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ASU

Arizona State 3 at Utah 55

UTAH
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:16 · Daniel Wood run for no gain to the ASU 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Home team on offense+34.0Pregame prior+3.2Score differential+29.1Blowout margin+16.1Garbage-time factor+13.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+14.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:37: Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 3 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK) — UTAH win probability +2.6 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 3:08: Dario Longhetto 35 yd FG GOOD — ASU win probability +0.8 pts (now 19%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 4:05: Cole Becker 30 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +2.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:54: Bryson Barnes pass complete to Munir McClain for 20 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK) — UTAH win probability +7.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:26: Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 54 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK) — UTAH win probability +4.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ASU made the numbers' call on 13 of 13
  1. Q1 10:15ASU 4th & 9 at ASU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:01ASU 4th & 3 at UTAH 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    20.6%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−3.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:08ASU 4th & 16 at UTAH 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−1.0
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    16.9%−2.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:20UTAH 4th & 9 at UTAH 38, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:36ASU 4th & 7 at ASU 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:30UTAH 4th & 17 at ASU 19, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    75.9%−4.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:32ASU 4th & 12 at ASU 18, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:05UTAH 4th & 3 at ASU 11, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.1%−0.4
    87% to make
    Punt
    77.8%−3.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:35ASU 4th & 7 at ASU 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:17ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:35ASU 4th & 8 at ASU 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:41ASU 4th & 25 at ASU 35, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:10UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 30, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:47UTAH 4th & 7 at ASU 25, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:30ASU 4th & 2 at ASU 33, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:47ASU 4th & 5 at ASU 30, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:46ASU 4th & 4 at UTAH 49, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:16UTAH 4th & 1 at ASU 35, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:40ASU 4th & 1 at ASU 44, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:08UTAH 4th & 3 at ASU 22, up 45
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:36UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:37UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:54UTAH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:26UTAH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:59UTAH Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:04UTAH Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:08UTAH Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:1878% → 79%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
78.3%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds to the UTAH 30Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+14
78.3%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Landen King for 14 yds to the UTAH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
78.3%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 11 yds to the ASU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
78.3%
Bryson Barnes run for 7 yds to the ASU 38Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+3
78.3%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 3 yds to the ASU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
78.3%
Arizona State Penalty, Personal Foul (10 Yards) to the ASU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
78.3%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the ASU 11Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
78.7%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 11 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2122% → 22%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.3%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Kyson Brown for no gain to the ASU 25Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.3%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Kyson Brown for 1 yd to the ASU 26Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
78.4%
Trenton Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
78.5%
Ian Hershey punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mikey Matthews at the UTAH 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:3879% → 81%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
78.5%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the UTAH 40Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+15
78.7%
Arizona State Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the ASU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
78.8%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 4 yds to the ASU 25Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+3
78.8%
Money Parks run for 3 yds to the ASU 22Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+14
78.7%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Dijon Stanley for 14 yds to the ASU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
78.8%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
78.8%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the ASU 3Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
81.4%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 3 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4FG
9 plays · 4 yds · 3:1620% → 19%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
79.8%
Kaleb Black run for 2 yds to the UTAH 19Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+1
79.8%
Cameron Skattebo run for 1 yd to the UTAH 18Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+4
80.0%
Cameron Skattebo run for 4 yds to the UTAH 14Similar
Q1 4:01
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+3
81.1%
Cameron Skattebo run for 3 yds to the UTAH 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-6
80.7%
Kaleb Black run for a loss of 6 yards to the UTAH 17Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 16
OPP 17
0
81.1%
Jacob Conover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 16
OPP 17
0
81.5%
Jacob Conover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:08
4TH & 16
OPP 17
+35
80.7%
Dario Longhetto 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:4280% → 80%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
79.9%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
79.9%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 4 yds to the UTAH 31Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+6
79.7%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Money Parks for 6 yds to the UTAH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
80.1%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
80.0%
Jaylon Glover run for 1 yd to the UTAH 38Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
79.9%
