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COLO

Colorado 6 at Oregon 42

ORE
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+2.5ORE 96.8%Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklinfor 16 yds for a TD (Bo Nix pass toTroy Franklin for Two-PointConversion)AWAY 0 - HOME 21 · Q2 9:39
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:39 · Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 16 yds for a TD (Bo Nix pass to Troy Franklin for Two-Point Conversion)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 51Pregame prior+34.5Home team on offense+14.9Score differential+10.0Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+5.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:15: Noah Whittington run for 3 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +0.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:41: Casey Kelly 1 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — ORE win probability +1.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:39: Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 16 yds for a TD (Bo Nix pass to Troy Franklin for Two-Point Conversion) — ORE win probability +2.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 7:38: Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 6 yds to the COLO 39 — COLO win probability +0.6 pts (now 4%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:52: Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 36 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 4 of 6COLO made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 9:03COLO 4th & 11 at COLO 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:20ORE 4th & 2 at COLO 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    89.6%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:20COLO 4th & 8 at ORE 38, down 13
    Close callPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    9.4%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:23ORE 4th & 4 at ORE 17, up 13
    Close callWent for it · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.1%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    91.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:16COLO 4th & 23 at COLO 12, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−1.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:02COLO 4th & 21 at COLO 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:28COLO 4th & 21 at COLO 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.2%−1.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:08COLO 4th & 11 at COLO 38, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:00ORE 4th & 1 at COLO 1, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:09COLO 4th & 15 at COLO 20, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:48ORE 4th & 5 at COLO 5, up 42
    Close callWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:41COLO 4th & 8 at midfield, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:11ORE 4th & 5 at ORE 42, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:14COLO 4th & 4 at ORE 27, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:32ORE 4th & 11 at ORE 24, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 4 of 6COLO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:15ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:41ORE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:39ORE Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:52ORE Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:12ORE Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:00ORE Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:51COLO Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 4:3095% → 94%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
94.5%
Bo Nix sacked by Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 27Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+16
94.4%
Bucky Irving run for 16 yds to the ORE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
94.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 18 yds to the COLO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
94.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 12 yds to the COLO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-4
94.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 6 yds to the COLO 21 Oregon Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the COLO 31Similar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 14
OPP 31
+5
94.1%
Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the COLO 26Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+14
94.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 14 yds to the COLO 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
93.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for no gain to the COLO 12Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+9
93.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 9 yds to the COLO 3Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
94.0%
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:026% → 6%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 3 yds to the COLO 28Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
93.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Xavier WeaverSimilar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-4
93.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the COLO 24Similar
Q1 9:03
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
93.8%
Mark Vassett punt for 29 yds, downed at the ORE 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3TD
13 plays · 52 yds · 6:1494% → 94%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
93.8%
Noah Whittington run for 15 yds to the COLO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
93.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 7 yds to the COLO 31Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 3
OPP 31
-5
93.7%
Oregon Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the COLO 36Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-2
93.6%
Gary Bryant Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the COLO 38Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+8
93.5%
Bo Nix run for 8 yds to the COLO 30Similar
Q1 6:20
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+4
93.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 4 yds to the COLO 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
93.5%
Bucky Irving run for 8 yds to the COLO 18Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+6
93.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 6 yds to the COLO 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
93.3%
Bucky Irving run for 7 yds to the COLO 5Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 3
OPP 5
-2
93.2%
Bucky Irving run for a loss of 2 yards to the COLO 7Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+4
93.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 2 yds to the COLO 5 for a 1ST down Colorado Penalty, Personal Foul (2 Yards) to the COLO 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 0
OPP 2
+1
93.2%
Irving, Bucky rush for no gain to the COLORADO2, PENALTY COLORADO offside 1 yards to the COLORADO1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.4%
Casey Kelly 1 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:106% → 7%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Tar'Varish Dawson for 4 yds to the COLO 29Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
93.6%
Dylan Edwards run for 1 yd to the COLO 30Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+30
93.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Javon Antonio for 15 yds to the ORE 45 for a 1ST down Oregon Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the ORE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
93.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Xavier WeaverSimilar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
93.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Xavier WeaverSimilar
Q1 0:57
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+2
93.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 2 yds to the ORE 38Similar
Q1 0:20
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
93.5%
Mark Vassett punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5TD
