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WSU

Washington State 21 at Washington 24

WASH
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:52 · Jack McCallister punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 162Pregame prior+3.5Home team on offense+0.3Score differential−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Garbage-time factor−1.5Blowout margin−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:08: Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 25 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +12.7 pts (now 29%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:00: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 21 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +17.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:58: Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 8 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +34.7 pts (now 55%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:55: Washington State Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Kyle Thornton) to the WSU 27 for a 1ST down — WASH win probability +10.4 pts (now 65%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Grady Gross 42 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +36.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 7 of 8WSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:46WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:00WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:53WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:38WASH 4th & 4 at WASH 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:18WSU 4th & 1 at WASH 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    20.7%−1.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    21.2%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:06WASH 4th & 6 at WSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    77.2%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:32WSU 4th & 7 at WASH 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    17.4%−0.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:05WASH 4th & 11 at WASH 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−1.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:28WSU 4th & 29 at WSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−4.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:53WASH 4th & 7 at WASH 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−1.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:49WSU 4th & 10 at WASH 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    32.6%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:53WASH 4th & 7 at WASH 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:14WSU 4th & 3 at WASH 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%−3.7
    27% to make
    Punt
    14.2%−2.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:52WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−2.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:59WSU 4th & 11 at WSU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−3.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:07WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    50.5%−7.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 3:54WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:15WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:37WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:08WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:00WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:58WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.0%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:1414% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 3 yds to the WSU 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
86.0%
PENALTY WSU False Start (Williams,Kyle) 5 yards from WSU28 to WSU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
86.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 5 yds to the WSU 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+1
86.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 1 yd to the WSU 29Similar
Q1 12:46
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
85.5%
Nick Haberer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Germie Bernard at the WASH 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:4685% → 85%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
85.4%
Germie Bernard sacked by Jaden Hicks for a loss of 3 yards to the WASH 28Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+12
85.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 12 yds to the WASH 40Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
85.5%
Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the WASH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
85.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
85.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
85.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
84.5%
Jack McCallister punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0716% → 16%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
84.5%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Josh KellySimilar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+4
84.6%
Cameron Ward run for 4 yds to the WSU 15Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 6
OWN 15
0
84.7%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:53
4TH & 6
OWN 15
0
84.4%
Nick Haberer punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Germie Bernard at the WASH 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4TD
9 plays · 51 yds · 4:5384% → 85%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
84.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 8 yds to the WSU 43Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+3
84.4%
Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the WSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+22
84.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 22 yds to the WSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
84.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 8 yds to the WSU 10Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+1
84.0%
Dillon Johnson run for 1 yd to the WSU 9Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+6
83.6%
Dillon Johnson run for 6 yds to the WSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
83.6%
Dillon Johnson run for 2 yds to the WSU 1Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
83.5%
Michael Penix Jr. run for no gain to the WSU 1Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.3%
Dillon Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 1:3015% → 20%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
84.8%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Josh KellySimilar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
84.8%
Nakia Watson run for 1 yd to the WSU 25Similar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+17
84.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 17 yds to the WSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+37
84.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 37 yds to the WASH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
80.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 21 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1982% → 81%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
82.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 9 yds to the WASH 43Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+3
82.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 3 yds to the WASH 40Similar
Q1 0:46
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
81.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Denzel BostonSimilar
Q1 0:38
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
81.2%
Jack McCallister punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:1219% → 21%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
80.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 8 yds to the WSU 33Similar
Q1 0:16
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+13
80.2%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 13 yds to the WSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
79.7%
Cameron Ward run for 12 yds to the WASH 42 for a 1ST down Washington State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Rodrick Tialavea) to the WASH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
79.7%
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun Ward,Cameron rush left for 12 yards gain to the WASH42 (Ulofoshio,Edefuan), out of bounds PENALTY WSU Holding (Tialavea,Roderick) 10 yards from WSU46 to WSU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+3
80.5%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the WSU 39Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 17
