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WASH

Washington 22 at Oregon State 20

ORST
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDSAFETYTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:25 · DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the WASH 45 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Home team on offense−10.1Score differential−5.3Garbage-time factor−4.6Pregame prior−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:09: Damien Martinez run for 3 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +3.4 pts (now 50%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:33: Michael Penix Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +7.3 pts (now 61%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:54: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 32 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — WASH win probability +9.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:29: Damien Martinez run for 5 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +13.6 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. FG · Q4 10:40: Atticus Sappington 35 yd FG GOOD — ORST win probability +8.2 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 4:40WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:05WASH 4th & 23 at WASH 30, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:23ORST 4th & 19 at ORST 18, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−1.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:57ORST 4th & 9 at WASH 20, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    35.9%−5.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:05ORST 4th & 10 at WASH 48, down 12
    Numbers favored punt by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.7%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:25WASH 4th & 10 at ORST 22, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    61.4%−8.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:25ORST 4th & 1 at WASH 48, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    29.6%−2.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:22WASH 4th & 18 at WASH 17, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−6.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00ORST 4th & 1 at ORST 42, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    36.6%−4.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:40ORST 4th & 12 at WASH 17, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−4.9
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    20.7%−15.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:55WASH 4th & 7 at WASH 49, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:08ORST 4th & 5 at ORST 47, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.2%−6.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:55WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:09ORST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:33WASH Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:54WASH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    67.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    67.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:29ORST Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 4:5853% → 54%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
46.9%
Dillon Johnson run for 2 yds to the WASH 39Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+4
46.9%
Dillon Johnson run for 4 yds to the WASH 43Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+9
46.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 9 yds to the ORST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+25
46.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 25 yds to the ORST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
46.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 5 yds to the ORST 18Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+2
46.8%
Dillon Johnson run for 2 yds to the ORST 16Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+3
46.9%
Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the ORST 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
46.8%
Dillon Johnson run for 1 yd to the ORST 12Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
46.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+12
45.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 12 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:4646% → 50%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
46.1%
Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the ORST 29Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
46.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
46.0%
UIAGALELEI, DJ pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for VELLING, Jack thrown to the UW48; QB hurried by LANE, Jacob. PENALTY UW Offsides on TRICE, Bralen enforced 5 yards from the OSU29 to the OSU34 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
46.2%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
46.3%
Damien Martinez run for 16 yds to the WASH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
46.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+13
46.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 13 yds to the WASH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
46.9%
Anthony Gould run for 11 yds to the WASH 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
46.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 15 yds to the WASH 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
46.9%
Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the WASH 3Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
50.3%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2951% → 50%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
48.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
49.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
49.6%
Jack McCallister punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the ORST 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4SF
7 plays · -4 yds · 3:2349% → 48%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
49.1%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the ORST 36Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+11
49.3%
Damien Martinez run for 11 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
50.0%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 46Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+4
49.5%
Isaiah Newell run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 7
50
-10
49.6%
QB Keeper UIAGALELEI, DJ rush up the middle for a gain of 11 yards to the UW39 (ESTEEN, Makell). PENALTY OSU Holding on LEVENGOOD, Jake enforced 10 yards from the OSU50 to the OSU40 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 17
OWN 40
0
48.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:17
4TH & 17
OWN 40
0
47.8%
Team run for loss of 40 yards, recovered by ORST in endzone for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · -2 yds · 2:0752% → 51%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
47.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
47.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+11
48.4%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 11 yds to the WASH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
47.0%
Dillon Johnson run for 2 yds to the WASH 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-10
46.9%
BERNARD, Germie rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the UW46 (COOPER JR., Ryan). PENALTY UW Holding on MOORE, Quentin enforced 10 yards from the UW45 to the UW35 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 35
-5
48.1%
Washington Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WASH 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 23
