Try the model
PRST

Portland State 7 at Oregon 81

ORE
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · Autzen Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadPRST aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scorePRST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG—ORE 99.9%Camden Lewis 41 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 67 · Q3 2:08
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:08 · Camden Lewis 41 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 105Pregame prior+29.3Home team on offense+31.9Score differential+27.5Blowout margin+14.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+12.4Garbage-time factor+10.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:01: Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 13 yds for a TD (T. Ferguson Run For Two-point Conversion) — PRST win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 7:01: Dante Chachere pass complete to Chance Miller for 9 yds for a TD (Gianni Smith KICK) — PRST win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 2:14: Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 32 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:11: Jordan James run for 9 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 10:42: Jordan James run for 4 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 4PRST made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 13:35PRST 4th & 3 at PRST 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:16PRST 4th & 5 at PRST 30, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:48PRST 4th & 6 at ORE 40, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:42ORE 4th & 1 at PRST 4, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:02PRST 4th & 8 at PRST 37, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:56ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 44, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:32PRST 4th & 6 at PRST 29, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:44PRST 4th & 5 at PRST 30, down 50
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:51PRST 4th & 3 at PRST 32, down 57
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:08ORE 4th & 6 at PRST 23, up 57
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:06PRST 4th & 2 at PRST 33, down 60
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:16PRST 4th & 6 at PRST 43, down 67
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:09ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 19, up 67
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:50PRST 4th & 7 at PRST 26, down 67
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 10 of 11PRST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:01ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:01PRST Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:53ORE Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:14ORE Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:11ORE Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 10:42ORE Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 5:56ORE Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 1:14ORE Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 14:09ORE Touchdown, up 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 9:56ORE Touchdown, up 56 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 11:12ORE Touchdown, up 66 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 2:04ORE Touchdown, up 73 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PRSTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.7%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Nate Bennett for 3 yds to the PRST 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+4
99.7%
Jobi Malary run for 4 yds to the PRST 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:35
4TH & 3
OWN 28
0
99.6%
George Triplett punt for 40 yds , returns for no gain to the ORE 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:34100% → 100%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 3 yds to the ORE 37Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+19
99.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 19 yds to the PRST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 3 yds to the PRST 41Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+23
99.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Patrick Herbert for 23 yds to the PRST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
99.6%
Bucky Irving run for 5 yds to the PRST 13Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+13
99.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 13 yds for a TD (T. Ferguson Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:000% → 1%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
99.6%
Dante Chachere run for 20 yds to the PRST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.5%
Andrew Van Buren run for 4 yds to the PRST 49Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+22
99.5%
Quincy Craig run for 22 yds to the ORE 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.5%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+8
99.5%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Darien Chase for 8 yds to the ORE 21Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+12
99.5%
Dante Chachere run for 12 yds to the ORE 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
99.5%
Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the ORE 6Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
99.5%
Dante Chachere run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORE 9Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.3%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Chance Miller for 9 yds for a TD (Gianni Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:0899% → 99%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 11 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
99.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 12 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
99.4%
Bucky Irving run for 52 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:371% → 1%
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.4%
Christian Grubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the PRST 24Similar
Q1 5:53
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+6
99.4%
Dante Chachere run for 6 yds to the PRST 30Similar
Q1 4:16
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.3%
George Triplett punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 2:0299% → 99%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.3%
Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ORE 45Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
99.3%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+10
99.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 10 yds to the PRST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
99.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 6 yds to the PRST 39Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+7
99.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 7 yds to the PRST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
99.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 32 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 7DOWNS
12 plays · 46 yds · 4:261% → 1%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
99.2%
Quincy Craig run for 3 yds to the PRST 17Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+19
99.2%
Dante Chachere run for 19 yds to the PRST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.2%
Christian Grubb run for 3 yds to the PRST 39Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+7
99.2%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Nate Bennett for 7 yds to the PRST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.2%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
99.1%
Andrew Van Buren run for 7 yds to the ORE 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+3
99.1%
Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the ORE 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.1%
Andrew Van Buren run for no gain to the ORE 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.1%
Quincy Craig run for 4 yds to the ORE 40Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
98.9%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
99.1%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:3799% → 100%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.2%
Jordan James run for 9 yds to the ORE 49Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+36
99.2%
Jordan James run for 36 yds to the PRST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
99.2%
Bucky Irving run for 6 yds to the PRST 9Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+9
99.6%
Jordan James run for 9 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9TD
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:25100% → 100%
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.6%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+9
99.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 9 yds to the PRST 4Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 1
