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WSU

Washington State 24 at Oregon 38

ORE
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-2.4ORE 83.0%Dean Janikowski 33 yd FG GOODAWAY 13 - HOME 17 · Q2 0:01
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:01 · Dean Janikowski 33 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 84Pregame prior+25.3Home team on offense+1.3Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:22: Nakia Watson run for 4 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +5.2 pts (now 22%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:57: Bucky Irving run for 2 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +6.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:44: Bo Nix run for 2 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +5.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:13: Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 42 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +6.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:56: Bucky Irving run for 43 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +5.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 5WSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:24WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:19ORE 4th & 8 at WSU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:37WSU 4th & 5 at ORE 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:40ORE 4th & 9 at WSU 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    83.1%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:11WSU 4th & 4 at WSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:31ORE 4th & 10 at WSU 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    83.4%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:30WSU 4th & 3 at ORE 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    22.8%−1.0
    36% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:01WSU 4th & 4 at ORE 16, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.3%−0.2
    81% to make
    Punt
    11.6%−4.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:17ORE 4th & 5 at midfield, up 4
    Close callPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.9%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:02WSU 4th & 4 at WSU 12, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:05WSU 4th & 12 at ORE 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:48WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 45, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:52WSU 4th & 7 at ORE 36, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:40WSU 4th & 1 at ORE 8, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:00ORE 4th & 8 at ORE 13, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 9:22WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:57ORE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:44ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:13ORE Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:56ORE Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:53ORE Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:52WSU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:198% → 9%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 5 yds to the WSU 30Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
91.8%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the WSU 33Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
91.8%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (Andre Dollar) to the WSU 28Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
91.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 8 yds to the WSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
91.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 2 yds to the WSU 38Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+2
91.3%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WSU 40Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
91.1%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Nakia WatsonSimilar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
91.2%
Nick Haberer punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ORE 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2MISSED FG
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:5191% → 90%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+33
91.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 33 yds to the WSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
91.1%
Gary Bryant Jr. run for 15 yds to the WSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
91.1%
Bucky Irving run for no gain to the WSU 31Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-3
91.0%
Bucky Irving run for a loss of 3 yards to the WSU 34Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 13
OPP 34
-10
90.5%
Nix, Bo pass complete to Franklin, Troy for 34 yards to the WASHST0, PENALTY OREGON holding (Cornelius, Ajani) 10 yards to the WASHST44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 23
OPP 44
+15
90.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 15 yds to the WSU 29Similar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+47
90.3%
Camden Lewis 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3FG
8 plays · 52 yds · 3:3910% → 11%
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
90.2%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+37
90.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 37 yds to the ORE 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
89.6%
Cameron Ward run for 10 yds to the ORE 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
89.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 7 yds to the ORE 17Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 3
OPP 17
-2
89.0%
Nakia Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 19Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 5
OPP 19
-5
89.0%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (Josh Kelly) to the ORE 24Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+5
88.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 5 yds to the ORE 19Similar
Q1 4:37
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+36
88.6%
Dean Janikowski 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4FG
9 plays · 66 yds · 2:4088% → 88%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
88.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 14 yds to the ORE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
88.3%
Bucky Irving run for 5 yds to the ORE 44Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+46
88.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 46 yds to the WSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & 0
OPP 10
-5
88.7%
Johnson, Tez pass incomplete to Nix, Bo, PENALTY OREGON ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the WASHST15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+6
88.3%
Bucky Irving run for 6 yds to the WSU 9Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
88.2%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Traeshon HoldenSimilar
Q1 1:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
87.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Traeshon HoldenSimilar
Q1 1:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
88.3%
Camden Lewis 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0413% → 13%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 3 yds to the WSU 28Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
87.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 3 yds to the WSU 31Similar
Q1 0:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
87.2%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Josh KellySimilar
Q1 0:11
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
87.4%
