Try the model
IDHO

Idaho 17 at California 31

CAL
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · California Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Lachlan Wilson punt for 38 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Pregame prior+20.0Home team on offense−2.5Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:08: Gevani McCoy run for 2 yds for a TD (Ricardo Chavez KICK) — IDHO win probability +15.9 pts (now 42%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:38: Sam Jackson V pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 20 yds for a TD (Michael Luckhurst KICK) — CAL win probability +4.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:25: Sam Jackson V pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 36 yds for a TD (Michael Luckhurst KICK) — CAL win probability +10.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: CAL +2 timeouts on the defense).
  4. TD · Q3 11:03: Sam Jackson V run for 27 yds for a TD (Michael Luckhurst KICK) — CAL win probability +9.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:53: Isaiah Ifanse run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Luckhurst KICK) — CAL win probability +11.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 9 of 10IDHO made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 8:41IDHO 4th & 6 at CAL 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:05CAL 4th & 7 at CAL 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:05IDHO 4th & 9 at CAL 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    19.5%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:12CAL 4th & 4 at IDHO 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    71.8%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:08IDHO 4th & 2 at CAL 2, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    31.7%−0.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−4.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:08CAL 4th & 1 at IDHO 33, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    57.4%−2.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    56.7%−3.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:25IDHO 4th & 4 at CAL 41, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    41.2%−0.8
    32% to make
    Punt
    41.1%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00CAL 4th & 16 at CAL 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−3.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00CAL 4th & 16 at CAL 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−3.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:51IDHO 4th & 3 at IDHO 37, down 4
    Close callPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:33CAL 4th & 21 at CAL 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−4.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:02IDHO 4th & 6 at IDHO 48, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:50CAL 4th & 3 at IDHO 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    77.1%−0.9
    68% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−8.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:37CAL 4th & 13 at IDHO 22, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−4.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:26IDHO 4th & 4 at CAL 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−1.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:05CAL 4th & 10 at CAL 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:17CAL 4th & 3 at IDHO 25, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.9%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4IDHO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 2:44IDHO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:08IDHO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:38CAL Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:25CAL Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:03CAL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:53CAL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 6:1914% → 16%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.1%
Anthony Woods run for 3 yds to the IDHO 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
86.1%
Gevani McCoy run for 3 yds to the IDHO 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+13
86.1%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Terez Traynor for 13 yds to the IDHO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
86.1%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 12 yds to the CAL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
86.1%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Anthony Woods for 5 yds to the CAL 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
86.1%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Anthony WoodsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+16
86.1%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Terez Traynor for 16 yds to the CAL 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
86.1%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Terez Traynor for 11 yds to the CAL 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
86.1%
Anthony Woods run for 3 yds to the CAL 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
86.1%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Jordan DwyerSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+1
86.1%
Anthony Woods run for 1 yd to the CAL 8Similar
Q1 8:41
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+25
83.7%
Ricardo Chavez 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:3084% → 83%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
83.7%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 12 yds to the CAL 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
83.8%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 3 yds to the CAL 36Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
84.0%
Isaiah Ifanse run for no gain to the CAL 36Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
83.7%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Monroe YoungSimilar
Q1 7:05
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
82.9%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:2117% → 22%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
83.2%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jordan Dwyer for 16 yds to the IDHO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
83.0%
Anthony Woods run for 2 yds to the IDHO 38Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+14
82.9%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jermaine Jackson for 14 yds to the CAL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
82.8%
Anthony Woods run for 1 yd to the CAL 36Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 9
OPP 36
0
82.8%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jermaine Jackson for no gain to the CAL 36Similar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
82.8%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Turon Ivy Jr. for 11 yds to the CAL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 9
OPP 36
0
82.9%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Terez TraynorSimilar
Q1 7:05
4TH & 9
OPP 36
+17
83.2%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 17 yds to the CAL 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
77.6%
Anthony Woods run for 19 yds for a TD (Ricardo Chavez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 4DOWNS
10 plays · 47 yds · 3:2678% → 75%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
77.7%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 1 yd to the CAL 7Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+11
77.7%
Sam Jackson V run for 11 yds to the CAL 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
77.8%
Sam Jackson V run for no gain to the CAL 18 for a 1ST down Idaho Penalty, unnecessary roughness (Marcus Harris) to the CAL 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
78.0%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Jeremiah HunterSimilar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+9
77.9%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Isaiah Ifanse for 9 yds to the CAL 42Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+5
78.2%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 5 yds to the CAL 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
76.4%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Isaiah Ifanse for 2 yds to the CAL 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 45
0
76.1%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+8
75.5%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Isaiah Ifanse for 8 yds to the IDHO 47Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
75.4%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Trond GrizzellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 5:0426% → 42%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
