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ELON

Elon 17 at Wake Forest 37

WAKE
2023 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2023 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadELON aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreELON score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:24 · Kyle Romenick punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Pregame prior+13.4Home team on offense+21.3Score differential+8.7Garbage-time factor+5.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.7Time remaining+2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:26: Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 33 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK) — WAKE win probability +1.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:41: Mitch Griffis pass complete to Cameron Hite for 69 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK) — WAKE win probability +1.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:33: Jalen Hampton run for 49 yds for a TD (Jack Berkowitz KICK) — ELON win probability +1.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: ELON has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:24: Caleb Curtain 50 Yd Interception Return (Jack Berkowitz Kick) — ELON win probability +3.1 pts (now 5%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:09: Demond Claiborne run for 10 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK) — WAKE win probability +1.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ELON made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 14:05ELON 4th & 9 at ELON 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:26ELON 4th & 17 at ELON 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:45WAKE 4th & 12 at WAKE 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:04ELON 4th & 15 at ELON 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:54WAKE 4th & 6 at ELON 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:41ELON 4th & 2 at ELON 34, down 10
    Close callPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:13ELON 4th & 16 at ELON 12, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:44WAKE 4th & 24 at WAKE 43, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:44ELON 4th & 1 at ELON 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.3%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:44ELON 4th & 3 at ELON 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:33WAKE 4th & 10 at ELON 11, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:40WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 34, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:33ELON 4th & 3 at ELON 25, down 20
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:58WAKE 4th & 8 at ELON 11, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    91.2%−3.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00ELON 4th & 1 at ELON 34, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.3%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:24ELON 4th & 2 at ELON 43, down 16
    Close callPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:40WAKE 4th & 13 at WAKE 34, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:06ELON 4th & 2 at WAKE 26, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:01ELON 4th & 2 at WAKE 10, down 23
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    55% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ELON made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:36WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:26WAKE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:41WAKE Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:33ELON Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:24ELON Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:09WAKE Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ELONDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:553% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.1%
Jalen Hampton run for 1 yd to the ELON 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
97.1%
Matthew Downing pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
97.1%
Matthew Downing pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:05
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
96.9%
Kyle Romenick punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:2997% → 97%
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
97.0%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 4 yds to the ELON 49Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+12
97.0%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 12 yds to the ELON 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
97.0%
Mitch Griffis run for 4 yds to the ELON 33Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+3
97.0%
Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the ELON 30Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+9
97.0%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Cameron Hite for 9 yds to the ELON 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
97.0%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Justice Ellison for 3 yds to the ELON 18Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+18
96.8%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 18 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 2:103% → 4%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
96.7%
Jalen Hampton run for a loss of 3 yards to the ELON 22Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
96.7%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Cody Hardy for 5 yds to the ELON 27Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-9
96.7%
Matthew Downing sacked by Jacob Roberts for a loss of 9 yards to the ELON 18Similar
Q1 9:26
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
96.5%
Kyle Romenick punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:4197% → 96%
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
96.5%
Mitch Griffis run for 1 yd to the WAKE 41Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+7
96.5%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Cameron Hite for 7 yds to the WAKE 48Similar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-10
96.5%
Mitch Griffis sacked by Cazeem Moore and Marvin Pearson for a loss of 10 yards to the WAKE 38Similar
Q1 7:45
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
96.2%
Ivan Mora punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Bo Sanders at the ELON 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:414% → 4%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-7
96.2%
Matthew Downing sacked by Nick Andersen and Wyatt Crespi for a loss of 7 yards to the ELON 17Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 17
OWN 17
+2
96.2%
Wayne Dixie III run for 2 yds to the ELON 19Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 15
OWN 19
0
96.3%
Matthew Downing pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:04
4TH & 15
OWN 19
0
96.1%
Kyle Romenick punt for 50 yds , Taylor Morin returns for no gain to the WAKE 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6FG
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:1096% → 96%
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
96.0%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the WAKE 18Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+49
96.0%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 49 yds to the ELON 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
96.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 9 yds to the ELON 24Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+4
96.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the ELON 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
96.2%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
