Try the model
BOIS

Boise State 19 at Washington 56

WASH
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · Husky Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WASH 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:52: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 38 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +5.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:06: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 44 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +7.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:27: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 20 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +5.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:49: Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 50 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +5.8 pts (now 18%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:38: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 5 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +6.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6BOIS made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 12:34WASH 4th & 15 at WASH 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:03BOIS 4th & 3 at BOIS 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:23WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:06BOIS 4th & 5 at WASH 22, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    19.7%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:08WASH 4th & 15 at BOIS 48, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:37BOIS 4th & 10 at BOIS 10, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:49BOIS 4th & 8 at BOIS 23, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:03BOIS 4th & 5 at BOIS 28, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:01WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 24, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:09BOIS 4th & 5 at BOIS 49, down 16
    Close callPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:50WASH 4th & 13 at WASH 37, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:47BOIS 4th & 10 at BOIS 36, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:42BOIS 4th & 4 at BOIS 22, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:57WASH 4th & 1 at BOIS 1, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:28BOIS 4th & 3 at WASH 22, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:03BOIS 4th & 6 at WASH 13, down 37
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 8 of 8BOIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 2:42BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    23.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:09WASH Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:52WASH Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:06WASH Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:27WASH Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:49BOIS Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:38WASH Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:54WASH Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:57WASH Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:03WASH Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:4984% → 83%
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
83.6%
Dillon Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WASH 49Similar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+3
83.5%
Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the BOIS 48Similar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 9
OPP 48
-6
83.3%
Michael Penix Jr. sacked by Andrew Simpson for a loss of 6 yards to the WASH 46Similar
Q1 12:34
4TH & 15
OWN 46
0
83.0%
Jack McCallister punt for 39 yds, fair catch by George Holani at the BOIS 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1517% → 17%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
83.0%
George Holani run for 1 yd to the BOIS 16Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+6
82.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to George Holani for 6 yds to the BOIS 22Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 3
OWN 22
0
82.7%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Stefan CobbsSimilar
Q1 11:03
4TH & 3
OWN 22
+1
82.8%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 62 yds , Jalen McMillan returns for 1 yd to the WASH 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 3:2283% → 81%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
82.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 6 yds to the WASH 23Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+2
82.4%
Will Nixon run for 2 yds to the WASH 25Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+10
82.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 10 yds to the WASH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
82.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Germie Bernard for 2 yds to the WASH 37Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
82.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 7 yds to the WASH 44Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-2
81.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for a loss of 2 yards to the WASH 42Similar
Q1 7:23
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
81.3%
Jack McCallister punt for 48 yds, fair catch by George Holani at the BOIS 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 4:3519% → 23%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
81.3%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Billy BowensSimilar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
81.3%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Eric McAlisterSimilar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+11
81.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 11 yds to the BOIS 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+40
81.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 40 yds to the WASH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
80.2%
Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the WASH 36Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+7
79.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the WASH 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
79.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 15 yds to the WASH 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
79.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 4 yds to the WASH 10Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+3
78.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the WASH 7Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+7
76.6%
Ashton Jeanty 7 Yd Run (Jonah Dalmas PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:2478% → 81%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
77.6%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 4 yds to the WASH 31Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+35
77.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 35 yds to the BOIS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
78.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Devin CulpSimilar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+26
78.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 26 yds to the BOIS 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
78.1%
Dillon Johnson run for 4 yds to the BOIS 4Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
77.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for a loss of 3 yards to the BOIS 7Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
80.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 7 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6FG
7 plays · 53 yds · 1:4321% → 24%
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+48
79.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 48 yds to the WASH 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
77.5%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Riley SmithSimilar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
77.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the WASH 27Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
77.8%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Billy BowensSimilar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+5
78.7%
Washington Penalty, Running Into Kicker (5 Yards) to the WASH 22Similar
Q2 12:06
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+39
76.1%
Jonah Dalmas 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:4477% → 75%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
77.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for no gain to the WASH 36Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+21
76.8%
Will Nixon run for 21 yds to the BOIS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
78.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Germie BernardSimilar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-5
77.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 5 yds to the BOIS 38 Washington Penalty, Offensive Holding (Germie Bernard) to the BOIS 48Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 15
OPP 48
0
76.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 15
OPP 48
0
76.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Germie BernardSimilar
Q2 10:08
4TH & 15
OPP 48
0
75.3%
Jack McCallister punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BOIS 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2325% → 24%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
75.4%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
75.2%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Billy BowensSimilar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 10
OWN 10
0
75.7%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Eric McAlisterSimilar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
76.1%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 49 yds, downed at the WASH 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9TD
3 plays · 59 yds · 1:1477% → 82%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
77.0%
Dillon Johnson run for 1 yd to the WASH 42Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+20
76.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Dillon Johnson for 20 yds to the BOIS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
81.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 38 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:4421% → 18%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
79.2%
George Holani run for 8 yds to the BOIS 29Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 2
OWN 29
0
78.2%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Stefan CobbsSimilar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 2
OWN 29
-14
80.9%
Boise State Penalty, Illegal Contact (Cade Beresford) to the BOIS 15Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 16
OWN 15
+8
81.6%
Taylen Green run for 8 yds to the BOIS 23Similar
Q2 5:49
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
81.9%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 50 yds, downed at the WASH 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11TD
2 plays · 73 yds · 0:0981% → 89%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+29
80.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 29 yds to the BOIS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
88.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 44 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5213% → 13%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
86.9%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Eric McAlisterSimilar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+5
87.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the BOIS 28Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
87.0%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:03
4TH & 5
OWN 28
+5
87.4%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 57 yds , Jalen McMillan returns for 5 yds to the WASH 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4788% → 86%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
88.1%
Will Nixon run for 4 yds to the WASH 24Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