OWN 39
0
80.1%
Washington State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Sam Lockett III) declinedSimilar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 17
OWN 39
+16
80.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 16 yds to the WASH 45Similar
Q2 13:18
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
79.4%
Cameron Ward run for no gain to the WASH 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8MISSED FG
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:0582% → 81%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
81.5%
Dillon Johnson run for 6 yds to the WSU 49Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+4
81.6%
Dillon Johnson run for 4 yds to the WSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
81.4%
(12:14) Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass incomplete deep right to Odunze,Rome PENALTY WSU Pass Interference (Colson,Jamorri) 15 yards from WSU45 to WSU30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
81.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 4 yds to the WSU 26Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
81.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
81.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Germie BernardSimilar
Q2 11:06
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
80.9%
Grady Gross 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9INT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:4421% → 23%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
79.2%
John Mateer run for 3 yds to the WSU 29Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+8
78.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 8 yds to the WSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
78.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 5 yds to the WSU 42Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
77.0%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WSU 44Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+3
76.8%
Cameron Ward run for 3 yds to the WSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
75.4%
Lincoln Victor pass incomplete to Djouvensky SchlenbakerSimilar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
75.6%
Washington State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 17
OWN 40
0
76.6%
Cameron Ward pass intercepted Thaddeus Dixon return for no gain to the WSU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 1:2880% → 85%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
80.4%
Dillon Johnson run for 9 yds to the WSU 40Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 1
OPP 40
-5
80.4%
(06:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass incomplete deep right to Odunze,Rome broken up by Colson,Jamorri PENALTY WASH Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Buelow,Julius) 5 yards from WSU40 to WSU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+5
80.2%
Dillon Johnson run for 5 yds to the WSU 40Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+40
85.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 40 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 2:5016% → 16%
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
84.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 12 yds to the WSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
83.6%
Washington Penalty, unnecessary roughness (Zion Tupuola-Fetui) to the WASH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
82.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
82.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 7 yds to the WASH 39Similar
Q2 3:44
3RD & 3
OPP 39
-5
82.2%
(03:47) PENALTY WSU False Start (Dieu,Brock) 5 yards from WASH39 to WASH44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 8
OPP 44
-5
83.5%
(03:17) PENALTY WSU False Start (Dieu,Brock) 5 yards from WASH44 to WASH49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 13
OPP 49
+6
84.5%
Cameron Ward run for 6 yds to the WASH 43Similar
Q2 2:32
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
84.3%
Nick Haberer punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Germie Bernard at the WASH 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:2784% → 83%
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
84.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Devin CulpSimilar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+10
84.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 10 yds to the WASH 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
83.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 8 yds to the WASH 27Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+4
84.4%
Will Nixon run for 4 yds to the WASH 23Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 6
OWN 23
-5
83.3%
(01:18) PENALTY WASH False Start (Rosengarten,Roger) 5 yards from WASH23 to WASH18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 11
OWN 18
0
83.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 11
OWN 18
0
82.5%
Jack McCallister punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 0:4617% → 29%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
83.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 4 yds to the WSU 45Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+4
82.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 4 yds to the WSU 49Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+7
82.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 7 yds to the WASH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+28
81.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 28 yds to the WASH 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-4
80.3%
Cameron Ward sacked by Bralen Trice for a loss of 4 yards to the WASH 20Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 14
OPP 20
0
82.1%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Lincoln VictorSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 14
OPP 20
-5
83.5%
(00:17) PENALTY WSU False Start (Kelly,Josh) 5 yards from WASH20 to WASH25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 19
OPP 25
+25
70.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 25 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
75.5%
M. Penix Jr. takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:4175% → 76%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
75.0%
Dillon Johnson run for 7 yds to the WASH 32Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
76.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 3 yds · 3:3329% → 28%
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
70.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Cooper Mathers for 2 yds to the WSU 34Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
70.9%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q3 13:52
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-5
72.0%
(13:51) PENALTY WSU False Start (Kelly,Josh) 5 yards from WSU34 to WSU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+13
72.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 13 yds to the WSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
69.2%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+7
69.7%
Nakia Watson run for 7 yds to the WSU 49Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+5
68.8%
(12:55) No Huddle-Shotgun Ward,Cameron pass incomplete short right to Hernandez,Carlos PENALTY WASH Offside (Trice,Bralen) 5 yards from WSU49 to WASH46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
68.0%
John Mateer run for 1 yd to the WASH 45Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 9
OPP 45
-11
67.9%
Cameron Ward sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the WSU 44Similar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 20
OWN 44
-9
70.4%
Cameron Ward sacked by Lance Holtzclaw for a loss of 9 yards to the WSU 35Similar
Q3 10:28
4TH & 29
OWN 35
0
71.9%
Nick Haberer punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:3572% → 69%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
72.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Germie Bernard for 6 yds to the WASH 22Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+11
72.3%
Tybo Rogers run for 11 yds to the WASH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
72.2%
Tybo Rogers run for 3 yds to the WASH 36Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
73.1%
Tybo Rogers run for no gain to the WASH 36Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
71.1%
(08:18) No Huddle-Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass incomplete deep right PENALTY WSU Offside offsetting WASH Intentional Grounding offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
70.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:53
4TH & 7
OWN 36
+2
69.3%
