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WSU

Washington State 17 at UCLA 25

UCLA
2023 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:54 · Nick Haberer punt for 43 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Home team on offense−2.6Garbage-time factor−0.2Pregame prior+1.7Score differential−2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Blowout margin+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:07: Kapena Gushiken 88 Yd Interception Return (Dean Janikowski Kick) — WSU win probability +14.0 pts (now 44%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 7:25: RJ Lopez 32 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +5.9 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:17: Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 9 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +19.9 pts (now 66%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:28: Keegan Jones run for 13 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — UCLA win probability +24.6 pts (now 68%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:45: Keegan Jones run for 22 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK) — UCLA win probability +21.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 11 of 14WSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 14:02WSU 4th & 4 at WSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:56WSU 4th & 6 at UCLA 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    39.3%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:10UCLA 4th & 1 at WSU 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    59.7%−0.3
    64% to make
    Punt
    58.9%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:43UCLA 4th & 17 at WSU 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    58.1%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:53UCLA 4th & 15 at UCLA 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:27WSU 4th & 15 at WSU 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:54UCLA 4th & 19 at UCLA 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−2.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:55WSU 4th & 5 at UCLA 49, down 3
    Close callPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:16UCLA 4th & 2 at UCLA 20, up 3
    Close callPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:00UCLA 4th & 2 at WSU 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    62.6%−0.9
    60% to make
    Punt
    58.7%−4.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:30UCLA 4th & 13 at WSU 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−1.6
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    57.0%−5.2
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:09WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 24, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−1.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:52UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 30, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:12WSU 4th & 15 at WSU 33, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−4.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:55UCLA 4th & 6 at UCLA 24, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−1.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:54WSU 4th & 23 at WSU 16, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−5.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  17. Q3 7:25UCLA 4th & 8 at WSU 14, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−1.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    45.1%−10.9
    average punt
  18. Q3 2:50UCLA 4th & 4 at WSU 15, down 5
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.8%−0.3
    83% to make
    Punt
    27.2%−15.9
    average punt
  19. Q3 1:40WSU 4th & 2 at WSU 28, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%−2.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 14:19UCLA 4th & 6 at WSU 27, down 5
    Close callWent for it · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.9%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    41.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    27.8%−13.5
    average punt
  21. Q4 11:07WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 33, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−2.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  22. Q4 9:46UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 23, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−1.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%
    average punt
  23. Q4 8:15WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 40, down 8
    Close callPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%−0.4
    average punt
  24. Q4 4:26UCLA 4th & 13 at UCLA 25, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−2.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  25. Q4 1:38WSU 4th & 1 at UCLA 40, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    5.3%−4.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−4.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 11:31UCLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    62.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:07WSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:17WSU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:28UCLA Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    65.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:45UCLA Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5746% → 46%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
54.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 6 yds to the WSU 31Similar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
54.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:02
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
54.4%
Nick Haberer punt for 42 yds , returns for no gain to the UCLA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:4854% → 54%
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
54.4%
Dante Moore pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 26Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+2
54.5%
Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 2 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
54.4%
Dante Moore pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3FG
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5946% → 46%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
54.2%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
54.2%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
54.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 6
OPP 15
-5
54.5%
(12:05) JANIKOWSKI, Dean field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD [kick was spotted at UCL22], score nullified by penalty, clock 12:02. PENALTY Before the snap, WSU Illegal Formation on TIALAVEA, Roderick enforced 5 yards from the UCL15 to the UCL20. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+5
54.6%
UCLA Penalty, Delay Of Game (Darius Muasau) to the UCLA 15Similar
Q1 11:56
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
54.4%
Dean Janikowski 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4MISSED FG
15 plays · 46 yds · 5:1054% → 54%
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.4%
Carson Steele run for no gain to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
54.4%
Dante Moore pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 14 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
54.7%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+12
54.8%
Carson Steele run for 12 yds to the WSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
55.1%
Dante Moore pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 8 yds to the WSU 39Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 2
OPP 39
0
55.1%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+4
55.0%
Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 4 yds to the WSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
55.3%
Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 3 yds to the WSU 32Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
55.5%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+6
55.1%
Dante Moore pass complete to Keegan Jones for 6 yds to the WSU 26Similar
Q1 8:10
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+4
54.9%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the WSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
55.6%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the WSU 18Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
55.7%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
55.3%
UCLA Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Intentional Grounding on MOORE, Dante enforced a result of a (Yards) to the WSU 28Similar
Q1 6:43
4TH & 17
OPP 29
+47
54.1%
RJ Lopez 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5FUMBLE
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:2046% → 47%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
54.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 8 yds to the WSU 37Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+15
53.9%
(06:08) JENKINS, Jaylen rush to the left for a loss of 2 yards to the WSU35 (OLADEJO, Oluwafemi), clock 06:02. PENALTY UCL Personal Foul on OLADEJO, Oluwafemi enforced 15 yards from the WSU37 to the UCL48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
53.5%