96.2%
Ke'Shawn Williams run for 7 yds to the ELON 13Similar
Q1 6:04
3RD & 3
OPP 13
-3
96.1%
Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 3 yards to the ELON 16Similar
Q1 2:54
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+34
95.7%
Matthew Dennis 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:094% → 5%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-4
95.6%
Jalen Hampton run for a loss of 4 yards to the ELON 22Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 14
OWN 22
+7
95.6%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Jamarien Dalton for 7 yds to the ELON 29Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+5
95.6%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Jamarien Dalton for 5 yds to the ELON 34Similar
Q1 0:41
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
95.3%
Kyle Romenick punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:1595% → 97%
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
95.4%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 17 yds to the ELON 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
95.4%
Mitch Griffis run for 12 yds to the ELON 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
95.4%
Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the ELON 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
95.5%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+33
96.9%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 33 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:093% → 3%
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
96.6%
Matthew Downing pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+4
96.7%
Jalen Hampton run for 4 yds to the ELON 22Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 6
OWN 22
-5
96.7%
Matthew Downing sacked by Kendron Wayman for a loss of 5 yards to the ELON 17Similar
Q2 14:22
4TH & 11
OWN 17
-5
96.7%
Elon Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ELON 12Similar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 16
OWN 12
0
96.7%
Kyle Romenick punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 1:2997% → 97%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
97.0%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-8
97.0%
Mitch Griffis sacked by Caleb Curtain for a loss of 8 yards to the WAKE 49Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 18
OWN 49
-6
96.9%
Mitch Griffis sacked by Chazz Harley for a loss of 6 yards to the WAKE 43Similar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 24
OWN 43
0
96.7%
Ivan Mora punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Bo Sanders at the ELON 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 11INT
17 plays · 78 yds · 7:564% → 4%
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
96.5%
Chandler Brayboy run for 11 yds to the ELON 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
96.5%
Justin Allen pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for 5 yds to the ELON 28Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+3
96.5%
Justin Allen run for 3 yds to the ELON 31Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+1
96.4%
Wayne Dixie III run for 1 yd to the ELON 32Similar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+2
96.5%
Justin Allen run for 2 yds to the ELON 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
96.2%
Justin Allen pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for 13 yds to the ELON 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
96.1%
Justin Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+16
96.1%
Justin Allen pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for 16 yds to the WAKE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
95.9%
Jalen Hampton run for 8 yds to the WAKE 29Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+6
95.8%
Jalen Hampton run for 6 yds to the WAKE 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
95.8%
Justin Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
95.8%
Jalen Hampton run for no gain to the WAKE 23Similar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+15
96.0%
ALLEN, Justin pass deep to the left incomplete intended for DIEKE, Onuma thrown to the WFU0. PENALTY WFU Pass Interference on RANKIN, DeMarcus enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the WFU8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
95.8%
Justin Allen pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 9Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
95.8%
Justin Allen pass complete to Cody Hardy for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 10Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
95.8%
Justin Allen pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:0797% → 98%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
96.9%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 9 yds to the WAKE 29Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+2
96.9%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the WAKE 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
98.4%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Cameron Hite for 69 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:572% → 2%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.9%
Julian Bumper run for 2 yds to the ELON 27Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
97.9%
Justin Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
98.0%
Justin Allen run for 5 yds to the ELON 32Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
98.0%
Kyle Romenick punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
98.4%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the WAKE 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 4:1998% → 100%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
98.2%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WAKE 37Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+5
98.2%
Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the WAKE 42Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+1
98.2%
Mitch Griffis run for 1 yd to the WAKE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
98.2%
QB Keeper GRIFFIS, Mitch rush to the right for a gain of 27 yards to the ELN30 (CURTAIN, Caleb). PENALTY WFU Holding on HITE, Cameron enforced 10 yards from the WFU43 to the WFU33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 20
OWN 33
+24
98.2%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 24 yds to the ELON 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
98.3%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
98.3%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the ELON 42Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+31
98.2%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 31 yds to the ELON 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
98.3%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the ELON 10Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 9
OPP 10
-1
98.3%
Mitch Griffis run for a loss of 1 yard to the ELON 11Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
98.2%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:33
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+29
99.6%
Matthew Dennis 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 16TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 1:520% → 2%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
99.7%
Justin Allen pass complete to Jordan Bonner for 18 yds to the ELON 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.6%
Jalen Hampton run for 5 yds to the ELON 47Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+4
99.6%
Chandler Brayboy run for 4 yds to the WAKE 49Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+49
98.1%
Jalen Hampton run for 49 yds for a TD (Jack Berkowitz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:4699% → 98%
