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UCLA

UCLA 42 at Stanford 7

STAN
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:10 · Connor Weselman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Home team on offense−1.4Pregame prior−33.3Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:27: Carson Steele run for 2 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK) — UCLA win probability +0.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 7:15: Carson Steele run for 8 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK) — UCLA win probability +1.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:27: Carson Steele run for 3 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK) — UCLA win probability +5.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 13:08: Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the UCLA 45 — UCLA win probability +3.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:47: Ethan Garbers pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 8 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK) — UCLA win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 8 of 10UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 8:10STAN 4th & 13 at STAN 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:17STAN 4th & 7 at STAN 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:32UCLA 4th & 14 at STAN 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    82.1%−2.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:10STAN 4th & 17 at UCLA 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    15.3%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:37STAN 4th & 11 at UCLA 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:21UCLA 4th & 2 at UCLA 25, up 21
    Close callPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:40STAN 4th & 5 at STAN 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:18STAN 4th & 4 at UCLA 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    8.9%−0.5
    32% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:34UCLA 4th & 6 at STAN 36, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    94.5%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:58STAN 4th & 2 at STAN 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.4%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:29UCLA 4th & 3 at UCLA 22, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:07STAN 4th & 12 at UCLA 49, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:09STAN 4th & 6 at UCLA 45, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:05UCLA 4th & 6 at STAN 24, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:25UCLA 4th & 15 at UCLA 42, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:15STAN 4th & 13 at STAN 30, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UCLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:27UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:15UCLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:27UCLA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:47UCLA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:56UCLA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:11STAN Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:28UCLA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:1885% → 85%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
14.7%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 16 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
14.9%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+4
15.0%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+5
15.3%
Ethan Garbers run for 5 yds to the STAN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
15.2%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the STAN 45Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+1
15.7%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kyle Ford for 1 yd to the STAN 44Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+10
15.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for 10 yds to the STAN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
15.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kyle Ford for 6 yds to the STAN 28Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+18
16.0%
Ethan Garbers run for 18 yds to the STAN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 0
OPP 10
+5
16.1%
Garbers, Ethan pass incomplete to Ford, Kyle, PENALTY STANFORD holding 5 yards to the STANFORD5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCLA.Similar
Q1 10:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
16.2%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the STAN 2Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
15.5%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 2:0016% → 16%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
15.9%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to E.J. Smith for 8 yds to the STAN 29Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 2
OWN 29
-10
16.2%
Smith, E.J. rush for 4 yards to the STANFORD33, PENALTY STANFORD holding 10 yards to the STANFORD19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+6
16.2%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 6 yds to the STAN 25Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 6
OWN 25
-7
16.1%
Ashton Daniels sacked by Gabriel Murphy for a loss of 7 yards to the STAN 18Similar
Q1 8:10
4TH & 13
OWN 18
0
16.1%
Connor Weselman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3TD
3 plays · 60 yds · 0:4584% → 86%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+45
16.0%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for 45 yds to the STAN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
15.9%
Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the STAN 8Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+8
14.5%
Carson Steele run for 8 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:5215% → 15%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.3%
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Bryce FarrellSimilar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
15.3%
E.J. Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 23Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+5
15.2%
UCLA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the STAN 28Similar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
15.2%
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Bryce FarrellSimilar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
15.2%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 52 yds, downed at the UCLA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5MISSED FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:2885% → 85%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
14.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 11 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
14.8%
TJ Harden run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 26Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 15
OWN 26
+4
14.9%
TJ Harden run for 4 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+25
15.0%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kam Brown for 10 yds to the STAN 40 for a 1ST down Stanford Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the STAN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
14.6%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kam Brown for no gain to the STAN 45Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+15
14.6%
Garbers, Ethan pass incomplete to Sturdivant, J. Michael, PENALTY STANFORD pass interference 15 yards to the STANFORD30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCLA.Similar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
14.6%
TJ Harden run for 7 yds to the STAN 23Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+5
14.5%
TJ Harden run for 5 yds to the STAN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
14.5%
Ethan Garbers sacked by Tristan Sinclair for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 19Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 11
OPP 19
-3
14.5%
Ethan Garbers sacked by David Bailey for a loss of 3 yards to the STAN 22Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 14
OPP 22
0
14.7%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:32
4TH & 14
OPP 22
+40
15.0%
RJ Lopez 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Anthony FranklinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 6PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 4:0115% → 15%
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
15.2%
Justin Lamson run for 1 yd to the STAN 23Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+13
15.2%
Mudia Reuben run for 13 yds to the STAN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
15.6%
Bryce Farrell run for 1 yd to the STAN 37Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+9
15.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 9 yds to the STAN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
