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SAC

Sacramento State 30 at Stanford 23

STAN
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadSAC aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreSAC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGFGFGFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+6STAN 63.6%J.Karty 40 yard field goal attempt isgood, Center-STA, Holder-STA.AWAY 20 - HOME 20 · Q4 13:33
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:33 · J.Karty 40 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-STA, Holder-STA.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Pregame prior+6.3Home team on offense+2.8Garbage-time factor−1.3Score differential−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Blowout margin−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:07: E.Tau-Tolliver rushed to STA End Zone for 1 yards. E.Tau-Tolliver for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — SAC win probability +9.1 pts (now 30%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 1:05: K.Bennett rushed to STA End Zone for 2 yards. K.Bennett for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — SAC win probability +10.7 pts (now 43%) (top driver: SAC has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 8:55: J.Karty 39 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-STA, Holder-STA. — STAN win probability +9.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 4:19: Z.Schreiner 44 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-CSUS, Holder-CSUS. — SAC win probability +13.6 pts (now 51%) (top driver: SAC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:45: K.Bennett pass complete to STA 49. Catch made by M.Fulcher at STA 49. Gain of 49 yards. M.Fulcher for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — SAC win probability +35.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: SAC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6SAC made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:14SAC 4th & 2 at SAC 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:48SAC 4th & 6 at STAN 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    26.2%−2.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:04STAN 4th & 4 at STAN 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  4. Q3 10:36STAN 4th & 5 at SAC 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    48.0%−8.5
    average punt
  5. Q3 8:29SAC 4th & 3 at STAN 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    39.0%−3.8
    25% to make
    Punt
    41.3%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 2:34SAC 4th & 4 at STAN 4, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.0%−1.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−15.7
    average punt
  7. Q4 13:33STAN 4th & 9 at SAC 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−2.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    39.6%−12.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 8:55STAN 4th & 8 at SAC 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−2.6
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    42.5%−18.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:19SAC 4th & 2 at STAN 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−1.0
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    18.1%−15.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:30STAN 4th & 22 at STAN 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−15.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:57STAN 4th & 26 at STAN 29, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.8%−0.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SAC made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 6:36STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:16STAN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:07SAC Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:05SAC Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:45SAC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SACDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4623% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.6%
M.Fulcher rushed to CSUS 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by STA at CSUS 26.Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
76.5%
M.Fulcher rushed to CSUS 25 for -1 yards. Tackled by STA at CSUS 25.Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
76.4%
K.Bennett scrambles to CSUS 33 for 8 yards. Tackled by STA at CSUS 33.Similar
Q1 13:14
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+46
76.2%
C.McGough punts 46 yards to STA 21, Center-CSUS. C.Filkins returned punt from the STA 21. Tackled by CSUS at STA 21.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 2TD
14 plays · 79 yds · 6:2876% → 78%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
76.2%
B.Farrell rushed to STA 25 for 4 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 25.Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+7
76.0%
A.Daniels pass complete to STA 25. Catch made by M.Reuben at STA 25. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 32.Similar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 20
OWN 22
0
75.9%
E.Smith rushed to STA 22 for 0 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 22.Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 20
OWN 22
+11
75.7%
R.Butler rushed to STA 33 for 11 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 33.Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+10
75.5%
C.Filkins rushed to STA 43 for 10 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 43.Similar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
75.8%
E.Smith rushed to CSUS 41 for 16 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 41.Similar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
75.8%
