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WAKE

Wake Forest 7 at Notre Dame 45

ND
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+1ND 90.3%Spencer Shrader 37 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 17 · Q2 0:05
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:05 · Spencer Shrader 37 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 77Pregame prior+27.2Home team on offense+10.5Score differential+1.3Garbage-time factor+3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.8Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:41: Tate Carney run for 9 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK) — WAKE win probability +4.0 pts (now 13%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:06: Sam Hartman pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 35 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK) — ND win probability +1.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:05: Spencer Shrader 37 yd FG GOOD — ND win probability +1.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:09: Sam Hartman pass complete to Eli Raridon for 19 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK) — ND win probability +5.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:22: Audric Estime run for 2 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK) — ND win probability +2.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 14:08ND 4th & 7 at ND 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:21WAKE 4th & 11 at ND 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    7.6%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:38ND 4th & 6 at WAKE 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:35WAKE 4th & 14 at WAKE 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:34ND 4th & 3 at WAKE 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    87.4%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:26WAKE 4th & 3 at ND 12, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.0%−0.4
    86% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−3.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:05ND 4th & 14 at WAKE 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    83.6%−3.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:01ND 4th & 14 at ND 43, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−1.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:29WAKE 4th & 1 at ND 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%−2.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:27WAKE 4th & 13 at ND 36, down 24
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:12WAKE 4th & 2 at WAKE 33, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:45WAKE 4th & 6 at ND 27, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WAKE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:54ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:41WAKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:06ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:09ND Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:22ND Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:24ND Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:56ND Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5294% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.7%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.7%
Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the ND 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
93.7%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:08
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
93.5%
Bryce McFerson punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:477% → 7%
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
93.5%
Justice Ellison run for no gain to the WAKE 45Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
93.5%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+15
93.5%
KERN, Michael pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BANKS, Jahmal thrown to the UND30; QB hurried by CROSS III, Howard. PENALTY UND Pass Interference on MORRISON, Benjamin enforced 15 yards to the UND40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
93.5%
Justice Ellison run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 41Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
93.5%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 11
OPP 41
0
93.5%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:21
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
93.1%
Ivan Mora punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3MISSED FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:4393% → 92%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
93.1%
Audric Estime run for a loss of 3 yards to the ND 17Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+9
93.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Eli Raridon for 9 yds to the ND 26Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+15
93.1%
HARTMAN, Sam pass deep to the right incomplete intended for FAISON, Jordan thrown to the WFU39. PENALTY WFU Pass Interference on GLASKER, Jamare enforced 15 yards to the UND41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
93.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 1
50
+3
93.2%
Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the WAKE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
93.2%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
93.2%
Jeremiyah Love run for 5 yds to the WAKE 42Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+9
93.2%
Audric Estime run for 9 yds to the WAKE 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
93.2%
Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the WAKE 29Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
93.2%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
93.2%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:38
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+47
91.9%
Spencer Shrader 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:038% → 9%
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
91.7%
Justice Ellison run for no gain to the WAKE 29Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
91.8%
Michael Kern run for 5 yds to the WAKE 34Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 5
OWN 34
-9
91.3%
Michael Kern sacked by Javontae Jean-Baptiste and Cameron Hite for a loss of 9 yards to the WAKE 25Similar
Q1 5:35
4TH & 14
OWN 25
0
91.4%
Ivan Mora punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 4:4191% → 92%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
91.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jordan Faison for 6 yds to the ND 35Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+5
91.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jordan Faison for 5 yds to the ND 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
91.5%
Audric Estime run for 7 yds to the ND 47Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+2
91.6%
Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the ND 49Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+21
91.5%
Audric Estime run for 21 yds to the WAKE 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
91.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Eli Raridon for 11 yds to the WAKE 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
91.8%
Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the WAKE 15Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+3
91.8%
Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the WAKE 12Similar
Q1 0:54
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+12
92.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Devyn Ford for 12 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 3:199% → 13%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
91.3%
Michael Kern pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 1 yd to the WAKE 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+11
91.4%
Michael Kern pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 11 yds to the WAKE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
91.1%
Jahmal Banks pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 17 yds to the ND 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
90.9%
Michael Kern pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 4 yds to the ND 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+10
90.9%
Tate Carney run for 10 yds to the ND 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
90.6%
Ke'Shawn Williams run for 20 yds to the ND 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
86.6%
Tate Carney run for 9 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 4:2889% → 91%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
88.5%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+10
88.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Holden Staes for 10 yds to the ND 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
89.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Chris Tyree for no gain to the ND 44Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
88.8%
Audric Estime run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 4
50
+1
89.0%
Gi'Bran Payne run for 1 yd to the WAKE 49Similar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 3
OPP 49
+22
88.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 22 yds to the WAKE 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
89.5%
Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the WAKE 25Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
89.5%
HARTMAN, Sam pass deep to the left incomplete intended for TYREE, Chris broken up by GLASKER, Jamare at the WFU1. PENALTY UND Illegal Shift declined UND Holding on ALT, Joe enforced 10 yards from the WFU25 to the WFU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 18
OPP 35
+35
90.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 35 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8MISSED FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 5:4010% → 12%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.2%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the WAKE 27Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
90.1%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WAKE 31Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+14
90.2%
