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TLSA

Tulsa 10 at Washington 43

WASH
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadTLSA aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreTLSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:35 · Angus Davies punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WASH 29 Washington Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the WASH 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Pregame prior+36.0Home team on offense+13.0Score differential+5.1Garbage-time factor+3.0Blowout margin+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:19: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 2 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — TLSA win probability +0.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 8:48: Chase Meyer 44 yd FG GOOD — TLSA win probability +0.4 pts (now 2%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q1 2:46: Ja'Lynn Polk run for 27 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — TLSA win probability +0.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:55: Jalen McMillan 9 Yd pass from Michael Penix Jr. (Jaden Green Pass to Dylan Morris for Two-Point Conversion) — WASH win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:00: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Germie Bernard for 7 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TLSA made the numbers' call on 4 of 10
  1. Q1 12:19TLSA 4th & 5 at WASH 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:48TLSA 4th & 7 at WASH 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:38WASH 4th & 1 at TLSA 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:49TLSA 4th & 2 at TLSA 49, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:35TLSA 4th & 4 at TLSA 44, down 19
    Close callPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:35TLSA 4th & 4 at TLSA 44, down 19
    Close callPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:39TLSA 4th & 3 at midfield, down 19
    Close callPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:15TLSA 4th & 5 at WASH 28, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:12TLSA 4th & 5 at WASH 15, down 33
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:17WASH 4th & 8 at TLSA 17, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:51TLSA 4th & 1 at TLSA 29, down 26
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:51TLSA 4th & 1 at TLSA 29, down 26
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TLSA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:19WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:46WASH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:55WASH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:00WASH Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:40WASH Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:12TLSA Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:00WASH Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:4198% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+50
98.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 35 yds to the TLSA 30 for a 1ST down Tulsa Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Owen Ostroski) to the TLSA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
98.4%
Will Nixon run for 7 yds to the TLSA 8Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+4
98.4%
Will Nixon run for 4 yds to the TLSA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
98.4%
Will Nixon run for 3 yds to the TLSA 1Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.4%
Will Nixon run for 1 yd to the TLSA 2Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 2 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 2FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 3:312% → 2%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.2%
Jordan Ford run for 3 yds to the TLSA 28Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
98.2%
Tulsa Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+32
98.2%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Braylin Presley for 32 yds to the WASH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.2%
Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Kamdyn BenjaminSimilar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
98.2%
Cardell Williams run for 5 yds to the WASH 35Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
98.2%
Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Luke McgarySimilar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+6
98.2%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Marquis Shoulders for 6 yds to the WASH 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
98.2%
Jordan Ford run for no gain to the WASH 29Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
98.2%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Ethan Hall for 3 yds to the WASH 26Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
98.2%
Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Marquis ShouldersSimilar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
97.7%
Chase Meyer 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 5:5298% → 98%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
97.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 3 yds to the WASH 16Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+33
97.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 33 yds to the WASH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
97.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 9 yds to the TLSA 42Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
97.8%
Germie Bernard run for no gain to the TLSA 42Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
97.8%
Sam Adams II run for no gain to the TLSA 42Similar
Q1 8:38
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+5
97.7%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 5 yds to the TLSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
97.8%
Will Nixon run for 5 yds to the TLSA 32Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+15
97.8%
Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass incomplete deep right to McMillan,Jalen PENALTY TUL Pass Interference (Oliver,Jaise) 15 yards from TUL32 to TUL17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
97.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-10
97.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Adams II,Sam rush right for 4 yards gain to the TUL13 (Ray,Kendarin) PENALTY WASH Holding (Fautanu,Troy) 10 yards from TUL17 to TUL27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 20
OPP 27
+27
97.5%
Ja'Lynn Polk run for 27 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:573% → 3%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.3%
Bill Jackson run for 2 yds to the TLSA 27Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
97.3%
Bill Jackson run for 4 yds to the TLSA 31Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
97.3%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Jordan Ford for 10 yds to the TLSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
97.3%
Jordan Ford run for 3 yds to the TLSA 44Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
97.3%
Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Devan WilliamsSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+5
97.0%
Jordan Ford run for 5 yds to the TLSA 49Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 2
OWN 49
-5
97.0%
Cardell Williams sacked by Voi Tunuufi for a loss of 5 yards to the TLSA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:5997% → 97%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
