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Notre Dame 23 at Clemson 31

CLEM
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:25 · Bryce McFerson punt for 49 yds , Hamp Greene returns for 5 yds to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorBlowout margin
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 115Home team on offense+12.1Garbage-time factor+1.9Score differential+3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1Pregame prior−1.1Blowout margin+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:11: Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 9 yds for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK) — CLEM win probability +8.4 pts (now 65%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:33: Sam Hartman pass intercepted for a TD Jeremiah Trotter Jr. return for 28 yds for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK) — CLEM win probability +11.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:57: Audric Estime run for 2 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK) — ND win probability +15.4 pts (now 37%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:08: Phil Mafah run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK) — CLEM win probability +10.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:05: Sam Hartman run for 26 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK) — ND win probability +12.3 pts (now 32%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 9ND made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 10:36ND 4th & 4 at CLEM 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.9%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    54.4%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:16CLEM 4th & 5 at CLEM 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:04ND 4th & 12 at ND 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:58ND 4th & 8 at ND 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:34CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 30, up 4
    Close callPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:08CLEM 4th & 4 at ND 4, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.0%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    46.2%−3.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:34ND 4th & 3 at CLEM 12, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.7%−0.4
    86% to make
    Punt
    42.5%−4.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:32ND 4th & 5 at CLEM 5, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    15.3%−7.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:07CLEM 4th & 4 at ND 41, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    77.3%−2.7
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:25ND 4th & 7 at ND 6, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−2.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:48CLEM 4th & 24 at CLEM 36, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−6.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:09ND 4th & 7 at ND 30, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:03CLEM 4th & 19 at midfield, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−3.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:34ND 4th & 14 at ND 10, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−2.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:29CLEM 4th & 8 at ND 47, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:09ND 4th & 7 at ND 10, down 8
    Close callPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:16CLEM 4th & 7 at ND 44, up 8
    Close callPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%−0.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:58ND 4th & 10 at ND 42, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.4%−1.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:05CLEM 4th & 12 at ND 44, up 8
    Close callWent for it · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.5%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    94.2%
    27% to make
    Punt
    93.8%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ND made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:57CLEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:11CLEM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:33CLEM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:57ND Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:08CLEM Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:05ND Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 4:1554% → 53%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
46.0%
Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the ND 26Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+23
46.2%
Audric Estime run for 23 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
46.2%
Notre Dame Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ND 44Similar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+25
46.4%
Audric Estime run for 25 yds to the CLEM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
46.2%
Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the CLEM 29Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 8
OPP 29
-2
46.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Chris Tyree for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 31Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+6
46.5%
Gi'Bran Payne run for 6 yds to the CLEM 25Similar
Q1 10:36
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+43
46.6%
Spencer Shrader 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:0847% → 47%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
46.6%
Phil Mafah run for 10 yds to the CLEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
46.8%
Phil Mafah run for 5 yds to the CLEM 40Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
47.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Troy StellatoSimilar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
47.0%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Troy StellatoSimilar
Q1 9:16
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
46.6%
Aidan Swanson punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:0053% → 52%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
47.0%
Audric Estime run for 8 yds to the ND 22Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 2
OWN 22
-2
46.7%
Audric Estime run for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 20Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 4
OWN 20
-8
47.1%
Sam Hartman sacked by Jeremiah Trotter Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the ND 12Similar
Q1 7:04
4TH & 12
OWN 12
+15
47.6%
Bryce McFerson punt for 44 yds , Hamp Greene returns for 15 yds to the ND 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4TD
1 play · 41 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
49.8%
Phil Mafah run for 41 yds for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:5351% → 50%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.2%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaden GreathouseSimilar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.2%
Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the ND 27Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
49.7%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaden GreathouseSimilar
Q1 5:58
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+7
50.1%
Bryce McFerson punt for 56 yds , Hamp Greene returns for 7 yds to the CLEM 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1349% → 49%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
49.4%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the CLEM 26Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+4
49.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 4 yds to the CLEM 30Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
49.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Adam RandallSimilar
Q1 4:34
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
49.2%
Aidan Swanson punt for 48 yds , Chris Tyree returns for no gain to the ND 22 Chris Tyree fumbled, recovered by CLEM Philip Florenzo at ND 22.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7FG
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:1751% → 54%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
51.2%
Phil Mafah run for 7 yds to the ND 15Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 3
OPP 15
0
51.4%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+6
51.0%
Phil Mafah run for 6 yds to the ND 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
51.7%
