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UNCO

Northern Colorado 21 at Washington State 64

WSU
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadUNCO aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreUNCO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:48 · Nick Haberer punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Blake Haggerty at the UNCO 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Pregame prior+1.8Home team on offense+34.6Score differential+30.2Blowout margin+16.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+19.6Garbage-time factor+12.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:08: Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 37 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:41: Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 28 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:27: Josh Kelly 18 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick) — WSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:45: Nakia Watson run for 6 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — UNCO win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:20: Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 31 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2UNCO made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:03WSU 4th & 2 at WSU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:38UNCO 4th & 9 at UNCO 26, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:54UNCO 4th & 4 at UNCO 31, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:01UNCO 4th & 12 at UNCO 38, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:30UNCO 4th & 8 at UNCO 27, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:57UNCO 4th & 9 at UNCO 37, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:31UNCO 4th & 10 at UNCO 43, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:53UNCO 4th & 2 at UNCO 46, down 43
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 3:58UNCO 4th & 12 at WSU 37, down 43
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:48WSU 4th & 4 at WSU 48, up 43
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9UNCO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:28WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:08WSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:41WSU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:27WSU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:45WSU Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:20WSU Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:12UNCO Touchdown, down 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:43WSU Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 5:45UNCO Touchdown, down 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 5:10WSU Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 13:46WSU Touchdown, up 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 11:36UNCO Touchdown, down 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:31100% → 100%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.6%
Nakia Watson run for 1 yd to the WSU 26Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
99.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 7 yds to the WSU 33Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.6%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the WSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for no gain to the WSU 36Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.6%
John Mateer run for no gain to the WSU 36Similar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 8 yds to the WSU 44Similar
Q1 12:03
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+4
99.5%
Cameron Ward run for 4 yds to the WSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
99.5%
(11:20) WARD, Cameron pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WILLIAMS, Kyle thrown to the UNC7, clock 11:17. PENALTY UNC Pass Interference on GILLIS, Nathaniel enforced 15 yards to the UNC37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
99.5%
(11:20) WARD, Cameron pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WILLIAMS, Kyle thrown to the UNC7, clock 11:17. PENALTY UNC Pass Interference on GILLIS, Nathaniel enforced 15 yards to the UNC37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
99.5%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the UNCO 34Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+26
99.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 26 yds to the UNCO 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.5%
Cameron Ward 8 Yd Run (Cameron Ward Pass to Billy Riviere III for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:491% → 1%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.5%
David Afari run for 1 yd to the UNCO 26Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.5%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.5%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:38
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.5%
Hunter Green punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:22100% → 99%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.5%
Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the WSU 35Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+7
99.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 7 yds to the WSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
99.4%
(08:23) VICTOR, Lincoln rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the WSU48 (BROWN, Joe), clock 08:20. PENALTY WSU Illegal Block in the Back on HILBORN, Christian enforced 10 yards from the WSU42 to the WSU32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
99.4%
(08:23) VICTOR, Lincoln rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the WSU48 (BROWN, Joe), clock 08:20. PENALTY WSU Illegal Block in the Back on HILBORN, Christian enforced 10 yards from the WSU42 to the WSU32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+15
99.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Cameron Johnson for 15 yds to the WSU 47Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+10
99.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Billy Riviere III for 10 yds to the UNCO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
99.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 6 yds to the UNCO 37Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+37
99.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 37 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:131% → 1%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.4%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 9 yds to the UNCO 34Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-3
99.4%
David Afari run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNCO 31Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.4%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:54
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.4%
Hunter Green punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 64 yds · 1:0699% → 100%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 6 yds to the WSU 42Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+19
99.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 19 yds to the UNCO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
99.4%
