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Oregon 38 at Texas Tech 30

TTU
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of GameFG-39.6TTU 24.1%Camden Lewis 34 yd FG GOODAWAY 31 - HOME 30 · Q4 1:10
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:10 · Camden Lewis 34 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 174Pregame prior−0.4Home team on offense−16.0Score differential−5.2Garbage-time factor−3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:58: Tyler Shough run for 5 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK) — TTU win probability +16.8 pts (now 53%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:16: Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 34 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK) — TTU win probability +21.6 pts (now 76%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:47: Bucky Irving run for 3 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +25.8 pts (now 51%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 1:10: Camden Lewis 34 yd FG GOOD — ORE win probability +39.6 pts (now 76%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:35: Jeffrey Bassa 45 Yd Interception Return (Camden Lewis Kick) — ORE win probability +35.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ORE made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 12:07ORE 4th & 10 at ORE 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:41TTU 4th & 12 at TTU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:07ORE 4th & 6 at ORE 27, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:29TTU 4th & 9 at TTU 43, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:17ORE 4th & 5 at ORE 10, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:17TTU 4th & 3 at ORE 28, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    43.9%−0.9
    60% to make
    Punt
    38.9%−5.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:59ORE 4th & 7 at TTU 10, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−1.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    50.2%−8.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:28ORE 4th & 11 at ORE 24, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−3.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:20ORE 4th & 1 at TTU 17, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    44.9%−3.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    35.6%−12.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:59TTU 4th & 2 at TTU 33, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    61.6%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:27ORE 4th & 2 at TTU 5, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−0.8
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−16.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:13TTU 4th & 15 at ORE 27, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−10.4
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    31.6%−18.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:10ORE 4th & 12 at TTU 16, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−27.7
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−35.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:37TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:58ORE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:45ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    60.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:01TTU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    42.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    42.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:58TTU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:16TTU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:47ORE Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:35ORE Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−2.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 2:5369% → 68%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
30.6%
Bucky Irving run for 8 yds to the ORE 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
30.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 5 yds to the ORE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
30.6%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+9
30.6%
Bucky Irving run for 9 yds to the ORE 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
30.6%
Bucky Irving run for 2 yds to the ORE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
30.6%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
30.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for no gain to the ORE 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
30.6%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:07
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
32.0%
Luke Dunne punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 2:3032% → 35%
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
31.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 6 yds to the TTU 21Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 4
OWN 21
0
32.0%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+58
31.8%
Tyler Shough run for 58 yds to the ORE 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
32.3%
Texas Tech Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ORE 31Similar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+9
32.2%
Tyler Shough run for 9 yds to the ORE 22Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+4
32.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Myles Price for 4 yds to the ORE 18Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+18
35.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Myles Price for 18 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:3965% → 67%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
34.7%
Jordan James run for 3 yds to the ORE 28Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+72
33.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 72 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:1733% → 33%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
33.3%
Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the TTU 28Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
33.3%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
33.0%
Tyler Shough sacked by Tysheem Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the TTU 23Similar
Q1 7:41
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
33.2%
Austin McNamara punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:5667% → 70%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
33.2%
Noah Whittington run for 7 yds to the ORE 47Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-3
33.0%
Bo Nix sacked by Ben Roberts for a loss of 3 yards to the ORE 44Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+31
33.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Noah Whittington for 31 yds to the TTU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+22
32.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 22 yds to the TTU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
32.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 1 yd to the TTU 2Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
32.7%
Oregon Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TTU 12Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+4
32.8%
Bucky Irving run for 4 yds to the TTU 8Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
34.0%
Oregon Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TTU 13Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
29.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 13 yds for a TD (Patrick Herbert pass to Terrance Ferguson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:4430% → 39%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.1%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
30.1%
Tyler Shough sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the TTU 17Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+15
29.7%
Oregon Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Khyree Jackson) to the TTU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
30.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Myles Price for 3 yds to the TTU 35Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+7
30.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 7 yds to the TTU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
31.0%
Oregon Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Tez Johnson) to the ORE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
31.5%
Xavier White run for no gain to the ORE 43Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
31.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Myles Price for 6 yds to the ORE 37Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+4
