yards. Pushed out of bounds by S.Duck at LOU 12.Similar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
35.2%
D.Smith rushed to LOU 5 for 7 yards. Tackled by C.Kelly at LOU 5.Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 3
OPP 5
0
35.5%
H.King steps back to pass. H.King pass incomplete intended for L.Benson.Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+4
34.5%
D.Smith rushed to LOU 1 for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Tell at LOU 1.Similar
Q2 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
35.7%
D.Smith rushed to LOU 1 for 0 yards. Tackled by A.Watts at LOU 1.Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
35.0%
D.Smith rushed to LOU 2 for -1 yards. Tackled by A.Watts at LOU 2.Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
41.0%
H.King pass complete to LOU 2. Catch made by B.Seither at LOU 2. Gain of 2 yards. B.Seither for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5661% → 59%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.4%
J.Plummer steps back to pass. J.Plummer pass incomplete intended for J.Thrash.Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
39.6%
J.Plummer pass complete to LOU 25. Catch made by J.Jordan at LOU 25. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by T.Tatum at LOU 31.Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
40.0%
J.Plummer steps back to pass. J.Plummer pass incomplete intended for N.Kurisky.Similar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+41
40.9%
B.Travelstead punts 41 yards to GT 28, Center-S.Kochav. Fair catch by D.Blaylock.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 1:4040% → 50%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
40.3%
T.Cooley rushed to GT 33 for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Quinn at GT 33.Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+55
41.2%
H.King pass complete to GT 33. Catch made by M.Rutherford at GT 33. Gain of 55 yards. Tackled by D.Neal at LOU 12.Similar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
43.3%
T.Cooley rushed to LOU 1 for 11 yards. Tackled by J.Minkins at LOU 1. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was down by contact and the play was upheld.Similar
Q2 9:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
50.2%
T.Cooley rushed to LOU End Zone for 1 yards. T.Cooley for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:1351% → 61%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
49.4%
A.Huggins-Bruce rushed to LOU 36 for 11 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.King at LOU 36.Similar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
49.2%
J.Plummer pass complete to LOU 36. Catch made by A.Huggins-Bruce at LOU 36. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by K.Wallace at LOU 43.Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+4
49.2%
I.Guerendo rushed to LOU 47 for 4 yards. Tackled by K.Wallace; T.Tatum at LOU 47.Similar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
49.6%
J.Plummer pass complete to LOU 47. Catch made by I.Guerendo at LOU 47. Gain of 13 yards. Pushed out of bounds by E.Kelly at GT 40.Similar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
49.8%
J.Plummer rushed to GT 24 for 16 yards. Tackled by C.Powell-Lee at GT 24.Similar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
48.8%
J.Plummer steps back to pass. J.Plummer pass incomplete intended for C.Bell. PENALTY on GT-K.Watson, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
39.4%
J.Plummer pass complete to GT 9. Catch made by K.Coleman Jr. at GT 9. Gain of 9 yards. K.Coleman Jr. for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:1944% → 58%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
44.2%
J.Haynes rushed to GT 34 for 9 yards. Tackled by J.Minkins at GT 34.Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
46.1%
J.Haynes rushed to GT 43 for 9 yards. Tackled by D.Tell at GT 43.Similar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
46.9%
H.King scrambles to GT 44 for 1 yards. Pushed out of bounds by A.Gillotte at GT 44.Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+33
47.0%
H.King pass complete to GT 44. Catch made by A.Janneh at GT 44. Gain of 33 yards. Tackled by J.Jordan at LOU 23.Similar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
57.7%
T.Cooley rushed to LOU End Zone for 23 yards. T.Cooley for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0944% → 42%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
55.6%
J.Plummer pass complete to LOU 25. Catch made by A.Huggins-Bruce at LOU 25. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by K.Kennard at LOU 27.Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
55.6%
J.Plummer scrambles to LOU 27 for 0 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Robinson at LOU 27.Similar
Q2 2:14
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
57.5%
J.Plummer steps back to pass. J.Plummer pass incomplete intended for J.Calloway.Similar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
58.5%
B.Travelstead punts 48 yards to GT 25, Center-S.Kochav. D.Blaylock returned punt from the GT 25. Tackled by S.Kochav; M.Turner at GT 35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 1:0158% → 73%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
58.0%
J.Haynes rushed to GT 48 for 13 yards. Tackled by J.Minkins at GT 48.Similar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
60.4%
J.Haynes rushed to LOU 48 for 4 yards. Tackled by K.Wilson at LOU 48.Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+48
72.8%
H.King pass complete to LOU 48. Catch made by C.Lane at LOU 48. Gain of 48 yards. C.Lane for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14MISSED FG
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
72.9%
G.Stewart 54 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-H.Freer, Holder-D.Shanahan.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 15FG
13 plays · 68 yds · 6:3031% → 29%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
69.4%
I.Guerendo rushed to LOU 31 for 4 yards. Tackled by K.Harris; T.Tatum at LOU 31.Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+7
69.5%
I.Guerendo rushed to LOU 38 for 7 yards. Tackled by K.Wallace at LOU 38.Similar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
