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UTAH

Utah 7 at Oregon State 21

ORST
2023 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2023 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:10 · DJ Uiagalelei run for 1 yd to the UTAH 22 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Home team on offense+0.3Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Pregame prior+5.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:46: Damien Martinez run for 4 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +3.2 pts (now 61%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:43: DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 27 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +10.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:43: Oregon State Penalty, Illegal Block (Isaac Hodgins) to the ORST 15 — ORST win probability +6.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:50: Silas Bolden run for 45 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +6.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:05: Nate Johnson pass complete to Thomas Yassmin for 41 yds for a TD (Joey Cheek KICK) — UTAH win probability +3.7 pts (now 5%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 8 of 10UTAH made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:10UTAH 4th & 6 at ORST 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    39.4%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    39.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:10ORST 4th & 1 at UTAH 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    60.8%−0.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    60.4%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:24UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:32ORST 4th & 21 at ORST 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−1.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:49UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:53ORST 4th & 8 at UTAH 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:57UTAH 4th & 12 at UTAH 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−1.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:21ORST 4th & 7 at ORST 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:19UTAH 4th & 8 at ORST 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    30.4%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:47ORST 4th & 10 at UTAH 35, up 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.7 ptsPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    70.4%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:49ORST 4th & 9 at UTAH 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    69.7%−2.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:17UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 20, down 7
    Close callPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:37UTAH 4th & 1 at ORST 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    15.5%−2.6
    47% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−3.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:50ORST 4th & 1 at UTAH 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%−3.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−2.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:46UTAH 4th & 3 at ORST 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:47UTAH 4th & 18 at UTAH 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:18ORST 4th & 7 at ORST 18, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:51ORST 4th & 14 at ORST 49, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:49UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%−0.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:00ORST 4th & 14 at UTAH 26, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UTAH made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 5:46ORST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:43ORST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:50ORST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:05UTAH Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:5044% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.0%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
56.0%
Nate Johnson pass complete to Money Parks for 9 yds to the UTAH 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
56.0%
run for 6 yds to the UTAH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
56.0%
Jaylon Glover run for 1 yd to the UTAH 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+20
56.0%
Nate Johnson pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 20 yds to the ORST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
56.0%
Jaylon Glover run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 41
0
56.0%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+6
56.0%
Nate Johnson pass complete to Charlie Vincent for 6 yds to the ORST 35Similar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
56.1%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:2456% → 61%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
56.4%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 17 yds to the UTAH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
56.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
56.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+16
56.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 16 yds to the UTAH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
56.9%
Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the UTAH 26Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 4
OPP 26
-1
56.9%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 27Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+4
56.8%
Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the UTAH 23Similar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+1
56.6%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 1 yd to the UTAH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
56.9%
Oregon State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTAH 27Similar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 15
OPP 27
+9
56.8%
Damien Martinez run for 9 yds to the UTAH 18Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+14
57.8%
Damien Martinez run for 14 yds to the UTAH 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
60.9%
Damien Martinez run for 4 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:2240% → 39%
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.9%
Jaylon Glover run for no gain to the UTAH 25Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
60.0%
Chris Curry run for no gain to the UTAH 25Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
60.3%
Nate Johnson run for 9 yds to the UTAH 34Similar
Q1 5:46
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
59.9%
Utah Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Logan Fano) to the UTAH 29Similar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
61.5%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the ORST 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:5261% → 61%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
61.0%
Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the ORST 30Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+16
60.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 16 yds to the ORST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
62.0%
DJ Uiagalelei run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 45Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 11
OWN 45
0
61.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 11
OWN 45
-10
61.0%
DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Jonah Elliss for a loss of 10 yards to the ORST 35Similar
Q1 0:32
4TH & 21
OWN 35
0
60.7%
Josh Green punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4339% → 37%
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