A.Daniels scrambles to CSUS 35 for 6 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 35.Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+4
75.8%
E.Smith rushed to CSUS 31 for 4 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 31.Similar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
75.7%
E.Smith rushed to CSUS 29 for 2 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 29.Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+3
75.7%
C.Filkins rushed to CSUS 26 for 3 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 26.Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+24
75.3%
C.Filkins rushed to CSUS 2 for 24 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 2.Similar
Q1 6:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
75.4%
C.Filkins rushed to CSUS 1 for 1 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 1.Similar
Q1 6:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.6%
C.Filkins rushed to CSUS End Zone for 1 yards. C.Filkins for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 3FG
16 plays · 69 yds · 5:4623% → 26%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
76.9%
K.Bennett pass complete to CSUS 25. Catch made by D.Gandy at CSUS 25. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by STA at CSUS 39.Similar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
76.6%
K.Bennett rushed to CSUS 46 for 7 yards. Tackled by STA at CSUS 46.Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
76.3%
M.Fulcher rushed to CSUS 46 for 0 yards. Tackled by STA at CSUS 46.Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
76.4%
K.Bennett steps back to pass. K.Bennett pass incomplete intended for.Similar
Q1 5:23
4TH & 3
OWN 46
+15
76.9%
PENALTY on STA-STA, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
76.2%
K.Bennett rushed to STA 26 for 13 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 26.Similar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
75.7%
K.Bennett steps back to pass. K.Bennett pass incomplete intended for CSUS.Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+6
75.8%
K.Bennett pass complete to STA 26. Catch made by J.Gipson at STA 26. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 20.Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+4
76.1%
K.Bennett scrambles to STA 16 for 4 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 16.Similar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
75.5%
K.Bennett pass complete to STA 16. Catch made by C.Hill at STA 16. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 6.Similar
Q1 2:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
75.2%
M.Fulcher rushed to STA 2 for 4 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 2.Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+5
75.1%
PENALTY on CSUS-CSUS, Illegal Substitution, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 1:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
75.0%
K.Bennett scrambles to STA 6 for 1 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 6.Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
75.6%
K.Bennett steps back to pass. K.Bennett pass incomplete intended for CSUS.Similar
Q1 0:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
73.8%
Z.Schreiner 24 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-CSUS, Holder-CSUS.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 4TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 2:2274% → 80%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
74.4%
B.Yurosek rushed to STA 31 for 5 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 31.Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
74.5%
A.Daniels rushed to STA 35 for 4 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 35.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+3
74.4%
R.Butler rushed to STA 38 for 3 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 38.Similar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
74.7%
A.Daniels pass complete to STA 38. Catch made by E.Ayomanor at STA 38. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 48.Similar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
75.1%
C.Filkins rushed to STA 49 for 1 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 49.Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
74.9%
A.Daniels steps back to pass. A.Daniels pass incomplete intended for STA.Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+51
79.7%
A.Daniels pass complete to STA 49. Catch made by E.Ayomanor at STA 49. Gain of 51 yards. E.Ayomanor for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5INT
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:2981% → 81%
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
80.5%
E.Smith rushed to CSUS 47 for 2 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 47.Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+34
80.6%
E.Smith rushed to CSUS 13 for 34 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 13.Similar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
80.7%
E.Smith rushed to CSUS 11 for 2 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 11.Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+1
80.7%
C.Filkins rushed to CSUS 10 for 1 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 10.Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
80.7%
A.Daniels pass INTERCEPTED at CSUS End Zone. Intercepted by C.Nelson at CSUS End Zone. Tackled by STA at CSUS End Zone. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 6TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:2721% → 30%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
79.2%
K.Bennett pass complete to CSUS 20. Catch made by C.Miller at CSUS 20. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by STA at CSUS 36.Similar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
