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UCLA

UCLA 24 at Oregon State 36

ORST
2023 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+8.1ORST 93.9%Silas Bolden 43 Yd pass from DJUiagalelei (Two-Point Pass ConversionFailed)AWAY 10 - HOME 29 · Q3 9:12
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:12 · Silas Bolden 43 Yd pass from DJ Uiagalelei (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 92Home team on offense+22.5Pregame prior+5.2Score differential+12.9Garbage-time factor+8.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Time remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:48: Ryan Cooper Jr. 67 Yd Interception Return (Atticus Sappington Kick) — ORST win probability +11.1 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:12: Silas Bolden 43 Yd pass from DJ Uiagalelei (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — ORST win probability +8.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:07: TJ Harden 9 Yd Run (RJ Lopez Kick) — UCLA win probability +9.2 pts (now 20%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:24: Jack Velling 32 Yd pass from DJ Uiagalelei (Atticus Sappington Kick) — ORST win probability +10.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:31: Carson Steele 7 Yd Run (RJ Lopez Kick) — UCLA win probability +10.0 pts (now 17%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UCLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 10:15ORST 4th & 8 at UCLA 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    60.7%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:58UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:58ORST 4th & 2 at UCLA 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    61.6%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    61.5%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:39ORST 4th & 10 at UCLA 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    59.9%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:41UCLA 4th & 3 at ORST 29, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    35.2%−0.8
    58% to make
    Punt
    31.7%−4.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:01UCLA 4th & 4 at ORST 18, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.2%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    28.5%−5.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:55ORST 4th & 8 at UCLA 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    57.6%−5.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:04ORST 4th & 16 at ORST 38, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−2.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:56UCLA 4th & 8 at UCLA 35, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:24UCLA 4th & 7 at ORST 32, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    7.7%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:08ORST 4th & 10 at ORST 39, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:45UCLA 4th & 18 at ORST 26, down 12
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.6 ptsWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%−1.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    7.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−2.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:24ORST 4th & 9 at ORST 42, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:24UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 30, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.9%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:15UCLA 4th & 27 at UCLA 47, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UCLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 0:39ORST Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:44UCLA Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:48ORST Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:12ORST Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    91.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:07UCLA Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:24ORST Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:31UCLA Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:2437% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.1%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.1%
Carson Steele run for 6 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
63.1%
Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 7 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
63.1%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
62.9%
Dante Moore pass intercepted by Akili Arnold at UCLA 47, returned for 13 yds to UCLA 34.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2FG
7 plays · 16 yds · 13:3663% → 65%
Q1 13:36
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+10
63.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 10 yds to the UCLA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
63.2%
Damien Martinez run for no gain to the UCLA 20Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+8
63.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 8 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 2
OPP 12
-6
63.2%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 18Similar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
63.2%
Damien Martinez run for 9 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+36
63.5%
Atticus Sappington 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 25
-5
65.1%
Oregon State Penalty, False Start (Heneli Bloomfield) to the UCLA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1737% → 36%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
63.4%
Dante Moore pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 1 yd to the UCLA 26Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
63.4%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
63.5%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
63.9%
Will Powers punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the ORST 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:1963% → 66%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+25
63.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Rweha Munyagi Jr. for 25 yds to the ORST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
63.7%
Damien Martinez run for 12 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
63.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
63.9%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 8 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 2
OPP 35
0
63.8%
Damien Martinez run for no gain to the UCLA 35Similar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+10
63.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 10 yds to the UCLA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
64.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
64.0%
Deshaun Fenwick run for no gain to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
63.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+43
65.6%
Atticus Sappington 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5INT
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:2635% → 35%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
65.2%
Dante Moore pass complete to Keegan Jones for 26 yds to the ORST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
64.1%
TJ Harden run for 4 yds to the ORST 45Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
64.1%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 6
OPP 45
-5
64.2%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 11
50
+15
65.1%
Dante Moore pass intercepted by Andrew Chatfield at OSU 40, returned 24 yds to UCLA 36. UCLA Penalty, Block below the waist on CRAGUN, Ryan enforced (Ryan Cragun) to the UCLA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6TD
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:3467% → 74%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
67.1%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 11 yds to the UCLA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
67.1%
Deshaun Fenwick run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 11Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-5
67.1%
Oregon State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 16Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+6
