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PITT

Pittsburgh 7 at Notre Dame 58

ND
2023 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadPITT aheadconfidence bandkey playND scorePITT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:23 · Sam Hartman pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Pregame prior+33.9Home team on offense+3.9Score differential+0.7Blowout margin−0.4Garbage-time factor+1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:18: Chris Tyree 82 Yd Punt Return (Spencer Shrader Kick) — ND win probability +0.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:07: Audric Estime run for 15 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK) — ND win probability +2.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Spencer Shrader 23 yd FG GOOD — ND win probability +1.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:07: Jadarian Price run for 10 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK) — ND win probability +3.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:12: Jaden Mickey 43 Yd Interception Return (Spencer Shrader Kick) — ND win probability +2.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 1 of 2PITT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 7:18PITT 4th & 3 at PITT 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:05PITT 4th & 4 at PITT 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:44PITT 4th & 8 at PITT 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:23ND 4th & 4 at PITT 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    88.1%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    88.0%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:49PITT 4th & 12 at ND 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    7.4%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:14ND 4th & 3 at PITT 46, up 14
    Close callPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    90.3%−0.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:40PITT 4th & 9 at PITT 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:28PITT 4th & 12 at PITT 13, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:53PITT 4th & 7 at ND 38, down 44
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:21PITT 4th & 4 at PITT 42, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 7 of 7PITT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:18ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:07ND Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:07ND Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:12ND Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:21ND Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:47ND Touchdown, up 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:18PITT Touchdown, down 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:41ND Touchdown, up 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1INT
9 plays · 43 yds · 5:2392% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Audric Estime for 7 yds to the ND 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
92.2%
Audric Estime run for no gain to the ND 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
92.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Audric Estime for 9 yds to the ND 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
92.2%
Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the ND 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+9
92.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Chris Tyree for 9 yds to the PITT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
92.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 7 yds to the PITT 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+7
92.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 7 yds to the PITT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
92.2%
Chris Tyree run for 3 yds to the PITT 32Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
91.0%
Sam Hartman pass intercepted by Phillip O'Brien Jr., at the PITT9, return for 19 yards to the PITT 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2PUNT TD
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:199% → 9%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-9
90.7%
Christian Veilleux sacked by Marist Liufau for a loss of 9 yards to the PITT 19Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 19
OWN 19
+6
90.8%
C'Bo Flemister run for 6 yds to the PITT 25Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 13
OWN 25
+10
90.8%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 10 yds to the PITT 35Similar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+82
91.1%
Chris Tyree 82 Yd Punt Return (Spencer Shrader Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:139% → 9%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.0%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.1%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 3 yds to the PITT 28Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
91.1%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 3 yds to the PITT 31Similar
Q1 6:05
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
91.0%
Caleb Junko punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 4INT
6 plays · 45 yds · 3:2391% → 91%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-7
91.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for a loss of 7 yards to the ND 32Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 17
OWN 32
+47
90.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Chris Tyree for 47 yds to the PITT 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
91.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Holden Staes for 9 yds to the PITT 12Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+2
91.2%
Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the PITT 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-6
91.2%
Sam Hartman sacked by Samuel Okunlola for a loss of 6 yards to the PITT 16Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
0
90.7%
Sam Hartman pass intercepted by Brandon George, at the PITT 13, returned for 3 yards to the PITT 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:5810% → 10%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
90.2%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 5 yds to the PITT 21Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+12
90.2%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 12 yds to the PITT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
90.1%
Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PITT 28Similar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 15
OWN 28
0
90.2%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 15
OWN 28
0
90.3%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 15
OWN 28
+7
90.4%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 7 yds to the PITT 35Similar
Q1 0:44
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
90.0%
Caleb Junko punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 6DOWNS
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:2190% → 90%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
90.0%
Audric Estime run for 8 yds to the ND 42Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+16
90.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 16 yds to the PITT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
90.3%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+4
90.0%
Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the PITT 38Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+2
89.9%
Gi'Bran Payne run for 2 yds to the PITT 36Similar
Q2 13:23
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
89.6%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 7INT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4111% → 11%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
89.2%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 7 yds to the PITT 43Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
88.9%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:23
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+8
89.0%
Kenny Johnson run for 8 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-15
88.8%
Pittsburgh Penalty, Personal Foul (Bub Means) to the PITT 40Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 21
OWN 40
0
89.1%
Christian Veilleux pass intercepted by Xavier Watts, at the UND 29, returned for 8 yards to the UND37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 8TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 1:3590% → 93%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+33
89.5%
Audric Estime run for 33 yds to the PITT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
89.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 12 yds to the PITT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
89.9%
Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the PITT 15Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+15
92.6%
Audric Estime run for 15 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 9MISSED FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:188% → 8%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
91.8%
Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (Bub Means) to the PITT 20Similar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+16
91.8%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Bub Means for 16 yds to the PITT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
91.6%
Che Nwabuko run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 35Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+14
91.8%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 14 yds to the PITT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
91.4%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Bub Means for 13 yds to the ND 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
91.2%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 13 yds to the ND 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
90.8%
C'Bo Flemister run for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 27Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
91.0%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 12
OPP 27
0
91.5%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:49
4TH & 12
OPP 27
+45
91.7%
Ben Sauls 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 3:3592% → 92%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
91.7%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-2
91.7%
Jadarian Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 25Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 12
OWN 25
+22
91.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 22 yds to the ND 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
92.1%
Audric Estime run for 5 yds to the PITT 48Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-1
92.2%
Audric Estime run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 49Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+3
91.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 3 yds to the PITT 46Similar
Q2 2:14
