Try the model
ORE

Oregon 35 at Utah 6

UTAH
2023 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:35 · Ross James punt for 49 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 125Home team on offense−50.0Score differential−34.5Pregame prior−4.2Garbage-time factor−17.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 3:45: Cole Becker 32 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +2.2 pts (now 33%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:18: Bo Nix pass complete to Jordan James for 18 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +3.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Cole Becker 30 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +2.6 pts (now 20%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:44: Bucky Irving run for 9 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +9.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:08: Traeshon Holden run for 5 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +3.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 9ORE made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 7:28UTAH 4th & 1 at ORE 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    35.1%−0.4
    66% to make
    Punt
    33.8%−1.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:45UTAH 4th & 9 at ORE 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−2.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:06UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 44, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:58ORE 4th & 3 at ORE 27, up 18
    Close callPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:51UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 44, down 18
    Close callPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:22ORE 4th & 5 at ORE 15, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−1.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:19UTAH 4th & 1 at ORE 30, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.4%−0.3
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    19.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    17.8%−1.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:59UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 25, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:39UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 28, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:15ORE 4th & 3 at ORE 29, up 29
    Close callPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:44UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 23, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:35ORE 4th & 5 at UTAH 49, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:24UTAH 4th & 7 at ORE 28, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:01ORE 4th & 2 at ORE 36, up 29
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:18ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:18ORE Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:44ORE Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:08ORE Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4271% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+9
29.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 9 yds to the ORE 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
29.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 12 yds to the ORE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
29.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 7 yds to the ORE 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+30
29.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 30 yds to the UTAH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
29.0%
Utah Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the UTAH 17Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 17
+16
29.0%
Bucky Irving run for 16 yds to the UTAH 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.1%
Bo Nix run for 1 yd for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2DOWNS
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:5029% → 30%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
29.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 4 yds to the UTAH 29Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
29.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds to the UTAH 31Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+14
29.4%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Munir McClain for 14 yds to the UTAH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
29.6%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
29.5%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 8 yds to the ORE 47Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
29.6%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for no gain to the ORE 47Similar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+13
29.5%
BARNES, Bryson pass deep to the left incomplete intended for VELE, Devaughn thrown to the DUC30. PENALTY DUC Pass Interference on JACKSON, Khyree enforced at the spot of the foul for 13 yards to the DUC34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
29.7%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
29.7%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the ORE 29Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+4
29.6%
Bryson Barnes run for 4 yds to the ORE 25Similar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 1
OPP 25
0
30.4%
Bryson Barnes run for no gain to the ORE 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3FUMBLE
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
29.6%
Bucky Irving run for 2 yds to the ORE 27 Bucky Irving fumbled, recovered by UTAH Junior Tafuna [NHSG] IRVING, Bucky rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards, IRVING, Bucky fumbled at DUC27 forced by TAFUNA, Junior, recovered by UTE TAFUNA, Junior at the DUC27, returned 0 yards to the DUC27, End of Play, clock 07:06.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:2131% → 33%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
31.1%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the ORE 24Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+2
31.1%
Sione Vaki run for 2 yds to the ORE 22Similar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+7
30.7%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Jaylon Glover for 7 yds to the ORE 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
31.1%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-3
31.1%
Sione Vaki run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORE 18Similar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 13
OPP 18
+4
30.5%
Bryson Barnes run for 4 yds to the ORE 14Similar
Q1 3:45
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+32
32.7%
Cole Becker 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2768% → 73%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
32.4%
Bo Nix run for 3 yds to the ORE 28Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
32.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 13 yds to the ORE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
31.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Patrick Herbert for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 1
50
+5
31.4%
Bucky Irving run for 5 yds to the UTAH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
31.5%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+3
31.5%
Bucky Irving run for 3 yds to the UTAH 42Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+19
31.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 19 yds to the UTAH 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
31.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 5 yds to the UTAH 18Similar
Q1 0:18
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+18
27.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Jordan James for 18 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 3:0628% → 28%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
28.2%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Money Parks for 1 yd to the UTAH 26Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
28.2%
Bryson Barnes pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
27.6%
Bryson Barnes pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:2322% → 17%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
21.6%
Bryson Barnes run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 23Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
21.5%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Money Parks for 5 yds to the UTAH 28Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+16
21.4%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 16 yds to the UTAH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-11
22.4%
Bryson Barnes sacked by Khyree Jackson for a loss of 11 yards to the UTAH 33Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 21
OWN 33
0
21.5%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 21
OWN 33
+11
21.4%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 11 yds to the UTAH 44Similar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
20.4%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
17.4%
NIX, Bo pass short to the right incomplete intended for FRANKLIN, Troy thrown to the DUC25. PENALTY DUC Holding on HERBERT, Patrick enforced 10 yards from the DUC20 to the DUC10 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8TD
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:3582% → 82%
Q2 12:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
18.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 3 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
18.5%
Bucky Irving run for 7 yds to the UTAH 23Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+6
18.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 6 yds to the UTAH 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
18.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 5 yds to the UTAH 12Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+9
18.2%
Bucky Irving run for 9 yds to the UTAH 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0883% → 82%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+11
16.6%
Jordan James run for 11 yds to the ORE 21Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
17.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Jordan James for 4 yds to the ORE 25Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+2
17.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 2 yds to the ORE 27Similar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
18.0%
Ross James punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Mikey Matthews at the UTAH 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 4:0720% → 18%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
19.5%
Sione Vaki run for 4 yds to the UTAH 29Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
