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UTAH

Utah 18 at Arizona 42

ARIZ
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:48 · Bryson Barnes pass complete to Landen King for 22 yds to the UTAH 38 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginPregame prior
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 160Home team on offense+35.1Score differential+13.9Garbage-time factor+11.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+15.7Blowout margin+14.4Pregame prior+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:32: Anthony Ward 2 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Tyler Loop Kick) — ARIZ win probability +2.4 pts (now 60%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:06: Noah Fifita pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 32 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +4.6 pts (now 70%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:53: Noah Fifita pass complete to Michael Wiley for 31 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +8.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:52: Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 20 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK) — UTAH win probability +8.3 pts (now 13%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 10:00: Cole Becker 36 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +4.1 pts (now 12%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 2 of 4UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 8:32UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:06UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:18UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:42ARIZ 4th & 4 at UTAH 48, up 28
    Close callPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:00UTAH 4th & 9 at ARIZ 18, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−4.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:54ARIZ 4th & 10 at UTAH 33, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:00UTAH 4th & 3 at ARIZ 40, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    6.7%−1.9
    34% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:29ARIZ 4th & 4 at UTAH 41, up 18
    Close callPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    93.8%−1.0
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q4 3:32ARIZ 4th & 13 at ARIZ 38, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:48UTAH 4th & 20 at UTAH 16, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:12UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 49, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UTAH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:33ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:32ARIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:06ARIZ Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:53ARIZ Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:52UTAH Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:57ARIZ Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:43UTAH Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.0%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:32ARIZ Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:2555% → 57%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.8%
Michael Wiley run for no gain to the ARIZ 25Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
54.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 15 yds to the ARIZ 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
55.0%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-5
55.0%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Michael Wiley for a loss of 5 yards to the ARIZ 35Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 15
OWN 35
+36
54.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Malachi Riley for 36 yds to the UTAH 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
55.6%
Michael Wiley run for 10 yds to the UTAH 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
55.7%
DJ Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 21Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+21
57.4%
Tetairoa McMillan pass complete to Michael Wiley for 21 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT TD
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:0143% → 40%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
56.7%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the UTAH 26Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
57.1%
Utah Penalty, Illegal Snap on FAAIU, Kolinu'u enforced (-5 Yards) to the UTAH 21Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+3
57.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the UTAH 24Similar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+1
57.8%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Munir McClain for 1 yd to the UTAH 25Similar
Q1 8:32
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+2
60.2%
Anthony Ward 2 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Tyler Loop Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:2640% → 39%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
59.9%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Dijon Stanley for 11 yds to the UTAH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
60.4%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 5 yds to the UTAH 41Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
60.5%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
60.8%
Bryson Barnes run for no gain to the UTAH 41Similar
Q1 7:06
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
61.5%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:5562% → 70%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
62.4%
Jonah Coleman run for 15 yds to the ARIZ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
63.0%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Kevin Green Jr. for 9 yds to the ARIZ 44Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
64.2%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
64.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Keyan Burnett for 11 yds to the UTAH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
65.5%
Jacob Cowing run for 9 yds to the UTAH 32Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+32
70.0%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 32 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4531% → 27%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
69.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 4 yds to the UTAH 29Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
71.0%
Sione Vaki run for 2 yds to the UTAH 31Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-4
71.9%
Bryson Barnes run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTAH 27Similar
Q1 2:18
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
73.1%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:1972% → 84%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
71.8%
Michael Wiley run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 30Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+19
72.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 19 yds to the ARIZ 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
74.3%
Michael Wiley run for 4 yds to the UTAH 47Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
74.9%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:31
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+16
75.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 16 yds to the UTAH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
83.6%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Michael Wiley for 31 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7INT
13 plays · 60 yds · 6:4816% → 11%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
83.8%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 11 yds to the UTAH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
83.8%
Bryson Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 35Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+6