BARNES, Bryson pass to the right incomplete intended for VELE, Devaughn thrown to the UTE45. PENALTY UTE Illegal Touch-Pass on VELE, Devaughn enforced 0 yards from the UTE38 to the UTE38, penalty results in a loss of down [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:20
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
79.7%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:4420% → 19%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
80.2%
Jacob Conover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+5
80.3%
Utah Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the ASU 19Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+6
80.2%
Cameron Skattebo run for 6 yds to the ASU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
80.1%
Elijhah Badger run for 1 yd to the ASU 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
80.2%
Cameron Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ASU 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
80.4%
Jacob Conover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:36
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
81.1%
Ian Hershey punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Mikey Matthews at the UTAH 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7MISSED FG
11 plays · 45 yds · 4:0682% → 82%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
81.5%
Bryson Barnes run for 17 yds to the ASU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
82.0%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 7 yds to the ASU 40Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+17
82.0%
Bryson Barnes run for 17 yds to the ASU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
82.0%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the ASU 22Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
82.0%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+10
81.7%
Bryson Barnes run for 10 yds to the ASU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
82.0%
Bryson Barnes run for 4 yds to the ASU 8Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 6
OPP 8
-15
82.0%
Utah Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Sataoa Laumea) to the ASU 23Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 21
OPP 23
+5
81.7%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 5 yds to the ASU 18Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 16
OPP 18
-1
81.4%
Bryson Barnes sacked by B.J. Green II and Clayton Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 19Similar
Q2 9:30
4TH & 17
OPP 19
+37
81.9%
Cole Becker 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5818% → 18%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
81.6%
Jacob Conover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
81.7%
Jacob Conover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-2
82.1%
Jacob Conover sacked by Connor O'Toole for a loss of 2 yards to the ASU 18Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
82.5%
Ian Hershey punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Mikey Matthews at the UTAH 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 4:2783% → 86%
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
83.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
50
0
83.3%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 10
50
+4
83.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 4 yds to the ASU 46Similar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+14
82.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 14 yds to the ASU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
83.5%
Jaylon Glover run for 14 yds to the ASU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
83.5%
Money Parks run for 5 yds to the ASU 13Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 5
OPP 13
0
83.5%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+2
83.2%
Bryson Barnes run for 2 yds to the ASU 11Similar
Q2 4:05
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+30
85.9%
Cole Becker 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:3015% → 14%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
85.3%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Kaleb Black for a loss of 2 yards to the ASU 23Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+10
85.4%
BOURGUET, Trenton pass deep to the right incomplete intended for TYSON, Jordyn thrown to the ASU45. PENALTY UTE Holding on BROUGHTON, JaTravis enforced 10 yards from the ASU23 to the ASU33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
85.1%
Cameron Skattebo run for 3 yds to the ASU 36Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
84.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
85.7%
Trenton Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:35
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
86.1%
Ian Hershey punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Mikey Matthews at the UTAH 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 1:3587% → 95%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
87.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the UTAH 35Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+7
87.3%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Landen King for 7 yds to the UTAH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
87.7%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Money Parks for 5 yds to the UTAH 47Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
87.7%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+9
87.3%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 9 yds to the ASU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
87.7%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+7
87.7%
Jaylon Glover run for 7 yds to the ASU 37Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+12
87.5%
Jaylon Glover run for 12 yds to the ASU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
87.9%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 5 yds to the ASU 20Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+20
95.3%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Munir McClain for 20 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:376% → 6%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
93.8%
Jacob Conover pass complete to Troy Omeire for 8 yds to the ASU 33Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
93.3%
Jacob Conover pass complete to Troy Omeire for 6 yds to the ASU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
93.5%
Jacob Conover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
93.6%
Jacob Conover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
93.8%
Jacob Conover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
94.0%
Ian Hershey punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
95.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds to the UTAH 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:156% → 5%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
93.8%
Cameron Skattebo run for no gain to the ASU 21Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-7
93.9%
Jacob Conover sacked by Jonah Elliss for a loss of 7 yards to the ASU 14Similar
Q3 14:50
3RD & 17
OWN 14
-5
94.0%
Arizona State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Dashaun Mallory) to the ASU 9Similar
Q3 14:50
3RD & 22
OWN 9
+14
94.1%
Jacob Conover run for 14 yds to the ASU 23Similar
Q3 12:35
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
94.6%
Ian Hershey punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15TD
1 play · 54 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
98.8%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 54 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:401% → 1%
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
98.9%
Jacob Conover pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
98.9%
Kyson Brown run for 6 yds to the ASU 30Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+20
98.8%
Jacob Conover pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