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
91.9%
Bryce McFerson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by M.J. Devonshire at the PITT 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 11INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:438% → 8%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
91.9%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 4 yds to the PITT 15Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 6
OWN 15
0
92.0%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 6
OWN 15
-15
92.1%
Christian Veilleux pass intercepted by Xavier Watts, at the PITT38, returned for 23 yards to the PITT15, for a 1ST down Notre Dame Penalty, Personal Foul (JD Bertrand) to the ND 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 12FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:3193% → 94%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+21
92.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 21 yds to the PITT 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
93.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Chris Tyree for 6 yds to the PITT 3Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
93.1%
Audric Estime run for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 5Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
92.6%
HARTMAN, Sam pass short to the right complete for 5 yards to STAES, Holden caught at the PIT1 and advanced to the PIT0, TOUCHDOWN UND, score nullified by penalty (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY UND Pass Interference on EVANS, Mitchell enforced 15 yards to the PIT20 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
+20
93.1%
HARTMAN, Sam pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for GREATHOUSE, Jaden thrown to the PIT0. PENALTY PIT Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Marquis enforced at the spot of the foul for 20 yards to the PIT0 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
94.3%
Spencer Shrader 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:157% → 6%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
93.3%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Kenny Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 26Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+4
93.6%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 4 yds to the PITT 30Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+15
93.6%
VEILLEUX, Christian pass to the right incomplete intended for REYNOLDS, Daejon thrown to the PIT36. PENALTY UND Face mask on HARPER, Thomas enforced 15 yards from the PIT30 to the PIT45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
93.1%
C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd to the PITT 46Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
93.2%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
93.4%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:40
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
94.1%
Caleb Junko punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:3394% → 98%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+60
93.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 60 yds to the PITT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
94.2%
Audric Estime run for 10 yds to the PITT 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
97.5%
Jadarian Price run for 10 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 15INT TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:553% → 1%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
97.4%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 6 yds to the PITT 41Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
97.4%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-43
99.5%
Jaden Mickey 43 Yd Interception Return (Spencer Shrader Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:471% → 1%
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.5%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 1 yd to the PITT 21Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
99.5%
Christian Veilleux pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17FUMBLE RETURN TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:59100% → 100%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
50
0
99.6%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 10
50
+3
99.6%
Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the PITT 47Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
99.6%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:21
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
99.6%
Ramon Henderson 0 Yd Fumble Return (Spencer Shrader PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:480% → 0%
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.7%
C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the PITT 17Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 8
OWN 17
-4
99.7%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to C'Bo Flemister for a loss of 4 yards to the PITT 13Similar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 12
OWN 13
0
99.8%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 12
OWN 13
0
99.8%
Caleb Junko punt for 52 ydsSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
99.7%
Notre Dame Penalty, False Start (Mitchell Evans) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 19TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 4:07100% → 100%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 15
50
+8
99.7%
Audric Estime run for 8 yds to the PITT 42Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-10
99.7%
ESTIME, Audric rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the PIT38 (DESHIELDS, Solomon). PENALTY UND Holding on CORRELL, Zeke enforced 10 yards from the PIT42 to the UND48. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 17
OWN 48
+13
99.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 13 yds to the PITT 39Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+2
99.7%
Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the PITT 37Similar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 2
OPP 37
-15
99.7%
Notre Dame Penalty, Personal Foul (Blake Fisher) to the PITT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+42
99.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 42 yds to the PITT 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.7%
Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the PITT 3Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
Audric Estime run for 3 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:280% → 0%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
99.9%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Bub Means for 34 yds to the ND 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Rodney Hammond Jr. run for no gain to the ND 41Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-4
99.8%
Christian Veilleux sacked by Jordan Botelho for a loss of 4 yards to the ND 45Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+12
99.9%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 12 yds to the ND 33Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 33
-5
99.8%
Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (Terrence Enos Jr.) to the ND 38Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Caleb Junko punt for 22 yds, fair catch by Jordan Faison at the ND 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 21TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 5:06100% → 100%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+33
99.8%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 33 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
99.9%
Audric Estime run for 10 yds to the PITT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
99.9%
Audric Estime run for 5 yds to the PITT 36Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+1
99.9%
Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the PITT 35Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+6
99.8%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Gi'Bran Payne for 6 yds to the PITT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+23
99.9%
Jadarian Price run for 23 yds to the PITT 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.8%
Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the PITT 5Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Audric Estime run for 5 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 22TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
C'Bo Flemister run for no gain to the PITT 25Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+50
100.0%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Karter Johnson for 50 yds to the ND 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.9%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 25 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 23TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 4:30100% → 100%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
99.9%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Jordan Faison for 14 yds to the PITT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the PITT 46Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Steve Angeli pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:11
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+12
99.9%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Braylon James for 12 yds to the PITT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
99.9%
Jeremiyah Love run for 4 yds to the PITT 30Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+8
99.9%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 8 yds to the PITT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
99.9%
Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the PITT 19Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+19
100.0%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Cooper Flanagan for 19 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:200% → 0%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
100.0%
C'Bo Flemister run for 11 yds to the PITT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
100.0%
C'Bo Flemister run for 4 yds to the PITT 40Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+2
100.0%
C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the PITT 42Similar
Q4 3:41
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Caleb Junko punt for 53 yds, downed at the ND 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 1:21100% → 100%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
100.0%
[NH] Kneel down by MINCHEY, Kenny at UND4 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 4
0
100.0%
[NH] Kneel down by MINCHEY, Kenny at UND2 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:07
Jadarian Price run for 10 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)
+3.3
TD · Q2 10:07
Audric Estime run for 15 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)
+2.7
TD · Q3 10:12
Jaden Mickey 43 Yd Interception Return (Spencer Shrader Kick)
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com