78.8%
K.Bennett rushed to CSUS 40 for 4 yards. Tackled by STA at CSUS 40.Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
78.4%
E.Moleni rushed to CSUS 45 for 5 yards. Tackled by STA at CSUS 45.Similar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
78.6%
K.Bennett pass complete to CSUS 45. Catch made by E.Tau-Tolliver at CSUS 45. Gain of yards. Tackled by STA at STA 24. PENALTY on CSUS-CSUS, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+18
80.2%
K.Bennett pass complete to CSUS 35. Catch made by J.Gipson at CSUS 35. Gain of 18 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 47.Similar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
78.6%
K.Bennett steps back to pass. K.Bennett pass incomplete intended for CSUS.Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
78.9%
K.Bennett pass complete to STA 47. Catch made by C.Kuntz at STA 47. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 42.Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+8
78.9%
K.Bennett pass complete to STA 42. Catch made by E.Moleni at STA 42. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 34.Similar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
78.1%
K.Bennett steps back to pass. K.Bennett pass incomplete intended for CSUS.Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
78.1%
E.Moleni rushed to STA 34 for 0 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 34.Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+33
79.1%
K.Bennett pass complete to STA 34. Catch made by C.Miller at STA 34. Gain of 33 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 1.Similar
Q2 6:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
70.0%
E.Tau-Tolliver rushed to STA End Zone for 1 yards. E.Tau-Tolliver for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5774% → 73%
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.7%
A.Daniels rushed to STA 30 for 5 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 30.Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
73.9%
A.Daniels pass complete to STA 30. Catch made by T.Bachmeier at STA 30. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 31.Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
73.1%
A.Daniels steps back to pass. A.Daniels pass incomplete intended for STA.Similar
Q2 5:04
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+46
72.5%
C.Weselman punts 46 yards to CSUS 23, Center-STA. Fair catch by A.Grover.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 8TD
15 plays · 77 yds · 3:5127% → 43%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
72.9%
E.Moleni rushed to CSUS 29 for 6 yards. Tackled by STA at CSUS 29.Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+5
72.1%
E.Moleni rushed to CSUS 34 for 5 yards. Tackled by STA at CSUS 34.Similar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
72.3%
K.Bennett steps back to pass. K.Bennett pass incomplete intended for CSUS.Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+8
72.5%
K.Bennett pass complete to CSUS 34. Catch made by M.Martin at CSUS 34. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by STA at CSUS 42.Similar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+3
70.9%
E.Moleni rushed to CSUS 45 for 3 yards. Tackled by STA at CSUS 45.Similar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
70.7%
PENALTY on CSUS-CSUS, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Offense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
72.3%
K.Bennett pass complete to CSUS 30. Catch made by M.Martin at CSUS 30. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by STA at CSUS 30.Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
72.4%
K.Bennett pass complete to CSUS 30. Catch made by D.Gandy at CSUS 30. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by STA at CSUS 35.Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+5
72.7%
K.Bennett pass complete to CSUS 35. Catch made by D.Gandy at CSUS 35. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by STA at CSUS 40.Similar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
71.4%
K.Bennett pass complete to CSUS 40. Catch made by C.Kuntz at CSUS 40. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 49.Similar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+29
69.8%
K.Bennett pass complete to STA 49. Catch made by C.Hill at STA 49. Gain of 29 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 20.Similar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
68.1%
K.Bennett pass complete to STA 20. Catch made by C.Hill at STA 20. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 13.Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+11
68.0%
K.Bennett scrambles to STA 2 for 11 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 2.Similar
Q2 1:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
57.3%
K.Bennett rushed to STA End Zone for 2 yards. K.Bennett for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9END OF HALF
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:1663% → 63%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
62.6%
C.Filkins rushed to STA 25 for 3 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 25.Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+7
62.8%
A.Daniels scrambles to STA 32 for 7 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 32.Similar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
62.9%
A.Daniels steps back to pass. A.Daniels sacked at STA 30 for -2 yards (B.Mather; J.Stanley)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 4:1863% → 68%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
62.7%
J.Lamson rushed to STA 24 for 3 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 24.Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+8
62.2%
