Try the model
KENN

Kennesaw State 21 at Sam Houston 24

SHSU
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SHSU
modelSHSU aheadKENN aheadconfidence bandkey playSHSU scoreKENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:13 · Joshua Huiet punt for 52 yds , Emon Allen returns for 5 yds to the SHSU 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 124Pregame prior+10.6Home team on offense−16.2Score differential−4.3Garbage-time factor−5.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:58: Jonathan Murphy run for 57 yds for a TD (Conor Cummins KICK) — KENN win probability +9.6 pts (now 40%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:33: Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Elijah Sohn for 5 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK) — SHSU win probability +8.3 pts (now 47%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 3:49: Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Jay Rockwell for 2 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK) — SHSU win probability +17.5 pts (now 66%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:59: Zach Hrbacek run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line — SHSU win probability +15.5 pts (now 65%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Colby Sessums 35 yd FG GOOD — SHSU win probability +29.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SHSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5KENN made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 9:03SHSU 4th & 12 at SHSU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:20KENN 4th & 8 at SHSU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    19.8%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:13KENN 4th & 3 at SHSU 3, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    21.6%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    19.5%−2.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:53KENN 4th & 11 at KENN 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−1.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:34SHSU 4th & 3 at SHSU 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    53.3%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:15KENN 4th & 3 at SHSU 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−1.4
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    46.9%−6.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:04KENN 4th & 4 at KENN 28, up 14
    Close callPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:01SHSU 4th & 4 at KENN 43, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    42.6%−2.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:41KENN 4th & 11 at KENN 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−3.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:33SHSU 4th & 5 at KENN 5, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.3%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    25.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    16.8%−8.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:13KENN 4th & 2 at KENN 33, up 7
    Close callPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:13SHSU 4th & 3 at KENN 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    41.4%−1.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    27.9%−14.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SHSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3KENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:00KENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:13KENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:18SHSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:58KENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:33SHSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:49SHSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.7%−1.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SHSUDrive 1INT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:5789% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.1%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 5 yds to the SHSU 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
89.1%
John Gentry run for no gain to the SHSU 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
89.1%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 5 yds to the SHSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
89.1%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to John Gentry for 1 yd to the SHSU 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
89.1%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Al'vonte WoodardSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+16
89.1%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
50
0
88.5%
Keegan Shoemaker pass intercepted by Jerico Washington Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 2TD
3 plays · 83 yds · 1:0312% → 13%
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
88.3%
Isaac Foster run for 7 yds to the KENN 24Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+1
88.3%
Michael Benefield run for 1 yd to the KENN 25Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+75
87.3%
Michael Benefield run for 75 yds for a TD (Conor Cummins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:5787% → 86%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.4%
Zach Hrbacek run for 4 yds to the SHSU 29Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
87.4%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 1 yd to the SHSU 30Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-7
87.3%
Keegan Shoemaker sacked by Jordan Miles for a loss of 7 yards to the SHSU 23Similar
Q1 9:03
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
86.2%
Jadon Cardell punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 4MISSED FG
10 plays · 33 yds · 4:4314% → 17%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
86.2%
Jonathan Murphy run for 3 yds to the KENN 39Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
86.1%
Jonathan Murphy pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 5 yds to the KENN 44Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+12
86.1%
Jonathan Murphy run for 12 yds to the SHSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
86.0%
Alexander Diggs run for 6 yds to the SHSU 38Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+1
86.0%
Jonathan Murphy run for 1 yd to the SHSU 37Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+4
86.1%
Jonathan Murphy pass complete to Carson Kent for 4 yds to the SHSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
86.0%
Alexander Diggs run for no gain to the SHSU 33Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
86.0%
Jonathan Murphy pass incomplete to Blake BohannonSimilar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+2
86.1%
Jonathan Murphy run for 2 yds to the SHSU 31Similar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+48
83.3%
Conor Cummins 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 5FUMBLE
1 play · -7 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-7
83.6%
Keegan Shoemaker sacked by Donelius Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the SHSU 24. Keegan Shoemaker fumbled, recovered by KENN Joshua Agbenou at the SHSU 23, Joshua Agbenou return 18 yards to the SHSU 6.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 6TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5717% → 22%
Q1 4:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
82.6%
Michael Benefield run for 2 yds to the SHSU 4Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
82.6%
Jonathan Murphy pass complete to Rowan Darnell for 3 yds to the SHSU 1Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+2
82.8%
Jonathan Murphy run for 2 yds to the SHSU 3Similar
Q1 2:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
78.5%
Michael Benefield run for 3 yds for a TD (Conor Cummins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 7FUMBLE
13 plays · 61 yds · 4:5679% → 75%
