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OKST

Oklahoma State 27 at Arizona State 15

ASU
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:56 · Jaden Rashada sacked by Anthony Goodlow for a loss of 5 yards to the ASU 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 78Home team on offense+5.0Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor+1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Pregame prior−1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:28: Cameron Skattebo run for 13 yds for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK) — ASU win probability +5.5 pts (now 55%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:07: Jaden Rashada pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 65 yds for a TD (C. Skattebo Run For Two-point Conversion) — ASU win probability +9.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:09: Gunnar Gundy pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 3 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK) — OKST win probability +13.8 pts (now 60%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 7:11: Alex Hale 22 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +13.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:56: Garret Rangel pass complete to Brennan Presley for 16 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK) — OKST win probability +15.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 13:46OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:17ASU 4th & 3 at ASU 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:46OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:06OKST 4th & 17 at OKST 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:00ASU 4th & 13 at ASU 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:41OKST 4th & 6 at ASU 35, down 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.4%−0.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:56ASU 4th & 5 at OKST 48, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    58.0%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:38OKST 4th & 13 at midfield, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:13ASU 4th & 1 at OKST 40, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    57.4%−4.8
    34% to make
    Punt
    57.9%−4.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:38OKST 4th & 9 at ASU 32, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    52.8%−2.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:53ASU 4th & 7 at ASU 47, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−0.9
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:07OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 19, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−2.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:39ASU 4th & 4 at ASU 33, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:11OKST 4th & 5 at ASU 5, up 2
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.7%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    36.1%−23.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:03ASU 4th & 2 at ASU 33, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.8%−1.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:56ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 25, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:56ASU 4th & 7 at OKST 38, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%−0.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:28ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:58OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:07ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    55.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    55.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:09OKST Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:56OKST Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:1453% → 53%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
47.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 20 yds to the OKST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
47.2%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Braden CassitySimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
47.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 4 yds to the OKST 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
47.2%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Jaden BraySimilar
Q1 13:46
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
47.5%
Hudson Kaak punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2948% → 48%
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
47.5%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Xavier Guillory for no gain to the ASU 13Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+1
47.5%
Cameron Skattebo run for 1 yd to the ASU 14Similar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+6
47.4%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 6 yds to the ASU 20Similar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 3
OWN 20
0
47.6%
Josh Carlson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:3152% → 52%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
47.8%
Jaden Nixon run for 1 yd to the OKST 25Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+10
47.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 10 yds to the OKST 35Similar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
47.7%
Alan Bowman run for 2 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
47.7%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+8
47.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 8 yds to the OKST 45Similar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+1
47.6%
Jaden Nixon run for 1 yd to the OKST 44Similar
Q1 9:46
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
48.3%
Wes Pahl punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 5:1848% → 55%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
48.4%
Elijhah Badger run for 17 yds to the ASU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
48.8%
Jaden Rashada sacked by Nickolas Martin for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 39Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+11
48.6%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
50
0
49.0%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Xavier GuillorySimilar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 10
50
+2
48.9%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 2 yds to the OKST 48Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+9
48.7%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to DeCarlos Brooks for 9 yds to the OKST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
49.1%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 8 yds to the OKST 31Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+4
49.2%
Cameron Skattebo run for 4 yds to the OKST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
49.2%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 8 yds to the OKST 19Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+6
49.2%
Cameron Skattebo run for 6 yds to the OKST 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
54.7%
Cameron Skattebo run for 13 yds for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:2247% → 44%
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
53.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Talyn Shettron for 8 yds to the OKST 33Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
52.6%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Talyn ShettronSimilar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+18
53.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Elijah Collins for 18 yds to the ASU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
52.3%
Elijah Collins run for 3 yds to the ASU 46Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-10
52.3%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ASU 49Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
52.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for no gain to the ASU 49Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 10
