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UCD

UC Davis 7 at Oregon State 55

ORST
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadUCD aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreUCD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:16 · Justin Dwinell punt for 39 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 68Pregame prior+27.0Home team on offense+27.6Score differential+21.4Blowout margin+10.7Garbage-time factor+5.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:09: Damien Martinez run for 64 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +0.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:57: DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +1.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:54: DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Rweha Munyagi Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +1.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 12:29: Silas Bolden 65 Yd Punt Return (Atticus Sappington Kick) — ORST win probability +2.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UCD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:30: DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 22 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 3 of 5UCD made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 9:21UCD 4th & 21 at UCD 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:53ORST 4th & 11 at ORST 4, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:05UCD 4th & 13 at UCD 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:29UCD 4th & 9 at UCD 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:58UCD 4th & 9 at ORST 49, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:09ORST 4th & 3 at UCD 22, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:16UCD 4th & 9 at UCD 26, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:30ORST 4th & 6 at ORST 39, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:00ORST 4th & 5 at UCD 10, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:00UCD 4th & 1 at UCD 34, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:52UCD 4th & 3 at UCD 43, down 41
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:48UCD 4th & 4 at UCD 38, down 48
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:39ORST 4th & 2 at ORST 40, up 48
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:10UCD 4th & 3 at UCD 18, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UCD made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:09ORST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:57ORST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:54ORST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:29ORST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:30ORST Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:53ORST Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:41ORST Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:06UCD Touchdown, down 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCDDrive 1INT
6 plays · 47 yds · 2:417% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.9%
Miles Hastings pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
92.9%
Lan Larison run for 8 yds to the UCD 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
92.9%
Lan Larison run for 3 yds to the UCD 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
92.9%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for a loss of 2 yards to the UCD 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+38
92.9%
Lan Larison run for 38 yds to the ORST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
92.1%
Miles Hastings pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2TD
1 play · 64 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
92.5%
Damien Martinez run for 64 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:428% → 8%
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
92.4%
Lan Larison run for 6 yds to the UCD 38Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+12
92.4%
Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
50
0
92.3%
Miles Hastings pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 10
50
-3
92.4%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCD 47Similar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 13
OWN 47
-8
92.4%
Miles Hastings sacked by Isaac Hodgins for a loss of 8 yards to the UCD 39Similar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 21
OWN 39
0
92.1%
Hunter Ridley punt for 56 yds, downed at the ORST 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2892% → 92%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
92.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 6 yds to the ORST 11Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 4
OWN 11
-7
92.1%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 7 yards to the ORST 4Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 11
OWN 4
0
92.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:53
4TH & 11
OWN 4
0
91.6%
Josh Green punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -23 yds · 2:018% → 8%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
91.6%
C.J. Hutton run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCD 48Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 15
OWN 48
-11
91.8%
Lan Larison run for a loss of 11 yards to the UCD 34 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UCDSimilar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 29
OWN 34
-4
91.9%
Lan Larison run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCD 30Similar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 33
OWN 30
0
91.7%
Hunter Ridley punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6TD
4 plays · 48 yds · 1:5592% → 93%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+45
91.8%
Damien Martinez run for 45 yds to the UCD 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
91.8%
Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the UCD 2Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
91.8%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCD 3Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
93.0%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:528% → 8%
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.4%
Miles Hastings pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
92.4%
Lan Larison run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCD 23Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+4
92.5%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Matteo Perez for 4 yds to the UCD 27Similar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-5
92.5%
UC Davis Penalty, Delay Of Game (Teddye Buchanan) to the UCD 22Similar
Q1 2:05
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
92.4%
Hunter Ridley punt for 37 yds, downed at the ORST 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:1193% → 95%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+32
92.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 32 yds to the UCD 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
93.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+9
93.0%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 9 yds to the UCD 18Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+6
92.9%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 6 yds to the UCD 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
93.0%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 7 yds to the UCD 5Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
95.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Rweha Munyagi Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 9PUNT TD
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:255% → 2%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.9%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Matteo Perez for no gain to the UCD 25Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
95.0%
Miles Hastings sacked by Sione Lolohea for a loss of 8 yards to the UCD 17Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+9
95.0%
Lan Larison run for 9 yds to the UCD 26Similar
Q2 12:29
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+65
97.6%
Silas Bolden 65 Yd Punt Return (Atticus Sappington Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:312% → 2%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.6%
run for 11 yds to the UCD 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
97.5%
run for 2 yds to the UCD 38Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+12
97.5%
Lan Larison pass complete to Andre Crump Jr. for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
50
0
97.4%
Miles Hastings pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 10
50
+1
97.4%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 1 yd to the ORST 49Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
97.5%
Miles Hastings pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:58
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
97.7%
Justin Dwinell punt for 19 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 11TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 4:2898% → 99%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
97.7%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the ORST 33Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+23
97.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Trent Walker for 23 yds to the UCD 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+9
97.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 9 yds to the UCD 35Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+3
97.6%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the UCD 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
97.7%
Silas Bolden run for 5 yds to the UCD 27Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+5
97.7%
Isaiah Newell run for 5 yds to the UCD 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
97.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+22
98.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 22 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 12FUMBLE
3 plays · 4 yds · 1:181% → 1%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.9%
run for 6 yds to the UCD 31Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
98.8%
Trent Tompkins run for 5 yds to the UCD 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-7