69.8%
J.Plummer pass complete to LOU 38. Catch made by J.Calloway at LOU 38. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by C.Powell-Lee at GT 46.Similar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
69.2%
M.Turner rushed to GT 43 for 3 yards. Tackled by P.Moala at GT 43.Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+3
69.9%
J.Plummer rushed to GT 40 for 3 yards. Tackled by K.Kennard at GT 40.Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 4
OPP 40
0
71.3%
J.Plummer steps back to pass. J.Plummer pass incomplete intended for K.Coleman Jr. (C.Powell-Lee).Similar
Q3 11:48
4TH & 4
OPP 40
+21
72.1%
J.Plummer pass complete to GT 40. Catch made by J.Thrash at GT 40. Gain of 21 yards. Tackled by J.King at GT 19.Similar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
70.1%
J.Plummer rushed to GT 12 for 7 yards. Tackled by C.Powell-Lee at GT 12.Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+4
70.8%
I.Guerendo rushed to GT 8 for 4 yards. Tackled by K.Harris; T.Tatum at GT 8.Similar
Q3 9:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
71.6%
I.Guerendo rushed to GT 6 for 2 yards. Tackled by at GT 6.Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
72.3%
J.Plummer steps back to pass. J.Plummer pass incomplete intended for N.Kurisky.Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
73.7%
J.Plummer rushed to GT 5 for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Tatum; P.Moala at GT 5.Similar
Q3 8:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
71.2%
B.Travelstead 22 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-S.Kochav, Holder-C.Schwartz.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:3726% → 50%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
74.2%
M.Turner rushed to LOU 43 for 8 yards. Tackled by K.Kennard; C.Powell-Lee at LOU 43.Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+2
73.4%
M.Turner rushed to LOU 45 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Moore at LOU 45.Similar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
74.4%
J.Plummer pass complete to LOU 45. Catch made by J.Thrash at LOU 45. Gain of 14 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.King at GT 41.Similar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+33
74.0%
J.Plummer pass complete to GT 41. Catch made by C.Bell at GT 41. Gain of 33 yards. Tackled by K.Wallace at GT 8.Similar
Q3 5:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
72.6%
M.Turner rushed to GT 5 for 3 yards. Tackled by O.Daniels at GT 5.Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
50.4%
J.Plummer pass complete to GT 5. Catch made by J.Thrash at GT 5. Gain of 5 yards. J.Thrash for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:3360% → 61%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.4%
T.Cooley rushed to GT 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by A.Green at GT 25.Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
60.3%
H.King scrambles to GT 37 for 12 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Alderman at GT 37.Similar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
62.2%
J.Haynes rushed to GT 39 for 2 yards. Tackled by S.Herron at GT 39.Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+1
63.8%
J.Haynes rushed to GT 40 for 1 yards. Tackled by S.Herron at GT 40.Similar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+3
62.2%
H.King scrambles to GT 43 for 3 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Alderman at GT 43.Similar
Q3 2:08
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+50
61.4%
D.Shanahan punts 50 yards to LOU 7, Center-H.Freer. K.Coleman Jr. returned punt from the LOU 7. Pushed out of bounds by K.Efford at LOU 15. PENALTY on LOU-M.Washington, Offensive Holding, 7 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0740% → 37%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
60.2%
J.Plummer pass complete to LOU 8. Catch made by J.Thrash at LOU 8. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by K.Johnson at LOU 9. PENALTY on LOU-LOU, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, declined.Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+8
60.6%
J.Plummer scrambles to LOU 17 for 8 yards. Tackled by J.King at LOU 17.Similar
Q3 1:16
3RD & 1
OWN 17
0
61.4%
PENALTY on LOU-J.Calloway, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
62.2%
J.Plummer steps back to pass. J.Plummer pass incomplete intended for A.Huggins-Bruce (K.Wallace).Similar
Q3 0:52
4TH & 6
OWN 12
+48
63.3%
B.Travelstead punts 48 yards to GT 40, Center-S.Kochav. D.Blaylock returned punt from the GT 40. Tackled by T.Quinn at LOU 49.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19MISSED FG
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:3167% → 72%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
67.1%
T.Cooley rushed to LOU 48 for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Thomas at LOU 48.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+2
67.5%
T.Cooley rushed to LOU 46 for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Thomas at LOU 46.Similar
Q4 14:35
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+11
66.9%
H.King pass complete to LOU 46. Catch made by M.Rutherford at LOU 46. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by at LOU 35.Similar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
69.5%
T.Cooley rushed to LOU 32 for 3 yards. Tackled by K.Wilson at LOU 32.Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+13
70.9%
H.King pass complete to LOU 32. Catch made by C.Lane at LOU 32. Gain of 13 yards. Pushed out of bounds by Q.Riley at LOU 19.Similar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
71.1%
J.Haynes rushed to LOU 18 for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Quinn at LOU 18.Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+1
71.6%
J.Haynes rushed to LOU 17 for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Gillotte at LOU 17.Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+2
72.4%
H.King rushed to LOU 15 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Clark at LOU 15.Similar
Q4 11:11
4TH & 6
OPP 15
0
72.0%