Michael Kern run for 14 yds to the WAKE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
89.6%
Justice Ellison run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 44Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+8
89.8%
Michael Kern pass complete to Horatio Fields for 8 yds to the ND 48Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+14
89.4%
Justice Ellison run for 14 yds to the ND 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
88.8%
Michael Kern pass complete to Horatio Fields for 15 yds to the ND 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
88.7%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the ND 18Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
88.7%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+6
89.3%
Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the ND 12Similar
Q2 1:26
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+30
87.9%
Matthew Dennis 30 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 1:3090% → 90%
Q2 1:35
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+9
89.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 9 yds to the ND 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
90.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 16 yds to the WAKE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
88.9%
Jadarian Price run for 6 yds to the ND 36Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
89.5%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
89.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 9 yds to the WAKE 30Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+15
89.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 15 yds to the WAKE 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
90.4%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-4
90.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Holden Staes for a loss of 4 yards to the WAKE 19Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 14
OPP 19
0
89.4%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 14
OPP 19
+37
90.3%
Spencer Shrader 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10FUMBLE
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:4410% → 10%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.8%
Michael Kern run for 1 yd to the WAKE 26Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-7
89.7%
Michael Kern sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the WAKE 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11TD
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
94.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Eli Raridon for 19 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 2:0795% → 95%
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
94.7%
Audric Estime run for 5 yds to the WAKE 48Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-6
94.7%
Audric Estime run for a loss of 6 yards to the ND 46Similar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 11
OWN 46
-3
94.4%
Gi'Bran Payne run for a loss of 3 yards to the ND 43Similar
Q3 12:01
4TH & 14
OWN 43
0
94.5%
Bryce McFerson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 4:325% → 5%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
94.7%
Justice Ellison run for no gain to the WAKE 20Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
94.8%
Michael Kern pass complete to Taylor Morin for 5 yds to the WAKE 25Similar
Q3 12:01
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+5
94.8%
Michael Kern pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 5 yds to the WAKE 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
94.5%
Justice Ellison run for 9 yds to the WAKE 39Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+6
94.2%
Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the WAKE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
94.3%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
94.5%
Michael Kern run for 9 yds to the ND 46Similar
Q3 12:01
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
94.0%
Tate Carney run for no gain to the ND 46Similar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
95.0%
Justice Ellison run for no gain to the ND 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 2:0796% → 98%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
96.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jordan Faison for 11 yds to the WAKE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
96.3%
Jeremiyah Love run for 5 yds to the WAKE 38Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+15
96.3%
Wake Forest Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Nick Andersen) to the WAKE 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+18
96.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 18 yds to the WAKE 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.4%
Audric Estime run for 2 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 4:552% → 1%
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
98.1%
Justice Ellison run for 17 yds to the WAKE 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
98.0%
Michael Kern pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 11 yds to the ND 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
98.0%
Michael Kern run for no gain to the ND 47Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-5
98.0%
Wake Forest Penalty, Delay Of Game (Caelen Carson) to the WAKE 48Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+9
98.1%
Michael Kern pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 9 yds to the ND 43Similar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+10
98.1%
Michael Kern pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 10 yds to the ND 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
97.8%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
97.9%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 10
OPP 33
-3
98.0%
Tate Carney run for a loss of 3 yards to the ND 36Similar
Q3 0:27
4TH & 13
OPP 36
0
98.9%
Ivan Mora punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:3699% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 5 yds to the ND 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+15
98.9%
Audric Estime run for 15 yds to the ND 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.9%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+12
98.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 12 yds to the WAKE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
99.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 48 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:030% → 0%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Tate Carney run for 4 yds to the WAKE 29Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
99.9%
Tate Carney run for 2 yds to the WAKE 31Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
99.9%
Michael Kern pass complete to Tate Carney for 2 yds to the WAKE 33Similar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Ivan Mora punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
99.9%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 11 yds fumbled, recovered by WAKE Evan Slocum [SG] ANGELI, Steve pass to the right complete for 11 yards to FLORES JR., Rico caught at the UND26, FLORES JR., Rico fumbled at UND31 forced by TONGUE, Rushaun, recovered by WFU SLOCUM, Evan at the UND31, returned 0 yards to the UND31, End of Play, clock 11:03.Similar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
99.9%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 11 yds fumbled, recovered by WAKE Evan Slocum, returned 0 yards to the UND31, End of Play, clock 11:03.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-2
99.9%
Michael Kern sacked by Jason Onye and Aidan Keanaaina for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 33Similar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+6
99.9%
Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the ND 27Similar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 6
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 5:49100% → 100%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
99.9%
Wake Forest Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Nick Andersen) to the ND 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
99.9%
Audric Estime run for 16 yds to the WAKE 41 Notre Dame Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cooper Flanagan) to the ND 35Similar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 18
OWN 35
+19
99.9%
Audric Estime run for 19 yds to the WAKE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.9%
Audric Estime run for 6 yds to the WAKE 40Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+8
99.9%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 8 yds to the WAKE 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
99.9%
Audric Estime run for 6 yds to the WAKE 26Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+2
99.9%
Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the WAKE 24Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+4
99.9%
Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the WAKE 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
99.9%
Jadarian Price run for 3 yds to the WAKE 17Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+17
99.9%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Jordan Faison for 17 yds for a TD (Marcello Diomede KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · 18 yds · 3:550% → 0%
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
David Egbe run for 3 yds to the WAKE 28Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
100.0%
David Egbe run for 6 yds to the WAKE 34Similar
Q4 3:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
David Egbe run for 3 yds to the WAKE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
100.0%
David Egbe run for 3 yds to the WAKE 40Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+1
100.0%
David Egbe run for 1 yd to the WAKE 41Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+2
100.0%
David Egbe run for 2 yds to the WAKE 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:09
Sam Hartman pass complete to Eli Raridon for 19 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)
+5
TD · Q2 11:41
Tate Carney run for 9 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)
-4
TD · Q3 5:22
Audric Estime run for 2 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com