66.9%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Anthony Gould for 6 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
Q1 0:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
73.6%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 10 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5529% → 36%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
71.3%
TJ Harden run for 16 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
71.2%
TJ Harden run for 4 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+28
70.8%
Collin Schlee run for 28 yds to the ORST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
70.0%
Colson Yankoff run for 1 yd to the ORST 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+14
70.2%
Collin Schlee run for 14 yds to the ORST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
70.0%
Collin Schlee run for 2 yds to the ORST 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
70.0%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+10
64.0%
Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 10 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:5867% → 68%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
67.3%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 5 yds to the ORST 27Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 5
OWN 27
-1
67.5%
DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Gary Smith III and Grayson Murphy for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 26Similar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+10
66.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 10 yds to the ORST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
68.4%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 11 yds to the ORST 47 Deshaun Fenwick fumbled, recovered by UCLA Oluwafemi OladejoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9FG
9 plays · 29 yds · 4:4036% → 37%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
64.2%
Carson Steele run for 11 yds to the ORST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
64.2%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the ORST 33Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+3
63.3%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the ORST 30Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+1
64.1%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Logan Loya for 1 yd to the ORST 29Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+5
65.3%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kyle Ford for 5 yds to the ORST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
63.3%
Keegan Jones run for 5 yds to the ORST 19Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+2
63.2%
Collin Schlee run for 2 yds to the ORST 17Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 3
OPP 17
-1
64.1%
Dante Moore sacked by Joe Golden for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 18Similar
Q2 6:01
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+36
62.8%
RJ Lopez 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10FG
11 plays · 77 yds · 4:0164% → 71%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
64.3%
Damien Martinez run for 14 yds to the ORST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+18
64.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 18 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
66.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 4 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
66.6%
Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+22
66.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 22 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
67.2%
Damien Martinez run for 14 yds to the UCLA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
67.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
67.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
66.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
70.8%
Atticus Sappington 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11INT TD
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:0732% → 24%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
67.7%
TJ Harden run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
67.3%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kam Brown for 6 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
66.7%
TJ Harden run for 3 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
66.7%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kam Brown for 7 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 3
OWN 44
0
64.8%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+16
65.0%
Dante Moore run for 16 yds to the ORST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-67
76.2%
Ryan Cooper Jr. 67 Yd Interception Return (Atticus Sappington Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:4821% → 22%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
78.8%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
78.3%
Dante Moore pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 8 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
78.1%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
78.3%
Dante Moore run for 5 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:5682% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
81.6%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the ORST 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+16
81.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 16 yds to the ORST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
82.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
82.3%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the ORST 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 46
-8
81.6%
DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Laiatu Latu and Gabriel Murphy for a loss of 8 yards to the ORST 38Similar
Q3 12:04
4TH & 16
OWN 38
0
82.6%
Josh Green punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:0818% → 16%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
81.6%
Carson Steele run for 15 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
81.2%
Dante Moore sacked by John McCartan for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 30Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+5
81.8%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
81.8%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:56
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
84.5%
Will Powers punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15TD
2 plays · 58 yds · 0:4486% → 94%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
85.8%
Damien Martinez run for 15 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
93.9%
Silas Bolden 43 Yd pass from DJ Uiagalelei (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:5810% → 20%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
90.0%
Keegan Jones run for 14 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
89.9%
Collin Schlee run for 6 yds to the ORST 49Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+12
89.3%
Keegan Jones run for 12 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+28
89.5%
Collin Schlee run for 28 yds to the ORST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
80.3%
TJ Harden 9 Yd Run (RJ Lopez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 2:3785% → 95%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+41
84.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 41 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
85.6%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+7
85.6%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 7 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 1
OPP 27
-5
85.1%
QB Keeper UIAGALELEI, DJ rush up the middle for no gain to the UCL27 (WILLIAMS, Keanu;LATU, Laiatu). PENALTY Before the snap, OSU False Start on BLOOMFIELD, Heneli enforced 5 yards from the UCL27 to the UCL32. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+32
95.3%
Jack Velling 32 Yd pass from DJ Uiagalelei (Atticus Sappington Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 4:537% → 17%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.7%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
92.7%
Carson Steele run for 12 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
