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UCLA

UCLA 7 at Utah 14

UTAH
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:40 · Jack Bouwmeester punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Home team on offense+3.3Pregame prior+11.7Garbage-time factor+1.2Score differential+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Time remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:01: Nate Johnson pass complete to Landen King for 7 yds for a TD (Joey Cheek KICK) — UTAH win probability +7.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. FUMBLE · Q3 1:34: Dante Moore run for 3 yds to the UTAH 9 Dante Moore fumbled, recovered by UTAH Tao Johnson — UTAH win probability +3.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. FUMBLE · Q3 1:34: Nate Johnson run for a loss of 8 yards to the UTAH 1 Nate Johnson fumbled, recovered by UTAH Nate Johnson — UTAH win probability +5.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:39: Dante Moore pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 17 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK) — UCLA win probability +9.9 pts (now 19%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:34: Timeout UCLA, clock 03:34 — UTAH win probability +12.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 10UCLA made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 13:22UCLA 4th & 12 at UCLA 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:37UTAH 4th & 9 at UCLA 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    63.1%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:19UCLA 4th & 29 at UCLA 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−0.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:45UCLA 4th & 7 at UTAH 29, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    35.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    33.9%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:51UTAH 4th & 4 at UCLA 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    65.6%−0.9
    28% to make
    Punt
    65.9%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:49UCLA 4th & 10 at UCLA 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:40UTAH 4th & 18 at UTAH 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−1.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:05UCLA 4th & 8 at UCLA 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:04UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:00UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:32UCLA 4th & 8 at UCLA 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:03UTAH 4th & 21 at UCLA 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−2.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    83.5%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:17UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:59UTAH 4th & 15 at UTAH 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−2.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:53UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 18, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%−1.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:19UCLA 4th & 4 at UTAH 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%−1.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−2.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:37UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 43, up 14
    Close callPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:17UCLA 4th & 11 at UCLA 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.6
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:08UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:08UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.8%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:14UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 34, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%−1.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:49UCLA 4th & 14 at UCLA 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.7%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UCLA made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 14:48UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:01UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:39UCLA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.4%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-21
67.0%
Karene Reid 21 Yd Interception Return (Joey Cheek Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2633% → 33%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.0%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-4
67.0%
Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 23Similar
Q1 14:48
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
67.0%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
67.4%
Will Powers punt for 46 yds, downed at the UTAH 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3MISSED FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 4:4567% → 68%
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
67.3%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the UTAH 32Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+6
67.3%
Nate Johnson run for 6 yds to the UTAH 38Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+10
67.3%
Nate Johnson run for 10 yds to the UTAH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+22
67.4%
Nate Johnson pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 22 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
67.5%
Nate Johnson run for 3 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 7
OPP 27
-1
67.5%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 28Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 8
OPP 28
-1
67.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 8:37
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+47
68.5%
Joey Cheek 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
68.2%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -19 yds · 1:1832% → 31%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+1
68.3%
Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 14
OWN 25
0
68.4%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 14
OWN 25
-15
68.6%
Dante Moore sacked for a loss of 15 yards to the UCLA 10Similar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 29
OWN 10
0
69.1%
Will Powers punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5FUMBLE
1 play · 11 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
69.4%
Nate Johnson run for 11 yds to the UCLA 25 Nate Johnson fumbled, recovered by UCLA John HumphreySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6DOWNS
11 plays · 46 yds · 3:2731% → 31%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.6%
TJ Harden run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
68.5%
TJ Harden run for 4 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
68.5%
TJ Harden run for 8 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
68.3%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+5
68.3%
Dante Moore pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 5 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+20
68.1%
Dante Moore pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 20 yds to the UTAH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
67.6%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
67.6%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the UTAH 29Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
68.3%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:45
4TH & 7
OPP 29
0
68.9%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7DOWNS
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:5470% → 71%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
70.0%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 6 yds to the UTAH 35Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+16
70.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 16 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
