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UCLA

UCLA 35 at San Diego State 10

SDSU
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Snapdragon Stadium
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Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:16 · Jack Browning punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 88Home team on offense−15.8Pregame prior−16.2Score differential−10.1Garbage-time factor−5.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:33: Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 21 yds for a TD (Jack Browning KICK) — SDSU win probability +5.4 pts (now 30%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:21: TJ Harden run for 59 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK) — UCLA win probability +5.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:20: Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 24 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK) — UCLA win probability +10.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:16: Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 22 yds to the SDSU 43 for a 1ST down — UCLA win probability +4.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:05: Dante Moore pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 6 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK) — UCLA win probability +6.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9UCLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:41UCLA 4th & 3 at UCLA 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:30SDSU 4th & 7 at SDSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:13UCLA 4th & 8 at UCLA 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:37SDSU 4th & 16 at SDSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:56UCLA 4th & 1 at SDSU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    72.5%−0.7
    85% to make
    Punt
    70.2%−2.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:22SDSU 4th & 11 at SDSU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:03SDSU 4th & 12 at UCLA 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    15.7%−2.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:28UCLA 4th & 8 at UCLA 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:16SDSU 4th & 8 at SDSU 35, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:16SDSU 4th & 9 at SDSU 26, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:42SDSU 4th & 6 at SDSU 45, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:21UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 41, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:55SDSU 4th & 6 at UCLA 22, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:52UCLA 4th & 15 at SDSU 48, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:40SDSU 4th & 12 at SDSU 3, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SDSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UCLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 7:26UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:33SDSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:56UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:21UCLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:20UCLA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:05UCLA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1579% → 78%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
21.5%
Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
21.5%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Carsen RyanSimilar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
21.5%
Dante Moore run for no gain to the UCLA 30Similar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
22.2%
Will Powers punt for 42 yds , Mekhi Shaw returns for no gain to the SDSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 2PUNT
3 plays · 3 yds · 1:1122% → 23%
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
22.2%
Kenan Christon run for 4 yds to the SDSU 24Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 14
OWN 24
0
22.2%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mark RedmanSimilar
Q1 12:30
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
22.6%
Jack Browning punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:1777% → 76%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
22.7%
Dante Moore pass complete to Keegan Jones for 8 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+7
22.7%
Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
22.7%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+5
22.8%
Dante Moore pass complete to Carson Steele for 5 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
22.8%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Logan LoyaSimilar
Q1 10:13
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
24.1%
Will Powers punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:3624% → 25%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
24.0%
Kenan Christon run for 6 yds to the SDSU 34Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+7
24.1%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jay Rudolph for 7 yds to the SDSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
24.2%
Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the SDSU 36Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 15
OWN 36
0
23.9%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Phillippe Wesley IISimilar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 15
OWN 36
+1
23.8%
Jalen Mayden run for 1 yd to the SDSU 35Similar
Q1 7:37
4TH & 16
OWN 35
+4
24.7%
Jack Browning punt for 50 yds , Logan Loya returns for 4 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5TD
1 play · 81 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+81
22.9%
Dante Moore pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 81 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:5323% → 30%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
23.1%
Jaylon Armstead run for 1 yd to the SDSU 26Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
23.1%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 11 yds to the SDSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
23.3%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 8 yds to the SDSU 45Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+20
23.7%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Martin Blake for 20 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
24.0%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Phillippe Wesley IISimilar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
24.0%
Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+8
23.8%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 8 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
24.1%
Jalen Mayden run for 3 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+21
29.5%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 21 yds for a TD (Jack Browning KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3773% → 76%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
27.4%
Dante Moore pass complete to TJ Harden for 7 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
26.8%
TJ Harden run for 4 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
26.4%
Dante Moore pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 12 yds to the SDSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
26.0%
TJ Harden run for 1 yd to the SDSU 21Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
26.0%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Carsen RyanSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+8
27.6%
Dante Moore run for 8 yds to the SDSU 13Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+13
23.7%
Carson Steele run for 13 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:2924% → 24%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
24.4%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 4 yds to the SDSU 26Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
