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STAN

Stanford 10 at Washington State 7

WSU
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:23 · Justin Lamson run for no gain to the WSU 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 94Pregame prior+18.6Home team on offense+3.3Score differential+1.3Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:55: Justin Lamson run for 1 yd for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK) — STAN win probability +18.4 pts (now 43%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:54: Cameron Ward pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 18 yds to the WSU 43 for a 1ST down — WSU win probability +9.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 5:56: Joshua Karty 31 yd FG GOOD — STAN win probability +17.7 pts (now 68%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:48: Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 5 yds to the WSU 21 — WSU win probability +11.9 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:51: Justin Lamson run for no gain to the STAN 49 — STAN win probability +8.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10STAN made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:50WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    81.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:05WSU 4th & 6 at STAN 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:26STAN 4th & 8 at STAN 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:52WSU 4th & 3 at STAN 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:35STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:36WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:40STAN 4th & 20 at STAN 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−1.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:19WSU 4th & 2 at STAN 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    76.7%−0.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    76.3%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:16STAN 4th & 3 at WSU 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:10STAN 4th & 22 at STAN 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−1.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:10WSU 4th & 18 at WSU 2, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−3.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:23STAN 4th & 1 at WSU 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    20.5%−1.3
    84% to make
    Punt
    15.8%−6.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:09STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:13WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    81.4%−1.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:13WSU 4th & 17 at WSU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−4.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:56WSU 4th & 17 at STAN 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−5.8
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    47.9%−14.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:17STAN 4th & 1 at WSU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    37.7%−7.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    18.8%−26.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:56STAN 4th & 3 at WSU 13, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.8%−2.4
    85% to make
    Punt
    21.3%−26.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:08WSU 4th & 5 at WSU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:36STAN 4th & 1 at STAN 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    71.7%−8.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1STAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 6:18WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:55STAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:5483% → 82%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
83.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 7 yds to the WSU 32Similar
Q1 14:37
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
83.0%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:34
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
82.9%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 2 yds to the WSU 34Similar
Q1 13:50
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+4
82.7%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 4 yds to the WSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
82.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 9 yds to the WSU 47Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+2
82.7%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
82.6%
Washington State Penalty, Illegal Formation (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+5
82.4%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 5 yds to the STAN 47Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
82.4%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for no gain to the STAN 47Similar
Q1 11:05
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
82.0%
Nick Haberer punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3318% → 18%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
81.9%
Ashton Daniels run for 4 yds to the STAN 22Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 6
OWN 22
-2
81.7%
Sedrick Irvin run for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 20Similar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 8
OWN 20
0
81.7%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:26
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
81.7%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:3282% → 81%
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
81.8%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-5
81.7%
Cameron Ward run for a loss of 5 yards to the WSU 41 Cameron Ward fumbled, recovered by WSU Cameron Ward (09:16) [NHSG] QB Keeper WARD, Cameron rush up the middle for a loss of 5 yards, WARD, Cameron fumbled at WSU46 , recovered by WSU WARD, Cameron at the WSU41, returned 0 yards to the WSU41, End of Play, clock 09:00.Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 15
OWN 41
+5
81.1%
(08:41) WARD, Cameron pass deep to the left incomplete intended for HERNANDEZ, Carlos thrown to the STA32, clock 08:39. PENALTY STA Offsides on AYBAR, Wilfredo enforced 5 yards from the WSU41 to the WSU46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+7
81.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Andre Dollar for 7 yds to the STAN 47Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+7
81.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Andre Dollar for 7 yds to the STAN 47Similar
Q1 7:52
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
81.1%
Nick Haberer punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 3:1719% → 20%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
80.9%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
80.9%
QB Keeper DANIELS, Ashton rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the STA25 (HICKS, Jaden), out of bounds. PENALTY WSU Offsides on LAMPKIN, Cam enforced 5 yards from the STA20 to the STA25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
80.8%
Justin Lamson run for 2 yds to the STAN 27Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+5
80.9%
Justin Lamson run for 5 yds to the STAN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
80.8%
Bryce Farrell run for a loss of 3 yards to the STAN 29Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+3
80.9%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 3 yds to the STAN 32Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
81.0%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
81.0%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
80.2%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5980% → 79%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
79.9%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
79.8%
Kyle Williams run for 1 yd to the WSU 30Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
79.5%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
79.0%
Nick Haberer punt for 62 yds, downed at the STAN 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 17 yds · 4:5620% → 22%
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
79.6%
Justin Lamson run for 2 yds to the STAN 10Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+4
79.5%
Justin Lamson run for 4 yds to the STAN 14Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+6
79.7%
Ashton Daniels run for 6 yds to the STAN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
79.4%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 4 yds to the STAN 24Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
79.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to E.J. Smith for 3 yds to the STAN 27Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+8
