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ASU

Arizona State 7 at Washington 15

WASH
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:45 · Jack McCallister punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Pregame prior+27.3Home team on offense−4.5Garbage-time factor−1.3Score differential−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:22: Cameron Skattebo run for 1 yd for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK) — ASU win probability +5.4 pts (now 20%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:12: Grady Gross 24 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +4.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WASH +2 timeouts on the defense).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:38: Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Bryce Pierre for 8 yds to the WASH 33 — ASU win probability +5.4 pts (now 42%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:11: Mishael Powell 89 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — WASH win probability +26.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:05: Grady Gross kickoff for 58 yds , Elijhah Badger return for 12 yds to the ASU 19 — WASH win probability +7.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ASU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 12:47ASU 4th & 8 at ASU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:12ASU 4th & 8 at WASH 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:17WASH 4th & 7 at WASH 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:47ASU 4th & 4 at WASH 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:02ASU 4th & 2 at ASU 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:12WASH 4th & 6 at ASU 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    71.5%−5.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:18ASU 4th & 6 at WASH 36, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    22.3%−0.8
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:45WASH 4th & 11 at WASH 19, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−1.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:38ASU 4th & 1 at WASH 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.8%−2.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:50ASU 4th & 3 at WASH 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    30.4%−3.3
    34% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−2.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:37ASU 4th & 3 at WASH 25, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.4%−1.6
    66% to make
    Punt
    26.8%−13.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:12WASH 4th & 14 at WASH 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−4.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:31ASU 4th & 3 at WASH 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    44.7%−2.5
    56% to make
    Punt
    41.3%−5.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:28WASH 4th & 13 at ASU 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−3.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    51.2%−3.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:11ASU 4th & 3 at WASH 12, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.4%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    45.6%−2.8
    86% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−24.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:19ASU 4th & 20 at ASU 9, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−2.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:17WASH 4th & 4 at ASU 7, up 5
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.3%−0.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    76.8%−11.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:33ASU 4th & 15 at ASU 48, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 0 of 1ASU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 4:22ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 8:11WASH Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    81.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:004% → 4%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
96.2%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Troy Omeire for 9 yds to the ASU 33Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 1
OWN 33
0
96.1%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+4
96.1%
Kyson Brown run for 4 yds to the ASU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
96.0%
Trenton Bourguet run for 2 yds to the ASU 39Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
95.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Troy OmeireSimilar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
95.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Xavier GuillorySimilar
Q1 12:47
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+3
95.9%
Dario Longhetto punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WASH 15 , Giles Jackson returns for 3 yds to the WASH 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2INT
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:1996% → 96%
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
95.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 9 yds to the WASH 24Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+1
95.7%
Dillon Johnson run for 1 yd to the WASH 23Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 2
OWN 23
0
95.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3MISSED FG
9 plays · 32 yds · 2:505% → 5%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
95.4%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 15
50
+11
95.4%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 11 yds to the WASH 39Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+11
95.2%
Cameron Skattebo run for 11 yds to the WASH 28 for a 1ST down Washington Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+13
95.1%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Bryce Pierre for 13 yds to the WASH 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
94.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Troy OmeireSimilar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+7
94.9%
Elijhah Badger run for 7 yds to the WASH 8Similar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 3
OPP 8
-5
94.8%
PENALTY ASU Delay Of Game 5 yards from WASH08 to WASH13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 3
OPP 8
0
94.7%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Jalin ConyersSimilar
Q1 8:12
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+31
94.8%
Dario Longhetto 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:5095% → 94%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
94.9%
Dillon Johnson run for 2 yds to the WASH 22Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+21
94.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 21 yds to the WASH 43 for a 1ST down Arizona State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Dashaun Mallory) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
94.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-10
94.7%
(07:17) Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael rush left for 6 yards gain to the WASH49, out of bounds at WASH49 PENALTY WASH Holding (Rosengarten,Roger) 10 yards from WASH43 to WASH33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 20
OWN 33
0
94.5%
Michael Penix Jr. run for no gain to the WASH 33Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 20
OWN 33
+13
94.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 13 yds to the WASH 46Similar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
94.4%
Jack McCallister punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 4:236% → 7%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
94.3%
Cameron Skattebo run for 3 yds to the ASU 23Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+7
94.2%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 7 yds to the ASU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
94.0%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Troy OmeireSimilar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+16
94.0%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 16 yds to the ASU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