70.7%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
70.6%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+2
70.5%
Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q1 0:51
4TH & 4
OPP 43
-2
70.7%
Nate Johnson sacked by Kain Medrano for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0231% → 29%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
69.3%
TJ Harden run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
50
-5
69.0%
TJ Harden run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
70.1%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
70.9%
Will Powers punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mikey Matthews at the UTAH 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 2 yds · 3:0971% → 70%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
70.7%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the UTAH 21Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+5
70.8%
Jaylon Glover run for 5 yds to the UTAH 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
70.9%
Nate Johnson run for no gain to the UTAH 26Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-3
70.6%
Nate Johnson pass complete to Money Parks for a loss of 3 yards to the UTAH 23Similar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 13
OWN 23
-5
70.0%
Utah Penalty, False Start (Keaton Bills) to the UTAH 18Similar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 18
OWN 18
0
70.0%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 18
OWN 18
0
69.4%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 32Similar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-15
70.3%
MOORE, Dante pass to the left incomplete dropped by JONES, Keegan thrown to the BRU32. PENALTY BRU Personal Foul on STURDIVANT, J.Michael enforced 15 yards from the BRU32 to the BRU17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3529% → 28%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 25
OWN 17
+3
70.9%
TJ Harden run for 3 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 22
OWN 20
0
71.1%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 22
OWN 20
+14
71.6%
Dante Moore pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 14 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q2 10:05
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
72.0%
Will Powers punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 4:0171% → 73%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
71.2%
Jaylon Glover run for 3 yds to the UTAH 29Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+5
71.2%
Jaylon Glover run for 5 yds to the UTAH 34Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+4
71.1%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the UTAH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
72.0%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the UTAH 42Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+3
72.4%
Jaylon Glover run for 3 yds to the UTAH 45Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+1
71.8%
Jaylon Glover run for 1 yd to the UTAH 46Similar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
72.7%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 10Similar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
72.8%
Utah Penalty, Offsides (Junior Tafuna) to the UCLA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0427% → 26%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 5
OWN 15
0
72.6%
Carson Steele run for no gain to the UCLA 15Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
72.9%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
73.6%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
74.5%
Will Powers punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13TD
12 plays · 51 yds · 3:5975% → 85%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
74.7%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
74.4%
Nate Johnson run for 5 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+6
74.1%
Nate Johnson run for 6 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
74.8%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+17
74.7%
Nate Johnson pass complete to Jaylon Glover for 17 yds to the UCLA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
75.0%
Nate Johnson pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 11 yds to the UCLA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
75.0%
Jaylon Glover run for no gain to the UCLA 12Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+5
77.0%
UCLA Penalty, Delay Of Game (Gary Smith III) to the UCLA 7Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
77.1%
Nate Johnson run for no gain to the UCLA 7Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
84.6%
Nate Johnson pass complete to Landen King for 7 yds for a TD (Joey Cheek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:2417% → 15%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
83.5%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+7
83.6%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kam Brown for 7 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 3
OWN 30
-5
83.7%
Dante Moore sacked by Jonah Elliss for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 25Similar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
85.2%
Will Powers punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:3286% → 87%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
86.4%
Jaylon Glover run for 16 yds to the UTAH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
86.9%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-13
87.1%
Nate Johnson sacked by Darius Muasau for a loss of 13 yards to the UTAH 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:5784% → 85%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.8%
Jaylon Glover run for 3 yds to the UTAH 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
83.8%
Jaylon Glover run for no gain to the UTAH 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+7
83.3%
Nate Johnson pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 7 yds to the UTAH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+35
83.9%
Nate Johnson pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 35 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
84.6%
Jaylon Glover run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 32
0
84.5%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 32
-9
83.8%
Nate Johnson sacked by Kain Medrano for a loss of 9 yards to the UCLA 41Similar
Q3 11:03
4TH & 21
OPP 41
0
84.8%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 32 yds, downed at the UCLA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:4615% → 14%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
85.3%
Carson Steele run for 6 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+12
84.8%
Carson Steele run for 12 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
84.3%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
84.8%
TJ Harden run for 5 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
84.2%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
85.7%
Will Powers punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:1887% → 88%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
87.1%
Jaylon Glover run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 31Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+5
87.0%
Nate Johnson pass complete to Charlie Vincent for 5 yds to the UTAH 36Similar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+16
86.7%
Nate Johnson pass complete to Money Parks for 16 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-12
87.6%
Nate Johnson sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the UTAH 40Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 22
OWN 40
0
87.3%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 22
OWN 40
+7
86.8%
Jaylon Glover run for 7 yds to the UTAH 47Similar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 15
OWN 47
0
88.2%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19FUMBLE