J.Lamson rushed to STA 32 for 8 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 32.Similar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
62.3%
R.Butler rushed to STA 39 for 7 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 39.Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+5
63.9%
PENALTY on STA-STA, False Start, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+38
61.0%
J.Lamson pass complete to STA 34. Catch made by M.Reuben at STA 34. Gain of 38 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 28.Similar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
65.3%
C.Filkins rushed to CSUS 23 for 5 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 23.Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 5
OPP 23
0
65.1%
J.Lamson steps back to pass. J.Lamson pass incomplete intended for STA.Similar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 5
OPP 23
0
63.5%
J.Lamson pass complete to CSUS 23. Catch made by B.Farrell at CSUS 23. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 23.Similar
Q3 10:36
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+41
68.1%
J.Karty 41 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-STA, Holder-STA.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 11INT
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:1536% → 43%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
64.0%
M.Fulcher rushed to CSUS 48 for 23 yards. Tackled by STA at CSUS 48.Similar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
60.8%
M.Fulcher rushed to STA 45 for 7 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 45.Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+5
59.8%
PENALTY on CSUS-CSUS, False Start, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 8
OPP 0
+5
58.5%
K.Bennett pass complete to STA 50. Catch made by M.Martin at STA 50. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 45.Similar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
60.2%
K.Bennett steps back to pass. K.Bennett pass incomplete intended for CSUS.Similar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+39
61.8%
K.Bennett pass complete to STA 45. Catch made by D.Gandy at STA 45. Gain of 39 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 6. PENALTY on STA-STA, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, declined.Similar
Q3 7:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
57.6%
M.Fulcher rushed to STA 10 for -4 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 10.Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
57.3%
K.Bennett pass INTERCEPTED at STA 1. Intercepted by S.Edwards at STA 1. Tackled by CSUS at STA 6.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:5165% → 65%
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
65.2%
E.Smith rushed to STA 12 for 6 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 12.Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+2
65.3%
C.Filkins rushed to STA 14 for 2 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 14.Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+3
63.5%
C.Filkins rushed to STA 17 for 3 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 17.Similar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
65.1%
J.Lamson steps back to pass. J.Lamson pass incomplete intended for STA.Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
64.6%
J.Lamson pass INTERCEPTED at STA 21. Intercepted by C.Broussard at STA 21. Tackled by STA at STA 21.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 13FG
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:2245% → 50%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
55.5%
K.Bennett steps back to pass. K.Bennett pass incomplete intended for CSUS.Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
55.8%
K.Bennett steps back to pass. K.Bennett pass incomplete intended for CSUS.Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+13
57.6%
K.Bennett scrambles to STA 8 for 13 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 8.Similar
Q3 4:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
54.9%
M.Fulcher rushed to STA 9 for -1 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 9.Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
54.7%
K.Bennett pass complete to STA 9. Catch made by D.Gandy at STA 9. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 8.Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
56.2%
K.Bennett pass complete to STA 8. Catch made by M.Martin at STA 8. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 4.Similar
Q3 2:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
50.4%
Z.Schreiner 22 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-CSUS, Holder-CSUS.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14FG
8 plays · 53 yds · 3:5255% → 64%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
54.7%
J.Lamson steps back to pass. J.Lamson sacked at STA 21 for -4 yards (A.Bailey)Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+34
53.4%
J.Lamson pass complete to STA 21. Catch made by M.Reuben at STA 21. Gain of 34 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 45.Similar
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
58.9%
J.Lamson pass complete to CSUS 45. Catch made by E.Smith at CSUS 45. Gain of 22 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 23.Similar
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
60.8%
E.Smith rushed to CSUS 18 for 5 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 18.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 18
-4
60.7%
J.Lamson steps back to pass. J.Lamson sacked at CSUS 22 for -4 yards (J.Stanley)Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 9
OPP 22
0
57.6%
C.Filkins rushed to CSUS 22 for 0 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 22.Similar
Q4 13:33
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+40
63.6%