77.8%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 8 yds to the STAN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
77.5%
E.J. Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 34Similar
Q2 14:27
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
77.6%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:23
3RD & 11
OWN 34
-9
78.1%
Ashton Daniels sacked by Brennan Jackson and Nusi Malani for a loss of 9 yards to the STAN 25Similar
Q2 13:40
4TH & 20
OWN 25
0
78.4%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 29 yds · 1:4679% → 77%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
79.3%
Stanford Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the STAN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
79.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 10 yds to the STAN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
79.3%
Stanford Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the STAN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
79.6%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
79.6%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+8
79.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 8 yds to the STAN 30Similar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+1
78.8%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 1 yd to the STAN 29Similar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
76.7%
(11:48) DANIELS, Ashton pass deep to the left incomplete intended for AYOMANOR, Elic broken up by HALL, Stephen at the STA48, clock 11:47. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on HALL, Stephen enforced 15 yards to the STA44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:3223% → 24%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
76.7%
(11:48) DANIELS, Ashton pass deep to the left incomplete intended for AYOMANOR, Elic broken up by HALL, Stephen at the STA48, clock 11:47. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on HALL, Stephen enforced 15 yards to the STA44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
75.7%
Ashton Daniels run for 2 yds to the STAN 46Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+5
75.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 5 yds to the WSU 49Similar
Q2 10:27
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
74.9%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
75.6%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:4577% → 83%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
77.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for no gain to the WSU 20Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+23
77.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 23 yds to the WSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
78.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Cooper Mathers for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 3
50
+4
78.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 4 yds to the STAN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
78.6%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for no gain to the STAN 46Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+39
78.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 39 yds to the STAN 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
78.7%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 9Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
78.6%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
83.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 9 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10PUNT
14 plays · 11 yds · 2:0718% → 17%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-59
81.9%
(06:17) DANIELS, Ashton pass deep to the right complete for 59 yards to AYOMANOR, Elic caught at the WSU35 and advanced to the WSU16 (LAMPKIN, Cam), clock 06:07. PENALTY STA Pass Interference on AYOMANOR, Elic enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards to the STA13 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-59
81.9%
(06:17) DANIELS, Ashton pass deep to the right complete for 59 yards to AYOMANOR, Elic caught at the WSU35 and advanced to the WSU16 (LAMPKIN, Cam), clock 06:07. PENALTY STA Pass Interference on AYOMANOR, Elic enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards to the STA13 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+6
82.0%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 6 yds to the STAN 19Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+10
82.1%
(05:14) DANIELS, Ashton pass short to the right complete for 6 yards to IRVIN, Sedrick caught at the STA21 and advanced to the STA25 (EDSON, Andrew), clock 05:02. PENALTY WSU Holding on HALL, Stephen enforced 10 yards from the STA19 to the STA29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+10
82.1%
(05:14) DANIELS, Ashton pass short to the right complete for 6 yards to IRVIN, Sedrick caught at the STA21 and advanced to the STA25 (EDSON, Andrew), clock 05:02. PENALTY WSU Holding on HALL, Stephen enforced 10 yards from the STA19 to the STA29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
81.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sedrick Irvin for 4 yds to the STAN 33Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
81.2%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+15
81.8%
(04:41) DANIELS, Ashton pass deep to the left incomplete intended for AYOMANOR, Elic thrown to the WSU50, clock 04:37. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on HALL, Stephen enforced 15 yards to the STA48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+15
81.8%
(04:41) DANIELS, Ashton pass deep to the left incomplete intended for AYOMANOR, Elic thrown to the WSU50, clock 04:37. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on HALL, Stephen enforced 15 yards to the STA48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
80.4%
Stanford Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Ashton Daniels) to the STAN 36Similar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
80.4%
Stanford Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Ashton Daniels) to the STAN 36Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 22
OWN 36
0
81.9%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 22
OWN 36
0
82.5%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 22
OWN 36
0
82.8%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:5182% → 80%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
81.8%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
81.7%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 10
OWN 10
-8
81.1%
Cameron Ward run for a loss of 8 yards to the WSU 2Similar
Q2 3:10
4TH & 18
OWN 2
0
80.3%
Nick Haberer punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 1:3520% → 21%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
79.9%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
79.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 8 yds to the WSU 38Similar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+15
78.9%
(02:31) DANIELS, Ashton pass deep to the left incomplete intended for FARRELL, Bryce thrown to the WSU10, clock 02:29. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on GUSHIKEN, Kapena enforced 15 yards to the WSU23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+15
78.9%
(02:31) DANIELS, Ashton pass deep to the left incomplete intended for FARRELL, Bryce thrown to the WSU10, clock 02:29. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on GUSHIKEN, Kapena enforced 15 yards to the WSU23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
77.8%
Justin Lamson run for 6 yds to the WSU 17Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+3
77.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 3 yds to the WSU 14Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 1
OPP 14
0
78.2%
Justin Lamson run for no gain to the WSU 14Similar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 1
OPP 14
0
79.1%
Justin Lamson run for no gain to the WSU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13END OF HALF
8 plays · 66 yds · 1:1881% → 84%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
80.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 6 yds to the WSU 20Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+11
80.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 11 yds to the WSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
80.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 4 yds to the WSU 35Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+1
81.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 1 yd to the WSU 36Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+10
80.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 10 yds to the WSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
82.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Cooper Mathers for 10 yds to the STAN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+24