74.3%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Jermaine JacksonSimilar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
74.3%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Turon Ivy Jr. for 6 yds to the CAL 47Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+4
74.4%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 4 yds to the CAL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+24
74.2%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jermaine Jackson for 24 yds to the CAL 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
74.1%
Jermaine Jackson run for 10 yds to the CAL 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
74.1%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 6 yds to the CAL 3Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
74.1%
Nick Romano run for 1 yd to the CAL 2Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
74.4%
Gevani McCoy run for no gain to the CAL 2Similar
Q2 9:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
58.5%
Gevani McCoy run for 2 yds for a TD (Ricardo Chavez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3062% → 68%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
61.5%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 6 yds to the CAL 31Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
61.9%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 5 yds to the CAL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
62.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Jackson V,Sam pass incomplete deep left to Grizzell,Trond QB hurried by Williams,Malakai PENALTY Idaho Holding (McDougle,Dwayne) 10 yards from Cal36 to Cal46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
62.9%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 12 yds to the IDHO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
63.1%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 3 yds to the IDHO 39Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+2
63.2%
Ashton Stredick run for 2 yds to the IDHO 37Similar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+4
62.9%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 4 yds to the IDHO 33Similar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+8
63.2%
Ashton Stredick run for 8 yds to the IDHO 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
63.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Stredick,Ashton rush middle for 2 yards loss to the Idaho27 (Layne,Dylan; Bertram,Ben) PENALTY Idaho Illegal Substitution 5 yards from Idaho25 to Idaho20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 5
OPP 20
+20
68.4%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 20 yds for a TD (Michael Luckhurst KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7DOWNS
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:1035% → 40%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
64.6%
Anthony Woods run for no gain to the IDHO 21Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+17
64.8%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Terez Traynor for 17 yds to the IDHO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
61.4%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jermaine Jackson for 15 yds to the CAL 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
61.0%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Jordan DwyerSimilar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
61.2%
Anthony Woods run for 6 yds to the CAL 41Similar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
61.1%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Hayden HattenSimilar
Q2 2:25
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
59.6%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Terez TraynorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 8TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 1:0063% → 74%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
63.3%
Sam Jackson V run for 4 yds to the CAL 45Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
63.5%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 1
50
+14
64.0%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 14 yds to the IDHO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
74.4%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 36 yds for a TD (Michael Luckhurst KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9INT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:5131% → 34%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
69.5%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Anthony Woods for 2 yds to the IDHO 35Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
69.5%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Jermaine JacksonSimilar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+10
70.2%
Shotgun McCoy,Gevani pass incomplete short right to Hatten,Hayden QB hurried by McCulloch,Ryan PENALTY Cal Holding (Williams,Nohl) 10 yards from Idaho35 to Idaho45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
68.0%
run for 2 yds to the IDHO 43 fumbled, recovered by IDHO Gevani McCoySimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+10
68.6%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jake Cox for 10 yds to the CAL 47Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
66.3%
Gevani McCoy pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:2870% → 68%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
70.4%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Jeremiah HunterSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
70.3%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Jeremiah HunterSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 10
OWN 31
-6
69.0%
Sam Jackson V sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the CAL 25Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 16
OWN 25
0
68.1%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 38 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 16
OWN 25
0
68.1%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
68.4%
G. McCoy takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 12TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:5270% → 82%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
69.8%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 5 yds to the CAL 25Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
70.2%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 6 yds to the CAL 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
70.2%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Taj Davis for 9 yds to the CAL 40Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+10
72.4%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
50
+7
72.7%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 7 yds to the IDHO 43Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+4
73.0%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 4 yds to the IDHO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
72.9%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Trond GrizzellSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
72.8%
Sam Jackson V run for 2 yds to the IDHO 37Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+10
72.3%
Sam Jackson V run for 10 yds to the IDHO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
82.1%
Sam Jackson V run for 27 yds for a TD (Michael Luckhurst KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0723% → 21%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
77.4%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Anthony WoodsSimilar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
77.8%
Gevani McCoy run for 7 yds to the IDHO 37Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
76.8%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Hayden HattenSimilar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
78.6%
Ricardo Chavez punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:1879% → 77%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
78.9%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 9 yds to the CAL 15Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 1
OWN 15
-5
79.1%
PENALTY Cal False Start (Hightower,Brian) 5 yards from Cal15 to Cal10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+3
78.9%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 3 yds to the CAL 13Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+19
78.1%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 19 yds to the CAL 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
79.5%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
79.3%
Ashton Stredick run for 3 yds to the CAL 35Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 7
OWN 35
-14
78.8%
Sam Jackson V sacked by Aamarii Notice for a loss of 14 yards to the CAL 21Similar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 21
