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STAN

Stanford 17 at Oregon State 62

ORST
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kneel down by GULBRANSON, Ben at STA47 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:23: Ashton Daniels run for 7 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK) — STAN win probability +2.9 pts (now 12%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:44: Damien Martinez run for 15 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +2.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:17: DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 40 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +3.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:15: Damien Martinez run for 5 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington PAT MISSED) — ORST win probability +3.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:09: DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 13 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +2.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 7:53STAN 4th & 13 at STAN 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:53ORST 4th & 1 at ORST 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    89.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:34ORST 4th & 16 at ORST 3, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:07STAN 4th & 19 at STAN 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.9
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:04STAN 4th & 6 at ORST 10, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00ORST 4th & 5 at STAN 34, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q4 14:02ORST 4th & 12 at STAN 43, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:11STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 23, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:58ORST 4th & 7 at ORST 36, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:52STAN 4th & 25 at STAN 40, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:10STAN 4th & 15 at ORST 45, down 45
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 9 of 9STAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:52ORST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:33ORST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:23STAN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:44ORST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:17ORST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:15ORST Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:09ORST Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:48ORST Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:43ORST Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 1:30STAN Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:54ORST Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1INT
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:319% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.4%
Justin Lamson run for no gain to the STAN 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
91.4%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 17 yds to the STAN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
91.4%
DANIELS, Ashton pass deep to the right incomplete intended for AYOMANOR, Elic broken up by ROBINSON, Jaden at the OSU20. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on ROBINSON, Jaden enforced 15 yards to the OSU43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
91.4%
Justin Lamson run for 1 yd to the ORST 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+2
91.4%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to E.J. Smith for 2 yds to the ORST 40Similar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
90.6%
Ashton Daniels pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 2:3791% → 91%
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
90.8%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the ORST 44Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+8
90.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 8 yds to the STAN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
90.9%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the STAN 46Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+39
90.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 39 yds to the STAN 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
90.9%
Damien Martinez run for 7 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:599% → 9%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 5 yds to the STAN 30Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
90.6%
Justin Lamson run for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 28Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-6
90.7%
Ashton Daniels sacked by Andrew Chatfield Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the STAN 22Similar
Q1 7:53
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
90.6%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:2090% → 92%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
90.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
90.4%
Damien Martinez run for 8 yds to the ORST 38Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+1
90.5%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 1 yd to the ORST 39Similar
Q1 7:53
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+2
90.4%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the ORST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
90.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+59
91.8%
Damien Martinez run for 59 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5INT
5 plays · 52 yds · 2:269% → 9%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+36
91.2%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 36 yds to the ORST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
91.0%
Tiger Bachmeier run for 15 yds to the ORST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
90.8%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+1
90.9%
E.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the ORST 23Similar
Q1 3:07
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
91.0%
Ashton Daniels pass intercepted for a 1ST down Oregon State Penalty, Personal Foul (Yards) to the ORST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:3392% → 91%
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
91.6%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd to the ORST 10Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 9
OWN 10
0
91.6%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:07
3RD & 9
OWN 10
-7
91.5%
Aidan Chiles sacked by Tevarua Tafiti for a loss of 7 yards to the ORST 3Similar
Q1 1:34
4TH & 16
OWN 3
0
91.2%
Josh Green punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7TD
3 plays · 35 yds · 1:1110% → 12%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
90.5%
Justin Lamson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 36Similar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+22
90.8%
Ashton Daniels run for 22 yds to the ORST 14 for a 1ST down Oregon State Penalty, Personal Foul (Jaden Robinson) to the ORST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
87.9%
Ashton Daniels run for 7 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 1:3589% → 92%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
89.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
89.0%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the ORST 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+61
88.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 61 yds to the STAN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
89.6%
Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the STAN 15Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+15
92.0%
Damien Martinez run for 15 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:379% → 9%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
91.0%
Ashton Daniels run for no gain to the STAN 14Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+24
91.1%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 24 yds to the STAN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
90.8%
Justin Lamson run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 37Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
90.9%
Stanford Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Justin Lamson) to the STAN 33Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 15
OWN 33
-4
91.1%
Ashton Daniels sacked by Calvin Hart Jr. and John McCartan for a loss of 4 yards to the STAN 29Similar
Q2 11:07
4TH & 19
OWN 29
0
91.1%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10TD
2 plays · 53 yds · 0:5092% → 95%
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
92.0%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 13 yds to the STAN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
95.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 40 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11FG
15 plays · 65 yds · 7:135% → 8%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.0%
E.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the STAN 26Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
94.9%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+18
95.0%
Ashton Daniels run for 18 yds to the STAN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
94.6%
Justin Lamson run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 43Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+12
94.7%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 12 yds to the ORST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
94.3%
Ryan Butler run for 2 yds to the ORST 43Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+13
94.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to E.J. Smith for 13 yds to the ORST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
94.1%
Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd to the ORST 29Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+5
94.2%
Justin Lamson run for 5 yds to the ORST 24Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+10
94.2%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 10 yds to the ORST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
94.0%
Justin Lamson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 15Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+5
94.2%
Justin Lamson run for 5 yds to the ORST 10Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
94.2%
Justin Lamson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:04