Phil Mafah run for 5 yds to the ND 4Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
52.4%
Phil Mafah run for no gain to the ND 4Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
51.9%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Jake BriningstoolSimilar
Q1 2:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
53.7%
Jonathan Weitz 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 8FG
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:2547% → 50%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
53.0%
Audric Estime run for 6 yds to the ND 31Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+38
52.8%
Sam Hartman run for 38 yds to the CLEM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
51.3%
Audric Estime run for 5 yds to the CLEM 26Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+7
51.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Holden Staes for 7 yds to the CLEM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
51.4%
Audric Estime run for no gain to the CLEM 19Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+7
51.8%
Audric Estime run for 7 yds to the CLEM 12Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 3
OPP 12
0
52.6%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Gi'Bran PayneSimilar
Q2 13:34
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+30
50.2%
Spencer Shrader 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1152% → 65%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
52.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 2 yds to the CLEM 27Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
52.5%
Domonique Thomas run for 4 yds to the CLEM 31Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
52.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Domonique Thomas for 4 yds to the CLEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
53.1%
Domonique Thomas run for 10 yds to the CLEM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
54.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Sage Ennis for 18 yds to the ND 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+17
55.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Beaux Collins for 17 yds to the ND 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
55.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Beaux Collins for 9 yds to the ND 11Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+2
56.1%
Domonique Thomas run for 2 yds to the ND 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
64.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 9 yds for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 10INT TD
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:2939% → 28%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
61.0%
Audric Estime run for 9 yds to the ND 34 Notre Dame Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaden Greathouse) to the ND 24Similar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 11
OWN 24
-28
72.1%
Sam Hartman pass intercepted for a TD Jeremiah Trotter Jr. return for 28 yds for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 7:0129% → 29%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
71.4%
Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the ND 37Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+10
71.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 10 yds to the ND 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
71.2%
Audric Estime run for no gain to the ND 47Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
71.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Audric Estime for 2 yds to the ND 49Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+21
72.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Chris Tyree for 21 yds to the CLEM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
70.8%
Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the CLEM 27Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+2
70.6%
Sam Hartman run for 2 yds to the CLEM 25Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+22
73.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Audric Estime for 22 yds to the CLEM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
72.4%
Audric Estime run for no gain to the CLEM 3Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
72.4%
Audric Estime run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 5Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
74.5%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaden GreathouseSimilar
Q2 1:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
70.7%
Spencer Shrader 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:0978% → 77%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
77.7%
Phil Mafah run for 5 yds to the CLEM 30Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
77.9%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the CLEM 33Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
77.8%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the CLEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
79.1%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Jake BriningstoolSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-2
77.4%
Cade Klubnik run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5079% → 78%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
78.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
78.5%
Phil Mafah run for 6 yds to the CLEM 26Similar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-33
78.4%
Cade Klubnik pass intercepted Xavier Watts return for 33 yds to the CLEM 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q3 13:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
63.0%
Audric Estime run for 2 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:4270% → 85%
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.7%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the CLEM 27Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
70.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 11 yds to the CLEM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
71.8%
Phil Mafah run for 14 yds to the ND 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
72.7%
Phil Mafah run for 16 yds to the ND 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
73.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 14 yds to the ND 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
74.0%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the ND 17Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
74.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Adam RandallSimilar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+11
73.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Beaux Collins for 11 yds to the ND 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 0
OPP 6
+4
76.0%
Notre Dame Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (4 Yards) to the ND 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
75.2%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the ND 1Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
75.4%
Phil Mafah run for no gain to the ND 1Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.4%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:4018% → 32%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+35
82.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 35 yds to the CLEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
80.7%
Jeremiyah Love run for 6 yds to the CLEM 33Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+7
80.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Chris Tyree for 7 yds to the CLEM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
68.2%
Sam Hartman run for 26 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:5177% → 80%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
76.6%
Notre Dame Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Cam Hart) to the CLEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
78.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 7 yds to the CLEM 47Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+6
79.4%
Phil Mafah run for 6 yds to the ND 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
81.0%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Sage EnnisSimilar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
81.0%
Phil Mafah run for no gain to the ND 47Similar
Q3 3:44
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+6
80.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 6 yds to the ND 41Similar
Q3 3:07
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
79.7%