24.6%
Jaylon Armstead run for no gain to the SDSU 26Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+8
24.1%
Jalen Mayden run for 8 yds to the SDSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 15
OWN 29
0
24.4%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Jay RudolphSimilar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 15
OWN 29
+4
24.4%
Jalen Mayden run for 4 yds to the SDSU 33Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 11
OWN 33
0
24.0%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mark RedmanSimilar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 11
OWN 33
+5
24.4%
Jack Browning punt for 40 yds , Logan Loya returns for 5 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9TD
3 plays · 68 yds · 1:0176% → 82%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
24.3%
TJ Harden run for 6 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+3
23.7%
TJ Harden run for 3 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+59
18.4%
TJ Harden run for 59 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 10FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 5:1819% → 21%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
19.4%
Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the SDSU 30Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+14
19.8%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jay Rudolph for 14 yds to the SDSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
20.4%
Martin Blake run for 2 yds to the SDSU 46Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+2
20.4%
Kenan Christon run for 2 yds to the SDSU 48Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+11
20.4%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 11 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
20.5%
Kenan Christon run for 16 yds to the UCLA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
20.9%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
20.8%
Jalen Mayden run for 2 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 12
OPP 27
0
20.4%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Joshua NicholsonSimilar
Q2 5:03
4TH & 12
OPP 27
+44
21.1%
Jack Browning 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:3578% → 78%
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
21.8%
UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UCLA 20Similar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
22.0%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-10
22.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Moore,Dante rush left for 8 yards gain to the UCLA28, out of bounds at UCLA28 PENALTY UCLA Holding (Holstege,Spencer) 10 yards from UCLA20 to UCLA10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 25
OWN 10
0
22.0%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to J. Michael SturdivantSimilar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 25
OWN 10
+17
22.5%
Carson Steele run for 17 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q2 3:28
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+15
22.3%
Will Powers punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSU 33 , Mekhi Shaw returns for 15 yds to the SDSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1221% → 21%
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
21.3%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Phillippe Wesley II for 9 yds to the SDSU 42Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 1
OWN 42
0
22.1%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Phillippe Wesley IISimilar
Q2 3:28
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+7
21.9%
Jaylon Armstead run for 7 yds to the SDSU 35Similar
Q2 2:16
4TH & 8
OWN 35
+16
20.5%
Jack Browning punt for 41 yds , Logan Loya returns for 16 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 0:5678% → 90%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+16
21.6%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kam Brown for 16 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
21.2%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kam Brown for 6 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 4
OWN 37
0
20.9%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+4
21.0%
Dante Moore run for 4 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
20.5%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Hudson HabermehlSimilar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+35
20.8%
Dante Moore pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 35 yds to the SDSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
9.8%
Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 24 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 1:0414% → 14%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
13.8%
Jalen Mayden sacked by Laiatu Latu for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSU 20Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+3
13.9%
Kenan Christon run for 3 yds to the SDSU 23Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+3
13.9%
Martin Blake run for 3 yds to the SDSU 26Similar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
13.5%
Jack Browning punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 33 yds · 0:1691% → 92%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
9.4%
Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 22 yds to the SDSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
8.5%
Dante Moore pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 11 yds to the SDSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
8.0%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:1313% → 12%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+19
12.8%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 19 yds to the SDSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
13.9%
Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the SDSU 43Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
13.8%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mark RedmanSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+2
13.6%
Jalen Mayden run for 2 yds to the SDSU 45Similar
Q3 12:42
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
12.3%
Jack Browning punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:2189% → 90%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+23
10.7%
Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 23 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
10.1%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-2
10.1%
Dante Moore sacked by Daniel Okpoko for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 41Similar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
10.2%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Logan LoyaSimilar
Q3 11:21
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
10.2%
Will Powers punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Shaw at the SDSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 18INT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:3512% → 12%
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
11.6%
Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the SDSU 27Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
11.5%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Joshua NicholsonSimilar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
11.4%
UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (Darius Muasau) to the SDSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
12.3%
Kenan Christon run for 1 yd to the SDSU 39Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+6
11.8%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 6 yds to the SDSU 45Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
11.7%
Jalen Mayden pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · -28 yds · 0:3991% → 91%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-14
9.3%