OWN 30
0
48.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 23
OWN 30
0
48.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 23
OWN 30
0
49.3%
Jack McCallister punt for 43 yds, downed at the ORST 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:4249% → 48%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
48.9%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Silas Bolden for 5 yds to the ORST 32Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-5
49.8%
Oregon State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ORST 27Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
48.7%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 10
OWN 27
-9
48.0%
Aidan Chiles sacked by Bralen Trice for a loss of 9 yards to the ORST 18Similar
Q2 12:23
4TH & 19
OWN 18
0
47.7%
Josh Green punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · 49 yds · 0:5953% → 53%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
46.8%
Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the WASH 49Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+3
46.7%
Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the ORST 48Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+43
46.9%
Dillon Johnson run for 43 yds to the ORST 5 Dillon Johnson fumbled, recovered by ORST Akili Arnold [SG] JOHNSON, Dillon rush up the middle for a gain of 43 yards, JOHNSON, Dillon fumbled at OSU9 forced by OLADAPO, Kitan, recovered by OSU ARNOLD, Akili at the OSU5, returned 0 yards to the OSU5, End of Play, clock 11:24.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:4849% → 49%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
48.9%
Damien Martinez run for no gain to the ORST 5Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+14
48.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 14 yds Anthony Gould fumbled, recovered by WASH Jabbar Muhammad [SG] UIAGALELEI, DJ pass short to the right complete for 14 yards to GOULD, Anthony caught at the OSU9, GOULD, Anthony fumbled at OSU14 forced by BRUENER, Carson, recovered by UW MUHAMMAD, Jabbar at the OSU19, returned 0 yards to the OSU19, End of Play, clock 10:36.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9TD
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:0354% → 61%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
45.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-1
46.0%
Dillon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 20Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+15
46.8%
PENIX JR., Michael pass deep to the left incomplete intended for ODUNZE, Rome thrown to the OSU0. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on COOPER JR., Ryan enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the OSU5 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
39.5%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 4:2840% → 43%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
40.3%
Damien Martinez run for 20 yds to the ORST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
41.5%
UIAGALELEI, DJ pass deep to the right incomplete intended for GOULD, Anthony thrown to the UW16. PENALTY UW Offsides on TUNUUFI, Voi enforced 5 yards from the OSU48 to the UW47. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 5
OPP 47
+4
42.1%
Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the WASH 43Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+11
42.1%
Damien Martinez run for 11 yds to the WASH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
43.0%
Damien Martinez run for 11 yds to the WASH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
43.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 1 yd to the WASH 20Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
43.0%
Deshaun Fenwick run for no gain to the WASH 20Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
41.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:57
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+38
43.1%
Atticus Sappington 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 3:5860% → 71%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
40.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+11
40.6%
Dillon Johnson run for 11 yds to the WASH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
39.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 11 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
38.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+10
38.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 10 yds to the ORST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
38.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 5 yds to the ORST 39Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+1
37.9%
Tybo Rogers run for 1 yd to the ORST 38Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+6
38.4%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 6 yds to the ORST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
29.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 32 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 58 yds · 0:4231% → 30%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
31.0%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 11 yds to the ORST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+22
31.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 22 yds to the WASH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
33.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
32.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
30.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
30.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass intercepted Jabbar Muhammad return for no gain to the WASH 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
28.1%
Kneel down by PENIX JR., Michael at UW21 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14INT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5431% → 27%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
30.6%
Damien Martinez run for no gain to the ORST 20Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
31.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-11
29.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass intercepted Jabbar Muhammad return for 11 yds to the ORST 22Similar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
26.7%
JOHNSON, Dillon rush to the left for no gain to the OSU22 (OLADAPO, Kitan;HART JR., Calvin). PENALTY UW Holding on MOORE, Quentin enforced 10 yards from the OSU22 to the OSU32 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15MISSED FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:3773% → 73%
Q3 14:02
1ST & 20
OPP 32
+8
26.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 8 yds to the ORST 24Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+4
26.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 4 yds to the ORST 20Similar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+3
27.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Tybo Rogers for 3 yds to the ORST 17Similar
Q3 14:02
4TH & 5
OPP 17
-5
28.4%
Washington Penalty, False Start (Quentin Moore) to the ORST 22Similar
Q3 11:25
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+39
26.7%
Grady Gross 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16TD
19 plays · 78 yds · 9:5630% → 47%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-4
29.5%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 4 yards to the ORST 18Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 14
OWN 18
+25
29.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Damien Martinez for 25 yds to the ORST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
