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ORST

Oregon State 7 at Oregon 31

ORE
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2023 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadORST aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreORST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:38 · Josh Green punt for 45 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Pregame prior+28.2Home team on offense+6.6Score differential+1.9Garbage-time factor+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:20: Bo Nix run for 16 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +3.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:54: DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 9 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +6.5 pts (now 20%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:48: Bo Nix run for 11 yds to the ORE 33 for a 1ST down — ORE win probability +3.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:08: Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 41 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +6.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 6:01: Camden Lewis 25 yd FG GOOD — ORE win probability +3.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ORST made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 11:38ORE 4th & 1 at ORST 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    81.9%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    81.9%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:33ORST 4th & 6 at ORE 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    18.2%−0.4
    30% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00ORE 4th & 2 at ORST 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    81.5%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    81.2%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:38ORST 4th & 4 at ORST 30, down 14
    Close callPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:31ORE 4th & 11 at ORST 16, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    82.3%−3.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:30ORST 4th & 1 at ORE 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    13.3%−0.7
    85% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−3.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:26ORST 4th & 2 at ORE 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    10.9%−0.8
    58% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:01ORE 4th & 7 at ORST 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    85.5%−5.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:30ORST 4th & 6 at ORST 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:35ORE 4th & 10 at ORE 48, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:36ORST 4th & 17 at ORST 46, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:18ORE 4th & 8 at ORST 44, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:18ORST 4th & 1 at ORST 36, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:36ORST 4th & 4 at ORST 45, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ORST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:19ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:20ORE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:54ORST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:08ORE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:37ORE Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1TD
16 plays · 88 yds · 8:4187% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
87.0%
Bucky Irving run for 7 yds to the ORE 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+4
87.0%
Bucky Irving run for 4 yds to the ORE 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
87.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+2
87.0%
Bucky Irving run for 2 yds to the ORE 24Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+16
86.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 16 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
86.2%
Bucky Irving run for 1 yd to the ORE 41Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+14
86.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 14 yds to the ORST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
86.3%
Bucky Irving run for 5 yds to the ORST 40Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+4
86.3%
Jordan James run for 4 yds to the ORST 36Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
86.3%
Bo Nix run for no gain to the ORST 36Similar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+1
86.2%
Bo Nix run for 1 yd to the ORST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
86.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Jordan James for 7 yds to the ORST 28Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+9
86.4%
Jordan James run for 9 yds to the ORST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
86.4%
Jordan James run for 5 yds to the ORST 14Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+14
86.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 14 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2DOWNS
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:4414% → 15%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
86.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 11 yds to the ORST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
85.8%
UIAGALELEI, DJ pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BOLDEN, Silas thrown to the ORE44. PENALTY ORE Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Tysheem enforced 15 yards to the ORE46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
85.5%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the ORE 43Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+3
85.5%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the ORE 40Similar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+3
85.6%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the ORE 37Similar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 1
OPP 37
-5
85.8%
Oregon State Penalty, False Start (Tanner Miller) to the ORE 42Similar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
85.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:1386% → 90%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
86.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 2
50
+9
86.3%
Bucky Irving run for 9 yds to the ORST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
86.4%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
86.3%
Bucky Irving run for 3 yds to the ORST 38Similar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+5
86.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 5 yds to the ORST 33Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+5
85.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 5 yds to the ORST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
86.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 12 yds to the ORST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
89.5%
Bo Nix run for 16 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3612% → 11%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
88.2%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the ORST 27Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
88.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+3
88.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 3 yds to the ORST 30Similar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
88.6%
Josh Green punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5MISSED FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 6:0789% → 89%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
89.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 12 yds to the ORE 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
89.3%
Jordan James run for 14 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
89.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Patrick Herbert for 9 yds to the ORST 43Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+6
89.8%
Jordan James run for 6 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
89.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 12 yds to the ORST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
89.8%
Bucky Irving run for 4 yds to the ORST 21Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
89.8%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+6
89.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 6 yds to the ORST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
89.8%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+1
89.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 1 yd to the ORST 14Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 9
OPP 14
-5
89.6%
Oregon Penalty, False Start (Jackson Powers-Johnson) to the ORST 19Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 14
OPP 19
+3
89.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 3 yds to the ORST 16Similar
Q2 6:31
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+34
89.4%
Camden Lewis 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6TD
18 plays · 80 yds · 5:3711% → 20%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
89.0%
Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the ORST 26Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
88.9%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the ORST 29Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-5
88.8%
Oregon State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ORST 24Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+10
89.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 10 yds to the ORST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
88.9%
Damien Martinez run for no gain to the ORST 34Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
88.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+14
89.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 14 yds to the ORST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
88.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jimmy Valsin III for 10 yds to the ORE 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
88.3%
Silas Bolden run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 44Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+15
88.9%
Oregon Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Dontae Manning) to the ORE 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
87.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
87.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+9