Nick Haberer punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:3488% → 86%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.5%
Bucky Irving run for 2 yds to the ORE 27Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
87.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 1 yd to the ORE 28Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+32
86.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 32 yds to the WSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
87.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 3 yds to the WSU 37Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
87.6%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Troy FranklinSimilar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 7
OPP 37
-3
87.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the WSU 40Similar
Q2 12:31
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
86.3%
Bo Nix punt for 37 yds, downed at the WSU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 97 yds · 2:5414% → 22%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
86.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 6 yds to the WSU 9Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+20
85.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 20 yds to the WSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+47
85.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 47 yds to the ORE 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
83.4%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the ORE 20Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
82.9%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Lincoln VictorSimilar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+16
83.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Cooper Mathers for 16 yds to the ORE 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
78.0%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0780% → 85%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.6%
Jordan James run for 3 yds to the ORE 28Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
79.4%
Jordan James run for 5 yds to the ORE 33Similar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
78.1%
Bucky Irving run for 7 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
78.7%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Troy FranklinSimilar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+37
77.9%
Jordan James run for 37 yds to the WSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
79.6%
Jordan James run for 6 yds to the WSU 17Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+6
79.3%
Jordan James run for 6 yds to the WSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
79.0%
Bucky Irving run for 7 yds to the WSU 4 for a 1ST down Washington State Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (Ahmad McCullough) to the WSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
85.4%
Bucky Irving run for 2 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9DOWNS
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:1018% → 21%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
81.7%
Cameron Ward sacked by Brandon Dorlus for a loss of 5 yards to the WSU 20Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+19
81.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 19 yds to the WSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
80.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for no gain to the WSU 39Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+15
80.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 15 yds to the ORE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
78.5%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Cooper MathersSimilar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
78.5%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Lincoln VictorSimilar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+7
79.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 7 yds to the ORE 39Similar
Q2 2:30
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
79.2%
Lincoln Victor pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 1:3483% → 89%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
83.0%
Bucky Irving run for 6 yds to the ORE 45Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+40
83.4%
Bucky Irving run for 40 yds to the WSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
84.2%
Jordan James run for 8 yds to the WSU 7Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+5
84.1%
Nix, Bo pass incomplete to Franklin, Troy, PENALTY WASHST pass interference (Lampkin, Cam) 5 yards to the WASHST2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGON.Similar
Q2 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.2%
Bo Nix run for 2 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11FG
7 plays · 59 yds · 0:3713% → 17%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+41
87.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 41 yds to the ORE 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
84.9%
Cameron Ward run for 12 yds to the ORE 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
84.6%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Josh KellySimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+6
84.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 6 yds to the ORE 16Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 4
OPP 16
0
85.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+33
83.0%
Dean Janikowski 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:4384% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
83.6%
Oregon Penalty, False Start (Ajani Cornelius) to the ORE 20Similar
Q3 14:45
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+7
83.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Patrick Herbert for 7 yds to the ORE 27Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+18
83.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 18 yds to the ORE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
84.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 5
50
0
84.6%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Tez JohnsonSimilar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 5
50
0
84.0%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Troy FranklinSimilar
Q3 13:17
4TH & 5
50
+43
83.0%
Ross James punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 13 Washington State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ansel Din-Mbuh) to the WSU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5817% → 17%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-2
82.7%
Cameron Ward sacked by Jahlil Florence for a loss of 2 yards to the WSU 4Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 12
OWN 4
0
82.9%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Lincoln VictorSimilar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 12
OWN 4
+8
83.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Cooper Mathers for 8 yds to the WSU 12Similar
Q3 12:02
4TH & 4
OWN 12
+11
83.5%
Nick Haberer punt for 52 yds , Tez Johnson returns for 11 yds to the ORE 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 1:2984% → 91%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
83.6%
Bucky Irving run for 9 yds to the WSU 44Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 1
OPP 44
0
83.9%
Bucky Irving run for no gain to the WSU 44Similar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
85.0%
Bucky Irving run for 2 yds to the WSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
91.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 42 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:4710% → 12%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
89.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 8 yds to the WSU 33Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