30.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for no gain Anthony Gould fumbled, recovered by ORST UIAGALELEI, DJ pass to the right complete for 0 yards to GOULD, Anthony caught at the OSU40, GOULD, Anthony fumbled at OSU43 forced by JACKSON, Elijah out of bounds to the OSU41.Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+2
30.3%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the ORST 43Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+9
29.6%
Damien Martinez run for 9 yds to the WASH 48Similar
Q3 11:25
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+3
30.7%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the WASH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
31.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
31.4%
Damien Martinez run for 7 yds to the WASH 38Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+5
31.4%
Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the WASH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
33.3%
Deshaun Fenwick run for a loss of 3 yards to the WASH 36Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 13
OPP 36
+13
30.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 13 yds to the WASH 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
33.3%
Anthony Gould run for 6 yds to the WASH 17Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 4
OPP 17
-5
33.3%
Oregon State Penalty, False Start (Jesiah Irish) to the WASH 22Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+15
33.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 15 yds to the WASH 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
33.3%
Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the WASH 6Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
33.3%
UIAGALELEI, DJ pass up the middle incomplete intended for MUNYAGI JR., Rweha broken up by DIXON, Thaddeus at the UW0. PENALTY UW Pass Interference on DIXON, Thaddeus enforced 4 yards to the UW2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
33.3%
MARTINEZ, Damien rush to the right for no gain to the UW2 (ULOFOSHIO, Edefuan;HAMPTON, Dominique), out of bounds. PENALTY OSU Holding on VELLING, Jack enforced 10 yards from the UW2 to the UW12. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+7
33.3%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 7 yds to the WASH 5Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
46.9%
Damien Martinez run for 5 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:0766% → 63%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
34.5%
Dillon Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the WASH 22Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
35.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:29
4TH & 13
OWN 22
-5
36.8%
Washington Penalty, False Start (Mishael Powell) to the WASH 17Similar
Q3 0:22
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
36.6%
Jack McCallister punt for 46 yds , Anthony Gould returns for no gain to the ORST 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 18FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 4:2039% → 47%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
38.9%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the ORST 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+3
40.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 3 yds to the ORST 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+3
40.1%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the ORST 42Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+26
39.5%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 26 yds to the WASH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
41.9%
Oregon State Penalty, False Start (Taliese Fuaga) to the WASH 37Similar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+3
37.4%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the WASH 34Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+19
40.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Damien Martinez for 19 yds to the WASH 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
41.9%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 2 yards to the WASH 17Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 12
OPP 17
0
41.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 12
OPP 17
0
38.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:40
4TH & 12
OPP 17
+35
46.6%
Atticus Sappington 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:3859% → 59%
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
40.9%
Dillon Johnson run for 9 yds to the WASH 24Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+3
38.8%
Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the WASH 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
40.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 19 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
36.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
37.5%
Will Nixon run for 3 yds to the WASH 49Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
37.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
40.7%
Jack McCallister punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the ORST 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 20DOWNS
12 plays · 42 yds · 5:4747% → 39%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
47.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Rweha Munyagi Jr. for 7 yds to the ORST 12Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 3
OWN 12
0
48.0%
Damien Martinez run for no gain to the ORST 12Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+6
45.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 6 yds to the ORST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
48.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
48.0%
UIAGALELEI, DJ pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WALKER, Trent broken up by MUHAMMAD, Jabbar at the UW41. PENALTY UW Offsides on TUNUUFI, Voi enforced 5 yards from the OSU18 to the OSU23. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+9
48.7%
Damien Martinez run for 9 yds to the ORST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
49.1%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the ORST 35Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+7
49.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 7 yds to the ORST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
52.7%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 41Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 11
OWN 41
0
50.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+6
47.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Trent Walker for 6 yds to the ORST 47Similar
Q4 2:08
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
39.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21END OF GAME
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:0381% → 94%
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
18.9%
Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the ORST 44Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+4
15.9%
Dillon Johnson run for 4 yds to the ORST 40Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+19
15.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 19 yds to the ORST 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
14.1%
Kneel down by PENIX JR., Michael at OSU22 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 11
OPP 22
0
14.6%
Kneel down by PENIX JR., Michael at OSU23 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 23
0
5.7%
Kneel down by PENIX JR., Michael at OSU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:29
Damien Martinez run for 5 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+13.6
TD · Q2 0:54
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 32 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-9
FG · Q4 10:40
Atticus Sappington 35 yd FG GOOD
+8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com