OPP 49
-7
53.0%
Alan Bowman sacked by B.J. Green II for a loss of 7 yards to the OKST 44Similar
Q1 1:06
4TH & 17
OWN 44
0
55.7%
Wes Pahl punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:0655% → 54%
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
55.4%
Kyson Brown run for 3 yds to the ASU 13 Kyson Brown fumbled, recovered by ASU Bram WaldenSimilar
Q1 0:16
2ND & 13
OWN 13
0
55.1%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
Q1 0:16
3RD & 13
OWN 13
0
54.6%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Giovanni SandersSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 13
OWN 13
0
54.3%
Josh Carlson punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ASU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7TD
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:0247% → 53%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
53.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Bray for 16 yds to the ASU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
52.5%
PENALTY OSU False Start (Birmingham,Cole) 5 yards from ASU27 to ASU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+7
53.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 7 yds to the ASU 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+6
52.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 6 yds to the ASU 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+16
53.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Bray for 16 yds to the ASU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
52.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the ASU 2Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
52.5%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q2 11:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
47.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5151% → 61%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.9%
Cameron Skattebo run for no gain to the ASU 25Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
50.7%
Cameron Skattebo run for 1 yd to the ASU 26Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
49.8%
Jaden Rashada run for 9 yds to the ASU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
59.1%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 65 yds for a TD (C. Skattebo Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
Q2 10:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
60.9%
Longhetto,Dario kick attempt good (H: Carlson,Josh, LS: Zellers,Slater) PENALTY OSU Offside (Black,Korie) 2 yards from OSU03 to OSU01. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 2:2640% → 43%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
59.8%
Gunnar Gundy pass complete to Jaden Bray for 15 yds to the OKST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
58.6%
Gunnar Gundy pass complete to Jake Schultz for 6 yds to the OKST 46Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+15
58.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Gundy,Gunnar pass incomplete deep left to Bray,Jaden PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (Torrence,Ro) 15 yards from OSU46 to ASU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
57.5%
Gunnar Gundy sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the ASU 42Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+7
58.4%
Gunnar Gundy pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 7 yds to the ASU 35Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
57.7%
Gunnar Gundy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:41
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+52
56.6%
Alex Hale 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10DOWNS
12 plays · 22 yds · 4:4559% → 61%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
58.8%
Elijhah Badger run for 4 yds to the ASU 29Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
58.9%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 4 yds to the ASU 33Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
58.9%
Cameron Skattebo run for 3 yds to the ASU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
59.6%
Cameron Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ASU 40Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
60.6%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Jalin ConyersSimilar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+5
59.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Rashada,Jaden rush middle for 0 yards to the ASU40 (Benson,Xavier) PENALTY OSU Offside (Brown,DeSean) 5 yards from ASU40 to ASU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
59.9%
Jalin Conyers run for 2 yds to the ASU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
60.8%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Giovanni SandersSimilar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
60.4%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 1 yd to the ASU 46Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+6
58.8%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 6 yds to the OKST 48Similar
Q2 2:56
4TH & 5
OPP 48
-5
61.3%
Jaden Rashada sacked by Anthony Goodlow for a loss of 5 yards to the ASU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 2:1843% → 37%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
56.9%
Elijah Collins run for no gain to the ASU 47Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
57.6%
Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the ASU 45Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 8
OPP 45
-5
58.4%
Gunnar Gundy sacked by B.J. Green II for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 13
50
0
63.0%
Hudson Kaak punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
56.1%
J. Rashada takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:4762% → 64%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
61.8%
Cameron Skattebo run for 9 yds to the ASU 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
63.2%
Cameron Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ASU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
62.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Rashada,Jaden pass incomplete deep middle to Badger,Elijhah PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (Rawls,Lyrik) 15 yards from ASU36 to OSU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
64.2%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 7 yds to the OKST 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+2
64.4%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 2 yds to the OKST 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
63.8%
DeCarlos Brooks run for no gain to the OKST 40Similar
Q3 12:13
4TH & 1
OPP 40
0
64.4%
Cameron Skattebo run for no gain to the OKST 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 3:0442% → 60%
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
57.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 42Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+31
57.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 31 yds to the ASU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
54.0%
Shotgun Gundy,Gunnar sacked for loss of 7 yards to the ASU34 (Smith,Clayton) PENALTY ASU Holding (Torrence,Ro) 10 yards from ASU27 to ASU17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
54.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 9 yds to the ASU 8Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+5
54.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the ASU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
40.2%
Gunnar Gundy pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 3 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
Q3 9:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
40.1%
PENALTY OSU False Start (Bray,Jaden) 5 yards from ASU03 to ASU08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:2148% → 51%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
47.7%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 8 yds to the ASU 32Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+1
50.2%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 1 yd to the ASU 33Similar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+2
