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ORST

Oregon State 35 at Washington State 38

WSU
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadORST aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreORST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+3.7WSU 95.8%Dean Janikowski 44 yd FG GOODAWAY 21 - HOME 38 · Q4 9:12
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:12 · Dean Janikowski 44 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorTime remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Home team on offense+25.6Score differential+14.1Garbage-time factor+12.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.5Pregame prior−0.9Time remaining−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:10: Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 11 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +12.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:15: Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 19 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +12.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:14: DJ Uiagalelei run for 26 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +9.8 pts (now 13%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:18: Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +9.0 pts (now 14%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:12: DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 5 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +20.9 pts (now 26%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ORST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:39ORST 4th & 8 at WSU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    54.2%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  2. Q2 2:12ORST 4th & 7 at WSU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    38.7%−0.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    37.9%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q3 13:05ORST 4th & 1 at ORST 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.3%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q3 12:04WSU 4th & 10 at ORST 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.7%
    47% to make
    Punt
    76.8%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:04ORST 4th & 15 at ORST 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−2.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:04WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 29, up 14
    Numbers favored punt by 1.7 ptsWent for it · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.1%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    80.7%
    average punt
  7. Q4 14:14ORST 4th & 2 at WSU 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%−0.4
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.6%−3.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:12WSU 4th & 13 at ORST 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−1.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−3.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 3:58WSU 4th & 2 at ORST 2, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    91.1%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    88.2%−3.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:12ORST 4th & 5 at WSU 5, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    5.1%−1.3
    92% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−2.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ORST made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 14:10WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:57WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:48ORST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:49WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:35ORST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:10WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:15WSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:14ORST Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:18ORST Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.2%−0.6
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:12ORST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.5%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:4544% → 44%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
43.9%
Cameron Ward run for 12 yds to the WSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
44.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 63 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 2:3156% → 54%
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
44.4%
Damien Martinez run for 27 yds to the WSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
44.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 7 yds to the WSU 41Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+1
44.3%
Isaiah Newell run for 1 yd to the WSU 40Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 2
OPP 40
-6
44.3%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 6 yards to the WSU 46 Damien Martinez fumbled, recovered by ORST Damien MartinezSimilar
Q1 11:39
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
46.0%
Josh Green punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 3:4246% → 53%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
46.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 12 yds to the WSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+29
46.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 29 yds to the ORST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
46.4%
Nakia Watson run for no gain to the ORST 49Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
46.3%
John Mateer run for 7 yds to the ORST 42Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+9
46.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 9 yds to the ORST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+24
46.5%
Oregon State Penalty, Face mask (24 yards) (Tyrice Ivy Jr.) to the ORST 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
46.5%
Cameron Ward run for 2 yds to the ORST 2Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
46.5%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
46.4%
Oregon State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct ( Yards) to the ORST 1Similar
Q1 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
52.7%
Cameron Ward run for 1 yd for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:0949% → 50%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
51.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
51.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 11 yds to the ORST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
51.0%
Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the ORST 41Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+6
50.8%
Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
50.8%
Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the WSU 48Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+3
50.7%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the WSU 45Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+7
50.6%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 7 yds to the WSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
50.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+38
49.8%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 38 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0952% → 60%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
51.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Cooper Mathers for no gain to the WSU 25Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
51.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 11 yds to the WSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
51.9%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the WSU 40Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-2
52.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the WSU 38Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+18
51.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 18 yds to the ORST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
52.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for no gain to the ORST 44Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-5
52.7%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ORST 49Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+5
53.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 5 yds to the ORST 44Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+44
60.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 44 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6INT
8 plays · 29 yds · 4:2942% → 39%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
58.0%
Damien Martinez run for 22 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
56.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-2
57.1%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 45Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+12
58.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Damien Martinez for 12 yds to the WSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
56.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Isaac Hodgins for 4 yds to the WSU 39Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-15
56.2%
FENWICK, Deshaun rush to the left for a gain of 17 yards to the WSU22 (LOCKETT III, Sam). PENALTY OSU Unnecessary Roughness on FUAGA, Taliese enforced 15 yards from the WSU31 to the WSU46, from the the spot of the ball when the foul occurred, runner is credited with 8 yards on the play. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 13
OPP 46
0
57.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for no gain to the WSU 46Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 13
OPP 46
0
61.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7FUMBLE
4 plays · 59 yds · 1:3864% → 67%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
63.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 3 yds to the WSU 22Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+9
63.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 9 yds to the WSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+40
64.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 40 yds to the ORST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
66.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Jaylen Jenkins for 7 yds Jaylen Jenkins fumbled, recovered by ORST Jermod McCoySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 3:0736% → 46%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
63.8%
Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the ORST 27Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+3
63.2%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the ORST 30Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+2
63.2%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the ORST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+50
63.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 50 yds to the WSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
60.6%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 9 yds to the WSU 9Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+9
54.5%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 9 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4561% → 63%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
60.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 4 yds to the WSU 40Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
61.8%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the WSU 43Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+4
60.9%
Cameron Ward run for 4 yds to the WSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-7
63.3%
Cameron Ward run for a loss of 7 yards to the WSU 40 Cameron Ward fumbled, recovered by ORST Cory StoverSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:3143% → 38%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
57.2%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the WSU 38Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+1
57.3%
Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the WSU 37Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
