Try the model
WSU

Washington State 27 at Arizona State 38

ASU
2023 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023 · Mountain America Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:30 · punt for 36 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Home team on offense+22.8Pregame prior−1.0Garbage-time factor+14.3Score differential+5.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.6Time remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:47: Cameron Ward run for 11 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +10.2 pts (now 61%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:15: Cameron Skattebo run for 2 yds for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK) — ASU win probability +9.0 pts (now 58%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:42: Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 9 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +13.9 pts (now 62%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:26: Elijhah Badger run for 6 yds for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK) — ASU win probability +18.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:53: DeCarlos Brooks run for 8 yds for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK) — ASU win probability +11.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:27WSU 4th & 1 at ASU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    59.9%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    59.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:29WSU 4th & 5 at WSU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:42ASU 4th & 7 at WSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    44.4%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:15WSU 4th & 17 at WSU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%−1.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  5. Q3 5:34WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−1.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 3:52ASU 4th & 2 at ASU 35, up 10
    Close callPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.6%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:00WSU 4th & 2 at ASU 14, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.7%−1.3
    84% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−11.7
    average punt
  8. Q4 8:33WSU 4th & 17 at ASU 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−1.9
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:30ASU 4th & 8 at ASU 38, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:30WSU 4th & 5 at ASU 12, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.1%
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−0.6
    86% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−2.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:51WSU 4th & 2 at ASU 2, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%−2.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−3.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:33WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:05ASU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:14ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:47WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:15ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:42WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:26ASU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:53ASU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:2763% → 64%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
36.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 6 yds to the WSU 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
36.6%
Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the WSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
36.6%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Lincoln VictorSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+14
36.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
36.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
50
+4
36.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Cooper Mathers for 4 yds to the ASU 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+10
36.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 10 yds to the ASU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
36.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Cooper Mathers for 9 yds to the ASU 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 27
0
36.6%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 1
OPP 27
0
37.5%
Cameron Ward run for no gain to the ASU 27Similar
Q1 11:27
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+3
37.7%
Cameron Ward run for 3 yds to the ASU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+17
37.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 17 yds to the ASU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
37.4%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q1 11:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
37.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Billy Riviere III for 4 yds to the ASU 3Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
35.7%
Cameron Ward run for 3 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2836% → 42%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
36.3%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to DeCarlos Brooks for 3 yds to the ASU 28Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
36.4%
Elijhah Badger run for 2 yds to the ASU 30Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
36.2%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Ryan Morgan for 10 yds to the ASU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
36.8%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 5 yds to the ASU 45Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
36.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Bryce PierreSimilar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+30
36.6%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Troy Omeire for 30 yds to the WSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
37.4%
Tevin White run for 7 yds to the WSU 18Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+5
37.4%
Kaleb Black run for 5 yds to the WSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
37.4%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Kaleb BlackSimilar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
41.9%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 13 yds for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:3660% → 60%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
40.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Ward,Cameron pass incomplete short right PENALTY ASU Roughing The Passer (Dorbah,Prince) 15 yards from WSU25 to WSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
39.5%
Nakia Watson run for no gain to the WSU 40Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
39.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 5 yds to the WSU 45Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
39.4%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Josh KellySimilar
Q1 2:29
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
40.3%
Nick Haberer punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4MISSED FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 3:4741% → 43%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
40.8%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 9 yds to the ASU 18Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+19
41.2%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Bryce Pierre for 19 yds to the ASU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
41.6%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 1 yd to the ASU 38Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
41.7%
Trenton Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+15
41.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bourguet,Trenton pass incomplete short left to Badger,Elijhah PENALTY WSU Roughing The Passer (Malani,Nusi) 15 yards from ASU38 to WSU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
42.6%
Cameron Skattebo run for 8 yds to the WSU 39Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+3
43.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Troy Omeire for 3 yds to the WSU 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+7
43.5%
Cameron Skattebo run for 7 yds to the WSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
44.2%
Trenton Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