48.7%
Cameron Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ASU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
48.2%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 3 yds to the ASU 38Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
51.1%
Jaden Rashada pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16MISSED FG
9 plays · 17 yds · 3:0359% → 56%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
41.4%
Jaden Nixon run for 8 yds to the ASU 41Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+1
40.9%
Jaden Nixon run for 1 yd to the ASU 40Similar
Q3 6:41
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+7
41.1%
Elijah Collins run for 7 yds to the ASU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
40.0%
Elijah Collins run for 5 yds to the ASU 28Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 5
OPP 28
0
39.5%
Gunnar Gundy pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 5
OPP 28
-5
40.6%
PENALTY OSU False Start (Brooks Jr.,Jason) 5 yards from ASU28 to ASU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+1
41.5%
Gunnar Gundy pass complete to Elijah Collins for 1 yd to the ASU 32Similar
Q3 3:38
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+49
44.3%
Alex Hale 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:4549% → 47%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
48.6%
Cameron Skattebo run for 8 yds to the ASU 40Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+3
52.3%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 3 yds to the ASU 37Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+7
48.2%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 7 yds to the ASU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
52.0%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Cameron Skattebo for 1 yd to the ASU 43Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+5
49.7%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 5 yds to the ASU 48Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+1
51.3%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to DeCarlos Brooks for 1 yd to the ASU 47Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
47.4%
Josh Carlson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4657% → 54%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
42.6%
Garret Rangel pass incomplete to Talyn ShettronSimilar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+3
43.5%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 3 yds to the OKST 19Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
44.7%
Garret Rangel pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q4 14:07
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
46.2%
Alex Hale punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2848% → 45%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
48.4%
Jaden Rashada run for 4 yds to the ASU 31Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+2
49.1%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 2 yds to the ASU 33Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
47.6%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Xavier GuillorySimilar
Q4 12:39
4TH & 4
OWN 33
+13
45.4%
Josh Carlson punt for 37 yds , Brennan Presley returns for 13 yds to the OKST 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 5:2862% → 77%
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
37.7%
Garret Rangel pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 9 yds to the ASU 48Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 1
OPP 48
0
36.3%
Jaden Nixon run for no gain to the ASU 48Similar
Q4 12:39
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
37.3%
Garret Rangel run for 2 yds to the ASU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+34
36.8%
Jaden Nixon run for 34 yds to the ASU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
34.5%
Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the ASU 10Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+9
34.5%
Elijah Collins run for 9 yds to the ASU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
34.6%
PENALTY OSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from ASU01 to ASU06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
34.5%
Elijah Collins run for 3 yds to the ASU 9Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
34.5%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Brennan Presley for 4 yds to the ASU 5Similar
Q4 12:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
36.5%
Garret Rangel pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q4 7:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
22.9%
Alex Hale 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0830% → 27%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.5%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
28.9%
Cameron Skattebo run for 9 yds to the ASU 34Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
30.4%
Jalin Conyers run for 1 yd to the ASU 33Similar
Q4 6:03
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
26.8%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Cameron SkatteboSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 3:0781% → 97%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
18.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the ASU 33Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+9
19.1%
Garret Rangel pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 9 yds to the ASU 24Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
19.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the ASU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
18.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the ASU 21Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+5
18.7%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Kendal Daniels for 5 yds to the ASU 16Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+16
3.4%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Brennan Presley for 16 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 37 yds · 2:005% → 4%
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.4%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Giovanni SandersSimilar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
5.3%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Giovanni SandersSimilar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
5.0%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Giovanni SandersSimilar
Q4 2:56
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+34
5.0%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 34 yds to the OKST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-4
6.8%
Jaden Rashada sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the OKST 45Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 14
OPP 45
+12
4.4%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Bryce Pierre for 12 yds to the OKST 33Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 2
OPP 33
-5
5.8%
PENALTY ASU False Start (Iheanachor,Max) 5 yards from OSU33 to OSU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 7
OPP 38
-28
4.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Rashada,Jaden pass complete deep right to Badger,Elijhah for 28 yards to the OSU10 (Black,Korie) PENALTY ASU Illegal Touch-Pass (Badger,Elijhah). NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
3.6%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Xavier GuillorySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:5698% → 98%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
2.4%
G. Rangel takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 37
-1
2.4%
G. Rangel takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:56
Garret Rangel pass complete to Brennan Presley for 16 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)
-15.2
TD · Q3 9:09
Gunnar Gundy pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 3 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)
-13.8
FG · Q4 7:11
Alex Hale 22 yd FG GOOD
-13.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com