59.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:12
4TH & 7
OPP 37
-8
61.6%
DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Jaden Hicks for a loss of 8 yards to the WSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:0264% → 77%
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
64.4%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 17 yds to the ORST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
64.8%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 1 yd to the ORST 37Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+6
64.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 6 yds to the ORST 31Similar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+5
64.1%
WARD, Cameron pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WILLIAMS, Kyle thrown to the OSU8. PENALTY OSU Offsides on MCCARTAN, John enforced 5 yards from the OSU31 to the OSU26 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
65.0%
Nakia Watson run for 8 yds to the ORST 18Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+7
65.0%
Nakia Watson run for 7 yds to the ORST 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
77.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 11 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
74.5%
Kneel down by OSU at OSU34 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5525% → 24%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
75.1%
Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the ORST 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
74.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for no gain to the ORST 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
74.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 3 yds to the ORST 34Similar
Q3 13:05
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
76.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14MISSED FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0179% → 78%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
79.2%
Cameron Ward run for no gain to the ORST 34Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
79.1%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
78.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:04
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+51
78.2%
Dean Janikowski 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:0023% → 20%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
76.9%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 9 yds to the ORST 43Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+5
75.8%
Washington State Penalty, Encroachment on GUSTA, David enforced (David Gusta) to the ORST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
75.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
76.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 10
OWN 48
-5
76.8%
DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Nusi Malani for a loss of 5 yards to the ORST 43Similar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 15
OWN 43
0
80.1%
Josh Green punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16TD
13 plays · 83 yds · 4:4981% → 95%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
81.4%
Nakia Watson run for 6 yds to the WSU 23Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 4
OWN 23
-5
81.5%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (Fa'alili Fa'amoe) to the WSU 18Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+11
81.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 11 yds to the WSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
81.4%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 7 yds to the WSU 36Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 3
OWN 36
-7
81.8%
Cameron Ward sacked by Jaden Robinson and Sione Lolohea for a loss of 7 yards to the WSU 29Similar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
80.7%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 10
OWN 29
+18
79.9%
Nick Haberer pass complete to Billy Riviere III for 18 yds to the WSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
82.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 7 yds to the ORST 46Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+11
82.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 11 yds to the ORST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
82.3%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 1 yd to the ORST 34Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+9
82.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to John Mateer for 9 yds to the ORST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
82.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 6 yds to the ORST 19Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+19
94.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 19 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 6:016% → 13%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
94.2%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 27 Damien Martinez fumbled, recovered by ORST Damien MartinezSimilar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
94.1%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the ORST 30Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
94.1%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 7 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
94.0%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the ORST 41Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-3
94.0%
Deshaun Fenwick run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 38Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+11
94.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 11 yds to the ORST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
94.0%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 17 yds to the WSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
93.4%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the WSU 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+2
96.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 2 yds to the WSU 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+2
97.2%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the WSU 26Similar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+26
87.4%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 26 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 5:0292% → 96%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.7%
Oregon State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Easton Mascarenas-Arnold) to the WSU 30Similar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+9
92.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 9 yds to the WSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
92.2%
John Mateer run for 7 yds to the WSU 46Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+17
92.3%
Nakia Watson run for 17 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
92.4%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 2 yds to the ORST 35Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+11
92.4%
Cameron Ward run for 11 yds to the ORST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
92.5%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (Kyle Williams) to the ORST 29Similar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+1
92.4%
Nakia Watson run for 1 yd to the ORST 28Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 14
OPP 28
0
92.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 14
OPP 28
+1
92.0%
Dylan Paine run for 1 yd to the ORST 27Similar
Q4 9:12
4TH & 13
OPP 27
+44
95.8%
Dean Janikowski 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:544% → 14%
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Damien Martinez for 7 yds to the ORST 32Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+15
95.5%
UIAGALELEI, DJ pass deep to the right incomplete intended for VELLING, Jack thrown to the WSU45. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on HICKS, Jaden enforced 15 yards to the OSU47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
95.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 14 yds to the WSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
95.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-3
95.4%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 3 yards to the WSU 42Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 13
OPP 42
0
95.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:26
4TH & 13
OPP 42
+15
96.3%
UIAGALELEI, DJ pass deep to the left incomplete intended for GOULD, Anthony thrown to the WSU7, clock 07:26. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on LAMPKIN, Cam enforced 15 yards to the WSU27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
95.2%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 7 yds to the WSU 20Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+16
95.7%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 16 yds to the WSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
95.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
86.1%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 43 yds · 2:2092% → 94%
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
92.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 4 yds to the ORST 41Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 6
OPP 41
-2
92.7%
Cameron Ward run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 43Similar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+35
92.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 35 yds to the ORST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
92.9%
Dylan Paine run for 5 yds to the ORST 3Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
94.8%
Dylan Paine run for no gain to the ORST 3Similar
Q4 4:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
94.4%
John Mateer run for 1 yd to the ORST 2Similar
Q4 3:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
94.0%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 21TD
15 plays · 98 yds · 2:465% → 26%
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+14
94.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 14 yds to the ORST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
94.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+9
94.7%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 9 yds to the ORST 25Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+2
94.0%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the ORST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
94.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 10 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
93.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+15
93.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Riley Sharp for 15 yds to the WSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
93.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+10
93.2%
UIAGALELEI, DJ pass deep to the left incomplete intended for IRISH, Jesiah thrown to the WSU20. PENALTY WSU Holding on GUSHIKEN, Kapena enforced 10 yards from the WSU48 to the WSU38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+33
92.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 33 yds to the WSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
92.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
92.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
94.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
74.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 5 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 1:1091% → 95%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
90.9%
Kneel down by WSU at OSU45 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
95.4%
Kneel down by WSU at OSU47 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:12
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 5 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
-20.9
TD · Q3 5:15
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 19 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)
+12.6
TD · Q2 0:10
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 11 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)
+12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com