14 plays · 89 yds · 5:3694% → 97%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
94.0%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Traeshon HoldenSimilar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 11
-2
94.0%
Noah Whittington run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 9Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 12
OWN 9
+8
93.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 8 yds to the ORE 17Similar
Q2 14:23
4TH & 4
OWN 17
+18
93.8%
Casey Rogers run for 18 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
94.1%
Bo Nix run for 2 yds to the ORE 37Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-5
94.2%
Bucky Irving run for 5 yds to the ORE 42 Oregon Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ORE 32Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+9
94.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 9 yds to the ORE 41Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-5
94.2%
Oregon Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ORE 36Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+26
94.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 11 yds to the COLO 47 for a 1ST down Colorado Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the COLO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-11
94.3%
Bo Nix sacked by Jordan Domineck for a loss of 11 yards to the COLO 49Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 21
OPP 49
+25
94.2%
Bucky Irving run for 25 yds to the COLO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
94.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 3 yds to the COLO 21Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+5
94.3%
Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the COLO 16Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+16
96.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 16 yds for a TD (Bo Nix pass to Troy Franklin for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 1:094% → 4%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the COLO 26Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-9
96.4%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Jordan Burch for a loss of 9 yards to the COLO 17Similar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
96.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:24
4TH & 18
OWN 17
-5
96.5%
Colorado Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the COLO 12Similar
Q2 8:16
4TH & 23
OWN 12
0
96.5%
Mark Vassett punt for 45 yds, downed at the ORE 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:2397% → 97%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
96.8%
Noah Whittington run for 1 yd to the ORE 44Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
96.8%
Bo Nix pass intercepted Jahquez Robinson return for no gain to the COLO 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:364% → 3%
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
96.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 6 yds to the COLO 39Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
96.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Xavier WeaverSimilar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+11
96.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Michael Harrison for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
50
-7
96.1%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Brandon Dorlus and Jamal Hill for a loss of 7 yards to the COLO 43Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 17
OWN 43
-16
96.5%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Evan Williams and Jordan Burch for a loss of 16 yards to the COLO 27Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 33
OWN 27
+12
96.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 12 yds to the COLO 39Similar
Q2 5:02
4TH & 21
OWN 39
0
96.6%
Mark Vassett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9TD
6 plays · 82 yds · 1:5897% → 99%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
97.0%
Jordan James run for 13 yds to the ORE 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
97.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Jordan James for 5 yds to the ORE 36Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+5
97.2%
Jordan James run for 5 yds to the ORE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+23
97.4%
Jordan James run for 23 yds to the COLO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
99.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 36 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 1:121% → 1%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 7 yds to the COLO 32Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
99.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 8 yds to the COLO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 4 yds to the COLO 44Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
99.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Jimmy Horn Jr.Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-15
99.1%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Teitum Tuioti for a loss of 15 yards to the COLO 29Similar
Q2 1:28
4TH & 21
OWN 29
0
99.3%
Mark Vassett punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ORE 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 1:0899% → 99%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
99.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 18 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+18
99.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 18 yds to the COLO 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
99.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 7 yds to the COLO 27Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+9
99.2%
Bucky Irving run for 9 yds to the COLO 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
99.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 7 yds to the COLO 11Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+11
99.3%
Bo Nix run for 11 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the COLO 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 2:521% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.4%
Colorado Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the COLO 20Similar
Q3 14:45
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+11
99.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 11 yds to the COLO 31Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
99.4%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Jamal Hill and Brandon Dorlus for a loss of 7 yards to the COLO 24 for a 1ST down Oregon Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the COLO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.4%
Shedeur Sanders run for no gain to the COLO 39Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
99.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Javon Antonio for 7 yds to the COLO 46Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-15
99.5%
Sanders, Shedeur pass complete to Wilkerson, Sy'veon for 9 yards to the OREGON45, PENALTY COLORADO personal foul 15 yards to the COLORADO31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 18
OWN 31
+7
99.5%
Sy'veon Wilkerson run for 7 yds to the COLO 38Similar
Q3 12:08
4TH & 11
OWN 38
+18
99.6%
Mark Vassett punt for 56 yds , Tez Johnson returns for 18 yds to the ORE 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 2:50100% → 100%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.5%
Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the ORE 26Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+16
99.6%
Noah Whittington run for 16 yds to the ORE 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
99.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 2
50
+29
99.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 29 yds to the COLO 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
99.6%
Nix, Bo pass incomplete, PENALTY COLORADO pass interference 15 yards to the COLORADO6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGON.Similar
Q3 10:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Noah Whittington for 1 yd to the COLO 5Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.7%
Jordan James run for 4 yds to the COLO 1Similar
Q3 9:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.7%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Troy FranklinSimilar