97.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Will Nixon for 7 yds to the TLSA 37Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+10
97.2%
Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass incomplete short right to Westover,Jack PENALTY TUL Holding (Hopkins,Dorian) 10 yards from TUL37 to TUL27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
97.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
97.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 6INT
13 plays · 62 yds · 5:133% → 4%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.9%
Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Braylin PresleySimilar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
97.0%
Anthony Watkins run for 8 yds to the TLSA 28Similar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
96.9%
Anthony Watkins run for 3 yds to the TLSA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
96.9%
Anthony Watkins run for 4 yds to the TLSA 35Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+7
96.9%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Devan Williams for 7 yds to the TLSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
96.8%
Bill Jackson run for 15 yds to the WASH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
96.8%
Bill Jackson run for 11 yds to the WASH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
96.7%
Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Devan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
96.7%
Jordan Ford run for 5 yds to the WASH 27Similar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+7
96.7%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Carl Chester for 7 yds to the WASH 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
96.6%
Jordan Ford run for 2 yds to the WASH 18Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
96.6%
Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Devan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
96.0%
Cardell Williams pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:4297% → 98%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Devin CulpSimilar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+26
96.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 26 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
96.6%
Daniyel Ngata run for 9 yds to the TLSA 45Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+12
96.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 12 yds to the TLSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
96.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 12 yds to the TLSA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
96.6%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 6 yds to the TLSA 15Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+8
96.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Quentin Moore for 8 yds to the TLSA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
96.6%
Sam Adams II run for 2 yds to the TLSA 9Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
97.7%
Jalen McMillan 9 Yd pass from Michael Penix Jr. (Jaden Green Pass to Dylan Morris for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:203% → 3%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.4%
Jordan Ford run for 4 yds to the TLSA 29Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
97.3%
Jordan Ford run for 2 yds to the TLSA 31Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
97.4%
Roman Fuller pass complete to Marquis Shoulders for 7 yds to the TLSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.3%
Roman Fuller pass incomplete to Devan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
97.3%
Roman Fuller pass complete to Braylin Presley for 6 yds to the TLSA 44Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
97.3%
Roman Fuller pass incomplete to Kamdyn BenjaminSimilar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 4
OWN 44
+27
97.2%
Angus Davies punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WASH 29 Washington Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) to the WASH 29Similar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 4
OWN 44
+37
97.2%
Angus Davies punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WASH 29 Washington Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the WASH 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9FUMBLE
11 plays · 66 yds · 1:3298% → 99%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
98.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Sam Adams II for 6 yds to the WASH 25Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 4
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+10
98.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 10 yds to the WASH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+16
98.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 16 yds to the TLSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
98.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Will NixonSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+16
98.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 16 yds to the TLSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+18
98.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 18 yds Jalen McMillan fumbled, recovered by TLSA Reggie EllisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · 19 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+19
96.9%
Jordan Ford run for 19 yds to the WASH 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:213% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.4%
Anthony Watkins run for 2 yds to the TLSA 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
97.4%
Anthony Watkins run for no gain to the TLSA 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+16
97.5%
Roman Fuller pass complete to Braylin Presley for 16 yds to the TLSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
97.3%
Anthony Watkins run for 3 yds to the TLSA 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+5
97.2%
Roman Fuller pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 5 yds to the WASH 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+1
97.2%
Braylin Presley run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:39
4TH & 3
50
0
97.4%
Angus Davies punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jalen McMillan at the WASH 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 3:3998% → 100%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+30
98.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 30 yds to the WASH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
98.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 19 yds to the TLSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
98.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 5 yds to the TLSA 28Similar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+11
98.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 11 yds to the TLSA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
98.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 10 yds to the TLSA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Germie Bernard for 7 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 13DOWNS
13 plays · 46 yds · 3:450% → 0%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Jordan Ford run for 5 yds to the TLSA 30Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-4
99.6%