Nakia Watson run for 11 yds to the UNCO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 28 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:361% → 1%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.5%
Hank Gibbs run for 6 yds to the UNCO 31Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
99.5%
Northern Colorado Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNCO 26Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
99.5%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Darius Stewart for 4 yds to the UNCO 30Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
99.5%
Jacob Sirmon run for 10 yds to the UNCO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.5%
Darius Stewart run for no gain to the UNCO 40Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-2
99.5%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Jamarii Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the UNCO 38Similar
Q1 0:09
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
99.5%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:01
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
99.5%
Hunter Green punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 42 yds · 2:33100% → 100%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.5%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+12
99.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 12 yds to the UNCO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.5%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 1 yd to the UNCO 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
99.5%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+26
99.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Cooper Mathers for 26 yds to the UNCO 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.7%
Josh Kelly 18 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
99.7%
Jacob Sirmon sacked by Ron Stone Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the UNCO 19Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+3
99.7%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 3 yds to the UNCO 22Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+5
99.7%
Darius Stewart run for 5 yds to the UNCO 27Similar
Q2 10:30
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Hunter Green punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
99.7%
Northern Colorado Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Vincent King) to the UNCO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
99.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for a loss of 3 yards to the UNCO 48Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 13
OPP 48
+21
99.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 21 yds to the UNCO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.7%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
99.7%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+21
99.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 21 yds to the UNCO 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.5%
Nakia Watson run for 6 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:470% → 0%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Hank Gibbs run for 1 yd to the UNCO 26Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
99.8%
Hank Gibbs pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 10 yds to the UNCO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.8%
David Afari run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNCO 35Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Hank Gibbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+2
99.8%
David Afari run for 2 yds to the UNCO 37Similar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
99.8%
Hunter Green punt for 37 yds, downed at the WSU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:30100% → 100%
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
99.8%
Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the WSU 31Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+3
99.8%
Josh Kelly run for 3 yds to the WSU 34Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+3
99.8%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the WSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+32
99.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 32 yds to the UNCO 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.8%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
99.8%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+31
99.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 31 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:070% → 0%
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
David Afari run for no gain to the UNCO 25Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+24
99.9%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 24 yds to the UNCO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
99.8%
David Afari run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 9
50
+17
99.9%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Jamarii Robinson for 17 yds to the WSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.8%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-2
99.8%
Jacob Sirmon sacked by Brennan Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the WSU 35Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+17
99.9%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 17 yds to the WSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.8%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Jamarii Robinson for 18 yds for a TD (Hunter Green KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
(00:10) [NH] Kneel down by WSU at WSU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:03.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:290% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Darius Stewart run for 3 yds to the UNCO 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
99.9%
SIRMON, Jacob pass to the left incomplete intended for HAGGERTY, Blake thrown to the UNC35. PENALTY WSU Roughing the Passer on MALANI, Nusi enforced 15 yards from the UNC28 to the UNC43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.8%
David Afari run for no gain to the UNCO 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Caden Meis for no gain to the UNCO 43Similar
Q3 12:31
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Hunter Green punt for 50 yds, downed at the WSU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 93 yds · 2:30100% → 100%
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
99.9%
Dylan Paine run for 6 yds to the WSU 13Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+21
99.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 21 yds to the WSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
99.9%
Dylan Paine run for 7 yds to the WSU 41Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+20
99.9%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 20 yds to the UNCO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
99.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 17 yds to the UNCO 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
99.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 7 yds to the UNCO 15Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 15 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:570% → 0%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
99.9%
David Afari run for 29 yds to the WSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+34
99.9%