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
78.9%
John Gentry run for 7 yds to the SHSU 19Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+2
79.0%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 2 yds to the SHSU 21Similar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+5
78.9%
PENALTY KSU Offside (Miles,Jordan) 5 yards from SHSU21 to SHSU26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+14
78.9%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Elijah Sohn for 14 yds to the SHSU 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+1
77.1%
John Gentry run for 1 yd to the SHSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
77.1%
John Gentry run for 8 yds to the SHSU 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+17
77.6%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 17 yds to the KENN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
77.7%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 3 yds to the KENN 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+10
77.4%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 10 yds to the KENN 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+7
77.7%
John Gentry run for 7 yds to the KENN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
78.0%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Noah SmithSimilar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
74.9%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 2 yds to the KENN 27 Keegan Shoemaker fumbled, recovered by KSU Woods,Jerrod at KSU27, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:1828% → 31%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
72.2%
Jonathan Murphy run for 5 yds to the KENN 32Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+15
72.0%
Isaac Foster run for 15 yds to the KENN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
71.6%
Jonathan Murphy run for 1 yd to the KENN 46Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 11
OWN 46
0
71.8%
Jonathan Murphy pass incomplete to Blake BohannonSimilar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 11
OWN 46
0
72.0%
Jonathan Murphy pass incomplete to Blake BohannonSimilar
Q2 9:53
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
68.8%
Joshua Huiet punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:3569% → 76%
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
69.3%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to John Gentry for 9 yds to the SHSU 29Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+2
70.0%
John Gentry run for 2 yds to the SHSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
69.6%
Noah Smith run for 13 yds to the SHSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+21
70.7%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Zach Hrbacek for 21 yds to the KENN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
71.3%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 6 yds to the KENN 29Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+5
71.3%
Zach Hrbacek run for 5 yds to the KENN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
76.1%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 24 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 10TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2028% → 40%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.5%
Michael Benefield run for 2 yds to the KENN 27Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
72.3%
Isaac Foster run for 12 yds to the KENN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
71.3%
Jonathan Murphy run for 4 yds to the KENN 43Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
71.2%
Alexander Diggs run for no gain to the KENN 43Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+57
60.2%
Jonathan Murphy run for 57 yds for a TD (Conor Cummins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 11DOWNS
9 plays · 13 yds · 3:1662% → 57%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
62.1%
John Gentry run for 1 yd to the SHSU 27Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+5
61.7%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Jay Rockwell for 5 yds to the SHSU 32Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+10
62.2%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 10 yds to the SHSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
63.5%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Elijah Sohn for 6 yds to the SHSU 48Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 4
OWN 48
-2
63.8%
Keegan Shoemaker sacked by Ugonna Nwoha for a loss of 2 yards to the SHSU 46Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+3
57.3%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 3 yds to the SHSU 49Similar
Q2 1:34
4TH & 3
OWN 49
+10
56.8%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to John Gentry for a loss of 10 yds to the SHSU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 12MISSED FG
9 plays · 19 yds · 1:1949% → 54%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
51.0%
Jonathan Murphy run for 6 yds to the SHSU 33Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 4
OPP 33
0
50.7%
Jonathan Murphy pass complete to Michael Benefield for no gain to the SHSU 33Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+6
47.6%
Jonathan Murphy pass complete to Isaac Foster for 6 yds to the SHSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
47.4%
Jonathan Murphy pass incomplete to Isaac FosterSimilar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+1
47.7%
Jonathan Murphy run for 1 yd to the SHSU 26Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+6
48.1%
Jonathan Murphy run for 6 yds to the SHSU 20Similar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+38
46.3%
Conor Cummins 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:1554% → 53%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
53.7%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Malik PhillipsSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
52.8%
Zach Hrbacek run for 5 yds to the SHSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4249% → 51%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
51.3%
Jonathan Murphy run for 3 yds to the KENN 19Similar
Q3 14:46
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+3
51.6%
Michael Benefield run for 3 yds to the KENN 22Similar
Q3 14:46
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+6
52.1%
Jonathan Murphy run for 6 yds to the KENN 28Similar
Q3 13:04
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
49.1%
Joshua Huiet punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Emon Allen at the SHSU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:0351% → 47%
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
50.8%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Jay RockwellSimilar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
50.2%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to John Gentry for 5 yds to the SHSU 41Similar
Q3 13:04
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+10
51.8%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Elijah Sohn for 10 yds to the KENN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
52.8%
John Gentry run for 4 yds to the KENN 45Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+2
52.7%
Zach Hrbacek run for 2 yds to the KENN 43Similar
Q3 13:04
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
52.4%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Zach HrbacekSimilar
Q3 11:01
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
47.4%
Jadon Cardell punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Isaac Foster at the KENN 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 5:2056% → 68%
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
43.7%
Jonathan Murphy run for 1 yd to the KENN 8Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+15
43.9%
Jonathan Murphy pass complete to Rowan Darnell for 15 yds to the KENN 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
