Try the model
UTAH

Utah 28 at Washington 35

WASH
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · Husky Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · M. Penix Jr. takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:59: Bryson Barnes pass complete to Sione Vaki for 53 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK) — UTAH win probability +9.1 pts (now 38%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:17: Dillon Johnson run for 5 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +6.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:57: Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 7 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK) — UTAH win probability +11.2 pts (now 45%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:09: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 33 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — WASH win probability +12.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. SAFETY · Q3 0:24: Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd for a SAFETY — WASH win probability +13.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 8 of 9UTAH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 14:07UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:07WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:00UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:19WASH 4th & 10 at UTAH 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    70.4%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:09WASH 4th & 9 at UTAH 48, down 4
    Close callPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:25WASH 4th & 19 at WASH 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−4.7
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:53UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−1.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:02WASH 4th & 10 at UTAH 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    46.7%−9.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:12UTAH 4th & 14 at UTAH 16, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−4.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:13WASH 4th & 2 at UTAH 44, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    58.6%−4.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    60.6%−2.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:10WASH 4th & 15 at UTAH 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−2.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    84.1%−2.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:26UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:56WASH 4th & 1 at UTAH 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    88.3%−2.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    88.1%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:38WASH 4th & 12 at UTAH 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.9
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    90.5%−3.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:44UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%−1.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:44UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:06WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:37UTAH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:00UTAH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:59WASH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:59UTAH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:17WASH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:57UTAH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:09WASH Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    74.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    74.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4825% → 25%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
75.5%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 4 yds to the UTAH 29Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
75.3%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Devaughn VeleSimilar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
75.3%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Jaylon GloverSimilar
Q1 14:07
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+2
75.3%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 33 yds , Denzel Boston returns for 2 yds to the WASH 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5175% → 75%
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
75.3%
Dillon Johnson run for no gain to the WASH 40Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
75.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
75.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Germie BernardSimilar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
75.0%
Jack McCallister punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTAH 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:0725% → 26%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
75.1%
Jaylon Glover run for 5 yds to the UTAH 25Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
74.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 1 yd to the UTAH 24Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+15
74.9%
(11:55) Shotgun Barnes,Bryson pass incomplete deep left to Vele,Devaughn PENALTY WASH Pass Interference (Powell,Mishael) 15 yards from UTAH24 to UTAH39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
74.6%
Jaylon Glover run for 5 yds to the UTAH 44Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+5
74.4%
Jaylon Glover run for 5 yds to the UTAH 39Similar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
74.5%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for no gain to the UTAH 39Similar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 10
OWN 39
+2
74.5%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 40 yds , Denzel Boston returns for 2 yds to the WASH 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 3:4474% → 77%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
74.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Germie Bernard for 18 yds to the WASH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+22
74.5%
Tybo Rogers run for 22 yds to the UTAH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
74.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Germie Bernard for no gain to the UTAH 37Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+13
74.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Dillon Johnson for 13 yds to the UTAH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
74.4%
Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the UTAH 21Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+9
74.4%
Dillon Johnson run for 9 yds to the UTAH 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
74.3%
(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass incomplete short left to Westover,Jack, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UTAH Pass Interference (Bishop,Cole) 10 yards from UTAH12 to UTAH02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
76.8%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2024% → 29%
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
76.0%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 9 yds to the UTAH 34Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
75.5%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the UTAH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+41
75.8%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 41 yds to the WASH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
74.7%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Landen King for 15 yds to the WASH 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
74.7%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Landen King for 5 yds to the WASH 2Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
71.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 3:1373% → 73%
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+30
72.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 30 yds to the UTAH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
73.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 8 yds to the UTAH 37Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 2
OPP 37
0
73.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q1 2:06
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+3
73.4%
Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the UTAH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
73.8%
Dillon Johnson run for 4 yds to the UTAH 30Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+6
73.7%
Dillon Johnson run for 6 yds to the UTAH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
73.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Devin CulpSimilar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
73.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jack WestoverSimilar