David Afari run for 34 yds to the WSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Darius Stewart run for no gain to the WSU 12Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Alec Pell for no gain to the WSU 12Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
(07:12) SIRMON, Jacob pass to the right incomplete dropped by HAGGERTY, Blake thrown to the WSU13, clock 07:10. PENALTY WSU Face mask on HALL, Stephen enforced half the distance from the goal, 6 yards from the WSU12 to the WSU6 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.9%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Alec Pell for 3 yds to the WSU 3Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.9%
David Afari run for 2 yds to the WSU 1Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Hank Gibbs run for 1 yd for a TD (Hunter Green KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:28100% → 100%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.9%
Dylan Paine run for 13 yds to the WSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
99.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Tsion Nunnally for 62 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:140% → 0%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
100.0%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Darius Stewart for 9 yds to the UNCO 34Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
Darius Stewart run for 4 yds to the UNCO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to David Afari for 4 yds to the UNCO 42Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+4
100.0%
David Afari run for 4 yds to the UNCO 46Similar
Q3 3:01
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Jacob Sirmon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:53
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Hunter Green punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:04100% → 100%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+52
99.9%
Dylan Paine run for 52 yds to the UNCO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
99.9%
Dylan Paine run for 2 yds to the UNCO 26Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 8
OPP 26
-10
99.9%
Washington State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UNCO 32Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 14
OPP 32
0
99.9%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:18
3RD & 14
OPP 32
+15
99.9%
John Mateer run for 15 yds to the UNCO 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.9%
Dylan Paine run for no gain to the UNCO 17Similar
Q3 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
99.9%
John Mateer run for 4 yds to the UNCO 13Similar
Q4 14:58
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+12
99.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Cameron Johnson for 12 yds to the UNCO 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for no gain to the UNCO 1Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Dylan Paine run for 1 yd for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 20TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
David Afari run for 1 yd to the UNCO 26Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
100.0%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Jamarii Robinson for 6 yds to the UNCO 32Similar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
100.0%
David Afari run for 9 yds to the UNCO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
100.0%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 7 yds to the UNCO 48Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+52
100.0%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Darius Stewart for 52 yds for a TD (Hunter Green KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21INT
10 plays · 67 yds · 4:18100% → 100%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
100.0%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 14 yds to the WSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Emmett Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
100.0%
Leo Pulalasi run for 3 yds to the WSU 42Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+9
100.0%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Cole Pruett for 9 yds to the UNCO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
100.0%
Leo Pulalasi run for 14 yds to the UNCO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
100.0%
Leo Pulalasi run for no gain to the UNCO 35Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+20
100.0%
Emmett Brown pass complete to Cole Pruett for 5 yds to the UNCO 30 for a 1ST down Northern Colorado Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Carver Cheeks) to the UNCO 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
100.0%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 7 yds to the UNCO 8Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 3
OPP 8
0
100.0%
Emmett Brown pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 22PUNT
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:130% → 0%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
100.0%
Hank Gibbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+22
100.0%
David Afari run for 22 yds to the UNCO 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
David Afari run for no gain to the UNCO 25Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Darius Stewart run for 1 yd to the UNCO 26Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+27
100.0%
Hank Gibbs pass complete to Carver Cheeks for 27 yds to the WSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
100.0%
David Afari run for 12 yds to the WSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
100.0%
Hank Gibbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
100.0%
David Afari run for 3 yds to the WSU 32Similar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 7
OPP 32
0
100.0%
Hank Gibbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:08
4TH & 7
OPP 32
-5
100.0%
Northern Colorado Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jacob Sirmon) to the WSU 37Similar
Q4 3:58
4TH & 12
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Hunter Green punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Lincoln Victor at the WSU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
100.0%
Leo Pulalasi run for 16 yds to the WSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
100.0%
Leo Pulalasi run for 1 yd to the WSU 43Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+4
100.0%
Leo Pulalasi run for 4 yds to the WSU 47Similar
Q4 0:48
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+1
100.0%
Leo Pulalasi run for 1 yd to the WSU 48Similar
Q4 0:48
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Nick Haberer punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Blake Haggerty at the UNCO 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:480% → 0%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
100.0%
Caden Meis run for 11 yds to the UNCO 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
100.0%
Caden Meis run for 8 yds to the UNCO 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:27
Josh Kelly 18 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick)
+0.2
TD · Q2 8:45
Nakia Watson run for 6 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)
-0.2
TD · Q1 6:08
Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 37 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com