43.4%
Michael Benefield run for 5 yds to the KENN 28Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+5
43.0%
Michael Benefield run for 5 yds to the KENN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
43.0%
Jonathan Murphy pass complete to Preston Daniels for 8 yds to the KENN 41Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 2
OWN 41
-15
41.3%
Shotgun Murphy,Jonathan rush left for 1 yard gain to the KSU42 (Leon,Jevon; Aribisala,Matthew) PENALTY KSU Block Below Waist (Hines,Seaburn) 15 yards from KSU41 to KSU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 17
OWN 26
+2
43.7%
Michael Benefield run for 2 yds to the KENN 28Similar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 15
OWN 28
+4
44.3%
Jonathan Murphy run for 4 yds to the KENN 32Similar
Q3 5:41
4TH & 11
OWN 32
0
31.7%
Joshua Huiet punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 17TD
14 plays · 74 yds · 5:0834% → 47%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
34.4%
PENALTY KSU Delay Of Game (Woods,Jerrod) 5 yards from SHSU26 to SHSU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 5
OWN 31
0
35.7%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Malik PhillipsSimilar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
35.3%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 4 yds to the SHSU 35Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+3
35.4%
John Gentry run for 3 yds to the SHSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
36.3%
John Gentry run for 7 yds to the SHSU 45Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+5
37.1%
John Gentry run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
50
+31
37.3%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 31 yds to the KENN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
39.2%
Zach Hrbacek run for 1 yd to the KENN 20Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 21
OPP 30
0
37.8%
Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Jay RockwellSimilar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 21
OPP 30
+10
36.1%
Kennesaw State Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jerrod Woods) to the KENN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
39.2%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Jax Sherrard for 4 yds to the KENN 6Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
39.2%
Zach Hrbacek run for 3 yds to the KENN 3Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
38.3%
Zach Hrbacek run for 2 yds to the KENN 5Similar
Q3 0:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
46.6%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Elijah Sohn for 5 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4760% → 64%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
40.2%
Tykeem Wallace run for 1 yd to the KENN 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
41.1%
Michael Benefield run for 6 yds to the KENN 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
40.1%
Jonathan Murphy pass complete to Isaac Foster for 3 yds to the KENN 33Similar
Q4 13:13
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+5
36.3%
Joshua Huiet punt for 52 yds , Emon Allen returns for 5 yds to the SHSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 19TD
19 plays · 80 yds · 9:2441% → 66%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
40.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Shoemaker,Keegan rush middle for 0 yards to the SHSU20 (Barnes,Demetric) PENALTY KSU Face Mask (Barnes,Demetric) 15 yards from SHSU20 to SHSU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
41.5%
Zach Hrbacek run for 7 yds to the SHSU 42Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+1
45.1%
Zach Hrbacek run for 1 yd to the SHSU 41Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+9
43.2%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Malik Phillips for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
50
+7
45.9%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Elijah Sohn for 7 yds to the KENN 43Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+5
46.5%
Zach Hrbacek run for 5 yds to the KENN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
46.4%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 1 yd to the KENN 37Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+6
46.3%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Malik Phillips for 6 yds to the KENN 31Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+5
46.2%
PENALTY KSU Offside (Donaldson,CJ) 5 yards from KSU31 to KSU26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
48.4%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Jay Rockwell for 2 yds to the KENN 24Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+1
48.4%
Zach Hrbacek run for 1 yd to the KENN 23Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+4
46.0%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Zach Hrbacek for 4 yds to the KENN 19Similar
Q4 13:13
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+4
43.2%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 4 yds to the KENN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
48.4%
Zach Hrbacek run for no gain to the KENN 15Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+4
48.4%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 4 yds to the KENN 11Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+9
46.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Shoemaker,Keegan pass incomplete short to Smith,Noah PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (Woods,Jerrod) 9 yards from KSU11 to KSU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
48.4%
Jordan Yates run for 2 yds to the KENN 4Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
48.4%
Zach Hrbacek run for 2 yds to the KENN 2Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
65.9%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Jay Rockwell for 2 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 20INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4350% → 51%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
50.3%
Michael Benefield run for 4 yds to the KENN 44Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
49.0%
Jonathan Murphy pass incomplete to Isaac FosterSimilar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
49.4%
Jonathan Murphy pass intercepted by Da'Marcus CrosbySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 21FG
13 plays · 36 yds · 2:5965% → 96%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
64.9%
Zach Hrbacek run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 6
50
0
65.7%
Zach Hrbacek run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 6
50
+3
62.3%
Keegan Shoemaker run for 3 yds to the KENN 47Similar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 3
OPP 47
+5
60.1%
PENALTY KSU Offside (Scott,Tyler) 5 yards from KSU47 to KSU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
64.9%
Zach Hrbacek run for 2 yds to the KENN 40Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+10
64.6%
Zach Hrbacek run for 10 yds to the KENN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
66.7%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Elijah Sohn for 3 yds to the KENN 27Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+4
67.5%
Zach Hrbacek run for 4 yds to the KENN 23Similar
Q4 0:34
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+5
64.8%
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 5 yds to the KENN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+35
96.3%
Colby Sessums 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Colby Sessums 35 yd FG GOOD
+29.7
TD · Q4 3:49
Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Jay Rockwell for 2 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK)
+17.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:59
Zach Hrbacek run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line
+15.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com