89.0%
Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the WSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
89.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 14 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
88.2%
Cameron Ward run for 5 yds to the ORE 43Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+12
87.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 12 yds to the ORE 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
87.4%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Josh KellySimilar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
87.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 10
OPP 31
-2
88.3%
Cameron Ward sacked by Blake Purchase for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 33Similar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 12
OPP 33
+50
88.1%
Dean Janikowski 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0389% → 96%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.1%
Jordan James run for 4 yds to the ORE 29Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
89.2%
Oregon Penalty, False Start (Jackson Powers-Johnson) to the ORE 24Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+12
88.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 12 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
90.3%
Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ORE 38Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+19
90.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 19 yds to the WSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
95.8%
Bucky Irving run for 43 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
95.6%
Washington State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jaden Hicks) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18DOWNS
14 plays · 39 yds · 4:487% → 5%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
93.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 7 yds to the WSU 32Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
93.0%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the WSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
93.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 2 yds to the WSU 38Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+6
93.9%
Cameron Ward run for 6 yds to the WSU 44Similar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
94.0%
Dylan Paine run for 1 yd to the WSU 45Similar
Q3 0:48
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+3
94.2%
Dylan Paine run for 3 yds to the WSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
94.0%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (Esa Pole) to the WSU 43Similar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+18
94.6%
Cameron Ward run for 18 yds to the ORE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
94.0%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
94.0%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:22
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+3
94.1%
Dylan Paine run for 3 yds to the ORE 36Similar
Q4 13:52
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
95.0%
Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Lincoln VictorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 4:4797% → 99%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
96.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 9 yds to the ORE 45Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
96.8%
Jordan James run for no gain to the ORE 45Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
96.8%
Bo Nix run for 2 yds to the ORE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
96.9%
Jordan James run for 20 yds to the WSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
97.1%
Jordan James run for 5 yds to the WSU 28Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+19
97.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 19 yds to the WSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 0
OPP 9
-10
97.4%
Oregon Penalty, Offensive Holding (Iapani Laloulu) to the WSU 19Similar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 0
OPP 19
-5
97.5%
Oregon Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Ajani Cornelius) to the WSU 24Similar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 0
OPP 24
+4
97.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 4 yds to the WSU 20Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 0
OPP 20
+3
97.6%
Bucky Irving run for 3 yds to the WSU 17Similar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 0
OPP 17
+17
99.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 17 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20DOWNS
11 plays · 64 yds · 4:401% → 1%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.2%
Cameron Ward sacked by Matayo Uiagalelei for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 24Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-7
99.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 3 yds to the WSU 27 Washington State Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the WSU 17Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
99.3%
Nakia Watson run for no gain to the WSU 17Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+37
99.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Tsion Nunnally for 37 yds to the ORE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+29
99.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 29 yds to the ORE 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-8
99.3%
Cameron Ward sacked by Jestin Jacobs for a loss of 8 yards to the ORE 25Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 18
OPP 25
+12
99.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Tsion Nunnally for 12 yds to the ORE 13Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+5
99.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 5 yds to the ORE 8Similar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 1
OPP 8
-3
99.3%
Cameron Ward sacked by Evan Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the ORE 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
99.6%
Jordan James run for 4 yds to the ORE 15Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+3
99.7%
Jordan James run for 3 yds to the ORE 18Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 3
OWN 18
0
99.7%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Troy FranklinSimilar
Q4 2:07
4TH & 3
OWN 18
-5
99.7%
Oregon Penalty, Delay of Game (Ross James) to the ORE 13Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 8
OWN 13
0
99.7%
Ross James punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 0:581% → 3%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 3 yds to the WSU 49Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+4
99.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 4 yds to the ORE 47Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+4
99.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 4 yds to the ORE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+27
99.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 27 yds to the ORE 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
96.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 16 yds for a TD (Cameron Ward pass to Kyle Williams for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the WSU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:57
Bucky Irving run for 2 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)
+6.3
TD · Q3 10:13
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 42 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)
+6.1
TD · Q3 3:56
Bucky Irving run for 43 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)
+5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com