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MASS

Massachusetts 41 at New Mexico State 30

NMSU
2023 · Week 1 · Aug 26, 2023 · Aggie Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · NMSU
modelNMSU aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playNMSU scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:43 · Zach Haynes punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MASS 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 77Home team on offense+0.4Pregame prior+12.3Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 14:28: Taisun Phommachanh 11 Yd Run (Cameron Carson Kick) — MASS win probability +23.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:27: Trent Hudson 42 Yd pass from Diego Pavia (Ethan Albertson Kick) — NMSU win probability +29.8 pts (now 56%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:47: Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams 10 Yd Run (Cameron Carson Kick) — MASS win probability +14.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:40: Isaiah Rutherford 55 Yd Interception Return (Cameron Carson Kick) — MASS win probability +9.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:35: Jordin Parker 40 Yd pass from Diego Pavia (Ethan Albertson Kick) — NMSU win probability +9.6 pts (now 14%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NMSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 7MASS made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:24MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:48NMSU 4th & 4 at NMSU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:01MASS 4th & 11 at MASS 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:17NMSU 4th & 10 at MASS 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:04MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:45NMSU 4th & 4 at NMSU 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:32MASS 4th & 7 at MASS 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:55MASS 4th & 11 at NMSU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−5.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:03NMSU 4th & 1 at MASS 17, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.2%−2.8
    80% to make
    Punt
    53.4%−10.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:43NMSU 4th & 1 at NMSU 26, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%−2.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:27MASS 4th & 10 at NMSU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−1.8
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    29.8%−10.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:15NMSU 4th & 4 at MASS 17, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.4%−0.6
    80% to make
    Punt
    39.7%−13.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:39MASS 4th & 7 at NMSU 31, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    62.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    58.5%−3.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:30NMSU 4th & 7 at NMSU 27, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:30MASS 4th & 5 at NMSU 45, up 10
    Close callPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    89.1%−1.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NMSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MASS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:20MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:34NMSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:28MASS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:27NMSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.8%−0.6
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:47MASS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.6
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:40MASS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:35NMSU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:43MASS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3024% → 24%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
75.9%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the MASS 29Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
75.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MASS 31Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
75.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+2
75.6%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 36 yds , Jordan Smith returns for 2 yds to the NMSU 33 Massachusetts Penalty, Illegal Block (TEAM) to the NMSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 2INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:4776% → 75%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.5%
Diego Pavia run for 5 yds to the NMSU 30Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
75.4%
Massachusetts Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NMSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
75.3%
Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the NMSU 37Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-8
75.2%
Diego Pavia pass intercepted Michael Oppong return for 8 yds to the NMSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3TD
3 plays · 35 yds · 1:0225% → 27%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
74.7%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 9 yds to the NMSU 26Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+16
74.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 16 yds to the NMSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
73.0%
Anthony Simpson 10 Yd Run (Cameron Carson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:1773% → 71%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.4%
Star Thomas run for 5 yds to the NMSU 30Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
73.0%
Star Thomas run for 5 yds to the NMSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
72.4%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Chris Bellamy for 3 yds to the NMSU 38Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
72.3%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Jordan Smith for 3 yds to the NMSU 41Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
71.8%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Trent HudsonSimilar
Q1 6:48
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
71.3%
Zach Haynes punt for 54 yds, downed at the MASS 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 1:2929% → 30%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
71.1%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MASS 7Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+23
70.9%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 8 yds to the MASS 15 for a 1ST down New Mexico State Penalty, Illegal Contact (15 Yards) to the MASS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
70.2%
Anthony Simpson run for 4 yds to the MASS 34Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
69.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
69.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 6
OWN 34
-5
70.1%
Massachusetts Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MASS 29Similar
Q1 5:01
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
70.5%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMSU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 3:2870% → 67%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
70.3%
Eli Stowers run for 12 yds to the MASS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
70.5%
Jamoni Jones run for 3 yds to the MASS 45Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-10
69.9%
Diego Pavia sacked by Tyler Rudolph for a loss of 10 yards to the NMSU 45Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 17