19.6%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 4 yds to the UTAH 33Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
20.0%
Jaylon Glover run for 6 yds to the UTAH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
20.4%
BARNES, Bryson pass to the right incomplete intended for VELE, Devaughn thrown to the UTE37. PENALTY UTE Holding on FANO, Spencer enforced 10 yards from the UTE39 to the UTE29. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+3
19.5%
Jaylon Glover run for 3 yds to the UTAH 32Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 17
OWN 32
+9
19.4%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 9 yds to the UTAH 41Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+3
20.0%
Bryson Barnes run for 3 yds to the UTAH 44Similar
Q2 2:51
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
17.9%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 46 yds, downed at the ORE 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2985% → 86%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
15.3%
Jordan James run for 4 yds to the ORE 14Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+1
15.3%
Bo Nix run for 1 yd to the ORE 15Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
15.7%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:22
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
14.3%
Ross James punt for 58 yds to the UTAH 27, Matthews, Mikey returned 8 yds to the UTAH 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 1:2217% → 20%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
16.5%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Money Parks for 4 yds to the UTAH 39Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+12
17.1%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 12 yds to the ORE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
17.8%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Money Parks for 10 yds to the ORE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
17.9%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 9 yds to the ORE 30Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 1
OPP 30
0
18.9%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 1
OPP 30
0
17.7%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for no gain to the ORE 30Similar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+18
17.5%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 18 yds to the ORE 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
18.1%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
17.5%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+30
20.1%
Cole Becker 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5620% → 18%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
19.6%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 8 yds to the UTAH 27Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 27
0
20.2%
Sione, Vaki run for no gain to the UTAH 27Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 27
-2
19.5%
Jaylon Glover run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 25Similar
Q3 12:59
4TH & 4
OWN 25
0
18.2%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 4:1584% → 95%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
16.2%
Bucky Irving run for 3 yds to the ORE 27Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+8
16.1%
Bucky Irving run for 8 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
16.0%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
16.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 1 yd to the ORE 36Similar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+19
16.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 19 yds to the UTAH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
15.0%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+8
15.0%
Jordan James run for 8 yds to the UTAH 37Similar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+3
15.2%
Bo Nix run for 3 yds to the UTAH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
14.8%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
14.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 5 yds to the UTAH 29Similar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+20
15.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 20 yds to the UTAH 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
5.4%
Bucky Irving run for 9 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
6.6%
Bryson Barnes pass intercepted by Tysheem Johnson at the ORE 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 2:1995% → 98%
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
5.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 16 yds to the UTAH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
5.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 14 yds to the UTAH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
5.3%
Bucky Irving run for 4 yds to the UTAH 18Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+13
5.3%
Jordan James run for 13 yds to the UTAH 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
1.8%
Traeshon Holden run for 5 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:292% → 2%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
2.3%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 6 yds to the UTAH 31Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-3
2.2%
Bryson Barnes sacked by Keyon Ware-Hudson for a loss of 3 yards to the UTAH 28Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
2.2%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:39
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
1.5%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 50 yds , returns for no gain to the ORE 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:2498% → 98%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
2.3%
Bucky Irving run for 6 yds to the ORE 16Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+6
2.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 6 yds to the ORE 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
2.2%
Bucky Irving run for 6 yds to the ORE 28Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+1
2.2%
Bucky Irving run for 1 yd to the ORE 29Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 3
OWN 29
0
2.1%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
1.9%
Ross James punt for 46 yds , Mikey Matthews returns for no gain to the UTAH 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:311% → 1%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
1.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 19Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+4
1.1%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Money Parks for 4 yds to the UTAH 23Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
1.1%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
1.0%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 35Similar
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
0.9%
Oregon Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ORE 30Similar
Q3 0:44
1ST & 15
OWN 30
-5
0.9%
Oregon Penalty, False Start (Josh Conerly Jr.) to the ORE 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:2599% → 99%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+2
0.8%
Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ORE 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 27
0
0.8%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 27
+19
0.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 19 yds to the ORE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
0.7%
Oregon Penalty, False Start (Josh Conerly Jr.) to the ORE 41Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+10
0.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 10 yds to the UTAH 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
0.7%
Bucky Irving run for 4 yds to the UTAH 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
-4
0.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for a loss of 4 yards to the UTAH 49Similar
Q4 11:35
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
0.6%
Ross James punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21DOWNS
13 plays · 52 yds · 7:110% → 0%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
0.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 8 yds to the UTAH 28Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
0.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the UTAH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
0.4%
Money Parks run for 8 yds to the UTAH 39Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+3
0.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the UTAH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
0.4%
Bryson Barnes run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 2
50
+6
0.4%
Devaughn Vele pass complete to Miki Suguturaga for 6 yds to the ORE 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
0.4%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+8
0.4%
Sione Vaki run for 8 yds to the ORE 36Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+5
0.5%
Jaylon Glover run for 5 yds to the ORE 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
0.5%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
0.5%
Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the ORE 29Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+1
0.4%
Bryson Barnes run for 1 yd to the ORE 28Similar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 7
OPP 28
0
0.2%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:23100% → 100%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
0.2%
Jayden Limar run for 6 yds to the ORE 34Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+2
0.2%
Jayden Limar run for 2 yds to the ORE 36Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 2
OWN 36
0
0.2%
Jayden Limar run for no gain to the ORE 36Similar
Q4 2:01
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
0.2%
Ross James punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Mikey Matthews at the UTAH 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 25 yds · 2:010% → 0%
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
0.1%
Jaylon Glover run for 6 yds to the UTAH 21Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+14
0.1%
Jaylon Glover run for 14 yds to the UTAH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
0.1%
Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the UTAH 37Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+3
0.1%
Jaylon Glover run for 3 yds to the UTAH 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:44
Bucky Irving run for 9 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)
-9.5
TD · Q1 0:18
Bo Nix pass complete to Jordan James for 18 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)
-3.6
TD · Q3 6:08
Traeshon Holden run for 5 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)
-3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com