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ARIZ

Arizona 44 at Washington State 6

WSU
2023 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-7.9WSU 45.5%Tyler Loop 40 yd FG GOODAWAY 20 - HOME 6 · Q2 8:07
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:07 · Tyler Loop 40 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Home team on offense−11.7Score differential−5.3Pregame prior+10.9Garbage-time factor−2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:53: Rayshon Luke run for 40 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +5.5 pts (now 44%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 8:07: Tyler Loop 40 yd FG GOOD — ARIZ win probability +7.9 pts (now 55%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:49: Tyler Loop 21 yd FG GOOD — ARIZ win probability +8.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:57: Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +17.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:37: DJ Williams run for 15 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +2.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ARIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 6:52WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 34, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    68.4%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:18ARIZ 4th & 11 at WSU 21, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:55WSU 4th & 22 at WSU 13, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:07ARIZ 4th & 7 at WSU 23, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    42.8%−3.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:19WSU 4th & 17 at WSU 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−1.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:11ARIZ 4th & 11 at ARIZ 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:59WSU 4th & 28 at WSU 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−3.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:49ARIZ 4th & 3 at WSU 4, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.9%−1.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    58.2%−11.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:22ARIZ 4th & 19 at ARIZ 48, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.7
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:42WSU 4th & 2 at WSU 15, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.3%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:51WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 40, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:16WSU 4th & 8 at ARIZ 38, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:16ARIZ 4th & 1 at midfield, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1ARIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:01WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    71.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:29ARIZ Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:53ARIZ Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:57ARIZ Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:37ARIZ Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:52ARIZ Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5967% → 68%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 4 yds to the WSU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
67.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 9 yds to the WSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
67.2%
John Mateer run for 1 yd to the WSU 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+5
67.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to John Mateer for 5 yds to the WSU 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+37
67.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 37 yds to the ARIZ 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
67.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 7 yds to the ARIZ 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 12
0
67.2%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+5
67.2%
Cameron Ward run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
67.2%
Nakia Watson run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 1Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
67.2%
Cameron Ward run for no gain to the ARIZ 1Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.4%
Nakia Watson run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:3232% → 35%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.7%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 5 yds to the ARIZ 30Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+69
67.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 69 yds to the WSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3766% → 65%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
65.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 1 yd to the WSU 26Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
65.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Jaylen Jenkins for 4 yds to the WSU 30Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
65.7%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 4 yds to the WSU 34Similar
Q1 6:52
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
65.2%
Jaylen Jenkins run for no gain to the WSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4FG
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:3435% → 36%
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
64.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 14 yds to the WSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
64.8%
DJ Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 21Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
64.9%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 11
OPP 21
0
65.2%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:18
4TH & 11
OPP 21
+37
64.5%
Tyler Loop 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5INT
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:1864% → 65%
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
64.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 11 yds to the WSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
64.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 10 yds to the WSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
65.2%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WSU 48Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
65.0%
John Mateer pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 4:0736% → 44%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
64.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 8 yds to the ARIZ 23Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+4
63.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
63.9%
Jacob Cowing run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 31Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+8
63.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 8 yds to the ARIZ 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
63.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 8 yds to the ARIZ 47Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 2
OWN 47
0
63.2%
Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the ARIZ 47Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+10
63.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 10 yds to the WSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
61.5%
DJ Williams run for 3 yds to the WSU 40Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+40
56.0%
Rayshon Luke run for 40 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:5857% → 54%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+2
56.7%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WSU 15Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 20
OWN 15
-5
56.7%
Cameron Ward sacked by Taylor Upshaw for a loss of 5 yards to the WSU 10Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 25
OWN 10
+3
56.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 3 yds to the WSU 13Similar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.8%
Washington State Penalty, Personal Foul (Yards) to the WSU 13Similar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
53.8%
Nick Haberer punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jacob Cowing at the ARIZ 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8FG
11 plays · 38 yds · 4:4847% → 55%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+28
53.3%
DJ Williams run for 38 yds to the WSU 23 Arizona Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ARIZ 31Similar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 18
OWN 31
+10
54.3%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 10 yds to the ARIZ 41Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+2
53.3%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Rayshon Luke for 17 yds to the WSU 42 for a 1ST down Arizona Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (DJ Williams) to the ARIZ 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
53.3%
Jonah Coleman run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 49Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+2
53.2%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the WSU 49Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+3
53.6%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 3 yds to the WSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+20
53.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 20 yds to the WSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
53.1%
DJ Williams run for 3 yds to the WSU 23Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
53.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jacob Cowing for no gain to the WSU 23Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
53.4%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+40
45.5%
Tyler Loop 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:4845% → 42%
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
45.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 8 yds to the WSU 33Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-11
46.0%
Nakia Watson run for a loss of 11 yards to the WSU 22Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-5
44.5%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (Josh Kelly) to the WSU 17Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+6
44.5%
Cameron Ward run for 6 yds to the WSU 23Similar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 12
OWN 23
-5
44.5%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WSU 18Similar
Q2 6:19
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
42.4%
Nick Haberer punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jacob Cowing at the ARIZ 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 11 yds · 4:0857% → 62%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
42.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Kevin Green Jr. for 7 yds to the ARIZ 41Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 3
OWN 41
-2
41.7%
Rayshon Luke run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARIZ 39Similar
Q2 4:31
3RD & 5
OWN 39
-5
39.8%
Arizona Penalty, False Start (DJ Williams) to the ARIZ 34Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+12
40.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 12 yds to the ARIZ 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