Jack McCallister punt for 34 yds , Isaiah Hamilton returns for 2 yds to the WSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18MISSED FG
11 plays · 35 yds · 3:5833% → 35%
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
66.7%
Cameron Ward run for 2 yds to the WSU 34Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
66.6%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+10
67.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 10 yds to the WSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
64.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 3 yds to the WSU 47Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+8
63.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 8 yds to the WASH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
62.6%
Nakia Watson run for 12 yds to the WASH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
60.9%
(05:55) No Huddle-Shotgun Ward,Cameron sacked for loss of 6 yards to the WASH39 (Tunuufi,Voi) PENALTY WSU Holding (Tialavea,Roderick) 10 yards from WASH33 to WASH43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:29
1ST & 20
OPP 43
0
63.4%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Lincoln VictorSimilar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 20
OPP 43
+11
64.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 11 yds to the WASH 32Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+1
61.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 1 yd to the WASH 33Similar
Q3 3:49
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+50
64.7%
Dean Janikowski 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 3:4369% → 89%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
68.6%
Dillon Johnson run for 6 yds to the WASH 39Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+9
71.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 9 yds to the WASH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
71.2%
Dillon Johnson run for 4 yds to the WSU 48Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+5
71.5%
Dillon Johnson run for 5 yds to the WSU 43Similar
Q3 1:16
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+3
70.6%
Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the WSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+19
71.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 19 yds to the WSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
88.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 21 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20INT
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:3618% → 20%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
81.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 6 yds to the WSU 33Similar
Q4 14:32
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+17
80.6%
Nakia Watson run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
50
0
78.5%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Josh KellySimilar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 10
50
0
79.6%
Cameron Ward pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:1087% → 86%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
86.9%
Dillon Johnson run for 7 yds to the WASH 34Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+2
87.6%
Dillon Johnson run for 2 yds to the WASH 36Similar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+1
87.6%
Dillon Johnson run for 1 yd to the WASH 35Similar
Q4 11:59
4TH & 2
OWN 35
-5
86.4%
PENALTY WASH Delay Of Game 5 yards from WASH35 to WASH30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:53
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
85.6%
Jack McCallister punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:4817% → 55%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
83.2%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WSU 37Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+3
83.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 3 yds to the WSU 40Similar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+9
82.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 9 yds to the WSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
80.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 3 yds to the WASH 48Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+4
80.2%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the WASH 44Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
80.4%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+11
81.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Billy Riviere III for 11 yds to the WASH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+18
78.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 18 yds to the WASH 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
77.4%
Cameron Ward sacked by Edefuan Ulofoshio for a loss of 5 yards to the WASH 20Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 15
OPP 20
0
81.2%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Lincoln VictorSimilar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 15
OPP 20
+2
83.9%
Cameron Ward run for 2 yds to the WASH 18Similar
Q4 6:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
79.6%
Lincoln Victor run for 1 yd to the WASH 8Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
45.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 8 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5961% → 56%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
60.1%
Dillon Johnson run for 4 yds to the WASH 29Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
58.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q4 4:52
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
55.5%
Jack McCallister punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:4749% → 48%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
51.3%
Nakia Watson run for 9 yds to the WSU 43Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+5
47.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 5 yds to the WSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
46.9%
(04:09) No Huddle-Shotgun Ward,Cameron pass incomplete deep right to Kelly,Josh broken up by Muhammad,Jabbar PENALTY WASH Offside (Tupuola-Fetui,Zion) 5 yards from WSU48 to WASH47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 5
OPP 47
+3
45.4%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the WASH 44Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 2
OPP 44
-10
44.6%
(03:22) No Huddle-Shotgun Watson,Nakia rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WASH41 (Tupuola-Fetui,Zion) PENALTY WSU Holding (Tialavea,Roderick) 10 yards from WASH44 to WSU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+1
48.9%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 1 yd to the WSU 47Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 11
OWN 47
0
48.9%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Lincoln VictorSimilar
Q4 1:59
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
52.5%
Nick Haberer punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Germie Bernard at the WASH 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 25FG
15 plays · 65 yds · 1:5957% → 96%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
57.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 10 yds to the WASH 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
57.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
56.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Germie Bernard for 9 yds to the WASH 29Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
56.4%
Dillon Johnson run for no gain to the WASH 29Similar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+23
54.4%
Rome Odunze run for 23 yds to the WSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
64.8%
Washington State Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Kyle Thornton) to the WSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
67.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+6
67.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 6 yds to the WSU 21Similar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+5
64.1%
Dillon Johnson run for 5 yds to the WSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
66.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-9
66.6%
Michael Penix Jr. sacked by Brennan Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the WSU 25Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 19
OPP 25
+42
95.6%
Grady Gross 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Grady Gross 42 yd FG GOOD
+36.5
TD · Q4 5:58
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 8 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)
-34.7
TD · Q3 0:00
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 21 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
+17.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com