16.1%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+15
16.1%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 15 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
16.1%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 3 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+5
16.1%
Ashton Daniels run for 5 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 2
OPP 31
-15
16.2%
Daniels, Ashton pass complete to Farrell, Bryce for 13 yards to the UCLA18, PENALTY STANFORD pass interference 15 yards to the UCLA46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 17
OPP 46
0
15.1%
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Elic AyomanorSimilar
Q2 12:10
4TH & 17
OPP 46
0
15.0%
Connor Weselman punt for 43 yds, downed at the UCLA 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7TD
15 plays · 97 yds · 6:3385% → 93%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
14.6%
TJ Harden run for no gain to the UCLA 3Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+4
14.4%
TJ Harden run for 4 yds to the UCLA 7Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+8
14.6%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 8 yds to the UCLA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
14.3%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 14 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
14.1%
TJ Harden run for 12 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
13.5%
Ethan Garbers run for 16 yds to the STAN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
13.3%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the STAN 39Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+3
13.2%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the STAN 36Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+4
13.4%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the STAN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
13.7%
Carson Steele run for 13 yds to the STAN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
13.3%
Carson Steele run for no gain to the STAN 19Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-1
13.3%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 20Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+12
13.5%
Ethan Garbers run for 12 yds to the STAN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
13.2%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the STAN 3Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
7.3%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:0810% → 10%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
9.9%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 1 yd to the STAN 29Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+12
9.7%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to E.J. Smith for 12 yds to the STAN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
10.4%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 1
50
+4
10.7%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 4 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
10.7%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 4 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
10.7%
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Elic AyomanorSimilar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 6
OPP 42
-5
10.5%
Daniels, Ashton pass complete to Roush, Sam for 24 yards to the UCLA18, PENALTY STANFORD illegal touching 5 yards to the UCLA47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:37
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
9.8%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 42 yds, downed at the UCLA 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 1:0993% → 92%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
7.4%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 5
OWN 10
0
7.3%
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to J. Michael SturdivantSimilar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 5
OWN 10
+7
7.5%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 7 yds to the UCLA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
6.5%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 9 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 1
OWN 26
0
6.4%
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to J. Michael SturdivantSimilar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 1
OWN 26
-1
6.6%
Carson Steele run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 25Similar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
8.0%
Will Powers punt for 44 yds, downed at the STAN 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:2711% → 10%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
11.2%
E.J. Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 29Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 12
OWN 29
-3
10.9%
Ashton Daniels sacked by Laiatu Latu for a loss of 3 yards to the STAN 26Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 15
OWN 26
+10
10.9%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 10 yds to the STAN 36Similar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
10.3%
Connor Weselman punt for 57 yds, downed at the UCLA 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:2393% → 94%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
7.0%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+10
6.0%
Ethan Garbers run for 10 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
5.7%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 8 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 32 yds · 1:359% → 9%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
8.6%
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Bryce FarrellSimilar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
8.5%
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Mudia ReubenSimilar
Q3 14:34
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+28
8.5%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 28 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
9.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 5 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+1
9.7%
Sedrick Irvin run for 1 yd to the UCLA 41Similar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
9.5%
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Elic AyomanorSimilar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 4
OPP 41
-2
9.3%
E.J. Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:3494% → 95%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
5.9%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+15
5.8%
Garbers, Ethan pass incomplete to Ford, Kyle, PENALTY STANFORD roughing passer 15 yards to the STANFORD40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCLA.Similar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
5.3%
Carson Steele run for no gain to the STAN 40Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
5.2%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the STAN 36Similar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
5.0%
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Kam BrownSimilar
Q3 11:34
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+4
5.3%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 4 yds to the STAN 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:308% → 8%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
8.2%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 3 yds to the STAN 35Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-10
8.3%
Daniels, Ashton pass complete to Bachmeier, Tiger for 11 yards to the STANFORD46, PENALTY STANFORD holding (Roush, Sam) 10 yards to the STANFORD25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 17
OWN 25
0
7.8%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 17
OWN 25
+15
7.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 15 yds to the STAN 40Similar
Q3 9:58
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
7.7%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Bryce Farrell for no gain to the STAN 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15TD
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:0096% → 99%
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
4.4%
TJ Harden run for 6 yds to the STAN 34Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
4.1%
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Kam BrownSimilar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+8
4.2%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 8 yds to the STAN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
4.1%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-1
4.2%
TJ Harden run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 27Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 11
OPP 27
+19
4.1%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 19 yds to the STAN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
3.5%
TJ Harden run for no gain to the STAN 8Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