99.1%
Miles Hastings sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the UCD 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0399% → 99%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
98.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 5 yds to the UCD 24Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 5
OPP 24
0
98.8%
Damien Martinez run for no gain to the UCD 24Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+2
98.8%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the UCD 22Similar
Q2 2:09
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+40
99.1%
Atticus Sappington 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:531% → 1%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.2%
Lan Larison run for 1 yd to the UCD 26Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-6
99.3%
Lan Larison run for a loss of 6 yards to the UCD 20Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+6
99.3%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 6 yds to the UCD 26Similar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.3%
Justin Dwinell punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4699% → 99%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.1%
DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Joey Carrillo and Da'Von Frazier for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 34Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
99.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+5
99.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 5 yds to the ORST 39Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
99.2%
Josh Green punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Matteo Perez at the UCD 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
99.3%
Lan Larison run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCD 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17FG
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:4799% → 100%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.4%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+15
99.4%
Aidan Chiles run for 15 yds to the UCD 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
99.4%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jimmy Valsin III for 10 yds to the UCD 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
99.4%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the UCD 11Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+1
99.4%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Zachary Card for 1 yd to the UCD 10Similar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
99.4%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
99.6%
Atticus Sappington 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:080% → 0%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 3 yds to the UCD 28Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.5%
Matteo Perez run for 4 yds to the UCD 32Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.5%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Ian Simpson for 2 yds to the UCD 34Similar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.5%
Lan Larison run for 2 yds to the UCD 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
99.5%
Matteo Perez run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCD 34Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+9
99.6%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 9 yds to the UCD 43Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
99.5%
Miles Hastings pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
99.6%
Justin Dwinell punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 4:59100% → 100%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
99.6%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 8 yds to the ORST 22Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+8
99.6%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 8 yds to the ORST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
99.6%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Zachary Card for 7 yds to the ORST 37Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+11
99.6%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 11 yds to the ORST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
99.6%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Zachary Card for 11 yds to the UCD 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
99.6%
Isaiah Newell run for 4 yds to the UCD 37Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+7
99.6%
Aidan Chiles run for 7 yds to the UCD 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+20
99.6%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 20 yds to the UCD 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.8%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Riley Sharp for 10 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:590% → 0%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.8%
Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 4 yds to the UCD 26Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Miles Hastings pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+6
99.8%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 6 yds to the UCD 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Miles Hastings pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
99.8%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 6 yds to the UCD 38Similar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Miles Hastings pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Justin Dwinell punt for 59 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 21TD
16 plays · 89 yds · 7:07100% → 100%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
99.8%
Isaiah Newell run for 7 yds to the ORST 18Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+5
99.8%
UC Davis Penalty, Offsides (Chubba Maae) to the ORST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
99.8%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 8 yds to the ORST 31Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+6
99.8%
Isaiah Newell run for 6 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.8%
Isaiah Newell run for 2 yds to the ORST 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+15
99.8%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Riley Sharp for 15 yds to the UCD 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
99.8%
Isaiah Newell run for 3 yds to the UCD 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+5
99.8%
UC Davis Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the UCD 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+3
99.8%
Jake Reichle run for 3 yds to the UCD 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.8%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.8%
Isaiah Newell run for 2 yds to the UCD 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+19
99.8%
Aidan Chiles run for 19 yds to the UCD 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
99.9%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jamai East for 10 yds to the UCD 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.9%
Isaiah Newell run for 3 yds to the UCD 1Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Aidan Chiles run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 22TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:350% → 0%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Jeremiah Chukwudobe run for 1 yd to the UCD 26Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
100.0%
HARPER, Grant pass to the left incomplete intended for TOMPKINS, Trent broken up by IVY JR., Tyrice at the UCD39. PENALTY OSU Holding on IVY JR., Tyrice enforced 10 yards from the UCD26 to the UCD36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+30
99.9%
Grant Harper pass complete to Andre Crump Jr. for 30 yds to the ORST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.9%
Darian Leon-Guerrero run for 1 yd to the ORST 33Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Grant Harper pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+11
99.9%
Grant Harper pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 11 yds to the ORST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
99.9%
Grant Harper pass complete to Ian Simpson for 6 yds to the ORST 16Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+2
99.9%
Jordan Fisher run for 2 yds to the ORST 14Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+5
99.9%
Jeremiah Chukwudobe run for 5 yds to the ORST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
100.0%
Grant Harper pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
100.0%
Grant Harper pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 9 yds for a TD (Hunter Ridley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:22100% → 100%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
100.0%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Zachary Card for 2 yds to the ORST 34Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+5
100.0%
Gavin Haines run for 5 yds to the ORST 39Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+1
100.0%
Gavin Haines run for 1 yd to the ORST 40Similar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Josh Green punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
100.0%
Jordan Fisher run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCD 10Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 11
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Grant Harper pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 11
OWN 10
+8
100.0%
Jordan Fisher run for 8 yds to the UCD 18Similar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 3
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Justin Dwinell punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 1:10100% → 100%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Kneel down by CHILES, Aidan at UCD49 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Kneel down by CHILES, Aidan at OSU49 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:29
Silas Bolden 65 Yd Punt Return (Atticus Sappington Kick)
+2.5
TD · Q2 14:54
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Rweha Munyagi Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q1 3:57
DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com