G.Stewart 33 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-H.Freer, Holder-D.Shanahan.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:5136% → 67%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
63.7%
J.Plummer pass complete to LOU 20. Catch made by K.Coleman Jr. at LOU 20. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by J.King at LOU 37.Similar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
62.4%
J.Plummer steps back to pass. J.Plummer pass incomplete intended for J.Jordan.Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
63.1%
J.Plummer pass complete to LOU 37. Catch made by C.Bell at LOU 37. Gain of 7 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.King at LOU 44.Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+23
59.7%
J.Plummer pass complete to LOU 44. Catch made by J.Thrash at LOU 44. Gain of 23 yards. Tackled by A.Harvey; N.Collins at GT 33.Similar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
56.5%
J.Calloway rushed to GT 26 for 7 yards. Tackled by C.Powell-Lee; T.Tatum at GT 26.Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+6
56.0%
I.Guerendo rushed to GT 20 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.King; K.Kennard at GT 20.Similar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
33.5%
J.Plummer pass complete to GT 20. Catch made by J.Thrash at GT 20. Gain of 20 yards. J.Thrash for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21FUMBLE
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:0546% → 55%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.5%
H.King steps back to pass. H.King pass incomplete intended for (T.Quinn).Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
45.2%
J.Haynes rushed to GT 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Clark at GT 26.Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+13
43.1%
H.King scrambles to GT 39 for 13 yards. Tackled by A.Watts at GT 39.Similar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
48.1%
H.King steps back to pass. H.King pass incomplete intended for D.Blaylock (Q.Riley).Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
47.5%
H.King steps back to pass. H.King sacked at GT 27 for yards (A.Gillotte) PENALTY on LOU-Q.Riley, Defensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
51.2%
H.King steps back to pass. H.King pass incomplete intended for D.Blaylock. PENALTY on LOU-T.Thomas, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 5
OPP 46
+6
52.3%
T.Cooley rushed to LOU 40 for 6 yards. Tackled by D.Neal at LOU 40.Similar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
52.5%
H.King rushed to LOU 30 for 10 yards. Pushed out of bounds by D.Neal at LOU 30.Similar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
54.9%
H.King pass complete to LOU 30. Catch made by M.Rutherford at LOU 30. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by S.Duck at LOU 16.Similar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-10
55.2%
H.King steps back to pass. H.King sacked at LOU 26 for -10 yards (D.Tell) H.King FUMBLES, forced by D.Tell. Fumble RECOVERED by LOU-K.Wilson at LOU 26.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 22TD
1 play · 74 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+74
8.8%
J.Jordan rushed to GT End Zone for 74 yards. J.Jordan for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3713% → 10%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
13.4%
H.King scrambles to GT 29 for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Quinn at GT 29.Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
12.8%
H.King steps back to pass. H.King pass incomplete intended for D.Blaylock.Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
12.0%
H.King steps back to pass. H.King pass incomplete intended for M.Rutherford.Similar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
10.4%
H.King steps back to pass. H.King pass incomplete intended for B.Seither.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 24FG
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:2094% → 94%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
5.9%
J.Plummer rushed to GT 23 for 6 yards. Tackled by T.Tatum; K.Kennard at GT 23.Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+2
5.7%
J.Jordan rushed to GT 21 for 2 yards. Tackled by Z.Biggers at GT 21.Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 2
OPP 21
0
6.0%
J.Jordan rushed to GT 21 for 0 yards. Tackled by M.Scott at GT 21.Similar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 2
OPP 21
0
6.2%
B.Travelstead 38 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-S.Kochav, Holder-C.Schwartz.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 25TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:237% → 34%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
6.7%
H.King pass complete to GT 25. Catch made by J.Haynes at GT 25. Gain of 2 yards. J.Haynes ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
6.8%
H.King pass complete to GT 27. Catch made by J.Haynes at GT 27. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by S.Duck at GT 33.Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
5.8%
J.Haynes rushed to GT 41 for 8 yards. Tackled by K.Wilson at GT 41.Similar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
6.1%
H.King steps back to pass. H.King pass incomplete intended for J.Haynes.Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+25
6.0%
H.King pass complete to GT 41. Catch made by C.Leary at GT 41. Gain of 25 yards. Tackled by D.Neal at LOU 34.Similar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+29
8.3%
H.King pass complete to LOU 34. Catch made by E.Singleton at LOU 34. Gain of 29 yards. Tackled by S.Duck at LOU 5.Similar
Q4 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
34.3%
H.King pass complete to LOU 5. Catch made by E.Singleton at LOU 5. Gain of 5 yards. E.Singleton for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:53
J.Jordan rushed to GT End Zone for 74 yards. J.Jordan for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-46.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-34.3
TD · Q4 1:14
H.King pass complete to LOU 5. Catch made by E.Singleton at LOU 5. Gain of 5 yards. E.Singleton for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+26
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com