93.5%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 2 yds to the ASU 48Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+6
93.4%
(03:46) Shotgun Bourguet,Trenton pass incomplete short middle to Stovall,Melquan PENALTY WASH Pass Interference (Goforth,Ralen) 6 yards from ASU48 to WASH46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
93.3%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 6 yds to the WASH 40Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+3
93.1%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 3 yds to the WASH 43Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+3
92.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 3 yds to the WASH 40Similar
Q1 1:47
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
92.8%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6INT
7 plays · 53 yds · 3:2293% → 93%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
93.4%
Dillon Johnson run for 2 yds to the WASH 38Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+1
93.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Will Nixon for 1 yd to the WASH 39Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+19
92.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 19 yds to the ASU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+21
93.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 21 yds to the ASU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
93.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 3 yds to the ASU 18Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+11
92.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 11 yds to the ASU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
92.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 3:088% → 9%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
91.8%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 2 yds to the ASU 5Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+17
91.6%
Trenton Bourguet run for 17 yds to the ASU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
91.2%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 4 yds to the ASU 26Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+4
90.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Cameron Skattebo for 4 yds to the ASU 30Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 2
OWN 30
0
90.8%
Xavier Guillory run for no gain to the ASU 30Similar
Q2 10:02
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
90.9%
Cameron Skattebo punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:0191% → 92%
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
91.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 7 yds to the WASH 37Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
91.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Giles JacksonSimilar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+15
91.2%
Arizona State Penalty, Targeting Roughing The Passer (15 Yards) to the ASU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
91.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
91.5%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 1 yd to the ASU 47 Michael Penix Jr. fumbled, recovered by ASU Shamari SimmonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:2211% → 20%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
89.2%
Trenton Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
89.2%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to DeCarlos Brooks for 6 yds to the WASH 47Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+13
88.2%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 13 yds to the WASH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
87.3%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Cameron Skattebo for 14 yds to the WASH 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
86.8%
Cameron Skattebo run for 6 yds to the WASH 14Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+5
86.3%
(05:40) Skattebo,Cam rush left for 1 yard loss to the WASH15 (Tuputala,Alphonzo) PENALTY WASH Offside (Asoau-Afoa,Sekai) 5 yards from WASH14 to WASH09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
86.1%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 7 yds to the WASH 2Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
85.9%
Trenton Bourguet run for 1 yd to the WASH 1Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.5%
Cameron Skattebo run for 1 yd for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK)Similar
Q2 4:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
80.3%
PENALTY ASU Delay Of Game 5 yards from WASH03 to WASH08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10FG
15 plays · 73 yds · 3:5782% → 83%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
82.3%
Dillon Johnson run for 13 yds to the WASH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
82.2%
Dillon Johnson run for no gain to the WASH 33Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
81.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 5 yds to the WASH 38Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+6
81.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 6 yds to the WASH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
81.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 12 yds to the ASU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
81.5%
Will Nixon run for 13 yds to the ASU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
82.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Will Nixon for 9 yds to the ASU 22 for a 1ST down Arizona State Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Jordan Clark) to the ASU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
82.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 4 yds to the ASU 7Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 6
OPP 7
0
81.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jack WestoverSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
79.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+24
83.4%
Grady Gross 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
80.4%
T. Bourguet takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12FUMBLE
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:3282% → 82%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
81.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Dillon Johnson for 5 yds to the WASH 33Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+7
82.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 7 yds Ja'Lynn Polk fumbled, recovered by ASU C.J. FiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5222% → 21%
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
78.0%
Cameron Skattebo run for 4 yds to the WASH 36Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
77.1%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Troy OmeireSimilar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
77.6%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+3
78.6%
Cameron Skattebo punt for 29 yds , Dominique Hampton returns for 3 yds to the WASH 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:2680% → 75%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
79.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 7 yds to the WASH 17Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+3
78.8%
Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the WASH 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
78.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Dillon Johnson for 4 yds to the WASH 24Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
78.1%
Dillon Johnson run for 5 yds to the WASH 19Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
76.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
75.4%
Jack McCallister punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15MISSED FG
12 plays · 33 yds · 7:0825% → 37%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
74.6%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 4 yds to the ASU 46Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
73.5%
Cameron Skattebo run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 2
50
+1
72.6%
Cameron Skattebo run for 1 yd to the WASH 49Similar
Q3 8:38
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+2
73.4%
Cameron Skattebo run for 2 yds to the WASH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