Roman Fuller sacked by Jabbar Muhammad for a loss of 4 yards to the TLSA 26Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Roman Fuller pass incomplete to Carl ChesterSimilar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+15
99.7%
Davies,Angus punt 30 yards to the WASH44 fair catch by McMillan,Jalen at WASH44 PENALTY WASH Roughing The Kicker (Esteen,Makell) 15 yards from TUL26 to TUL41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.7%
Bill Jackson run for 1 yd to the TLSA 42Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+15
99.7%
Shotgun Fuller,Roman pass incomplete deep right to Shoulders,Marquis PENALTY WASH Pass Interference (Dixon,Thaddeus) 15 yards from TUL42 to WASH43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
99.7%
Roman Fuller pass complete to Marquis Shoulders for 10 yds to the WASH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.7%
Bill Jackson run for 3 yds to the WASH 30Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+2
99.7%
Bill Jackson run for 2 yds to the WASH 28Similar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
99.7%
Roman Fuller pass incomplete to Braylin PresleySimilar
Q3 4:15
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+1
99.7%
Roman Fuller pass complete to Jordan Ford for 1 yd to the WASH 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 3:35100% → 100%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
99.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 16 yds to the WASH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 5
50
+18
99.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 18 yds to the TLSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
99.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 12 yds to the TLSA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
99.7%
Sam Adams II run for 1 yd to the TLSA 19Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+5
99.7%
PENALTY TUL Offside (Rogers,Everitt) 5 yards from TUL19 to TUL14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+14
99.9%
Rome Odunze run for 14 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 15TD
13 plays · 83 yds · 3:480% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
99.9%
Anthony Watkins run for 8 yds to the TLSA 25Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
99.9%
Roman Fuller pass complete to Anthony Watkins for 6 yds to the WASH 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Roman Fuller pass incomplete to Marquis ShouldersSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+15
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Fuller,Roman pass incomplete deep left to Presley,Braylin PENALTY WASH Pass Interference (Nunley,Vincent) 15 yards from WASH47 to WASH32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
99.9%
Roman Fuller pass complete to Anthony Watkins for 9 yds to the WASH 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+3
99.9%
Bill Jackson run for 3 yds to the WASH 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
99.9%
Roman Fuller pass complete to Bill Jackson for 1 yd to the WASH 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+7
99.9%
Bill Jackson run for 7 yds to the WASH 12Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 2
OPP 12
-5
99.9%
PENALTY TUL False Start (Baah,Chester) 5 yards from WASH12 to WASH17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+2
99.9%
Roman Fuller pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 2 yds to the WASH 15Similar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+15
99.8%
Luke McGary 15 Yd pass from Roman Fuller (Chase Meyer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16MISSED FG
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:48100% → 100%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+18
99.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Will Nixon for 18 yds to the WASH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
99.9%
Will Nixon run for 12 yds to the WASH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+36
99.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Germie Bernard for 36 yds to the TLSA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Will NixonSimilar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+2
99.9%
Sam Adams II run for 2 yds to the TLSA 17Similar
Q4 8:28
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
99.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q4 8:17
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+33
99.9%
Grady Gross 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.9%
Roman Fuller pass complete to Devan Williams for 9 yds to the TLSA 29Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Roman Fuller pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Anthony Watkins run for no gain to the TLSA 29Similar
Q4 6:51
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+6
99.9%
Angus Davies punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WASH 23 for a 1ST down , Jalen McMillan returns for 6 yds to the WASH 35 for a 1ST down Tulsa Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Zach Neilsen) to the WASH 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+6
99.9%
Angus Davies punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WASH 38 for a 1ST down , Jalen McMillan returns for 6 yds to the WASH 35 for a 1ST down Tulsa Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Zach Neilsen) to the WASH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 3:51100% → 100%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
99.9%
Germie Bernard run for 8 yds to the WASH 46Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+1
99.9%
Daniyel Ngata run for 1 yd to the WASH 47Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+6
99.9%
Daniyel Ngata run for 6 yds to the TLSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+34
99.9%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 34 yds to the TLSA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
99.9%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Denzel Boston for 11 yds to the TLSA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Daniyel Ngata run for 1 yd to the TLSA 3Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.9%
Tulsa Penalty, Face Mask (2 yards) (2 Yards) to the TLSA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Daniyel Ngata run for 1 yd for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 19END OF GAME
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:000% → 0%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
Bill Jackson run for 7 yds to the TLSA 32Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
100.0%
Jordan Ford run for 6 yds to the TLSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
100.0%
Jordan Ford run for 8 yds to the TLSA 46Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+5
100.0%
Jordan Ford run for 5 yds to the WASH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Jordan Ford run for no gain to the WASH 49Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+9
100.0%
Anthony Watkins run for 9 yds to the WASH 40Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+7
100.0%
Anthony Watkins run for 7 yds to the WASH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:00
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Germie Bernard for 7 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q2 3:55
Jalen McMillan 9 Yd pass from Michael Penix Jr. (Jaden Green Pass to Dylan Morris for Two-Point Conversion)
+1
FG · Q1 8:48
Chase Meyer 44 yd FG GOOD
-0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com