OWN 21
+8
76.9%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 43 yds , Jermaine Jackson returns for 8 yds to the IDHO 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:3125% → 21%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
75.2%
Jermaine Jackson run for 4 yds to the IDHO 48Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+5
74.5%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jermaine Jackson for 5 yds to the CAL 47Similar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
74.1%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Terez TraynorSimilar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 1
OPP 47
-5
75.7%
PENALTY Idaho False Start 5 yards from Cal47 to Idaho48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
79.3%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Hayden HattenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 16TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:0982% → 90%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
81.6%
Idaho Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the IDHO 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
82.6%
Taj Davis run for 1 yd to the IDHO 30Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+1
82.5%
Ashton Stredick run for 1 yd to the IDHO 31Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+7
81.1%
Sam Jackson V run for 7 yds to the IDHO 24Similar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
82.7%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+17
82.7%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 17 yds to the IDHO 1 for a 1ST down Idaho Penalty, Face Mask (0 yards) (Dylan Layne) to the IDHO 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+6
79.4%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 6 yds to the IDHO 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.4%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Luckhurst KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 17FUMBLE
11 plays · 44 yds · 3:2510% → 10%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
90.2%
Anthony Woods run for 5 yds to the IDHO 28Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
89.5%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Turon Ivy Jr.Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
90.1%
Idaho Penalty, Offensive Holding (Terez Traynor) declinedSimilar
Q3 1:46
4TH & 5
OWN 28
+5
91.8%
Shotgun McCoy,Gevani pass incomplete deep middle to Jackson,Jermaine broken up by Woodie III,Raymond PENALTY Cal Offside (Reese,David) 5 yards from Idaho28 to Idaho33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
90.6%
Anthony Woods run for 11 yds to the IDHO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
90.1%
Anthony Woods run for 5 yds to the IDHO 49Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+17
89.7%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 17 yds to the CAL 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
88.6%
Shotgun McCoy,Gevani rush middle for 24 yards gain to the Cal10, End Of Play PENALTY Idaho Holding (Knapik,Ayden) 10 yards from Cal34 to Cal44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+11
90.2%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Terez Traynor for 11 yds Terez Traynor fumbled, recovered by CAL Raymond Woodie IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 18FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 3:4692% → 97%
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
91.9%
Ashton Stredick run for 5 yds to the CAL 38Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+2
92.4%
Ashton Stredick run for 2 yds to the CAL 40Similar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+41
92.1%
Ashton Stredick run for 41 yds to the IDHO 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
92.8%
California Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the IDHO 27Similar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 18
OPP 27
+5
92.7%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 5 yds to the IDHO 22Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 13
OPP 22
0
92.7%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Jack Endries for no gain to the IDHO 22Similar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 13
OPP 22
0
92.3%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Jeremiah HunterSimilar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 13
OPP 22
+39
96.5%
Michael Luckhurst 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19DOWNS
13 plays · 54 yds · 5:055% → 4%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
95.5%
Gevani McCoy run for 9 yds to the IDHO 22Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+15
95.1%
Shotgun McCoy,Gevani pass incomplete short left to Hatten,Hayden broken up by Moore,Kaylin PENALTY Cal Pass Interference (Moore,Kaylin) 15 yards from Idaho22 to Idaho37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
95.1%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jermaine Jackson for 4 yds to the IDHO 41Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
95.1%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Jermaine JacksonSimilar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+9
95.2%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
50
+2
94.8%
Gevani McCoy run for 2 yds to the CAL 48Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+6
94.8%
Nick Romano run for 6 yds to the CAL 42Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+3
94.7%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Terez Traynor for 3 yds to the CAL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
94.8%
Gevani McCoy sacked by Xavier Carlton for a loss of 3 yards to the CAL 42Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+9
95.0%
Gevani McCoy run for 9 yds to the CAL 33Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
94.6%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Jermaine JacksonSimilar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 4
OPP 33
0
96.2%
Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Hayden HattenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:2198% → 98%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
97.7%
Ashton Stredick run for 4 yds to the CAL 37Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+11
97.8%
Ashton Stredick run for 11 yds to the CAL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.9%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
97.9%
Ashton Stredick run for no gain to the CAL 48Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
97.9%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Mavin AndersonSimilar
Q4 3:05
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
98.4%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IDHO 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 21FUMBLE
1 play · 5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
97.5%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jordan Dwyer for 5 yds Jordan Dwyer fumbled, recovered by CAL Myles JerniganSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 22MISSED FG
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:4099% → 99%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
98.6%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 5 yds to the IDHO 27Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+3
98.6%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 3 yds to the IDHO 24Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+1
99.2%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 1 yd to the IDHO 25Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+42
99.3%
Michael Luckhurst 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:171% → 1%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
98.6%
Shotgun McCoy,Gevani pass incomplete short middle to Traynor,Terez broken up by Williams,Nohl PENALTY Idaho Tripping (Christensen,Abe) 12 yards from Idaho25 to Idaho13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+4
98.7%
Gevani McCoy run for 4 yds to the IDHO 17Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+9
98.7%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 9 yds to the IDHO 26Similar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
98.7%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jordan Dwyer for 11 yds to the IDHO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
98.6%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 6 yds to the IDHO 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:08
Gevani McCoy run for 2 yds for a TD (Ricardo Chavez KICK)
-15.9
TD · Q3 2:53
Isaiah Ifanse run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Luckhurst KICK)
+11
TD · Q2 1:25
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 36 yds for a TD (Michael Luckhurst KICK)
+10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com