OWN 45
+7
67.6%
Diego Pavia run for 7 yds to the MASS 48Similar
Q1 1:17
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
67.1%
Zach Haynes punt for 44 yds, downed at the MASS 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 2:0633% → 34%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+11
67.2%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 11 yds to the MASS 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
66.6%
Anthony Simpson run for a loss of 4 yards to the MASS 11Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 14
OWN 11
+4
66.4%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the MASS 15Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
66.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 10
OWN 15
+7
66.5%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 49 yds , Jordan Smith returns for 7 yds to the NMSU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0967% → 65%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
66.7%
Makhilyn Young run for 2 yds to the NMSU 45Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+1
66.3%
Makhilyn Young run for 1 yd to the NMSU 46Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+3
65.3%
Makhilyn Young run for 3 yds to the NMSU 49Similar
Q2 11:45
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
64.8%
Zach Haynes punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MASS 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:0437% → 37%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
63.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 2 yds to the MASS 22Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-12
62.9%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 3 yds to the MASS 25 Massachusetts Penalty, Illegal Contact (-15 Yards) to the MASS 10Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 20
OWN 10
+13
63.3%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 13 yds to the MASS 23Similar
Q2 9:32
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
62.9%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 62 yds, downed at the NMSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 85 yds · 0:4562% → 70%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
61.7%
Eli Stowers run for 5 yds to the NMSU 20Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+80
70.4%
Monte Watkins 80 Yd Run (Ethan Albertson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 4:3031% → 38%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
68.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 22 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
65.6%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 8 yds to the NMSU 45Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+1
64.6%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 1 yd to the NMSU 44Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+14
64.5%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 14 yds to the NMSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+17
63.3%
Anthony Simpson run for 17 yds to the NMSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
62.5%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMSU 14Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 11
OPP 14
0
62.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the NMSU 14Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 11
OPP 14
0
63.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Anthony SimpsonSimilar
Q2 3:55
4TH & 11
OPP 14
+33
62.2%
Cameron Carson 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 12DOWNS
12 plays · 58 yds · 3:4263% → 67%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
63.2%
Monte Watkins run for 15 yds to the NMSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
65.2%
Star Thomas run for 6 yds to the NMSU 46Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+7
65.0%
Eli Stowers run for 7 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
65.1%
Eli Stowers run for 6 yds to the MASS 41Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+16
65.0%
Star Thomas run for 1 yd to the MASS 40 for a 1ST down Massachusetts Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Nahji Logan) to the MASS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-6
66.1%
Diego Pavia sacked by Billy Wooden for a loss of 6 yards to the MASS 31Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 16
OPP 31
+8
60.6%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Chris Bellamy for 8 yds to the MASS 23Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+5
61.0%
Massachusetts Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MASS 18Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+1
60.4%
Diego Pavia run for 1 yd to the MASS 17Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+36
67.1%
Ethan Albertson 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:5768% → 65%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
68.1%
Jamoni Jones run for 3 yds to the NMSU 20Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+6
67.9%
Jamoni Jones run for 6 yds to the NMSU 26Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 1
OWN 26
0
66.6%
Jamoni Jones run for no gain to the NMSU 26Similar
Q3 12:43
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
65.1%
Zach Haynes punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MASS 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 6:0338% → 48%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
62.4%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 3 yds to the MASS 36Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+3
62.0%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the MASS 39Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+22
60.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 22 yds to the NMSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
59.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 3 yds to the NMSU 36Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+3
58.6%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 3 yds to the NMSU 33Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+5
58.3%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 5 yds to the NMSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
56.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 16 yds to the NMSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
55.9%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 3 yds to the NMSU 9Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
-3
55.4%
Taisun Phommachanh run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMSU 12Similar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
57.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Gino CampiottiSimilar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+29
52.5%
Cameron Carson 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 16MISSED FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 5:4255% → 54%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
54.7%
Star Thomas run for 9 yds to the NMSU 34Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
57.8%
Diego Pavia run for 9 yds to the NMSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
58.0%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Trent HudsonSimilar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+18
56.1%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Star Thomas for 18 yds to the MASS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
59.0%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Chris BellamySimilar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
58.6%
