Try the model
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Rose Bowl
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadNCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreNCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:23 · Walker Harris pass complete to Tynez Warner for 7 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Pregame prior+12.6Home team on offense+36.3Score differential+30.5Blowout margin+19.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+13.7Garbage-time factor+8.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:38: Dante Moore pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 30 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK) — UCLA win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:27: Collin Schlee run for 57 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK) — UCLA win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 2:18: Collin Schlee run for 1 yd for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK) — NCCU win probability +0.1 pts (now 2%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 9:33: RJ Lopez 24 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:34: TJ Harden run for 62 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK) — UCLA win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 3NCCU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 10:08NCCU 4th & 4 at UCLA 48, down 14
    Close callPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:45NCCU 4th & 10 at NCCU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:45NCCU 4th & 14 at NCCU 14, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:54NCCU 4th & 6 at NCCU 42, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:33UCLA 4th & 4 at NCCU 6, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:23NCCU 4th & 12 at NCCU 34, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:47NCCU 4th & 15 at NCCU 47, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:20NCCU 4th & 3 at NCCU 32, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:38NCCU 4th & 19 at NCCU 28, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:46NCCU 4th & 4 at NCCU 34, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:17UCLA 4th & 11 at NCCU 48, up 59
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    100.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:23NCCU 4th & 4 at UCLA 36, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:28UCLA 4th & 9 at UCLA 38, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 8 of 8NCCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:42UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 13:46UCLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:38UCLA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 5:27UCLA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 2:18UCLA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:34UCLA Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:44UCLA Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:36UCLA Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:08NCCU Touchdown, down 53 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1TD
1 play · 67 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
97.4%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kam Brown for 67 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 2INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:433% → 3%
Q1 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Davius Richard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.4%
Davius Richard pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 6 yds to the NCCU 31Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
97.4%
Davius Richard pass intercepted by Laiatu Latu at the NCCU 26, returned for 25 yards to the NCCU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 13:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.4%
Carson Steele run for 1 yd for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:353% → 3%
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Davius Richard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.4%
Davius Richard run for 11 yds to the NCCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
97.3%
Davius Richard pass complete to Devin Smith for 6 yds to the NCCU 42Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+4
97.3%
Davius Richard pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 4 yds to the NCCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
97.2%
Latrell Collier run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 6
50
0
97.2%
Davius Richard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 6
50
+2
97.1%
Davius Richard pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 2 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q1 10:08
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
97.1%
Juan Velarde punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5TD
6 plays · 88 yds · 2:1497% → 98%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+36
97.2%
Carson Steele run for 36 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.2%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+12
97.2%
Dante Moore pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 12 yds to the NCCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
97.1%
Dante Moore pass complete to Carson Steele for 9 yds to the NCCU 31Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+1
97.2%
Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the NCCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
97.5%
Dante Moore pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 30 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:523% → 3%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.5%
J'Mari Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCU 24Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
97.5%
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the NCCU 25Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Davius Richard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Juan Velarde punt for 33 yds to the UCLA 42, returned by Logan Loya to the UCLA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7TD
1 play · 57 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
98.1%
Collin Schlee run for 57 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:312% → 2%
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
98.3%
Davius Richard run for no gain to the NCCU 18Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+1
98.3%
Latrell Collier run for 1 yd to the NCCU 19Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 9
OWN 19
0
98.4%
Davius Richard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 9
OWN 19
-5
98.4%
North Carolina Central Penalty, False Start (Romeo Stancil) to the NCCU 14Similar
Q1 3:45
4TH & 14
OWN 14
0
98.4%
Juan Velarde punt for 52 yds to the UCLA 34, returned by Logan Loya for 21 yards to the NCCU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9TD
3 plays · 45 yds · 1:1698% → 98%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+42
98.3%
Carson Steele run for 42 yds to the NCCU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.3%
Collin Schlee run for 2 yds to the NCCU 1Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.2%
Collin Schlee run for 1 yd for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:232% → 1%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.5%
Latrell Collier run for 3 yds to the NCCU 28Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
98.5%
Davius Richard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:33
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
98.6%
Davius Richard pass complete to Markell Quick for 10 yds to the NCCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
98.8%
Latrell Collier run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCCU 36Similar
Q1 0:14
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+6
98.9%
Latrell Collier run for 6 yds to the NCCU 42Similar
Q2 14:59
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
98.8%
Davius Richard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
98.8%
Juan Velarde punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11FG
13 plays · 76 yds · 5:0898% → 99%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+30
98.2%
Dante Moore pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 30 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
98.3%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
98.3%
TJ Harden run for 3 yds to the NCCU 49Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+11
98.1%
Dante Moore pass complete to Keegan Jones for 11 yds to the NCCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
98.2%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+7
98.2%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kam Brown for 7 yds to the NCCU 31Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+3
98.2%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the NCCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
98.2%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+16
98.2%
Dante Moore pass complete to Carson Steele for 16 yds to the NCCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
98.1%
Dante Moore run for 5 yds to the NCCU 7Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+3
98.1%
TJ Harden run for 3 yds to the NCCU 4Similar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 2
OPP 4
-2
98.2%
TJ Harden run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCCU 6Similar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+24
98.8%
RJ Lopez 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 3:051% → 1%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.3%
J'Mari Taylor run for 3 yds to the NCCU 28Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
99.3%
J'Mari Taylor run for 8 yds to the NCCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.3%
Walker Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.3%
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the NCCU 37Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 9
OWN 37
-5
99.4%