1.5%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 8 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:452% → 2%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
1.8%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
1.7%
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Mudia ReubenSimilar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 10
OWN 11
-2
1.6%
Ashton Daniels run for 6 yds to the STAN 17 Stanford Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Mudia Reuben) to the STAN 9Similar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 12
OWN 9
0
1.6%
TEAM punt for 20 yds, downed at the STAN 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17TD
3 plays · 29 yds · 0:5299% → 99%
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
1.3%
Garbers, Ethan pass incomplete to Norwood, Josiah, PENALTY STANFORD pass interference 15 yards to the STANFORD14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCLA.Similar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-6
1.3%
Ethan Garbers sacked by Zach Rowell for a loss of 6 yards to the STAN 20Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 16
OPP 20
+20
0.8%
Moliki Matavao 20 Yd pass from Ethan Garbers (RJ Lopez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:231% → 1%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.8%
E.J. Smith run for 4 yds to the STAN 29Similar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+16
0.7%
Bryce Farrell run for 6 yds to the STAN 35 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the STAN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
0.8%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 25 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
0.9%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 10 yds to the UCLA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
0.9%
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Sam RoushSimilar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
1.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 20 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3199% → 99%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
1.5%
Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+6
1.4%
Anthony Adkins run for 6 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 2
OWN 23
-1
1.3%
Anthony Adkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 22Similar
Q3 1:29
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
1.4%
Will Powers punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Bryce Farrell at the STAN 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:141% → 1%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.9%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+18
0.8%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 18 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
1.0%
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Tiger BachmeierSimilar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
0.9%
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Elic AyomanorSimilar
Q3 0:21
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-2
0.9%
Ashton Daniels sacked by Gabriel Murphy for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 49Similar
Q3 0:07
4TH & 12
OPP 49
+9
0.8%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 9 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 0:3299% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
0.6%
TJ Harden run for 1 yd to the UCLA 41Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+37
0.6%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kyle Ford for 37 yds to the STAN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
0.5%
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Kyle FordSimilar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
0.6%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:28
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+22
0.5%
TJ Harden run for 22 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 22FUMBLE
9 plays · 56 yds · 2:060% → 0%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
0.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 3 yds to the STAN 18Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+14
0.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Mudia Reuben for 14 yds to the STAN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
0.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 9 yds to the STAN 41Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+10
0.3%
Daniels, Ashton pass incomplete to Bachmeier, Tiger, PENALTY UCLA holding 10 yards to the UCLA49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
0.3%
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Tiger BachmeierSimilar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
0.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 4 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
0.3%
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Mudia ReubenSimilar
Q4 12:09
4TH & 6
OPP 45
+16
0.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 16 yds Elic Ayomanor fumbled, recovered by UCLA , return for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 23MISSED FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 4:50100% → 100%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
0.4%
Adkins, Anthony rush for 9 yards to the UCLA37, PENALTY UCLA holding 10 yards to the UCLA18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 20
OWN 18
+9
0.4%
Dante Moore pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 9 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+5
0.4%
Dante Moore pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 5 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+7
0.3%
Dante Moore pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 7 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
0.3%
Anthony Adkins run for 5 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+11
0.3%
Dante Moore run for 11 yds to the STAN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
0.2%
Anthony Adkins run for 17 yds to the STAN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
0.2%
Dante Moore pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 5 yds to the STAN 23Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 5
OPP 23
-1
0.2%
Anthony Adkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 24Similar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
0.2%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+42
0.3%
RJ Lopez 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 24INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
0.2%
Ashton Daniels pass intercepted John Humphrey return for no gain to the UCLA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 3:15100% → 100%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
0.2%
Yankoff, Colson rush for 3 yards to the UCLA39, PENALTY UCLA illegal participation 5 yards to the UCLA31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
0.2%
Colson Yankoff run for no gain to the UCLA 31Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+16
0.2%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Ezavier Staples for 16 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
0.2%
Anthony Adkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 12
OWN 45
-6
0.2%
Chase Griffin sacked by Tevarua Tafiti for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 39Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 18
OWN 39
+3
0.2%
Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q4 3:25
4TH & 15
OWN 42
+1
0.2%
Will Powers punt for 42 yds , Bryce Farrell returns for 1 yd to the STAN 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+16
0.1%
Sedrick Irvin run for 16 yds to the STAN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
0.1%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 8 yds to the STAN 41Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 2
OWN 41
-1
0.1%
Sedrick Irvin run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 40Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 3
OWN 40
-10
0.1%
Ashton Daniels sacked by Carson Schwesinger for a loss of 10 yards to the STAN 30Similar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 13
OWN 30
0
0.1%
Connor Weselman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 27END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:59100% → 100%
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
0.1%
Justyn Martin run for 8 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 2
OWN 39
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 37Similar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 4
OWN 37
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:27
Carson Steele run for 3 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)
-5.9
KEY PLAY · Q3 13:08
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the UCLA 45
-3.4
TD · Q3 6:47
Ethan Garbers pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 8 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)
-2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com