(05:39) WARD, Cameron pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for HAMILTON, Isaiah thrown to the UCL14, clock 05:35. PENALTY UCL Offsides on MURPHY, Grayson enforced 5 yards from the UCL48 to the UCL43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 5
OPP 43
0
53.5%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+6
53.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 6 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+28
53.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 28 yds to the UCLA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-6
53.1%
Cameron Ward sacked by Laiatu Latu for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 15Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+7
53.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Cameron Johnson for 7 yds Cameron Johnson fumbled, recovered by UCLA Keanu WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 3:1754% → 53%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
53.8%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 8
OWN 10
-5
53.8%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Garrett DiGiorgio) to the UCLA 5Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 13
OWN 5
+10
53.7%
Carson Steele run for 10 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q1 3:07
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+6
53.3%
Carson Steele run for 6 yds to the UCLA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
53.9%
TJ Harden run for 1 yd to the UCLA 22Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+3
53.8%
Dante Moore pass complete to TJ Harden for 3 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 1:23
3RD & 6
OWN 25
-9
53.3%
Dante Moore sacked by Kapena Gushiken for a loss of 9 yards to the UCLA 16Similar
Q1 0:53
4TH & 15
OWN 16
0
52.9%
Will Powers punt for 55 yds, downed at the WSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7FUMBLE
4 plays · 34 yds · 0:5446% → 48%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
53.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 11 yds to the WSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
52.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 9 yds to the WSU 49Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+4
52.0%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
51.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 10 yds Carlos Hernandez fumbled, recovered by UCLA Choe Bryant-StrotherSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:0954% → 60%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
54.4%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
54.2%
Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+27
54.9%
Dante Moore pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 27 yds to the WSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
56.5%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the WSU 27Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+5
56.6%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the WSU 22Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+8
55.7%
Carson Steele run for 8 yds to the WSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
56.7%
TJ Harden run for 4 yds to the WSU 10Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 6
OPP 10
-1
56.8%
TJ Harden run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 11Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+11
59.9%
Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 11 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:0142% → 40%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
58.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 7 yds to the WSU 32Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
58.4%
Cameron Ward run for 11 yds to the WSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
56.9%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
57.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 10
OWN 43
-5
58.1%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WSU 38Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 15
OWN 38
0
58.6%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:27
4TH & 15
OWN 38
0
59.6%
Nick Haberer punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:2558% → 57%
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
58.3%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
58.2%
TJ Harden run for 3 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 7
OWN 21
-12
57.8%
Dante Moore sacked by Sam Lockett III and Brennan Jackson for a loss of 12 yards to the UCLA 9Similar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 19
OWN 9
0
57.1%
Will Powers punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:5343% → 41%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
56.7%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the WSU 49Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+4
56.9%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-2
57.1%
Nakia Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 49Similar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
58.7%
Nick Haberer punt for 37 yds, downed at the UCLA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2960% → 59%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
59.9%
Carson Steele run for 6 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+3
60.1%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 1
OWN 21
-1
59.6%
Carson Steele run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 20Similar
Q2 5:16
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
58.6%
Will Powers punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0342% → 41%
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
58.1%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+15
58.6%
UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (Darius Muasau) to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:2461% → 67%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+29
60.7%
Dante Moore pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 29 yds to the WSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
63.2%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
63.1%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the WSU 32Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+4
63.3%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the WSU 28Similar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+12
62.1%
Carson Steele run for 12 yds to the WSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
64.3%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-3
64.3%
TJ Harden run for a loss of 3 yards to the WSU 19Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 13
OPP 19
0
62.5%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 13
OPP 19
+37
66.9%
RJ Lopez 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:1633% → 32%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
66.9%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
67.1%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the WSU 24Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
67.8%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
68.4%
Nick Haberer punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16INT TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 0:5567% → 56%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
67.2%
TJ Harden run for 6 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+43
68.3%
Dante Moore pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for 43 yds to the WSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
70.1%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+17
70.1%
Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 17 yds to the WSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
69.7%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
69.7%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-88
55.7%
Kapena Gushiken 88 Yd Interception Return (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0753% → 51%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
53.1%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
53.8%
Carson Steele run for no gain to the UCLA 30Similar
Q3 13:56
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
52.4%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:52
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
51.1%
Will Powers punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:2751% → 47%
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
49.1%
Nakia Watson run for no gain to the WSU 38Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
49.2%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (Kyle Williams) to the WSU 33Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 15
OWN 33
0
51.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for no gain to the WSU 33Similar
Q3 12:25
3RD & 15
OWN 33
0
52.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:12
4TH & 15
OWN 33
0
53.4%
Nick Haberer punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1853% → 51%
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
52.5%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
52.3%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
51.0%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:55
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
50.2%
Will Powers punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 29Similar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