J.Karty 40 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-STA, Holder-STA.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15FG
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:4968% → 75%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
68.3%
R.Butler rushed to CSUS 33 for 2 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 33.Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
68.2%
J.Lamson steps back to pass. J.Lamson pass incomplete intended for STA.Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+10
66.3%
J.Lamson scrambles to CSUS 23 for 10 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 23.Similar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
68.1%
C.Filkins rushed to CSUS 23 for 0 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 23.Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
68.0%
J.Lamson steps back to pass. J.Lamson pass incomplete intended for STA.Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+2
65.8%
J.Lamson scrambles to CSUS 21 for 2 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 21.Similar
Q4 8:55
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+39
74.8%
J.Karty 39 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-STA, Holder-STA.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 16FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 4:3430% → 51%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
70.1%
M.Fulcher rushed to CSUS 27 for 2 yards. Tackled by STA at CSUS 27.Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+28
69.7%
K.Bennett scrambles to STA 45 for 28 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 45.Similar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
64.4%
K.Bennett pass complete to STA 45. Catch made by C.Hill at STA 45. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 39.Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+3
63.8%
E.Moleni rushed to STA 36 for 3 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 36.Similar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
63.5%
E.Moleni rushed to STA 34 for 2 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 34.Similar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
62.3%
K.Bennett rushed to STA 33 for 1 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 33.Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+6
62.2%
M.Fulcher rushed to STA 27 for 6 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 27.Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+1
63.2%
M.Fulcher rushed to STA 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 26.Similar
Q4 4:19
4TH & 2
OPP 26
0
49.5%
Z.Schreiner 44 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-CSUS, Holder-CSUS.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 3 yds · 1:3859% → 53%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
59.2%
J.Lamson steps back to pass. J.Lamson pass incomplete intended for STA.Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-1
57.8%
J.Lamson steps back to pass. J.Lamson sacked at STA 15 for -1 yards (B.Ahio; J.Stanley)Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 11
OWN 15
+16
55.3%
J.Lamson pass complete to STA 15. Catch made by B.Farrell at STA 15. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 31.Similar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 20
OWN 21
0
58.3%
J.Lamson steps back to pass. J.Lamson pass incomplete intended for STA.Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 20
OWN 21
-2
57.7%
J.Lamson steps back to pass. J.Lamson sacked at STA 19 for -2 yards (J.Stanley)Similar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 22
OWN 19
0
55.2%
J.Lamson steps back to pass. J.Lamson pass incomplete intended for STA.Similar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 22
OWN 19
+34
53.3%
C.Weselman punts 34 yards to CSUS 47, Center-STA. Fair catch by CSUS.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 18TD
3 plays · 53 yds · 0:3854% → 91%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
46.3%
K.Bennett rushed to STA 49 for 4 yards. Tackled by STA at STA 49.Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
44.6%
K.Bennett steps back to pass. K.Bennett pass incomplete intended for CSUS.Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+49
9.0%
K.Bennett pass complete to STA 49. Catch made by M.Fulcher at STA 49. Gain of 49 yards. M.Fulcher for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:3517% → 13%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
16.7%
J.Lamson pass complete to STA 25. Catch made by E.Ayomanor at STA 25. Gain of 20 yards. Tackled by CSUS at STA 45.Similar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
19.4%
J.Lamson pass complete to STA 45. Catch made by E.Ayomanor at STA 45. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by CSUS at CSUS 47.Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 2
OPP 47
-9
24.1%
J.Lamson steps back to pass. J.Lamson sacked at STA 44 for -9 yards (D.Lynch)Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
15.6%
J.Lamson steps back to pass. J.Lamson pass incomplete intended for STA.Similar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
13.4%
PENALTY on STA-STA, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Offense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 26
OWN 29
0
12.7%
J.Lamson steps back to pass. J.Lamson pass incomplete intended for STA.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:45
K.Bennett pass complete to STA 49. Catch made by M.Fulcher at STA 49. Gain of 49 yards. M.Fulcher for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-35.6
FG · Q4 4:19
Z.Schreiner 44 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-CSUS, Holder-CSUS.
-13.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-12.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com