88.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Germie BernardSimilar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
86.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q2 3:01
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
86.1%
Jack McCallister punt for 46 yds, downed at the BOIS 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:4213% → 13%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
86.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BOIS 31Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
87.0%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Billy BowensSimilar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
87.5%
Taylen Green pass intercepted Kamren Fabiculanan return for no gain to the BOIS 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 0:3488% → 94%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
88.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 20 yds to the BOIS 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
88.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
94.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 20 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16DOWNS
14 plays · 58 yds · 1:099% → 14%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.3%
George Holani run for no gain to the BOIS 25Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
91.2%
Taylen Green run for 13 yds to the BOIS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
90.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 13 yds to the WASH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
89.7%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the WASH 47Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+6
89.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 6 yds to the WASH 41Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+5
89.7%
Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 5 yds to the WASH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
89.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
89.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 4 yds to the WASH 32Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+15
89.7%
Washington Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Elijah Jackson) to the WASH 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+34
85.6%
Jonah Dalmas 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0611% → 21%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
88.9%
Washington Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Elijah Jackson) to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
88.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the BOIS 49Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+4
87.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the WASH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
87.8%
Taylen Green sacked by Edefuan Ulofoshio for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 13
50
+50
82.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 50 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 0
OPP 3
-5
79.2%
Boise State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WASH 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 1:5484% → 92%
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
83.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 7 yds to the WASH 26Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+9
84.8%
Jalen McMillan pass complete to Jack Westover for 9 yds to the WASH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
84.7%
Penix Jr., Michael pass incomplete to McMillan, Jalen, PENALTY BOISEST holding (Clark, Jaylen) 10 yards to the WASHINGTON45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+50
85.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 50 yds to the BOIS 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
91.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 5 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:0810% → 10%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
90.0%
George Holani run for 8 yds to the BOIS 33Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
89.8%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Jambres DubarSimilar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+11
90.2%
George Holani run for 11 yds to the BOIS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
89.8%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+5
90.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 5 yds to the BOIS 49Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
89.9%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Billy BowensSimilar
Q3 8:09
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
90.4%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:0993% → 93%
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
93.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Dillon Johnson for 2 yds to the WASH 22Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
92.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+18
93.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 18 yds to the WASH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
94.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-3
94.0%
Sam Adams II run for a loss of 3 yards to the WASH 37Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 13
OWN 37
0
93.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Josh CuevasSimilar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 13
OWN 37
0
93.3%
Jack McCallister punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BOIS 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:529% → 7%
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.2%
Taylen Green pass complete to George Holani for 1 yd to the BOIS 26Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
91.6%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Eric McAlisterSimilar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
92.5%
Taylen Green run for 10 yds to the BOIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
91.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 40Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-4
92.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for a loss of 4 yards to the BOIS 36Similar
Q3 2:54
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
93.0%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Eric McAlisterSimilar
Q3 2:47
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
93.2%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Rome Odunze at the WASH 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:2694% → 99%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
94.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 24 yds Rome Odunze fumbled, forced by Jaylen Clark, recovered by WASH Rome Odunze for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
95.1%
Will Nixon run for 14 yds to the BOIS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
95.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Germie Bernard for 18 yds to the BOIS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
95.4%
Will Nixon run for 5 yds to the BOIS 19Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+19
98.6%
Jalen McMillan run for 19 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:341% → 1%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
98.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 4 yds to the BOIS 20Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+3
98.7%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BOIS 23Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 3
OWN 23
-1
98.7%
Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 22Similar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 4
OWN 22
+4
98.8%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 52 yds , Rome Odunze returns for 4 yds to the WASH 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 25TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 5:3699% → 100%
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
98.8%
Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the WASH 33Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+27
98.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Germie Bernard for 27 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
98.9%
Dillon Johnson run for 2 yds to the BOIS 38Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-2
99.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Dillon Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the BOIS 40Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+15
99.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 15 yds to the BOIS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
99.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 17 yds to the BOIS 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
99.1%
Will Nixon run for 2 yds to the BOIS 6Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q4 7:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
99.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 5 yds to the BOIS 1Similar
Q4 6:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Dillon Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 26INT
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Chase PenrySimilar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 7 yds to the BOIS 42Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+11
99.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 11 yds to the WASH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+19
99.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 19 yds to the WASH 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
99.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the WASH 24Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 6
OPP 24
-33
99.9%
Taylen Green pass intercepted Carson Bruener return for 33 yds to the BOIS 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 27TD
2 plays · 36 yds · 0:18100% → 100%
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
99.9%
Daniyel Ngata run for 5 yds to the BOIS 31Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+31
99.9%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 31 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 28DOWNS
15 plays · 65 yds · 3:290% → 0%
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
George Holani run for 7 yds to the BOIS 32Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
100.0%
George Holani run for 8 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
100.0%
Maddux Madsen run for 5 yds to the BOIS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
100.0%
Washington Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the WASH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
100.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Billy Bowens for 8 yds to the WASH 32Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+3
99.9%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the WASH 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+7
100.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 7 yds to the WASH 22Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 3
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:28
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+5
99.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Eric McAlister for 5 yds to the WASH 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
100.0%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
100.0%
Maddux Madsen run for 4 yds to the WASH 13Similar
Q4 0:13
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
100.0%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+3
99.9%
Maddux Madsen run for 3 yds to the WASH 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WASH 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:06
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 44 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
+7.7
TD · Q3 10:38
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 5 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
+6.2
TD · Q3 12:49
Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 50 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
-5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com