87.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 9 yds to the ORE 13Similar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+4
86.9%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 4 yds to the ORE 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
86.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
79.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 9 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7TD
5 plays · 78 yds · 0:4083% → 91%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
83.1%
Bo Nix run for 11 yds to the ORE 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
83.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 15 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
84.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 11 yds to the ORST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
84.7%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+41
90.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 41 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
89.3%
Kneel down by OSU at OSU29 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 9DOWNS
10 plays · 60 yds · 5:3410% → 10%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
89.9%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the ORST 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+15
89.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 15 yds to the ORST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
89.6%
Jesiah Irish run for 2 yds to the ORST 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
-5
89.5%
Oregon State Penalty, Delay Of Game (DJ Uiagalelei) to the ORST 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+19
89.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 19 yds to the ORST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
89.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 18 yds to the ORE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
88.7%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the ORE 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+2
88.0%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the ORE 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+3
88.5%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the ORE 29Similar
Q3 9:26
4TH & 2
OPP 29
0
89.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10FG
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:2592% → 95%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
91.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 17 yds to the ORE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
92.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 8 yds to the ORST 46Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+4
92.0%
Jordan James run for 4 yds to the ORST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+32
92.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 32 yds to the ORST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
92.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 1 yd to the ORST 9Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
92.0%
Bo Nix run for 2 yds to the ORST 7Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
91.7%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
94.8%
Camden Lewis 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:316% → 5%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
93.8%
Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the ORST 36Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+3
93.8%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the ORST 39Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
93.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
94.6%
Josh Green punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 4:5395% → 99%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
95.1%
Bucky Irving run for no gain to the ORE 18Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+17
95.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 17 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.3%
Bucky Irving run for no gain to the ORE 35Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
95.2%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+13
95.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 13 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
95.5%
Bo Nix run for 1 yd to the ORE 49Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+10
95.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 10 yds to the ORST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
95.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 9 yds to the ORST 32Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 1
OPP 32
-1
95.5%
Bucky Irving run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 33Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+17
96.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 17 yds to the ORST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+15
96.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 15 yds to the ORST 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Jordan James run for 1 yd for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13INT
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:531% → 1%
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
98.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:32
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+12
98.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 12 yds to the ORST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+26
98.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 26 yds to the ORE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
98.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 4 yds to the ORE 43Similar
Q4 14:32
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+4
98.5%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 4 yds to the ORE 39Similar
Q4 14:32
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+6
98.5%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 6 yds to the ORE 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass intercepted, touchback. Dontae Manning return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 4:0499% → 99%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
98.9%
Bucky Irving run for 4 yds to the ORE 24Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
98.9%
Bucky Irving run for no gain to the ORE 24Similar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+24
98.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 24 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
99.0%
IRVING, Bucky rush up the middle for no gain to the ORE48 (ERHART, Michael;MASCARENAS-ARNOLD, Easton). PENALTY ORE Holding on LALOULU, Iapani enforced 10 yards from the ORE48 to the ORE38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 20
OWN 38
0
98.9%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 20
OWN 38
+3
98.9%
Bucky Irving run for 3 yds to the ORE 41Similar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 17
OWN 41
+7
98.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 7 yds to the ORE 48Similar
Q4 7:35
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
99.1%
Ross James punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the ORST 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 38 yds · 1:591% → 1%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+25
99.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 25 yds to the ORST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
99.2%
Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the ORST 38Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+15
99.2%
UIAGALELEI, DJ pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BOLDEN, Silas thrown to the ORE23. PENALTY ORE Pass Interference on MANNING, Dontae enforced 15 yards to the ORE47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-7
99.2%
DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Matayo Uiagalelei for a loss of 7 yards to the ORST 46Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 17
OWN 46
0
99.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:36
4TH & 17
OWN 46
0
99.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:1899% → 99%
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-6
99.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for a loss of 6 yards to the ORE 48Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 16
OWN 48
+10
99.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 10 yds to the ORST 42Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+3
99.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 3 yds to the ORST 39Similar
Q4 5:36
4TH & 3
OPP 39
-5
99.3%
Oregon Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jordan James) to the ORST 44Similar
Q4 3:18
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
99.4%
Ross James punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the ORST 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 34 yds · 2:421% → 1%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
99.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jimmy Valsin III for 9 yds to the ORST 20Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+7
99.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jimmy Valsin III for 7 yds to the ORST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
99.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Riley Sharp for 6 yds to the ORST 33Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+3
99.5%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the ORST 36Similar
Q4 3:18
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+3
99.4%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the ORST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
99.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Rweha Munyagi Jr. for 6 yds to the ORST 45Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
99.5%
DJ Uiagalelei run for no gain to the ORST 45Similar
Q4 0:36
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
99.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.6%
[NH] Kneel down by ORE at OSU47 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:54
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 9 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
-6.5
TD · Q2 0:08
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 41 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)
+6
TD · Q2 14:20
Bo Nix run for 16 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)
+3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com