Q1 0:24
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
73.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q1 0:19
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+41
72.9%
Grady Gross 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:0027% → 36%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
73.1%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 4 yds to the UTAH 29Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
72.9%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the UTAH 32Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
73.0%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 6 yds to the UTAH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
72.2%
Money Parks run for 15 yds to the WASH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
71.3%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for 8 yds to the WASH 39Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 2
OPP 39
0
71.0%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Money ParksSimilar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+2
71.1%
Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the WASH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
70.8%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Sione Vaki for 8 yds Sione Vaki fumbled, recovered by UTAH Sione Vaki (11:32) Shotgun Barnes,Bryson pass complete short left to Vaki,Sione for 8 yards to the WASH29 fumbled by Vaki,Sione at WASH29 forced by Jackson,Elijah recovered by UTAH Vaki,Sione at WASH29, End Of Play.Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+1
70.0%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the WASH 28Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+12
70.4%
Bryson Barnes run for 12 yds to the WASH 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
69.3%
Washington Penalty, Face Mask (6 yards) (Tuli Letuligasenoa) to the WASH 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
63.8%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Miki Suguturaga for 6 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:5466% → 74%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
66.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Germie Bernard for 3 yds to the WASH 28Similar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
64.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Dillon Johnson for 15 yds to the WASH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+28
66.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 28 yds to the UTAH 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
68.1%
PENALTY WASH False Start (Westover,Jack) 5 yards from UTAH29 to UTAH34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 15
OPP 34
0
67.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 15
OPP 34
+34
73.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 34 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 0:4329% → 38%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
71.1%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Money Parks for 11 yds to the UTAH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
62.0%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Sione Vaki for 53 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10TD
10 plays · 56 yds · 2:2666% → 74%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
66.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Dillon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+28
64.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Germie Bernard for 28 yds to the UTAH 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
67.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
67.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+15
65.8%
(04:56) Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass incomplete deep left to Odunze,Rome, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UTAH Pass Interference (Vaughn,Zemaiah) 15 yards from UTAH28 to UTAH13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
67.1%
Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the UTAH 16Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+11
66.7%
Dillon Johnson run for 11 yds to the UTAH 5Similar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+5
73.5%
Dillon Johnson run for 5 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11TD
7 plays · 91 yds · 1:4129% → 45%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
71.5%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Money Parks for 6 yds to the UTAH 15Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+3
71.2%
Bryson Barnes run for 3 yds to the UTAH 18Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+3
71.7%
Bryson Barnes run for 3 yds to the UTAH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
70.9%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 4 yds to the UTAH 25Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+68
70.8%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 68 yds to the WASH 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
66.4%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Money ParksSimilar
Q2 0:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
55.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 7 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 16 yds · 0:3562% → 55%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
61.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 4 yds to the WASH 40Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+11
63.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 11 yds to the UTAH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
63.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
63.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 6 yds to the UTAH 43Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
62.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 4
OPP 43
-5
57.4%
(00:21) Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass complete short middle to Westover,Jack for 17 yards to the UTAH26 (Fotu,Sione) PENALTY WASH Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Moore,Quentin) 5 yards from UTAH43 to UTAH48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
55.4%
Jack McCallister punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Mikey Matthews at the UTAH 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
58.0%
B. Barnes takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:2160% → 57%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+28
60.1%
Dillon Johnson run for 28 yds to the WASH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
62.4%
Dillon Johnson run for no gain to the WASH 42Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
60.8%
Dillon Johnson run for 1 yd to the WASH 43Similar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 9
OWN 43
-10
59.1%
Michael Penix Jr. sacked by Sione Vaki for a loss of 10 yards to the WASH 33Similar
Q3 12:25
4TH & 19
OWN 33
0
56.6%
Jack McCallister punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Mikey Matthews at the UTAH 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3243% → 41%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.5%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Sione Vaki for 2 yds to the UTAH 27Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
56.9%
Bryson Barnes run for 1 yd to the UTAH 28Similar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
57.7%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:53
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
58.8%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 2:5158% → 62%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
58.2%
Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the WASH 35Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
58.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+44
56.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 44 yds to the UTAH 21 for a 1ST down Utah Penalty, Defensive Holding (Levani Damuni) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
63.1%
Tybo Rogers run for 2 yds to the UTAH 19Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
62.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Tybo RogersSimilar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+3
60.7%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTAH 16Similar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 5
OPP 16
-5
58.3%
(08:30) PENALTY WASH Delay Of Game 5 yards from UTAH16 to UTAH21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:02
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+38
62.3%
Grady Gross 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:4040% → 38%
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
59.8%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Miki SuguturagaSimilar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
60.0%
Utah Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 14
OWN 16