84.8%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Jaylon Glover for 6 yds to the UTAH 41Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+12
84.7%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Landen King for 12 yds to the ARIZ 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
85.3%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Money Parks for 7 yds to the ARIZ 40Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+1
85.1%
Bryson Barnes run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 39Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+2
85.4%
Bryson Barnes run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
86.8%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 9 yds to the ARIZ 28Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 1
OPP 28
-8
86.4%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Sione Vaki for a loss of 8 yards to the ARIZ 36Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+18
88.4%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for 18 yds to the ARIZ 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
88.0%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
88.2%
Nate Johnson run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 15Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 7
OPP 15
-36
88.8%
Bryson Barnes pass intercepted Jacob Manu return for 36 yds to the ARIZ 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:1491% → 93%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
91.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jacob Cowing for a loss of 2 yards to the ARIZ 44Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 12
OWN 44
-3
91.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Rayshon Luke for a loss of 3 yards to the ARIZ 41Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 15
OWN 41
+11
92.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 11 yds to the UTAH 48Similar
Q2 5:42
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
92.7%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9TD
14 plays · 92 yds · 4:466% → 13%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
94.1%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 12 yds to the UTAH 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
94.3%
Bryson Barnes run for no gain to the UTAH 20Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
94.6%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 4 yds to the UTAH 24Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+5
96.1%
Arizona Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the UTAH 29Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+11
95.8%
Bryson Barnes run for 11 yds to the UTAH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
95.0%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for 1 yd to the UTAH 41Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+5
95.4%
Arizona Penalty, Offsides (Tyler Manoa) to the UTAH 46Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+15
94.8%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 15 yds to the ARIZ 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+24
95.4%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 24 yds to the ARIZ 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-10
94.9%
(01:46) BARNES, Bryson pass to the left complete for 6 yards to MATTHEWS, Mikey caught at the ARI18 and advanced to the ARI9 (PRYSOCK, Ephesians), out of bounds, clock 01:38. PENALTY UTA Holding on VELE, Devaughn enforced 10 yards from the ARI15 to the ARI25 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 20
OPP 25
0
95.5%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 20
OPP 25
+5
95.5%
Bryson Barnes run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 20Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 15
OPP 20
+20
87.4%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 20 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10MISSED FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 0:4991% → 90%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
90.9%
Jonah Coleman run for 15 yds to the ARIZ 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
91.4%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+19
91.4%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the UTAH 44 for a 1ST down Utah Penalty, Personal Foul (Justin Medlock) to the UTAH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
91.7%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
91.7%
Jonah Coleman run for 6 yds to the UTAH 35Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+8
91.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 8 yds to the UTAH 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
91.3%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Michael Wiley for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 28Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+8
91.3%
Michael Wiley run for 8 yds to the UTAH 20Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+37
90.4%
Tyler Loop 37 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 4:5810% → 12%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.8%
Sione Vaki run for 3 yds to the UTAH 28Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
89.8%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 11 yds to the UTAH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
89.8%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Landen King for 1 yd to the UTAH 40Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+6
90.4%
Sione Vaki run for 6 yds to the UTAH 46Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+10
90.6%
Jaylon Glover run for 10 yds to the ARIZ 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
90.9%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Money Parks for 2 yds to the ARIZ 42Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+23
91.1%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Munir McClain for 23 yds to the ARIZ 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
91.1%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+3
91.4%
Landen King run for 13 yds to the ARIZ 6 Utah Penalty, Offensive Holding (Miki Suguturaga) to the ARIZ 25Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 16
OPP 25
+7
92.3%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 7 yds to the ARIZ 18Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 16
OPP 25
0
91.7%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:00
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+36
87.6%
Cole Becker 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12MISSED FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 4:0691% → 92%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.6%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 27Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
90.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 15 yds to the ARIZ 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
91.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 45Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
92.0%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+22
91.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Michael Wiley for 22 yds to the UTAH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
92.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 34Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+1
92.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the UTAH 33Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
92.7%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:54
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+50
92.0%
Tyler Loop 50 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:499% → 8%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+20
90.7%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Money Parks for 20 yds to the ARIZ 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
90.6%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 46Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+1