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+28
91.8%
Joshua Karty 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:4993% → 97%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
92.7%
Damien Martinez run for 11 yds to the ORST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
92.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
92.8%
Damien Martinez run for 11 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
93.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+18
93.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 18 yds to the STAN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+18
93.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 18 yds to the STAN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
93.0%
Damien Martinez run for 7 yds to the STAN 10Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+5
93.0%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 5 yds to the STAN 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
93.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.8%
Damien Martinez run for 5 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.0%
E.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the STAN 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:5197% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
96.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 20 yds to the ORST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
97.0%
Damien Martinez run for 7 yds to the STAN 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 48
-3
97.0%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+12
96.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 12 yds to the STAN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
97.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for a loss of 5 yards to the STAN 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 44
0
96.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 44
+10
96.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Damien Martinez for 10 yds to the STAN 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+6
96.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Damien Martinez for 6 yds to the STAN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
97.0%
Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the STAN 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+8
97.0%
Isaiah Newell run for 8 yds to the STAN 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
97.0%
Isaiah Newell run for 1 yd to the STAN 13Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+13
99.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 13 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15INT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:290% → 1%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 2 yds to the STAN 27Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
99.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 14 yds to the STAN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-18
99.5%
Ashton Daniels sacked for a loss of 18 yards to the STAN 23Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 28
OWN 23
0
99.6%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 28
OWN 23
0
99.5%
Ashton Daniels pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16TD
5 plays · 34 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
99.7%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 8 yds to the STAN 26Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+5
99.7%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 5 yds to the STAN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.7%
Aidan Chiles run for no gain to the STAN 21Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+20
99.7%
Aidan Chiles run for 20 yds to the STAN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Aidan Chiles run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:380% → 0%
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
E.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the STAN 27Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Justin Lamson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 18TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.8%
Isaiah Newell run for 1 yd to the ORST 43Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+5
99.8%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 5 yds to the ORST 48Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+15
99.8%
CHILES, Aidan pass to the right incomplete intended for NEWELL, Isaiah thrown to the STA46. PENALTY STA Unnecessary Roughness on JORGENSEN, Spencer enforced 15 yards from the OSU48 to the STA37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
99.8%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 37 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
99.8%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 75 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:28100% → 100%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.8%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jimmy Valsin III for 13 yds to the ORST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+21
99.8%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 21 yds to the STAN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Isaiah Newell run for no gain to the STAN 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-2
99.8%
Isaiah Newell run for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:02
4TH & 12
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Josh Green punt for 37 yds, downed at the STAN 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:510% → 0%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+17
99.9%
Ashton Daniels run for 17 yds to the STAN 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Justin Lamson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Justin Lamson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Justin Lamson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:11
4TH & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the ORST 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
99.9%
Oregon State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ORST 28Similar
Q4 13:11
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
Isaiah Newell run for 5 yds to the ORST 33Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
Isaiah Newell run for 3 yds to the ORST 36Similar
Q4 13:11
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:58
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Josh Green punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Bryce Farrell at the STAN 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:060% → 0%
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
Justin Lamson run for 2 yds to the STAN 24Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+21
99.9%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Jackson Harris for 21 yds to the STAN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
99.9%
Justin Lamson run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 44Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+11
99.9%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 11 yds to the ORST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Justin Lamson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Justin Lamson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 10
OPP 45
-15
99.9%
LAMSON, Justin scrambles to the right for a gain of 12 yards to the OSU33 (CHISOM, Isaiah). PENALTY STA Block below the waist on SMITH, E.J. enforced 15 yards from the OSU45 to the STA40 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 25
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Justin Lamson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 25
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 24TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:58100% → 100%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
99.9%
Jake Reichle run for 11 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
99.9%
Jake Reichle run for 15 yds to the STAN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
99.9%
Stanford Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Braden Marceau-Olayinka) to the STAN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.9%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Riley Sharp for 28 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 25DOWNS
11 plays · 29 yds · 3:440% → 0%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
Justin Lamson run for 7 yds to the STAN 32Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
99.9%
Justin Lamson run for 1 yd to the STAN 33Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Justin Lamson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+10
100.0%
LAMSON, Justin pass short up the middle incomplete intended for BACHMEIER, Tiger broken up by YOUNG, Jaydin at the STA36, clock 04:24. PENALTY OSU Holding on YOUNG, Jaydin enforced 10 yards from the STA33 to the STA43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Justin Lamson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Justin Lamson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+17
100.0%
Justin Lamson run for 17 yds to the ORST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Sam Roush for no gain to the ORST 40Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-5
100.0%
Justin Lamson sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the ORST 45Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 15
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Justin Lamson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 15
OPP 45
-1
100.0%
Justin Lamson sacked by Isaiah Chisom for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:10100% → 100%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
100.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 6 yds to the STAN 48Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+5
100.0%
Isaiah Newell run for 5 yds to the STAN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Kneel down by GULBRANSON, Ben at STA45 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Kneel down by GULBRANSON, Ben at STA47 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:15
Damien Martinez run for 5 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington PAT MISSED)
+3.8
TD · Q2 10:17
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 40 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+3.1
TD · Q1 0:23
Ashton Daniels run for 7 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)
-2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com