44.1%
Kaleb Black run for 3 yds to the WSU 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 32
0
43.5%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Giovanni SandersSimilar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+50
42.9%
Dario Longhetto 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 2:2759% → 56%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
40.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 4 yds to the WSU 36Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-10
40.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Ward,Cameron sacked for loss of 1 yard to the WSU35 (Taylor,Alphonso) PENALTY WSU Holding (Watson,Nakia) 10 yards from WSU36 to WSU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 16
OWN 26
+8
41.7%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 8 yds to the WSU 34Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-4
41.7%
Cameron Ward sacked by Clayton Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the WSU 30Similar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 12
OWN 30
-5
42.8%
PENALTY WSU False Start (Moku,Tanner) 5 yards from WSU30 to WSU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:15
4TH & 17
OWN 25
0
43.7%
Nick Haberer punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ASU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:0144% → 55%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
43.7%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 14 yds to the ASU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
45.2%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 18 yds to the WSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+26
45.7%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 26 yds to the WSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
47.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bourguet,Trenton pass complete short middle to Badger,Elijhah for 3 yards to the WSU09 (Hicks,Jaden; Gushiken,Kapena) PENALTY ASU Illegal Formation 5 yards from WSU12 to WSU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+9
47.0%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 9 yds to the WSU 8Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+7
47.1%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 7 yds to the WSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
47.1%
Trenton Bourguet run for no gain to the WSU 1Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
47.1%
No Huddle Bourguet,Trenton pass incomplete short left to Smith,Clayton PENALTY WSU Pass Interference (Lockett III,Sam), 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
55.4%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 1 yd for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:2747% → 61%
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
53.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 6 yds to the WSU 31Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+17
52.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Meredith for 17 yds to the WSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
50.9%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+19
51.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 19 yds to the ASU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
49.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Ward,Cameron pass incomplete deep right to Kelly,Josh PENALTY ASU Offside (Green,B.J.) 5 yards from ASU33 to ASU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:14
1ST & 5
OPP 28
+18
48.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Cooper Mathers for 18 yds to the ASU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
48.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Ward,Cameron rush left for 0 yards to the ASU10 (Brown,Tre) PENALTY ASU Offside (Dorbah,Prince) 5 yards from ASU10 to ASU05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+6
48.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 6 yds to the ASU 11Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
38.6%
Cameron Ward run for 11 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:3246% → 58%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+66
45.8%
Cameron Skattebo run for 66 yds to the WSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
49.3%
Elijhah Badger run for 5 yds to the WSU 4Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
49.3%
Trenton Bourguet run for 2 yds to the WSU 2Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
58.3%
Cameron Skattebo run for 2 yds for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3344% → 62%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
56.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 38 yds to the ASU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+16
53.2%
Nakia Watson run for 16 yds to the ASU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
51.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+12
51.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 12 yds to the ASU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
37.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 9 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 0:4247% → 54%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.8%
Washington State Penalty, Defensive Offside (Brennan Jackson) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
48.6%
Trenton Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
47.3%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 6 yds to the ASU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
48.9%
Trenton Bourguet run for 4 yds to the ASU 44Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+10
49.5%
Cameron Skattebo run for 10 yds to the WSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
48.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 13 yds to the WSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+51
54.2%
Dario Longhetto 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:3452% → 74%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
51.5%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 11 yds to the ASU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
52.4%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 4 yds to the ASU 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+1
53.6%
Tevin White run for 1 yd to the ASU 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+11
51.2%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Troy Omeire for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+3
54.3%
Cameron Skattebo run for 3 yds to the WSU 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-10
54.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bourguet,Trenton pass incomplete deep left to Morgan,Ryan QB hurried by Tafia,Jernias PENALTY ASU Holding (Briggs,Cade) 10 yards from WSU47 to ASU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 43
0
52.1%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Jalin ConyersSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 43
+23
50.7%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 23 yds to the WSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
55.3%
Trenton Bourguet run for 10 yds to the WSU 24 Arizona State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Xavier Guillory) to the WSU 34Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
55.3%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 4 yds to the WSU 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+15
55.3%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Messiah Swinson for 15 yds to the WSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
55.3%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 9 yds to the WSU 6Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+6
74.1%
Elijhah Badger run for 6 yds for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:5229% → 25%
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
71.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Djouvensky Schlenbaker for 6 yds to the WSU 31Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
70.1%
Cameron Ward run for 5 yds to the WSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
70.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 4 yds to the WSU 32Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+9
71.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 9 yds to the WSU 41Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-4
70.1%
Cameron Ward sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the WSU 37Similar