PENALTY UCLA Personal Foul (Murphy,Grayson) 14 yards from UCLA29 to UCLA15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 24
OWN 15
+1
9.3%
TJ Harden run for 1 yd to the UCLA 14Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 25
OWN 14
-13
9.0%
Dante Moore sacked by Zyrus Fiaseu for a loss of 13 yards to the UCLA 1 Dante Moore fumbled, recovered by UCLA Trey White , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 20INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:4213% → 12%
Q3 8:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
13.0%
Jaylon Armstead run for no gain to the UCLA 1Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
12.6%
Martin Blake run for no gain to the UCLA 1Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
11.9%
Jalen Mayden pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:2092% → 99%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
8.4%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Kyle FordSimilar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
8.4%
TJ Harden run for 8 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+5
8.6%
Dante Moore pass complete to Ryan Cragun for 5 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
8.3%
TJ Harden run for 5 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
7.9%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+3
8.1%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kyle Ford for 3 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
7.8%
Carson Steele run for 12 yds to the SDSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
7.8%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kyle Ford for 18 yds to the SDSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
7.5%
Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 8 yds to the SDSU 17Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+5
7.5%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the SDSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
7.5%
TJ Harden run for 6 yds to the SDSU 6Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+6
1.0%
Dante Moore pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 6 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 22DOWNS
13 plays · 52 yds · 4:101% → 1%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.0%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Joshua NicholsonSimilar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
1.0%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Phillippe Wesley II for 16 yds to the SDSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
0.9%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 3 yds to the SDSU 44Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
0.8%
Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the SDSU 49Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+2
0.7%
Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
0.6%
Martin Blake run for 5 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+18
0.7%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Joshua Nicholson for 18 yds to the UCLA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
0.7%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 9 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 17
0
0.6%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mekhi ShawSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 17
0
0.6%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Logan TannerSimilar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+1
0.5%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 1 yd to the UCLA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 23FUMBLE
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:2199% → 100%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
0.7%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+23
0.7%
Collin Schlee run for 23 yds to the SDSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
0.6%
Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the SDSU 42Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+9
0.6%
Colson Yankoff run for 9 yds to the SDSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
0.6%
Colson Yankoff run for 8 yds to the SDSU 25Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+12
0.6%
Collin Schlee run for 12 yds to the SDSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
0.6%
Colson Yankoff run for 4 yds to the SDSU 9Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+2
0.4%
Colson Yankoff run for 2 yds to the SDSU 11 Colson Yankoff fumbled, recovered by UCLA Zyrus FiaseuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 24INT
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
0.4%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 6 yds to the SDSU 17Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 4
OWN 17
0
0.4%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mekhi ShawSimilar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+7
0.4%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 7 yds to the SDSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
0.4%
Jalen Mayden run for 11 yds to the SDSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.4%
Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Joshua NicholsonSimilar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
0.4%
Shotgun Mayden,Jalen pass incomplete deep left PENALTY UCLA Personal Foul (Davies,Jaylin) 15 yards from SDSU35 to SDSU50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
50
0
0.3%
Jalen Mayden pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:32100% → 100%
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
0.4%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 6 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+2
0.3%
Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+9
0.3%
Anthony Adkins run for 9 yds to the SDSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
0.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Adkins,Anthony rush left for 38 yards gain to the SDSU05 (Fountain,Garret) PENALTY UCLA Holding (Yoon,Sam) 10 yards from SDSU43 to UCLA47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+3
0.3%
Josiah Gonzales run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 17
50
+2
0.4%
Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the SDSU 48Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 15
OPP 48
0
0.4%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Bradley SchlomSimilar
Q4 3:52
4TH & 15
OPP 48
0
0.2%
Will Powers punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Shaw at the SDSU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:120% → 0%
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
0.2%
Jaylon Armstead run for 6 yds to the SDSU 11Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 4
OWN 11
-8
0.2%
Tobin O'Dell sacked by DJ Justice for a loss of 8 yards to the SDSU 3Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 12
OWN 3
0
0.2%
Tobin O'Dell pass complete to Cam Davis for no gain to the SDSU 3Similar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 12
OWN 3
0
0.1%
Jack Browning punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the SDSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
0.1%
Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the SDSU 43Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+11
0.1%
Anthony Adkins run for 11 yds to the SDSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
0.1%
C. Schlee takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:20
Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 24 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)
-10.9
TD · Q3 2:05
Dante Moore pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 6 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)
-6.5
TD · Q1 2:33
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 21 yds for a TD (Jack Browning KICK)
+5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com