North Carolina Central Penalty, Delay Of Game (Walker Harris) to the NCCU 32Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+2
99.4%
J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the NCCU 34Similar
Q2 6:23
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
99.4%
Juan Velarde punt for 35 yds to the UCLA 31, returned by Logan Loya to the UCLA30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:3999% → 100%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
99.3%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kyle Ford for 13 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.4%
TJ Harden run for no gain to the UCLA 43Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-5
99.4%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 38Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+62
99.5%
TJ Harden run for 62 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:451% → 0%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.5%
Walker Harris pass complete to Quentin McCall for 6 yds to the NCCU 31Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.5%
Latrell Collier run for 5 yds to the NCCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.6%
Latrell Collier run for 2 yds to the NCCU 38Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+14
99.6%
Walker Harris pass complete to Devin Smith for 14 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
99.6%
Latrell Collier run for 5 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+2
99.6%
Latrell Collier run for 2 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
99.6%
North Carolina Central Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Intentional Grounding on HARRIS, Walker enforced a result of a ( Yards) to the NCCU 48Similar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 15
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Juan Velarde punt for 34 yds to the UCLA 19, returned by Logan Loya for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:26100% → 100%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
99.6%
Anthony Adkins run for 11 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.6%
Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.6%
Latrell Collier run for 4 yds to the NCCU 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.6%
Latrell Collier run for 3 yds to the NCCU 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.6%
Walker Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Juan Velarde punt 20 yards to the UCLA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:34100% → 100%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
99.7%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 43Similar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+5
99.7%
Anthony Adkins run for 5 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
99.7%
Collin Schlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
99.7%
Collin Schlee pass intercepted by Jayden Flaker at the NCCU 37, return for no gain Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 2:070% → 0%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.7%
Walker Harris pass complete to Devin Smith for 1 yd to the NCCU 38Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-2
99.8%
J'Mari Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCCU 36Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 11
OWN 36
-8
99.8%
Walker Harris sacked by Donavyn Pellot for a loss of 8 yards to the NCCU 28Similar
Q3 10:38
4TH & 19
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Juan Velarde punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:43100% → 100%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Anthony Adkins run for no gain to the UCLA 28Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+15
99.7%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 15 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Collin Schlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+32
99.8%
Anthony Adkins run for 32 yds to the NCCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.8%
Colson Yankoff run for 25 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:490% → 0%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Walker Harris pass complete to Quentin McCall for 6 yds to the NCCU 34Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 4
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Walker Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Walker Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:46
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Juan Velarde punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 3:59100% → 100%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
99.8%
Chase Griffin run for 9 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+2
99.8%
Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+38
99.8%
Anthony Adkins run for 38 yds to the NCCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
99.8%
Colson Yankoff run for 6 yds to the NCCU 28Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+21
99.8%
Colson Yankoff run for 21 yds to the NCCU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.9%
Colson Yankoff run for 6 yds to the NCCU 1Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Anthony Adkins run for no gain to the NCCU 1Similar
Q3 3:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Anthony Adkins run for 1 yd for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 22FUMBLE
6 plays · 37 yds · 3:220% → 0%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Latrell Collier run for 4 yds to the NCCU 29Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+16
99.9%
Walker Harris pass complete to Quentin McCall for 16 yds to the NCCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Latrell Collier run for 2 yds to the NCCU 47Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+11
99.9%
Walker Harris pass complete to Quentin McCall for 11 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
99.9%
Latrell Collier run for 9 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 1
OPP 33
-5
99.9%
Walker Harris sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:45100% → 100%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
99.9%
Justyn Martin run for 15 yds to the NCCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
99.9%
Colson Yankoff run for 5 yds to the NCCU 42Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 5
OPP 42
-2
99.9%
Colson Yankoff run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCCU 44Similar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 7
OPP 44
-4
99.9%
Justyn Martin sacked by Thomas Johnson and Christian Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the NCCU 48Similar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 11
OPP 48
+4
99.9%
Anthony Adkins run for 4 yds to the NCCU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 24TD
14 plays · 56 yds · 7:080% → 0%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
100.0%
J'Mari Taylor run for 5 yds to the NCCU 49Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+2
100.0%
J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+7
100.0%
Walker Harris pass complete to Devin Smith for 7 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
100.0%
J'Mari Taylor run for 5 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 5
OPP 37
-15
100.0%
North Carolina Central Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Seven Warren) to the NCCU 47Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 21
OWN 47
+17
100.0%
Walker Harris pass complete to Tynez Warner for 17 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q4 9:23
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+7
100.0%
Walker Harris pass complete to Tynez Warner for 7 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
100.0%
Walker Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
100.0%
Walker Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+12
100.0%
Walker Harris pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 12 yds to the UCLA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
100.0%
Chris Mosley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+6
100.0%
Walker Harris pass complete to Matthew Leavelle for 6 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+8
100.0%
Chris Mosley run for 8 yds to the UCLA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Chris Mosley run for 1 yd for a TD (Adrian Olivo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:35100% → 100%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Josiah Gonzales run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Isaiah Carlson run for no gain to the UCLA 28Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
100.0%
Troy Leigber run for 9 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Minaya Olivo run for no gain to the UCLA 37Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
100.0%
Brian Kowall run for 2 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-1
100.0%
Josiah Gonzales run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 38Similar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Will Powers punt for 32 yds, downed at the NCCU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · 33 yds · 2:110% → 0%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
100.0%
Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for 4 yds to the NCCU 34Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+11
100.0%
Walker Harris pass complete to Chauncey Spikes for 11 yds to the NCCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
100.0%
Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for 6 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+1
100.0%
Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for 1 yd to the UCLA 48Similar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+11
100.0%
Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for 11 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 5:27
Collin Schlee run for 57 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)
+0.6
FG · Q2 9:33
RJ Lopez 24 yd FG GOOD
+0.6
TD · Q1 7:38
Dante Moore pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 30 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com