Q3 5:34
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
75.1%
Nick Haberer punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4275% → 75%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
75.0%
Cameron Skattebo run for 1 yd to the ASU 28 Cameron Skattebo fumbled, recovered by ASU Cameron Skattebo No Huddle-Shotgun Skattebo,Cam rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ASU28 fumbled by Skattebo,Cam at ASU28 forced by Richardson,Devin recovered by ASU Skattebo,Cam at ASU28, End Of Play.Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+4
74.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Troy Omeire for 4 yds to the ASU 32Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+3
74.2%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Cameron Skattebo for 3 yds to the ASU 35Similar
Q3 3:52
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
75.4%
Cameron Skattebo punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:5225% → 31%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
75.5%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WSU 28Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+10
75.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Ward,Cameron sacked for loss of 1 yard to the WSU27 (Mallory,Dashaun) PENALTY ASU Holding (Torrence,Ro) 10 yards from WSU28 to WSU38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
74.2%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Nakia WatsonSimilar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
74.4%
Cameron Ward run for 11 yds to the WSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
72.8%
John Mateer run for 15 yds to the ASU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
72.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 6 yds to the ASU 30Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+8
70.5%
Nakia Watson run for 8 yds to the ASU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
70.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 8 yds to the ASU 14Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 2
OPP 14
0
70.4%
Nakia Watson run for no gain to the ASU 14Similar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 2
OPP 14
0
72.0%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Nakia WatsonSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+31
69.5%
Dean Janikowski 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0780% → 92%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
79.5%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 9 yds to the ASU 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+58
80.5%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 50 yds to the WSU 16 for a 1ST down Washington State Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Jaden Hicks) to the WSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
92.2%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 8 yds for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16FG
15 plays · 48 yds · 5:2012% → 11%
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
87.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 5 yds to the WSU 40Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
87.1%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Lincoln VictorSimilar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+15
87.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 15 yds to the ASU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
86.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 14 yds to the ASU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
85.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 8 yds to the ASU 23Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+6
85.2%
Cameron Ward run for 6 yds to the ASU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
85.2%
Cameron Ward run for 5 yds to the ASU 12 Cameron Ward fumbled, recovered by WSU Cameron Ward No Huddle-Shotgun Ward,Cameron rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ASU12 fumbled by Ward,Cameron at ASU24 recovered by WSU Ward,Cameron at ASU24 (Simmons,Shamari).Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+1
85.2%
Nakia Watson run for 1 yd to the ASU 13Similar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+7
86.2%
Arizona State Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Alphonso Taylor) to the ASU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
87.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
87.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 4 yds to the ASU 10Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-7
88.7%
Cameron Ward sacked by B.J. Green II for a loss of 7 yards to the ASU 17Similar
Q4 8:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+34
88.7%
Dean Janikowski 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:5890% → 93%
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
89.9%
Cameron Skattebo run for 5 yds to the ASU 29Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+7
90.2%
Cameron Skattebo run for 7 yds to the ASU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
90.6%
Elijhah Badger run for 5 yds to the ASU 41Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
91.0%
run for 1 yd to the ASU 40 fumbled, recovered by ASU Trenton Bourguet No Huddle Arizona St. rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ASU40 fumbled by Arizona St. at ASU40 recovered by ASU Bourguet,Trenton at ASU40, End Of Play.Similar
Q4 8:28
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+3
90.4%
Cameron Skattebo run for 3 yds to the ASU 43Similar
Q4 8:28
4TH & 3
OWN 43
-5
89.6%
PENALTY ASU Delay Of Game 5 yards from ASU43 to ASU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:30
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
92.9%
punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 72 yds · 2:398% → 7%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+28
92.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 28 yds to the ASU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
89.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 9 yds to the ASU 37Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+9
89.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 9 yds to the ASU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
88.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Djouvensky Schlenbaker for 11 yds to the ASU 17 for a 1ST down Arizona State Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
88.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 9 yds to the ASU 8Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 1
OPP 8
0
88.6%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Josh KellySimilar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+4
89.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 4 yds to the ASU 12Similar
Q4 4:30
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+6
90.3%
Cameron Ward run for 6 yds to the ASU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
88.6%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Josh KellySimilar
Q4 4:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
88.6%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Josh KellySimilar
Q4 4:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
89.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 4 yds to the ASU 2Similar
Q4 1:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
92.8%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19END OF GAME
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:5196% → 97%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
95.7%
Trenton Bourguet run for no gain to the ASU 2Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+2
96.6%
Trenton Bourguet run for 2 yds to the ASU 4Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 8
OWN 4
+9
97.1%
Cameron Skattebo run for 9 yds to the ASU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
97.1%
Kneel down by Arizona St. at ASU12 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 12
-1
97.4%
Kneel down by Arizona St. at ASU11 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:26
Elijhah Badger run for 6 yds for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK)
+18.8
TD · Q2 0:42
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 9 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)
-13.9
TD · Q4 13:53
DeCarlos Brooks run for 8 yds for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK)
+11.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com