Diego Pavia run for 4 yds to the MASS 35Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+12
57.3%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Jamoni Jones for 12 yds to the MASS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
59.6%
Star Thomas run for no gain to the MASS 23Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+7
59.3%
Star Thomas run for 7 yds to the MASS 16Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 3
OPP 16
-1
56.4%
Diego Pavia run for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 17Similar
Q3 0:15
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+34
53.5%
Ethan Albertson 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:3252% → 75%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
48.3%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MASS 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+68
48.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Christian Wells for 68 yds to the NMSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
25.0%
Taisun Phommachanh 11 Yd Run (Cameron Carson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 0:3327% → 56%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
26.6%
Jonathan Brady run for 2 yds to the NMSU 23Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+35
26.1%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Jordan Smith for 20 yds to the MASS 43 for a 1ST down Massachusetts Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the MASS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
55.9%
Trent Hudson 42 Yd pass from Diego Pavia (Ethan Albertson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:3553% → 87%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Anthony SimpsonSimilar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+27
47.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 27 yds to the NMSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
41.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 3 yds to the NMSU 45Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+4
39.3%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 4 yds to the NMSU 41Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+7
39.0%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 7 yds to the NMSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
33.7%
Mark Pope run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMSU 37Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 13
OPP 37
+2
35.6%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 2 yds to the NMSU 35Similar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+4
34.4%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the NMSU 31Similar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+26
36.1%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 26 yds to the NMSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 0
OPP 5
-5
27.2%
Massachusetts Penalty, False Start (Marcellus Anderson) to the NMSU 10Similar
Q4 7:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
13.1%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams 10 Yd Run (Cameron Carson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 20INT TD
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:5016% → 7%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
15.8%
Jamoni Jones run for 6 yds to the NMSU 31Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+17
15.9%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Jamoni Jones for 17 yds to the NMSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-55
6.5%
Isaiah Rutherford 55 Yd Interception Return (Cameron Carson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:556% → 14%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
5.5%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Star Thomas for 2 yds to the NMSU 27Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
5.4%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
5.2%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Jordin ParkerSimilar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 7
OWN 27
+9
4.6%
Zach Haynes run for 9 yds to the NMSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
3.8%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+24
3.5%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Jonathan Brady for 24 yds to the MASS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
3.9%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+40
13.5%
Jordin Parker 40 Yd pass from Diego Pavia (Ethan Albertson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:3591% → 93%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
50
0
8.6%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 10
50
+1
8.5%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the NMSU 49Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+4
7.7%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the NMSU 45Similar
Q4 3:30
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
7.1%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:396% → 5%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
5.6%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Kordell David for 8 yds to the NMSU 28Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
4.7%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Trent HudsonSimilar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+8
4.4%
Diego Pavia run for 8 yds to the NMSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-12
4.6%
Diego Pavia sacked by Zukudo Igwenagu for a loss of 12 yards to the NMSU 24 Diego Pavia fumbled, forced by Zukudo Igwenagu, recovered by MASS Billy Wooden , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24TD
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:3795% → 99%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
5.0%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the NMSU 21Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+21
1.2%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 21 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+15
1.3%
New Mexico State Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 25END OF GAME
12 plays · 75 yds · 1:311% → 5%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.9%
Diego Pavia run for 8 yds to the NMSU 33Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+24
0.9%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Jonathan Brady for 24 yds to the MASS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
1.0%
Diego Pavia run for 4 yds to the MASS 39Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+14
1.1%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Tim Gans for 14 yds to the MASS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
1.1%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Tim Gans for 12 yds to the MASS 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
1.2%
Diego Pavia run for 6 yds to the MASS 7Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 4
OPP 7
0
1.0%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+4
1.0%
Massachusetts Penalty, Face Mask (4 yards) (4 Yards) to the MASS 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
1.2%
Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the MASS 1Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.0%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Trent Hudson for 1 yd for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:27
Trent Hudson 42 Yd pass from Diego Pavia (Ethan Albertson Kick)
+29.8
TD · Q4 14:28
Taisun Phommachanh 11 Yd Run (Cameron Carson Kick)
-23.7
TD · Q4 7:47
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams 10 Yd Run (Cameron Carson Kick)
-14.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com