31.3%
Tyler Shough run for 4 yds to the ORE 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
32.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the ORE 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+7
32.0%
Tyler Shough run for 7 yds to the ORE 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
32.0%
Tyler Shough run for 1 yd to the ORE 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+11
32.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Mason Tharp for 11 yds to the ORE 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
32.0%
Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the ORE 7Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
39.3%
Mason Tharp 7 Yd pass from Tyler Shough (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5464% → 63%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
35.9%
Oregon Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ORE 18Similar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+9
36.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Jordan James for 9 yds to the ORE 27Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
35.4%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
36.3%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
37.3%
Ross James punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the TTU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:3837% → 38%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.0%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
36.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 6 yds to the TTU 31Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+11
36.6%
Tyler Shough run for 11 yds to the TTU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
38.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Baylor Cupp for 6 yds to the TTU 48Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
38.9%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 4
OWN 48
-10
38.3%
BROOKS, Tahj rush to the left for no gain to the TTU48 (WILLIAMS, Evan). PENALTY TTU Holding on MILLS, Monroe enforced 10 yards from the TTU48 to the TTU38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 14
OWN 38
+5
36.6%
Tyler Shough run for 5 yds to the TTU 43Similar
Q2 9:29
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
37.5%
Austin McNamara punt for 52 yds, downed at the ORE 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:1263% → 62%
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
37.1%
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the ORE 8Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+1
37.4%
Noah Whittington run for 1 yd to the ORE 9Similar
Q2 9:29
3RD & 6
OWN 9
0
38.0%
Oregon Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the ORE 5Similar
Q2 9:29
3RD & 10
OWN 5
+5
38.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Noah Whittington for 5 yds to the ORE 10Similar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 5
OWN 10
0
38.3%
Ross James punt for 63 yds , returns for no gain to the ORE 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10FUMBLE
7 plays · 1 yds · 3:1342% → 43%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
41.7%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
41.6%
Anquan Willis run for 5 yds to the ORE 30Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+2
40.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the ORE 28Similar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+5
39.2%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 5 yds to the ORE 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
41.7%
Tyler Shough run for 5 yds to the ORE 18Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+6
41.7%
Tyler Shough run for 6 yds to the ORE 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-22
42.5%
Tyler Shough sacked for a loss of 22 yards to the ORE 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 3:0564% → 70%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
36.3%
Bo Nix run for 3 yds to the ORE 37Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+4
35.9%
Bucky Irving run for 4 yds to the ORE 41Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+10
35.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 10 yds to the TTU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
34.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 9 yds to the TTU 40Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
34.3%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
34.5%
Bo Nix run for 2 yds to the TTU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+25
34.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 25 yds to the TTU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
33.5%
NIX, Bo pass to the left incomplete intended for BRYANT JR., Gary thrown to the TTU0. PENALTY Before the snap, ORE Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the TTU13 to the TTU18. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 15
OPP 18
0
33.9%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 15
OPP 18
0
33.9%
Bucky Irving run for no gain to the TTU 18Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 15
OPP 18
+8
34.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Noah Whittington for 8 yds to the TTU 10Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+28
30.5%
Camden Lewis 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12MISSED FG
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:5930% → 35%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
30.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 1 yd to the TTU 26Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
30.1%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
29.5%
Oregon Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Brandon Dorlus) to the TTU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-15
31.9%
SHOUGH, Tyler sacked for a loss of 7 yards at the TTU34 (UIAGALELEI, Matayo;GREEN, Terrance). PENALTY TTU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on MILLS, Monroe enforced 15 yards from the TTU41 to the TTU26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 25
OWN 26
+15
30.2%
Tyler Shough run for 15 yds to the TTU 41Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
31.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Xavier White for 1 yd to the TTU 42Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+20
31.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 20 yds to the ORE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+56
34.5%
Gino Garcia 56 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0234% → 53%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
34.1%
SHOUGH, Tyler pass deep to the left incomplete intended for THARP, Mason thrown to the TTU46. PENALTY ORE Pass Interference on FUNA, Mase enforced 15 yards to the TTU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+35
36.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 35 yds to the ORE 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
39.0%
Tyler Shough run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
38.8%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+22
36.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Xavier White for 22 yds to the ORE 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
53.2%
Tyler Shough run for 5 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:3052% → 48%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
48.2%
Oregon Penalty, False Start (Josh Conerly Jr.) to the ORE 20Similar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-7
48.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for a loss of 7 yards to the ORE 13Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+11
48.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 11 yds to the ORE 24Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
49.8%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:28
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
51.7%
punt blocked by blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
53.5%
Tyler Shough pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 58 yds · 4:0251% → 51%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
49.0%
Bucky Irving run for 4 yds to the ORE 29Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
48.2%
Bucky Irving run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 28Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+16
50.1%
Bo Nix run for 16 yds to the ORE 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+30
46.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 30 yds to the TTU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
43.8%
Bo Nix run for 9 yds to the TTU 17Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 1
OPP 17
0
43.8%