92.3%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
92.3%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+3
92.4%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
92.3%
TJ Harden run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 8
50
-5
92.2%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Garrett DiGiorgio) to the UCLA 45Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+15
92.7%
Oregon State Penalty, Personal Foul (Sione Lolohea) to the ORST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
91.5%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
91.5%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+3
92.1%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the ORST 32Similar
Q3 4:24
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+7
92.2%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kam Brown for 7 yds to the ORST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
91.1%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the ORST 22Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+6
91.1%
Carson Steele run for 6 yds to the ORST 16Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+5
93.9%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the ORST 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
93.4%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the ORST 7Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
83.5%
Carson Steele 7 Yd Run (RJ Lopez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 13 yds · 4:1789% → 92%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
88.8%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 25Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+5
88.7%
QB Keeper UIAGALELEI, DJ rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the OSU28 (OLADEJO, Oluwafemi;MUASAU, Darius). PENALTY UCL Offsides on MURPHY, Gabriel enforced 5 yards from the OSU25 to the OSU30 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-10
88.8%
MARTINEZ, Damien rush to the right for a gain of 7 yards to the OSU37 (OLADEJO, Oluwafemi;NIMMO JR., William). PENALTY OSU Holding on TERRY II, Jermaine enforced 10 yards from the OSU30 to the OSU20. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 16
OWN 20
+19
88.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 19 yds to the ORST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
89.3%
Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the ORST 40Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 9
OWN 40
-10
89.2%
MARTINEZ, Damien rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the OSU47 (MEDRANO, Kain). PENALTY OSU Holding on BLOOMFIELD, Heneli enforced 10 yards from the OSU40 to the OSU30. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 19
OWN 30
0
88.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 19
OWN 30
+9
88.0%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 9 yds to the ORST 39Similar
Q4 10:08
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
91.6%
Josh Green punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 26Similar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
91.5%
MOORE, Dante sacked for a loss of 6 yards at the UCL20 (MCCARTAN, John). PENALTY OSU Roughing the Passer on MCCARTAN, John enforced 15 yards from the UCL26 to the UCL41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20DOWNS
13 plays · 44 yds · 4:2310% → 5%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
90.5%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
90.3%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 1
50
+2
90.2%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the ORST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
90.2%
TJ Harden run for 1 yd to the ORST 47Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 9
OPP 47
-5
90.1%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Josh Carlin) to the UCLA 48Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+34
91.4%
Dante Moore pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 34 yds to the ORST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
89.1%
Carson Steele run for no gain to the ORST 18Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
89.4%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+2
90.2%
Dante Moore run for 2 yds to the ORST 16Similar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 8
OPP 16
-5
94.8%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Josh Carlin) to the ORST 21Similar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 13
OPP 21
-5
94.9%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Garrett DiGiorgio) to the ORST 26Similar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 18
OPP 26
-4
95.4%
Dante Moore sacked by Calvin Hart Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the ORST 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 21PUNT
12 plays · 12 yds · 2:2196% → 97%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
95.5%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the ORST 32Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
95.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+9
95.5%
Damien Martinez run for 9 yds to the ORST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
95.8%
Oregon State Penalty, False Start (Jermaine Terry II) to the ORST 36Similar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+8
96.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 8 yds to the ORST 44Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-10
96.8%
MARTINEZ, Damien rush to the right for a gain of 8 yards to the UCL48 (MUASAU, Darius), out of bounds. PENALTY OSU Holding on MUNYAGI JR., Rweha enforced 10 yards from the OSU44 to the OSU34. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 17
OWN 34
+13
96.5%
Damien Martinez run for 13 yds to the ORST 47Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 4
OWN 47
-5
96.8%
Oregon State Penalty, False Start (Taliese Fuaga) to the ORST 42Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
96.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:24
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
96.8%
Josh Green punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22DOWNS
13 plays · 42 yds · 3:092% → 2%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
98.2%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 8
-5
98.2%
UCLA Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Dante Moore) to the UCLA 6Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 12
OWN 6
+18
98.2%
Dante Moore pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 18 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
98.0%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
98.0%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+6
98.1%
Dante Moore pass complete to Ezavier Staples for 6 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 3:24
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+7
98.1%
Dante Moore run for 7 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+27
97.8%
Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 27 yds to the ORST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
97.7%
MOORE, Dante pass up the middle complete for 26 yards to NORWOOD, Josiah caught at the OSU23 and advanced to the OSU10 (MCCOY, Jermod). PENALTY UCL Holding on FINA, Bruno enforced 10 yards from the OSU36 to the OSU46 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 20
OPP 46
-1
97.8%
Dante Moore sacked by Kitan Oladapo for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 47Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 21
OPP 47
-6
97.9%
Dante Moore sacked by Calvin Hart Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 47Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 27
OWN 47
0
98.1%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 27
OWN 47
+3
98.3%
Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
50
0
98.1%
Kneel down by UIAGALELEI, DJ at OSU48 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:48
Ryan Cooper Jr. 67 Yd Interception Return (Atticus Sappington Kick)
+11.1
TD · Q3 4:24
Jack Velling 32 Yd pass from DJ Uiagalelei (Atticus Sappington Kick)
+10.2
TD · Q4 14:31
Carson Steele 7 Yd Run (RJ Lopez Kick)
-10
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com