70.7%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 4 yds to the WASH 43Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+4
68.3%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 4 yds to the WASH 39Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+1
67.1%
Elijhah Badger run for 1 yd to the WASH 40Similar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+8
68.4%
Cameron Skattebo run for 8 yds to the WASH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
63.2%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 1 yd to the WASH 31Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+6
60.3%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Bryce Pierre for 6 yds to the WASH 25Similar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 3
OPP 25
0
60.3%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Xavier GuillorySimilar
Q3 3:37
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+43
62.6%
Dario Longhetto 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Elijah JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:0566% → 61%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+19
65.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 19 yds to the WASH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
67.7%
Dillon Johnson run for 4 yds to the WASH 41Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 14
OWN 41
0
64.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 14
OWN 41
0
62.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Denzel BostonSimilar
Q3 2:12
4TH & 14
OWN 41
0
61.2%
Jack McCallister punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:4140% → 45%
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
60.2%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 14 yds to the ASU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
57.7%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 15 yds to the WASH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
54.1%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 12 yds to the WASH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
52.3%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Troy OmeireSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
52.3%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Bryce Pierre for 2 yds to the WASH 35Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+5
52.7%
Cameron Skattebo run for 5 yds to the WASH 30Similar
Q4 14:31
4TH & 3
OPP 30
0
54.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Jalin ConyersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 1:4860% → 66%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
59.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 7 yds to the WASH 37Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
61.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+21
59.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 21 yds to the ASU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
63.0%
(13:25) Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass incomplete deep right to Odunze,Rome PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (Woods,Ed) 15 yards from ASU42 to ASU27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
64.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
64.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+3
63.7%
Ja'Lynn Polk run for 3 yds to the ASU 30Similar
Q4 12:28
4TH & 13
OPP 30
+47
65.9%
Grady Gross 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19INT TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 4:0536% → 20%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
63.6%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 34 yds to the WASH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
58.1%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Bryce Pierre for 8 yds to the WASH 33Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+3
55.5%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 3 yds to the WASH 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
53.7%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 5 yds to the WASH 25Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+6
52.7%
Cameron Skattebo run for 6 yds to the WASH 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
51.6%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Troy OmeireSimilar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
51.7%
Trenton Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+7
53.6%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Cameron Skattebo for 7 yds to the WASH 12Similar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 3
OPP 12
-89
80.5%
Mishael Powell 89 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:1717% → 13%
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
83.0%
Trenton Bourguet run for 5 yds to the ASU 14 Trenton Bourguet fumbled, recovered by ASU DeCarlos BrooksSimilar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 15
OWN 14
0
83.5%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Xavier GuillorySimilar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 15
OWN 14
+5
85.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 5 yds to the ASU 9Similar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 20
OWN 9
+7
86.8%
Dario Longhetto punt for 37 yds , Giles Jackson returns for 7 yds to the WASH 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21FG
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:5289% → 95%
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
88.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 15 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+17
90.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 17 yds to the ASU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
90.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 9 yds to the ASU 28Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+15
91.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 15 yds to the ASU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
91.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+6
91.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 6 yds to the ASU 7Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
91.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Devin CulpSimilar
Q4 3:17
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+24
94.8%
Grady Gross 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 23 yds · 2:338% → 7%
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
91.7%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 17 yds to the ASU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
89.8%
(02:49) Shotgun Conover,Jacob rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ASU45 (Tunuufi,Voi) PENALTY ASU Holding (Glass,Isaia) 10 yards from ASU42 to ASU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+2
92.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 2 yds to the ASU 34Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 18
OWN 34
+12
92.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 12 yds to the ASU 46Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+7
91.3%
Trenton Bourguet run for 7 yds to the WASH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
89.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Jalin ConyersSimilar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
90.3%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Shawn CharlesSimilar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-10
91.3%
Arizona State Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the ASU 48Similar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 15
OWN 48
0
93.0%
Trenton Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:33
4TH & 15
OWN 48
0
93.4%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Jalin ConyersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
97.1%
M. Penix Jr. takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:11
Mishael Powell 89 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+26.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 8:05
Grady Gross kickoff for 58 yds , Elijhah Badger return for 12 yds to the ASU 19
+7.1
TD · Q2 4:22
Cameron Skattebo run for 1 yd for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK)
-5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com