Cade Klubnik punt for 37 yds, downed at the ND 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3021% → 19%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
78.8%
Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the ND 6Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 8
OWN 6
0
79.2%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Chris TyreeSimilar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 8
OWN 6
0
80.2%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Chris TyreeSimilar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 7
OWN 6
+5
81.0%
Bryce McFerson punt for 49 yds , Hamp Greene returns for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 1:0583% → 80%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
50
-3
83.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for a loss of 3 yards to the CLEM 47Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 13
OWN 47
0
82.6%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Troy StellatoSimilar
Q3 1:03
3RD & 13
OWN 47
-11
81.8%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Javontae Jean-Baptiste for a loss of 11 yards to the CLEM 36Similar
Q3 0:48
4TH & 24
OWN 36
0
80.1%
Aidan Swanson punt for 57 yds , Chris Tyree returns for no gain to the ND 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:2919% → 17%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+20
80.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jordan Faison for 20 yds to the ND 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
80.0%
Jadarian Price run for 3 yds to the ND 30Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
79.8%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Holden StaesSimilar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
81.3%
Sam Hartman run for no gain to the ND 30Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 7
OWN 30
+5
82.7%
Bryce McFerson punt for 41 yds , Hamp Greene returns for 5 yds to the CLEM 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:5584% → 84%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
83.9%
Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the CLEM 38Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+21
85.6%
Phil Mafah run for 21 yds to the ND 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
86.5%
Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the ND 37Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+2
86.7%
Cade Klubnik run for 2 yds to the ND 35Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 4
OPP 35
-15
86.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 15 yards to the 50 yard line TEAM fumbled, recovered by CLEMSimilar
Q4 11:03
4TH & 19
50
0
84.1%
Aidan Swanson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Chris Tyree at the ND 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:1817% → 13%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
83.0%
Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the ND 15Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
83.7%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Holden StaesSimilar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 9
OWN 15
-5
86.5%
Sam Hartman sacked by Jeremiah Trotter Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the ND 10Similar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 14
OWN 10
+16
87.2%
Bryce McFerson punt for 55 yds , Hamp Greene returns for 16 yds to the ND 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4288% → 89%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
88.4%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the ND 48Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-4
88.9%
Phil Mafah run for a loss of 4 yards to the CLEM 48 Phil Mafah fumbled, recovered by CLEM Phil Mafah Mafah, Phil rush for loss of 4 yards to the CLEMSON48, fumble by Mafah, Phil recovered by CLEMSON Mafah, Phil at CLEMSON48.Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+5
88.5%
Phil Mafah run for 5 yds to the ND 47Similar
Q4 7:29
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
88.5%
Aidan Swanson punt for 40 yds, downed at the ND 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1013% → 11%
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
87.0%
Jordan Faison run for 6 yds to the ND 13Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 4
OWN 13
-6
87.2%
Notre Dame Penalty, Offensive Holding (-6 Yards) to the ND 7Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 7
0
87.6%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+3
88.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Chris Tyree for 3 yds to the ND 10Similar
Q4 6:09
4TH & 7
OWN 10
+9
89.5%
Bryce McFerson punt for 56 yds , Hamp Greene returns for 9 yds to the CLEM 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:4491% → 93%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
91.4%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the CLEM 45Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+8
93.5%
Phil Mafah run for 8 yds to the ND 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
93.8%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the ND 46Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+2
93.8%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the ND 44Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
94.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Phil MafahSimilar
Q4 3:16
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
93.4%
Aidan Swanson punt for 38 yds, downed at the ND 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 26INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:5711% → 9%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
89.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Audric Estime for 4 yds to the ND 10Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 6
OWN 10
0
89.7%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+12
91.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jordan Faison for 12 yds to the ND 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
90.9%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jordan FaisonSimilar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-15
91.2%
Sam Hartman pass intercepted Kylon Griffin return for 15 yds to the ND 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 27FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:1196% → 97%
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
95.8%
Phil Mafah run for 8 yds to the ND 24Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+2
97.0%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the ND 22 Phil Mafah fumbled, forced by Gabriel Rubio, recovered by ND Rylie Mills at ND 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 28DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:348% → 7%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
92.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Audric Estime for 5 yds to the ND 27Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+15
91.4%
Sam Hartman run for 15 yds to the ND 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
90.6%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Tobias MerriweatherSimilar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
91.1%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Tobias MerriweatherSimilar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
92.0%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Holden StaesSimilar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
93.2%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Audric EstimeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 29DOWNS
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:4997% → 97%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
97.1%
Phil Mafah run for a loss of 3 yards to the ND 45Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+3
97.3%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the ND 42Similar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 10
OPP 42
-2
97.3%
Phil Mafah run for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 44Similar
Q4 0:05
4TH & 12
OPP 44
0
96.9%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:57
Audric Estime run for 2 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)
-15.4
TD · Q3 6:05
Sam Hartman run for 26 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)
-12.3
TD · Q2 8:33
Sam Hartman pass intercepted for a TD Jeremiah Trotter Jr. return for 28 yds for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK)
+11
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com