83.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 24 yds to the STAN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:4619% → 19%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
80.9%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 10 yds to the STAN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
80.8%
E.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the STAN 27Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+9
81.0%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to E.J. Smith for 9 yds to the STAN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
80.3%
Ashton Daniels run for 13 yds to the STAN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
79.1%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
79.7%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
80.3%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:09
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
81.3%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15INT
12 plays · 32 yds · 5:3682% → 85%
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
81.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 4 yds to the WSU 20Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+5
81.4%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 5 yds to the WSU 25Similar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+1
80.9%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 1 yd to the WSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
81.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 3 yds to the WSU 29Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
82.8%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+6
82.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Cameron Johnson for 6 yds to the WSU 35Similar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+2
82.0%
Cameron Ward run for 2 yds to the WSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
83.3%
Lincoln Victor run for 5 yds to the WSU 42Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
85.0%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 2 yds to the WSU 44Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+4
84.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 4 yds to the WSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
85.2%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
84.9%
Cameron Ward pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 3:2222% → 43%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
78.0%
Ashton Daniels run for 8 yds to the WSU 45Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+4
77.0%
Ashton Daniels run for 4 yds to the WSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
77.4%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+9
77.4%
Bryce Farrell run for 9 yds to the WSU 32Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+4
77.4%
Justin Lamson run for 4 yds to the WSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+27
75.7%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Sam Roush for 27 yds to the WSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
57.3%
Justin Lamson run for 1 yd for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:4167% → 63%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
66.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 18 yds to the WSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
69.6%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 2 yds to the WSU 45Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
69.7%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:51
3RD & 8
OWN 45
-9
67.0%
Cameron Ward sacked by Tevarua Tafiti and Jaxson Moi for a loss of 9 yards to the WSU 36Similar
Q3 1:13
4TH & 17
OWN 36
0
63.2%
Nick Haberer punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Bryce Farrell at the STAN 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18INT
3 plays · -5 yds · 1:0238% → 36%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
62.3%
(01:07) LAMSON, Justin pass up the middle complete for 0 yards to BAKLENKO, Luke caught at the STA17 and advanced to the STA20 (THORNTON, Kyle), clock 00:56. PENALTY STA Illegal Touch-Pass on BAKLENKO, Luke enforced 5 yards from the STA20 to the STA15, penalty results in a loss of down [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 15
OWN 15
0
62.7%
Justin Lamson run for no gain to the STAN 15Similar
Q3 0:05
3RD & 15
OWN 15
0
63.8%
Ashton Daniels pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19MISSED FG
7 plays · 9 yds · 3:0571% → 62%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
71.0%
John Mateer run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 36Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 11
OPP 36
0
69.9%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+17
68.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Cooper Mathers for 17 yds to the STAN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
70.7%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 9 yds to the STAN 10Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 1
OPP 10
-11
70.5%
Cameron Ward sacked by Anthony Franklin for a loss of 11 yards to the STAN 21Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 12
OPP 21
-5
67.6%
Cameron Ward sacked by Mitch Leigber for a loss of 5 yards to the STAN 26Similar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 17
OPP 26
+43
61.9%
Dean Janikowski 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20FG
13 plays · 61 yds · 5:5840% → 68%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
59.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 10 yds to the STAN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
57.7%
Ashton Daniels run for 2 yds to the STAN 38Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
56.4%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+30
57.9%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 30 yds to the WSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
51.9%
Justin Lamson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 33Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+1
51.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 1 yd to the WSU 32Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+9
53.4%
Justin Lamson run for 9 yds to the WSU 23Similar
Q4 8:17
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+3
55.7%
Justin Lamson run for 3 yds to the WSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
50.3%
Justin Lamson run for 6 yds to the WSU 14Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+1
48.6%
Bryce Farrell run for 1 yd to the WSU 13Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 3
OPP 13
0
49.9%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:56
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+31
32.2%
Joshua Karty 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4044% → 38%
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
44.1%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 5 yds to the WSU 21Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 5
OWN 21
0
42.9%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 5
OWN 21
0
39.6%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:08
4TH & 5
OWN 21
0
38.1%
Nick Haberer punt for 56 yds, downed at the STAN 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 22END OF GAME
14 plays · 22 yds · 4:4167% → 94%
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
32.6%
Justin Lamson run for 2 yds to the STAN 25Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+2
31.1%
Justin Lamson run for 2 yds to the STAN 27Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+11
30.2%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 11 yds to the STAN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
23.4%
Sedrick Irvin run for 2 yds to the STAN 40Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+5
22.1%
Justin Lamson run for 5 yds to the STAN 45Similar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+2
19.1%
Justin Lamson run for 2 yds to the STAN 47Similar
Q4 2:36
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+2
20.7%
Justin Lamson run for 2 yds to the STAN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
11.8%
Justin Lamson run for no gain to the STAN 49Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-3
9.1%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the STAN 46Similar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 13
OWN 46
-1
6.2%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:55
Justin Lamson run for 1 yd for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)
-18.4
FG · Q4 5:56
Joshua Karty 31 yd FG GOOD
-17.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 5:48
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 5 yds to the WSU 21
+11.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com