Q3 9:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Jordan James run for 1 yd for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:410% → 0%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 1 yd to the COLO 26Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
99.7%
Dylan Edwards run for 3 yds to the COLO 29Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-9
99.7%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Evan Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the COLO 20Similar
Q3 7:09
4TH & 15
OWN 20
-3
99.8%
Mark Vassett punt for 39 yds , Tez Johnson returns for no loss to the ORE 38 Tez Johnson fumbled, recovered by ORE Tez JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16DOWNS
9 plays · 57 yds · 4:10100% → 100%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.7%
Bucky Irving run for 1 yd to the ORE 39Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+15
99.7%
Nix, Bo pass sacked for loss of 8 yards to the OREGON31 (Domineck, Jordan), PENALTY COLORADO face mask 15 yards to the COLORADO46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGON.Similar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 6 yds to the COLO 40Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+19
99.8%
Bucky Irving run for 19 yds to the COLO 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
99.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 12 yds to the COLO 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
99.8%
Bucky Irving run for 1 yd to the COLO 8Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kyler KasperSimilar
Q3 3:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
99.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 3 yds to the COLO 5Similar
Q3 2:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Traeshon HoldenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17PUNT
16 plays · 45 yds · 4:540% → 0%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
99.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for 7 yds to the COLO 12Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+7
99.9%
Anthony Hankerson run for 7 yds to the COLO 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-9
99.9%
Sanders, Shedeur rush for 6 yards to the COLORADO25, PENALTY COLORADO holding 9 yards to the COLORADO10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:39
1ST & 19
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Javon AntonioSimilar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 19
OWN 10
+4
99.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 4 yds to the COLO 14Similar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 15
OWN 14
+16
99.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 16 yds to the COLO 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the COLO 34Similar
Q3 0:11
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-15
99.9%
Sanders, Shedeur pass complete to Antonio, Javon for 4 yards to the COLORADO38, PENALTY COLORADO pass interference 15 yards to the COLORADO19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 21
OWN 19
+1
99.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 1 yd to the COLO 20Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 20
OWN 20
+28
99.9%
Shedeur Sanders run for 28 yds to the COLO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
99.9%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Casey Rogers and Jordan Burch for a loss of 10 yards to the COLO 38Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 20
OWN 38
+17
99.9%
Dylan Edwards run for 17 yds to the ORE 45Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 3
OPP 45
-5
99.9%
Colorado Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 8
50
0
99.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Michael HarrisonSimilar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 8
50
0
99.9%
Mark Vassett punt for 40 yds, downed at the ORE 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 4:19100% → 100%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
99.9%
Jordan James run for 5 yds to the ORE 15Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+11
99.9%
Ty Thompson run for 11 yds to the ORE 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Jordan James run for 3 yds to the ORE 29Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+8
99.9%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 8 yds to the ORE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Jayden Limar run for no gain to the ORE 37Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-5
99.9%
Oregon Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ORE 32Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+7
99.9%
Ty Thompson run for 7 yds to the ORE 39Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Ty Thompson run for 3 yds to the ORE 42Similar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
Ross James punt for 53 yds , Jimmy Horn Jr. returns for 2 yds to the COLO 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19TD
16 plays · 93 yds · 5:200% → 0%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-3
100.0%
Colorado Penalty, False Start (-3 Yards) to the COLO 4Similar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 13
OWN 4
0
100.0%
Alton McCaskill run for no gain to the COLO 4Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 13
OWN 4
+20
100.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Javon Antonio for 20 yds to the COLO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
100.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Tar'Varish Dawson for 5 yds to the COLO 29Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Jimmy Horn Jr.Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+10
100.0%
Sanders, Shedeur pass incomplete to Weaver, Xavier, PENALTY OREGON holding 10 yards to the COLORADO39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COLORADO.Similar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
100.0%
Alton McCaskill run for 5 yds to the COLO 44Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+11
100.0%
Shedeur Sanders run for 11 yds to the ORE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
100.0%
Alton McCaskill run for 3 yds to the ORE 42Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+5
100.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Michael Harrison for 5 yds to the ORE 37Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+4
100.0%
Alton McCaskill run for 4 yds to the ORE 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
100.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Tar'Varish Dawson for 5 yds to the ORE 28Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+1
100.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Alton McCaskill for 1 yd to the ORE 27Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
100.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Tar'Varish DawsonSimilar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+21
100.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 21 yds to the ORE 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Michael Harrison for 6 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 2:07100% → 100%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the ORE 29Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
100.0%
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the ORE 31Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-2
100.0%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 29Similar
Q4 0:38
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-5
100.0%
Oregon Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ORE 24Similar
Q4 0:32
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Ross James punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jimmy Horn Jr. at the COLO 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
100.0%
Alton McCaskill run for 5 yds to the COLO 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:39
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 16 yds for a TD (Bo Nix pass to Troy Franklin for Two-Point Conversion)
+2.5
TD · Q2 2:52
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 36 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)
+1.5
TD · Q1 2:41
Casey Kelly 1 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com