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
98.5%
Demond Claiborne run for 10 yds to the WAKE 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
98.4%
Mitch Griffis run for 1 yd to the WAKE 35Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 9
OWN 35
-1
98.4%
Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 34Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
98.3%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:40
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
98.3%
Ivan Mora punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Bo Sanders at the ELON 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:072% → 2%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
98.3%
Justin Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
98.3%
Justin Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+7
98.4%
Justin Allen pass complete to Jordan Bonner for 7 yds to the ELON 25Similar
Q3 5:33
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Kyle Romenick punt for 43 yds , returns for no gain to the WAKE 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19INT TD
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:0999% → 96%
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
98.5%
Justice Ellison run for 8 yds to the WAKE 42Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+3
98.6%
Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the WAKE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-50
95.5%
Caleb Curtain 50 Yd Interception Return (Jack Berkowitz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:1896% → 97%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
50
+11
95.5%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 11 yds to the ELON 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
95.5%
Mitch Griffis run for 6 yds to the ELON 33Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+4
95.5%
Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the ELON 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
95.5%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+7
95.5%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 7 yds to the ELON 22Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+9
95.3%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 9 yds to the ELON 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
95.5%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
95.5%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the ELON 11Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
95.3%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:58
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+29
96.7%
Matthew Dennis 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 5:344% → 4%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
95.8%
Elon Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ELON 17Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 18
OWN 17
+3
95.8%
Justin Allen pass complete to Jalen Hampton for 3 yds to the ELON 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+9
95.9%
Justin Allen pass complete to Jordan Bonner for 9 yds to the ELON 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
95.6%
Justin Allen pass complete to Jordan Bonner for 5 yds to the ELON 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
95.6%
Justin Allen run for 1 yd to the ELON 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
95.5%
Jalen Hampton run for a loss of 1 yard to the ELON 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
-5
95.7%
Elon Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Jordan Bonner) to the ELON 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 29
+4
95.9%
Justin Allen pass complete to Jordan Bonner for 4 yds to the ELON 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+10
95.9%
Justin Allen pass complete to Jordan Bonner for 10 yds to the ELON 43Similar
Q4 10:24
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
96.4%
Kyle Romenick punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:4497% → 97%
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
97.2%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Justice Ellison for 2 yds to the WAKE 28Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
97.2%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+9
97.1%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 9 yds to the WAKE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
97.3%
Justice Ellison run for a loss of 3 yards to the WAKE 34Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+6
97.1%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Cameron Hite for 6 yds to the WAKE 40Similar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-6
97.3%
Mitch Griffis sacked by Cazeem Moore for a loss of 6 yards to the WAKE 34Similar
Q4 7:40
4TH & 13
OWN 34
0
97.0%
Ivan Mora punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 23INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:564% → 4%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
96.4%
Justin Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
96.6%
Jalen Hampton run for 4 yds to the ELON 33Similar
Q4 6:44
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
96.5%
Justin Allen pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24TD
5 plays · 41 yds · 2:3598% → 100%
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
97.6%
Demond Claiborne run for 11 yds to the ELON 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
97.6%
Demond Claiborne run for 16 yds to the ELON 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
97.9%
Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the ELON 10Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
99.6%
Demond Claiborne run for 10 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 25FG
17 plays · 65 yds · 4:081% → 1%
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.4%
Jalen Hampton run for 4 yds to the ELON 29Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
99.4%
Justin Allen pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for a loss of 5 yards to the ELON 24Similar
Q4 4:09
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+14
99.5%
Jalen Hampton run for 14 yds to the ELON 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.4%
Justin Allen pass complete to Jordan Bonner for 5 yds to the ELON 43Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+6
99.4%
Justin Allen run for 6 yds to the ELON 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
99.5%
Justin Allen run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 9
50
+16
99.5%
Justin Allen pass complete to Johncarlos Miller II for 16 yds to the WAKE 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.4%
Justin Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
99.4%
Justin Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+8
99.6%
Justin Allen pass complete to Jalen Hampton for 8 yds to the WAKE 26Similar
Q4 1:06
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+8
99.5%
Justin Allen pass complete to Christian Da-Silva for 8 yds to the WAKE 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
99.5%
Justin Allen pass complete to Christian Da-Silva for 8 yds to the WAKE 10Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 2
OPP 10
0
99.5%
Justin Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 2
OPP 10
0
99.5%
Jalen Hampton run for no gain to the WAKE 10Similar
Q4 0:01
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+28
99.5%
Jack Berkowitz 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:24
Caleb Curtain 50 Yd Interception Return (Jack Berkowitz Kick)
-3.1
TD · Q4 4:09
Demond Claiborne run for 10 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q2 14:26
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 33 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com