50.6%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 1:5549% → 46%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 15
OWN 24
-10
51.2%
Cameron Ward sacked by Gabriel Murphy for a loss of 10 yards to the WSU 14Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 25
OWN 14
-2
51.5%
Cameron Ward run for a loss of 2 yards to the WSU 12Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 27
OWN 12
+4
52.8%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the WSU 16Similar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 23
OWN 16
0
53.9%
Nick Haberer punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21FG
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:1857% → 62%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+27
56.9%
Dante Moore pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 27 yds to the WSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
58.3%
TJ Harden run for 2 yds to the WSU 14Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
58.4%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 8
OPP 14
0
56.6%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+32
62.4%
RJ Lopez 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:5540% → 66%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
60.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 16 yds to the WSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+39
57.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 39 yds Isaiah Hamilton fumbled, recovered by WSU Isaiah Hamilton for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
54.3%
Nakia Watson run for no gain to the UCLA 9Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
34.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 9 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 23MISSED FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 2:2639% → 40%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
39.4%
Dante Moore pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 20 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
42.2%
TJ Harden run for 1 yd to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+4
41.7%
Dante Moore pass complete to TJ Harden for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 5
50
+29
42.1%
Dante Moore pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 29 yds to the WSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
45.3%
Dante Moore pass complete to TJ Harden for 2 yds to the WSU 19Similar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+4
45.2%
TJ Harden run for 4 yds to the WSU 15Similar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 4
OPP 15
0
43.0%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+33
40.4%
RJ Lopez 33 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jaden HicksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0964% → 64%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
36.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 1 yd to the WSU 21Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
36.7%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+7
38.1%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Kelly for 7 yds to the WSU 28Similar
Q3 1:40
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
36.5%
Nick Haberer punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 25TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0638% → 68%
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
38.0%
Dante Moore pass complete to Carson Steele for 2 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
38.0%
Keegan Jones run for 10 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
37.9%
Dante Moore pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 19 yds to the WSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
41.8%
Carson Steele run for 13 yds to the WSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
44.0%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
43.8%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the WSU 27Similar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
41.5%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:19
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+12
38.5%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kam Brown for 12 yds to the WSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
43.7%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the WSU 13Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
68.4%
Keegan Jones run for 13 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 26INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
59.4%
Cameron Ward pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 27TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 1:3567% → 88%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
67.1%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the WSU 32Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
68.6%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+10
67.0%
Dante Moore run for 10 yds to the WSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
88.2%
Keegan Jones run for 22 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:2518% → 15%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
82.3%
Nakia Watson run for 1 yd to the WSU 33Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
82.7%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
84.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:07
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
84.8%
Nick Haberer punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1186% → 86%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
86.4%
TJ Harden run for 3 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+2
86.6%
TJ Harden run for 2 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
86.8%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:46
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
85.9%
Will Powers punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 30PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2816% → 14%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
84.2%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
84.7%
Kyle Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 35Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+5
87.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 5 yds to the WSU 40Similar
Q4 8:15
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
86.4%
Nick Haberer punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 31PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:3789% → 91%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
88.9%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+2
89.4%
Colson Yankoff run for 2 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+9
89.3%
Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 9 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
90.2%
Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-1
92.1%
Carson Steele run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 28Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 10
OWN 28
-3
92.3%
Dante Moore sacked by Brennan Jackson for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 25Similar
Q4 4:26
4TH & 13
OWN 25
0
91.3%
Will Powers punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 32DOWNS
10 plays · 33 yds · 2:3911% → 8%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
89.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+12
90.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 12 yds to the WSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
87.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Jaylen Jenkins for 5 yds to the WSU 44Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+4
87.5%
Cameron Ward run for 4 yds to the WSU 48Similar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+3
87.3%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-9
88.5%
Cameron Ward sacked by Darius Muasau for a loss of 9 yards to the WSU 42Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 19
OWN 42
+14
91.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 14 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+4
91.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Billy Riviere III for 4 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 1
OPP 40
0
92.0%
Cameron Ward run for no gain to the UCLA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 33END OF GAME
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0697% → 97%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 9
OWN 41
+13
97.0%
Carson Steele run for 13 yds to the WSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
97.2%
(00:50) [NH] Kneel down by UCL at WSU47 (team loss of 1), clock 00:49.Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 11
OPP 47
0
97.5%
(00:38) [NH] Kneel down by UCL at WSU49 (team loss of 2), clock 00:33.Similar
Q4 0:23
3RD & 13
OPP 49
0
97.3%
(00:23) [NH] Kneel down by UCL at WSU50 (team loss of 1), clock 00:18.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:28
Keegan Jones run for 13 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+24.6
TD · Q4 11:45
Keegan Jones run for 22 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)
+21.2
TD · Q3 5:17
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 9 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)
-19.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com