0
61.4%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Landen KingSimilar
Q3 7:12
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
62.4%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 51 yds for a 1ST down , returns for no gain to the WASH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 2:5765% → 78%
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
64.6%
Dillon Johnson run for 1 yd to the WASH 49Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+3
64.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 3 yds to the UTAH 48Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+4
64.0%
Dillon Johnson run for 4 yds to the UTAH 44Similar
Q3 5:13
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+10
62.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 10 yds to the UTAH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
65.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 1 yd to the UTAH 33Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+33
78.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 33 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19INT
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:2828% → 33%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
72.0%
Jaylon Glover run for 14 yds to the UTAH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
71.1%
(03:26) Shotgun Barnes,Bryson pass incomplete short right PENALTY UTAH Holding (Fano,Spencer) 10 yards from UTAH34 to UTAH24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+10
72.2%
Bryson Barnes run for 10 yds to the UTAH 34Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+11
71.5%
Jaylon Glover run for 11 yds to the UTAH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
68.9%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Munir McClain for 4 yds to the UTAH 49Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
67.7%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Jaylon GloverSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
65.2%
(01:11) Shotgun Johnson,Nate pass complete short middle to Parks,Money for 6 yards to the WASH08 (Muhammad,Jabbar) PENALTY UTAH Holding (Suguturaga,Miki) 10 yards from WASH14 to WASH24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 20
OPP 24
0
66.8%
Bryson Barnes pass intercepted Alphonzo Tuputala fumbled, recovered by UTAH Michael Mokofisi (00:46) Shotgun Barnes,Bryson pass intercepted by Tuputala,Alphonzo at WASH23 Tuputala,Alphonzo return 76 yards to the UTAH01 fumbled by Tuputala,Alphonzo at UTAH01 recovered by UTAH Mokofisi,Michael at UTAH01, End Of Play. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field is confirmed.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20SF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
80.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21PUNT
12 plays · 16 yds · 5:0187% → 86%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
86.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
86.3%
Dillon Johnson run for 7 yds to the WASH 47Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
86.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 4 yds to the UTAH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
87.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Tybo RogersSimilar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+10
87.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Germie Bernard for 10 yds to the UTAH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
87.8%
(13:28) PENALTY WASH False Start 5 yards from UTAH39 to UTAH44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+4
87.5%
Dillon Johnson run for 4 yds to the UTAH 48Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 19
OPP 48
+10
87.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 10 yds to the UTAH 38Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+4
87.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Germie Bernard for 4 yds to the UTAH 34Similar
Q4 10:40
4TH & 5
OPP 34
-10
87.1%
(10:47) Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass complete short left to Bernard,Germie for 15 yards to the UTAH19 (Battle,Miles) PENALTY WASH Holding (Johnson,Dillon) 10 yards from UTAH34 to UTAH44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 15
OPP 44
0
86.2%
Jack McCallister punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4417% → 15%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
83.0%
Jaylon Glover run for 6 yds to the UTAH 26Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-13
82.1%
(09:34) Shotgun Barnes,Bryson pass complete short right to Vele,Devaughn for 8 yards to the UTAH34 (Tuputala,Alphonzo) PENALTY UTAH Pass Interference (Suguturaga,Miki) 13 yards from UTAH26 to UTAH13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+10
83.3%
Bryson Barnes run for 10 yds to the UTAH 23Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
84.2%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:26
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
85.0%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Rome Odunze at the WASH 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23MISSED FG
17 plays · 50 yds · 6:4888% → 95%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
87.6%
Shotgun Johnson,Dillon rush left for 9 yards gain to the WASH44 (Bishop,Cole; Broughton,JaTravis) PENALTY WASH Holding (Fautanu,Troy) 10 yards from WASH35 to WASH25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+15
87.9%
(07:51) Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass incomplete deep left to Polk,Ja'Lynn PENALTY UTAH Pass Interference (Broughton,JaTravis) 15 yards from WASH25 to WASH40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
89.5%
Dillon Johnson run for 13 yds to the UTAH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
90.8%
Dillon Johnson run for 5 yds to the UTAH 42Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+4
91.4%
Dillon Johnson run for 4 yds to the UTAH 38Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
91.5%
Michael Penix Jr. run for no gain to the UTAH 38Similar
Q4 4:56
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+2
90.8%
Dillon Johnson run for 2 yds to the UTAH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
93.4%
Dillon Johnson run for no gain to the UTAH 36Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+10
93.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 10 yds to the UTAH 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
94.5%
Will Nixon run for 13 yds to the UTAH 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
96.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 5 yds to the UTAH 8Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+2
96.3%
Dillon Johnson run for 2 yds to the UTAH 6Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+9
96.1%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 9 yds to the UTAH 15Similar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 12
OPP 15
+2
95.2%
Grady Gross 32 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Connor O'Toole (01:46) Gross,Grady field goal attempt from 32 yards NO GOOD blocked by O'Toole,Connor (H: McCallister,Jack, LS: Green,Jaden), clock 01:38 recovered by UTAH Fotu,Tevita at UTAH16 Fotu,Tevita return 2 yards to the UTAH18 (Green,Jaden). , Tevita Fotu return for 2 yds to the UTAH 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24INT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:487% → 6%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
92.6%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Mikey MatthewsSimilar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
92.8%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Ja'Quinden JacksonSimilar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
93.3%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for no gain to the UTAH 18Similar
Q4 0:44
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
93.8%
Bryson Barnes pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 0:44
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
93.8%
Bryson Barnes pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · -17 yds · 0:4497% → 97%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-15
97.2%
PENALTY WASH UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from UTAH43 to WASH42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 25
OWN 42
-1
96.8%
M. Penix Jr. takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 26
OWN 41
-1
96.7%
M. Penix Jr. takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
SAFETY · Q3 0:24
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd for a SAFETY
+13.6
TD · Q3 4:09
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 33 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+12.3
TD · Q2 0:57
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 7 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)
-11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com