61.5%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+5
61.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 5 yds to the UTAH 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
62.2%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
62.7%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the ORST 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:5662% → 63%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
62.1%
Aidan Chiles run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 26Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+23
61.9%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 23 yds to the ORST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-9
63.4%
Aidan Chiles sacked by Logan Fano for a loss of 9 yards to the ORST 40Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 19
OWN 40
-3
62.4%
Aidan Chiles sacked by Jonah Elliss for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 37Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 22
OWN 37
+14
61.6%
Damien Martinez run for 14 yds to the UTAH 49Similar
Q2 11:53
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
62.8%
Josh Green punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Mikey Matthews at the UTAH 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 2:5637% → 35%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
62.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 6 yds to the UTAH 21Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+4
62.4%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the UTAH 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
62.7%
Jaylon Glover run for 3 yds to the UTAH 28Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
62.4%
Chris Curry run for 5 yds to the UTAH 33Similar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
62.3%
Utah Penalty, False Start (Michael Mokofisi) to the UTAH 28Similar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
63.3%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:53
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-5
63.8%
Utah Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTAH 23Similar
Q2 8:57
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
65.5%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the ORST 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3665% → 65%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
64.6%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the ORST 34Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-1
65.1%
Deshaun Fenwick run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 33Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
65.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:21
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
65.1%
Josh Green punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 3:0234% → 33%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
65.6%
Nate Johnson run for 2 yds to the UTAH 37Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+20
65.5%
Jaylon Glover run for 20 yds to the ORST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
63.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 1 yd to the ORST 42Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+1
64.0%
Nate Johnson run for 1 yd to the ORST 41Similar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
64.3%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
67.2%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the ORST 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:3267% → 68%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
67.4%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 9 yds to the ORST 17Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 1
OWN 17
-7
67.8%
Deshaun Fenwick run for a loss of 7 yards to the ORST 10Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+40
66.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 40 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
50
-5
69.6%
Oregon State Penalty, False Start (Heneli Bloomfield) to the ORST 45Similar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 15
OWN 45
-2
68.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 43Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 17
OWN 43
+8
68.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 8 yds to the UTAH 49Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+14
68.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 14 yds to the UTAH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
70.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
69.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
68.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 10
OPP 35
0
68.0%
punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:4731% → 31%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
68.8%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
69.4%
Jaylon Glover run for 5 yds to the UTAH 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 2:1169% → 69%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
69.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Rweha Munyagi Jr. for 28 yds to the UTAH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
71.6%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the UTAH 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
-1
71.5%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
70.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
69.1%
Josh Green punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Mikey Matthews at the UTAH 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3231% → 28%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
69.4%
Jaylon Glover run for 3 yds to the UTAH 16Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+4
69.5%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the UTAH 20Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 3
OWN 20
0
70.3%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:17
4TH & 3
OWN 20
0
71.8%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14TD
2 plays · 52 yds · 0:3473% → 84%
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+25
73.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 25 yds to the UTAH 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
84.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 27 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15INT
14 plays · 54 yds · 6:5418% → 14%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
82.1%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 7 yds to the UTAH 30Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
81.0%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+9
81.6%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Landen King for 9 yds to the UTAH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
80.8%
Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the UTAH 41Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+15
80.9%
Oregon State Penalty, Targeting on RAWLS, James enforced (James Rawls) to the ORST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
80.0%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 6 yds to the ORST 37Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+2
79.5%
Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the ORST 35Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+1
79.7%
Jaylon Glover run for 1 yd to the ORST 34Similar
Q3 10:37
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+2
80.7%
Bryson Barnes run for 2 yds to the ORST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
79.1%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Thomas Yassmin for 12 yds to the ORST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
78.6%
BARNES, Bryson pass deep to the right incomplete intended for PARKS, Money thrown to the OSU0. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on COOPER JR., Ryan enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the OSU5 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-6