50
0
98.8%
Jacob Conover pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 10
50
-10
98.8%
Shawn Charles sacked by Levani Damuni and Jonah Elliss for a loss of 10 yards to the ASU 40Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 20
OWN 40
-5
98.9%
Arizona State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Dashaun Mallory) to the ASU 35Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 25
OWN 35
0
98.9%
Jacob Conover pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:41
4TH & 25
OWN 35
0
99.2%
Ian Hershey punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Mikey Matthews at the UTAH 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3199% → 99%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Jaylon Glover run for no gain to the UTAH 25Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.2%
Jaylon Glover run for 5 yds to the UTAH 30Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.2%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.2%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 42 yds , returns for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18INT
4 plays · -6 yds · 2:071% → 1%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.3%
run for no gain to the ASU 18Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-41
99.3%
SKATTEBO, Cam pass deep to the left complete for 41 yards to OMEIRE, Troy caught at the UTE47 and advanced to the UTE41 (VAKI, Sione). PENALTY ASU Pass Interference on OMEIRE, Troy enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards to the ASU9 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 19
OWN 9
+3
99.4%
run for 3 yds to the ASU 12Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 16
OWN 12
0
99.5%
Jacob Conover pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:16100% → 100%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
99.5%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Jaylon Glover for 3 yds to the ASU 25Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+4
99.5%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the ASU 21Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+1
99.5%
Jaylon Glover run for 1 yd to the ASU 20Similar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 2
OPP 20
-5
99.4%
Utah Penalty, False Start (Michael Mokofisi) to the ASU 25Similar
Q3 3:47
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+43
99.6%
Cole Becker 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.6%
Kyson Brown run for 4 yds to the ASU 29Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.5%
Cameron Skattebo pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
99.5%
run for 4 yds to the ASU 33Similar
Q3 2:30
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.7%
Kyson Brown run for 1 yd to the ASU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21TD
8 plays · 34 yds · 4:31100% → 100%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
99.7%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Money Parks for 6 yds to the ASU 28Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+7
99.7%
Jaylon Glover run for 7 yds to the ASU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.7%
Jaylon Glover run for no gain to the ASU 21Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-1
99.8%
Jaylon Glover run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+20
99.8%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Landen King for 20 yds to the ASU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.7%
Jaylon Glover run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 3Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.7%
run for 1 yd to the ASU 2Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Landen King for 2 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Cameron Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ASU 27Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Cameron Skattebo run for 3 yds to the ASU 30Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Jacob Conover pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:47
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Ian Hershey punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Mikey Matthews at the UTAH 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:43100% → 100%
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.9%
Charlie Vincent run for 1 yd to the UTAH 41Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+59
99.9%
Nate Johnson run for 59 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:180% → 0%
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Jacob Conover pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 1 yd to the ASU 26Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
Jacob Conover run for 4 yds to the ASU 30Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
99.9%
Utah Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the ASU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Jacob Conover pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.9%
Jacob Conover pass complete to Kyson Brown for 6 yds to the UTAH 49Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Jacob Conover pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 4
OPP 49
-7
99.9%
Jacob Conover sacked by Aliki Vimahi for a loss of 7 yards to the ASU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:30100% → 100%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-12
99.9%
Dijon Stanley run for a loss of 12 yards to the UTAH 44 Dijon Stanley fumbled, recovered by UTAH Dijon Stanley [NHSG] STANLEY, Dijon rush up the middle for a loss of 12 yards, STANLEY, Dijon fumbled at ASU47 , recovered by UTE STANLEY, Dijon at the UTE44, returned 0 yards to the UTE44, End of Play.Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 22
OWN 44
+1
99.9%
Charlie Vincent run for 1 yd to the UTAH 45Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 21
OWN 45
+20
99.9%
Nate Johnson run for 20 yds to the ASU 35Similar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 1
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Daniel Wood run for no gain to the ASU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:360% → 0%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Tevin White run for 2 yds to the ASU 37Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Tevin White run for 2 yds to the ASU 39Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+5
99.9%
Javen Jacobs run for 5 yds to the ASU 44Similar
Q4 4:40
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Javen Jacobs run for no gain to the ASU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 27TD
8 plays · 44 yds · 4:32100% → 100%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.9%
Dijon Stanley run for 5 yds to the ASU 39Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+3
100.0%
Dijon Stanley run for 3 yds to the ASU 36Similar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+7
100.0%
Dijon Stanley run for 7 yds to the ASU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
100.0%
Dijon Stanley run for 1 yd to the ASU 28Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 9
OPP 28
-3
100.0%
Dijon Stanley run for a loss of 3 yards to the ASU 31Similar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+9
100.0%
Charlie Vincent run for 9 yds to the ASU 22Similar
Q4 0:08
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+22
100.0%
Charlie Vincent run for 22 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
100.0%
Javen Jacobs run for 3 yds to the ASU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:54
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Munir McClain for 20 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)
+7.5
TD · Q3 12:26
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 54 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)
+4.2
FG · Q2 4:05
Cole Becker 30 yd FG GOOD
+2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com