38.3%
FIFITA, Noah pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BURNETT, Keyan thrown to the WSU35; QB hurried by LAUFAU, Khalil. PENALTY UA Holding on SAVAIINAEA, Jonah enforced 10 yards from the UA46 to the UA36 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 20
OWN 36
0
39.6%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 20
OWN 36
+2
39.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 2 yds to the ARIZ 38Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 18
OWN 38
+7
39.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 7 yds to the ARIZ 45Similar
Q2 2:11
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
38.1%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:1237% → 37%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
37.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 1 yd to the WSU 15Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+18
37.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 18 yds to the WSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
37.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 9 yds to the WSU 42Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 1
OWN 42
-8
39.8%
Cameron Ward sacked by Jacob Kongaika for a loss of 8 yards to the WSU 34Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
37.5%
Cameron Ward run for a loss of 5 yards to the WSU 15 Cameron Ward fumbled, recovered by WSU , return for no gain to the WSU 15Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 28
OWN 15
0
36.8%
Nick Haberer punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jacob Cowing at the ARIZ 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:5968% → 72%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
31.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 40Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+5
31.5%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 5 yds to the ARIZ 45Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
28.3%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jacob Cowing for no gain to the ARIZ 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13FG
10 plays · 71 yds · 4:1165% → 75%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
34.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 2 yds to the ARIZ 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
34.8%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+18
35.5%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 18 yds to the ARIZ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
33.3%
Jonah Coleman run for 11 yds to the WSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
33.1%
DJ Williams run for 2 yds to the WSU 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+31
33.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 31 yds to the WSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
32.6%
Rayshon Luke run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 12Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+8
32.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 8 yds to the WSU 4Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 4
0
33.2%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:49
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+21
24.8%
Tyler Loop 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14INT
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:4127% → 27%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
26.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 22 yds to the WSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
28.9%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
27.3%
Cameron Ward pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15TD
16 plays · 60 yds · 7:1177% → 95%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
22.9%
DJ Williams run for no gain to the ARIZ 40Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
23.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 5 yds to the ARIZ 45Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+6
23.0%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 6 yds to the WSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
22.6%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 4 yds to the WSU 45Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+5
22.6%
DJ Williams run for 5 yds to the WSU 40Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+3
22.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 3 yds to the WSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
22.6%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
22.6%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 5 yds to the WSU 32Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+6
22.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 6 yds to the WSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
21.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 5 yds to the WSU 21Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+7
21.9%
Rayshon Luke run for 7 yds to the WSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
21.9%
Rayshon Luke run for 9 yds to the WSU 5Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+3
21.9%
Rayshon Luke run for 3 yds to the WSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
21.7%
DJ Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the WSU 4Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
21.9%
Noah Fifita run for 3 yds to the WSU 1Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
4.7%
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16FUMBLE
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:466% → 5%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
6.4%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 2 yds to the WSU 27Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
6.5%
Cameron Ward run for 7 yds to the WSU 34Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
6.6%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 2 yds to the WSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
6.6%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+13
6.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 13 yds to the WSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
6.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:11
2ND & 9
50
+4
5.0%
Cameron Ward run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 46 Cameron Ward fumbled, recovered by ARIZ Justin FloweSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:3896% → 97%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
3.7%
DJ Williams run for 11 yds to the WSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
3.6%
Noah Fifita sacked by Brennan Jackson for a loss of 10 yards to the ARIZ 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 47
+1
3.6%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 1 yd to the ARIZ 48Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 19
OWN 48
0
2.4%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 19
OWN 48
0
2.6%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:404% → 3%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
3.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Billy Riviere III for 6 yds to the WSU 13 Washington State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Fa'alili Fa'amoe) to the WSU 7Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+8
3.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 8 yds to the WSU 15Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 2
OWN 15
0
3.6%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 2
OWN 15
0
3.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19TD
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
0.6%
DJ Williams run for 15 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:461% → 0%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 4 yds to the WSU 29Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
0.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 11 yds to the WSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
0.6%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
0.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for no gain to the WSU 40Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
0.5%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:51
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
0.4%
Nick Haberer punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jacob Cowing at the ARIZ 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 3:59100% → 100%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
0.5%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Malachi Riley for 6 yds to the ARIZ 27Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+7
0.5%
Rayshon Luke run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
0.5%
Noah Fifita pass complete to AJ Jones for 3 yds to the ARIZ 37Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+2
0.5%
Rayshon Luke run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 39Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+18
0.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 18 yds to the WSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+20
0.5%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Kevin Green Jr. for 20 yds to the WSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
0.2%
Jonah Coleman run for 23 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 44 yds · 2:360% → 0%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.2%
Dylan Paine run for 7 yds to the WSU 32Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+28
0.2%
Dylan Paine run for 13 yds to the ARIZ 45 for a 1ST down Arizona Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Genesis Smith) to the ARIZ 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
0.2%
Dylan Paine run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 37Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-1
0.2%
John Mateer run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 38Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
0.2%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:16
4TH & 8
OPP 38
+7
0.1%
John Mateer pass complete to Cameron Johnson for 7 yds to the ARIZ 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23END OF GAME
7 plays · 21 yds · 4:16100% → 100%
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
0.2%
DJ Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the ARIZ 27Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+14
0.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to AJ Jones for 14 yds to the ARIZ 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
0.2%
DJ Williams run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 44Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
0.2%
Rayshon Luke run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 49Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
0.2%
Rayshon Luke run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:16
4TH & 1
50
+3
0.2%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
0.1%
Kneel down by UA at WSU48 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:57
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)
-17.3
FG · Q3 10:49
Tyler Loop 21 yd FG GOOD
-8.5
FG · Q2 8:07
Tyler Loop 40 yd FG GOOD
-7.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com