91.1%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Money Parks for 1 yd to the ARIZ 45Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
91.5%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:00
4TH & 8
OPP 45
+5
91.7%
Arizona Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the ARIZ 40Similar
Q3 4:00
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
91.6%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:2294% → 95%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
93.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 6 yds to the ARIZ 46Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
94.1%
Rayshon Luke run for no gain to the ARIZ 46Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+7
94.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 7 yds to the UTAH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
94.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the UTAH 46Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
94.8%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:18
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+5
94.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 5 yds to the UTAH 41Similar
Q3 0:29
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
94.6%
Noah Fifita punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15INT
13 plays · 34 yds · 3:596% → 5%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
94.0%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
94.1%
Bryson Barnes run for 4 yds to the UTAH 24Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+8
94.3%
Bryson Barnes run for 8 yds to the UTAH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
94.0%
Bryson Barnes run for 4 yds to the UTAH 36Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
94.5%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the UTAH 41Similar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+3
94.7%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the UTAH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
94.7%
Sione Vaki run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 43Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
95.1%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+13
95.3%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 13 yds to the ARIZ 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
95.0%
Bryson Barnes run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 42Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 8
OPP 42
-4
95.5%
Bryson Barnes sacked by Taylor Upshaw for a loss of 4 yards to the ARIZ 46Similar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 12
OPP 46
0
95.1%
Bryson Barnes pass intercepted Treydan Stukes return for no gain to the ARIZ 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 16TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 3:2197% → 100%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
96.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 16 yds to the UTAH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
96.9%
Jonah Coleman run for 7 yds to the UTAH 38Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+3
97.0%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the UTAH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
97.2%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the UTAH 32Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+6
97.3%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 6 yds to the UTAH 26Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+25
97.3%
Jonah Coleman run for 25 yds to the UTAH 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17DOWNS
16 plays · 35 yds · 4:021% → 1%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.1%
Utah Penalty, False Start (Michael Mokofisi) to the UTAH 20Similar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+14
98.7%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Munir McClain for 14 yds to the UTAH 34Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
99.1%
Bryson Barnes run for 5 yds to the UTAH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.1%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 1 yd to the UTAH 40Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
99.1%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+16
99.2%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Munir McClain for 16 yds to the ARIZ 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.2%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+13
99.2%
Bryson Barnes run for 13 yds to the ARIZ 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
99.0%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 8 yds to the ARIZ 23Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 2
OPP 23
0
99.1%
Jaylon Glover run for no gain to the ARIZ 23Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+6
99.1%
Bryson Barnes run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.1%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
99.1%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 10
OPP 17
-10
99.2%
Utah Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kolinu'u Faaiu) to the ARIZ 27Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 20
OPP 27
0
99.1%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:55
4TH & 20
OPP 27
0
99.2%
Utah Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Intentional Grounding on BARNES, Bryson enforced a result of a (Yards) to the ARIZ 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:19100% → 100%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Roberto Miranda for no gain to the ARIZ 41Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+7
99.9%
Rayshon Luke run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 48Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 3
OWN 48
-10
99.9%
Jayden de Laura sacked by Connor O'Toole for a loss of 10 yards to the ARIZ 38Similar
Q4 3:32
4TH & 13
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Mikey Matthews at the UTAH 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19TD
14 plays · 88 yds · 2:440% → 1%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+14
99.9%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Munir McClain for 14 yds to the UTAH 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-10
99.9%
Bryson Barnes sacked by Jacob Kongaika for a loss of 10 yards to the UTAH 16Similar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 20
OWN 16
+22
99.9%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Landen King for 22 yds to the UTAH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
99.9%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 11 yds to the UTAH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 10
OWN 49
+28
99.9%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Landen King for 28 yds to the ARIZ 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
99.8%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for 5 yds to the ARIZ 18Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+16
99.8%
Bryson Barnes run for 16 yds to the ARIZ 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.8%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Munir McClain for 2 yds for a TD (B. Barnes Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 20TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:0999% → 100%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
99.2%
Arizona Penalty, False Start (Raymond Pulido) to the ARIZ 49Similar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+51
99.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 51 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the UTAH 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:53
Noah Fifita pass complete to Michael Wiley for 31 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)
+8.5
TD · Q2 0:52
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 20 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)
-8.3
TD · Q1 4:06
Noah Fifita pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 32 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)
+4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com