12 plays · 76 yds · 4:2513% → 13%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
86.7%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-5
86.9%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (J. Michael Sturdivant) to the UCLA 10Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 15
OWN 10
+17
86.9%
Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 17 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
86.2%
TJ Harden run for 2 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
86.1%
TJ Harden run for no gain to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+41
86.9%
Dante Moore pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 41 yds to the UTAH 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
83.8%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-1
83.9%
Carson Steele run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 31Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+15
85.3%
Utah Penalty, Personal Foul (Aliki Vimahi) to the UTAH 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
83.3%
Carson Steele run for 6 yds to the UTAH 10Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 4
OPP 10
-2
83.3%
Carson Steele run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 12Similar
Q3 1:34
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+3
87.1%
Dante Moore run for 3 yds to the UTAH 9 Dante Moore fumbled, recovered by UTAH Tao JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4193% → 92%
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-8
92.5%
Nate Johnson run for a loss of 8 yards to the UTAH 1 Nate Johnson fumbled, recovered by UTAH Nate JohnsonSimilar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 18
OWN 1
+13
92.4%
Jaylon Glover run for 13 yds to the UTAH 14Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+4
92.8%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the UTAH 18Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 1
OWN 18
0
92.4%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:3410% → 10%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
89.8%
Carson Steele run for no gain to the UCLA 39Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+19
90.0%
Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 19 yds to the UTAH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
89.6%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kyle Ford for 6 yds to the UTAH 36Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 4
OPP 36
0
89.0%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
89.2%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:19
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
90.4%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4294% → 92%
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
93.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 6 yds to the UTAH 42Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+1
94.1%
Jaylon Glover run for 1 yd to the UTAH 43Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
93.9%
Nate Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:37
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
93.8%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 12Similar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
91.7%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Josh Carlin) to the UCLA 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:208% → 7%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 15
OWN 7
+1
92.0%
Dante Moore run for 1 yd to the UCLA 8Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 14
OWN 8
+3
92.0%
TJ Harden run for 3 yds to the UCLA 11Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 11
OWN 11
0
91.9%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:17
4TH & 11
OWN 11
0
92.8%
Will Powers punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:0995% → 96%
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
95.0%
Jaylon Glover run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 39Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+4
94.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the UTAH 43Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+2
94.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the UTAH 45Similar
Q4 8:08
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
95.5%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 25TD
11 plays · 91 yds · 4:297% → 19%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
93.4%
TJ Harden run for 2 yds to the UCLA 11 TJ Harden fumbled, recovered by UCLA Khadere KountaSimilar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+3
93.1%
Dante Moore run for 3 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+5
93.3%
MOORE, Dante pass short up the middle incomplete intended for STEELE, Carson thrown to the BRU17. PENALTY Before the snap, UTE Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the BRU14 to the BRU19 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-4
93.0%
Dante Moore sacked by Junior Tafuna for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 15Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 14
OWN 15
-12
93.1%
Dante Moore sacked by Jonah Elliss for a loss of 12 yards to the UCLA 3Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 26
OWN 3
0
93.5%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Garrett DiGiorgio) to the UCLA 2Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 27
OWN 2
+20
93.5%
Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 20 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q4 8:08
4TH & 7
OWN 22
+45
93.3%
Dante Moore pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 45 yds to the UTAH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
91.3%
Dante Moore pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 4 yds to the UTAH 29Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+12
91.0%
Dante Moore pass complete to Carson Steele for 12 yds to the UTAH 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
81.1%
Dante Moore pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 17 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:2094% → 94%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.7%
Nate Johnson run for 5 yds to the UTAH 30Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
94.3%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the UTAH 34Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
94.3%
Jaylon Glover run for no gain to the UTAH 34Similar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
94.1%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 27DOWNS
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:257% → 7%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-8
92.9%
Dante Moore sacked by Jonah Elliss for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 10Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 18
OWN 10
-7
93.2%
Dante Moore sacked by Logan Fano and Jonah Elliss for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 3Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 25
OWN 3
+11
93.8%
Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 11 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 14
OWN 14
-7
93.3%
Dante Moore sacked by Sione Vaki for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · -12 yds · 1:4996% → 97%
Q4 1:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
96.4%
Kneel down by JOHNSON, Nate at BRU12 (team loss of 5).Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
96.3%
Kneel down by JOHNSON, Nate at BRU16 (team loss of 4).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
0
96.9%
Kneel down by JOHNSON, Nate at BRU19 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:34
Timeout UCLA, clock 03:34
+12.7
TD · Q4 3:39
Dante Moore pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 17 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)
-9.9
TD · Q2 1:01
Nate Johnson pass complete to Landen King for 7 yds for a TD (Joey Cheek KICK)
+7.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com