78.6%
Bryson Barnes sacked by Joe Golden for a loss of 6 yards to the ORST 11Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-12
79.1%
run for a loss of 12 yards to the ORST 23Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 23
+10
85.9%
Oregon State Penalty, Illegal Block (Isaac Hodgins) to the ORST 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 4:5389% → 99%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
88.8%
Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the ORST 19Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+9
88.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 9 yds to the ORST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
88.9%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the ORST 31Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+5
91.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 5 yds to the ORST 36Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+10
91.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 10 yds to the ORST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
92.6%
Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the UTAH 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 48
-3
92.7%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+6
92.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 6 yds to the UTAH 45Similar
Q4 13:50
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+45
98.5%
Silas Bolden run for 45 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:042% → 2%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.0%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Thomas Yassmin for 6 yds to the UTAH 31Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
97.9%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+15
97.9%
BARNES, Bryson pass short to the right incomplete intended for VELE, Devaughn broken up by THOMAS JR., Noble at the UTA36. PENALTY OSU Targeting on HART JR., Calvin enforced 15 yards from the UTA31 to the UTA46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
97.9%
Nate Johnson run for 9 yds to the ORST 45Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+3
97.7%
Jaylon Glover run for 3 yds to the ORST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
97.9%
Nate Johnson run for 1 yd to the ORST 41Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
97.9%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+6
97.9%
Nate Johnson pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 6 yds to the ORST 35Similar
Q4 10:46
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+2
98.3%
Nate Johnson run for 2 yds to the ORST 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 18INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:3699% → 99%
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
98.9%
Isaiah Newell run for 11 yds to the ORST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.0%
Isaiah Newell run for 1 yd to the ORST 45Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
99.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
99.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:232% → 1%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
98.5%
Nate Johnson run for 4 yds to the UTAH 48Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
98.5%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
98.5%
JOHNSON, Nate pass deep to the left incomplete intended for VELE, Devaughn broken up by COOPER JR., Ryan at the OSU30. PENALTY UTA Holding on KUMP, Jaren OSU Holding on JOHNSON, Josiah , Offsetting penalties [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 6
OWN 48
-12
98.5%
Nate Johnson sacked by Andrew Chatfield Jr. for a loss of 12 yards to the UTAH 36Similar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 18
OWN 36
0
98.8%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the ORST 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:2999% → 99%
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
99.2%
Silas Bolden run for 8 yds to the ORST 23Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 2
OWN 23
-10
99.2%
MARTINEZ, Damien rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the OSU28 (VAKI, Sione), out of bounds. PENALTY OSU Holding on TERRY II, Jermaine enforced 10 yards from the OSU23 to the OSU13. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 12
OWN 13
-4
99.4%
Deshaun Fenwick run for a loss of 4 yards to the ORST 9Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 16
OWN 9
+9
99.5%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 9 yds to the ORST 18Similar
Q4 6:18
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
99.4%
Josh Green punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 1:131% → 5%
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.3%
Nate Johnson pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 2 yds to the UTAH 47Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+12
99.3%
Nate Johnson pass complete to Jaylon Glover for 12 yds to the ORST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
95.5%
Nate Johnson pass complete to Thomas Yassmin for 41 yds for a TD (Joey Cheek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:0699% → 99%
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
98.8%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 48Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 11
OPP 48
0
98.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+2
98.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 2 yds to the UTAH 46Similar
Q4 4:57
4TH & 9
OPP 46
-5
98.6%
Oregon State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the ORST 49Similar
Q4 3:51
4TH & 14
OWN 49
0
98.8%
Josh Green punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 2 yds · 1:022% → 1%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.4%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.4%
Nate Johnson pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 5 yds to the UTAH 25Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+10
98.4%
JOHNSON, Nate pass up the middle incomplete intended for VELE, Devaughn thrown to the UTA36. PENALTY OSU Holding on COOPER JR., Ryan enforced 10 yards from the UTA25 to the UTA35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.3%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
98.3%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
98.4%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:49
4TH & 10
OWN 35
-13
98.6%
Nate Johnson sacked by Easton Mascarenas-Arnold for a loss of 13 yards to the UTAH 22Similar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
99.1%
NEWELL, Isaiah rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the UTA17 (KENNEDY, Chase). PENALTY Before the snap, OSU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the UTA22 to the UTA27. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · -8 yds · 2:4999% → 99%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 15
OPP 27
0
99.1%
Deshaun Fenwick run for no gain to the UTAH 27Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 15
OPP 27
+6
99.1%
Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the UTAH 21Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 9
OPP 21
0
99.1%
Damien Martinez run for no gain to the UTAH 21Similar
Q4 2:49
4TH & 9
OPP 21
-5
99.0%
Oregon State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the UTAH 26Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 14
OPP 26
0
99.2%
Kneel down by UIAGALELEI, DJ at UTA30 (team loss of 4); OSU turnover on downs, clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:43
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 27 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+10.9
KEY PLAY · Q3 3:43
Oregon State Penalty, Illegal Block (Isaac Hodgins) to the ORST 15
+6.9
TD · Q4 13:50
Silas Bolden run for 45 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com