Noah Whittington run for no gain to the TTU 17Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 1
OPP 17
0
45.1%
Noah Whittington run for no gain to the TTU 17Similar
Q3 7:20
4TH & 1
OPP 17
0
48.6%
Bo Nix run for no gain to the TTU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 83 yds · 0:2954% → 76%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+18
53.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 18 yds to the TTU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+31
54.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Drae McCray for 31 yds to the ORE 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
75.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 34 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:2929% → 51%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
71.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 8 yds to the ORE 33Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
69.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 3 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
70.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 6 yds to the ORE 42Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
69.2%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+7
69.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 7 yds to the ORE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
68.9%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-1
69.4%
Bucky Irving run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 48Similar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+13
70.6%
Bo Nix run for 13 yds to the TTU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
68.5%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
68.5%
Bucky Irving run for 6 yds to the TTU 33Similar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+8
68.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 8 yds to the TTU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
66.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Noah Whittington for 8 yds to the TTU 17Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+3
66.8%
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the TTU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
66.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Jordan James for 5 yds to the TTU 9Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+2
73.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Patrick Herbert for 2 yds to the TTU 7Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+4
74.6%
Bo Nix run for 4 yds to the TTU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
48.8%
Bucky Irving run for 3 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4859% → 60%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
58.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Mason Tharp for 4 yds to the TTU 29Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
58.9%
Tyler Shough run for no gain to the TTU 29Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
57.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 4 yds to the TTU 33Similar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
60.1%
Tyler Shough run for no gain to the TTU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20FG
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:3250% → 59%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
49.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 9 yds to the TTU 24Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+11
49.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Patrick Herbert for 11 yds to the TTU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
49.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 3 yds to the TTU 10Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+5
49.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Noah Whittington for 5 yds to the TTU 5Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 2
OPP 5
0
51.5%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:27
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+23
40.7%
Camden Lewis 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21FG
15 plays · 48 yds · 5:1447% → 67%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
47.0%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Monroe Mills) to the TTU 20Similar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
46.5%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+15
46.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Mason Tharp for 15 yds to the TTU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
47.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 16 yds to the ORE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
52.8%
Tyler Shough run for 7 yds to the ORE 42Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+1
53.3%
Tyler Shough run for 1 yd to the ORE 41Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+5
52.5%
QB Keeper SHOUGH, Tyler rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the ORE37 (BASSA, Jeffrey). PENALTY Before the snap, ORE Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the ORE41 to the ORE36 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
53.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the ORE 31Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+4
55.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the ORE 27Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+5
53.0%
Tyler Shough run for 5 yds to the ORE 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
55.7%
Xavier White run for 2 yds to the ORE 20Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 8
OPP 20
-7
55.7%
Tyler Shough sacked by Popo Aumavae for a loss of 7 yards to the ORE 27Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 15
OPP 27
0
49.1%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:13
4TH & 15
OPP 27
+45
67.0%
Gino Garcia 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 4:0338% → 76%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
61.7%
Bo Nix run for 2 yds to the ORE 22Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+14
62.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 14 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
59.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Patrick Herbert for 21 yds to the TTU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
55.0%
Texas Tech Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the TTU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
52.1%
Noah Whittington run for 7 yds to the TTU 19Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+5
52.1%
Jordan James run for 5 yds to the TTU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
50.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Noah Whittington for 3 yds to the TTU 11Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+4
55.3%
Jordan James run for 4 yds to the TTU 7Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 3
OPP 7
-4
57.6%
Jordan James run for a loss of 4 yards to the TTU 11Similar
Q4 1:19
4TH & 7
OPP 11
-5
63.7%
Oregon Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the TTU 16Similar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 12
OPP 16
+34
24.1%
Camden Lewis 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23INT TD
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:3536% → 5%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
35.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Xavier White for 17 yds to the TTU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
40.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Xavier White for 5 yds to the TTU 47Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-45
5.0%
Jeffrey Bassa 45 Yd Interception Return (Camden Lewis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24INT
5 plays · 36 yds · 8:0815% → 7%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+31
15.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 31 yds to the ORE 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
4.1%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-10
3.9%
QB Keeper SHOUGH, Tyler rush up the middle for a gain of 21 yards to the ORE48 (JACKSON, Khyree). PENALTY TTU Holding on MILLS, Monroe enforced 10 yards from the TTU31 to the TTU21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 20
OWN 21
+15
3.8%
Oregon Penalty, Personal Foul (Khyree Jackson) to the TTU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
6.8%
Tyler Shough pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 1:10
Camden Lewis 34 yd FG GOOD
-39.6
TD · Q4 0:35
Jeffrey Bassa 45 Yd Interception Return (Camden Lewis Kick)
-35
TD · Q4 14:47
Bucky Irving run for 3 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)
-25.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com