OPP 4
0
99.6%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:42
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
Jordan James run for 4 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:400% → 0%
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Quincy Craig run for 2 yds to the PRST 27Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
99.8%
Dante Chachere pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 8 yds to the PRST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.8%
Quincy Craig run for 1 yd to the PRST 36Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+1
99.8%
Jobi Malary run for 1 yd to the PRST 37Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
99.8%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:02
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
99.8%
George Triplett punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Gary Bryant Jr. at the ORE 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11TD
5 plays · 83 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+18
99.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 18 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
99.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for a loss of 3 yards to the ORE 32Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+5
99.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 5 yds to the ORE 37Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+7
99.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 7 yds to the ORE 44Similar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+56
99.8%
Bucky Irving run for 56 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Quincy Craig run for 4 yds to the PRST 29Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Quincy Craig run for no gain to the PRST 29Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:32
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
George Triplett punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 3:18100% → 100%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
99.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Jordan James for 5 yds to the ORE 32Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+9
99.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 9 yds to the ORE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+28
99.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 28 yds to the PRST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
99.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 10 yds to the PRST 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
99.8%
Gary Bryant Jr. run for 5 yds to the PRST 16Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+7
99.8%
Jordan James run for 7 yds to the PRST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Jordan James run for 9 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
[NHSG] Kneel down by CRAIG, Quincy at PSU24 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
[NH] Kneel down by CRAIG, Quincy at PSU23 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:51100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
99.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 17 yds to the PRST 42 for a 1ST down Portland State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Michael Jackson) to the PRST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+33
99.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 33 yds to the PRST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 10 yds for a TD (Grant Meadors KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Dante Chachere run for a loss of 1 yard to the PRST 24Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
99.9%
Quincy Craig run for 6 yds to the PRST 30Similar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Dante Chachere pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:44
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
George Triplett punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:48100% → 100%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.9%
Jordan James run for 6 yds to the ORE 36Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+12
99.9%
Ty Thompson run for 12 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
99.9%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 9 yds to the PRST 43Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+2
99.9%
Jordan James run for 2 yds to the PRST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+20
99.9%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 20 yds to the PRST 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
99.9%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 21 yds for a TD (Grant Meadors KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Jobi Malary run for 1 yd to the PRST 26Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Christian Grubb run for 2 yds to the PRST 28Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Christian Grubb run for 4 yds to the PRST 32Similar
Q3 7:51
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
George Triplett punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 5:43100% → 100%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ORE 32Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+13
99.9%
Ty Thompson run for 13 yds to the ORE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
99.9%
Oregon Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ORE 42Similar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 13
OWN 42
+8
99.9%
Jayden Limar run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 5
50
+11
99.9%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Jayden Limar for 11 yds to the PRST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
99.9%
Jayden Limar run for 1 yd to the PRST 38Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+11
99.9%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Jayden Limar for 11 yds to the PRST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
99.9%
Jayden Limar run for 3 yds to the PRST 24Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+3
99.9%
Jayden Limar run for 3 yds to the PRST 21Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 4
OPP 21
-2
99.9%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Jayden Limar for a loss of 2 yards to the PRST 23Similar
Q3 2:08
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+41
99.9%
Camden Lewis 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
100.0%
Portland State Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the PRST 20Similar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+9
100.0%
Jobi Malary run for 9 yds to the PRST 29Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Jobi Malary run for no gain to the PRST 29Similar
Q3 2:08
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
100.0%
Christian Grubb run for 4 yds to the PRST 33Similar
Q3 0:06
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
100.0%
George Triplett punt for 47 yds, downed at the ORE 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 21TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:48100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the ORE 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+13
99.9%
Dante Dowdell run for 13 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+13
99.9%
Dante Dowdell run for 13 yds to the PRST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
99.9%
Dante Dowdell run for 6 yds to the PRST 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+9
99.9%
Austin Novosad pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 9 yds to the PRST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
99.9%
THOMPSON, Ty pass to the right incomplete intended for KASPER, Kyler thrown to the PSU49. PENALTY PSU Pass Interference on BRIGHT, Day Day enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the PSU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
99.9%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 11 yds to the PRST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
99.9%
Dante Dowdell run for 7 yds to the PRST 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Ty Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds for a TD (Grant Meadors KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:560% → 0%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Logan Gonzalez pass complete to Jaden Casey for 4 yds to the PRST 29Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Logan Gonzalez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
100.0%
Logan Gonzalez pass complete to Jaden Casey for 10 yds to the PRST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
100.0%
Christian Grubb run for 1 yd to the PRST 40Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Logan Gonzalez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+3
100.0%
Jobi Malary run for 3 yds to the PRST 43Similar
Q4 8:16
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
100.0%
George Triplett punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:07100% → 100%
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Austin Novosad pass complete to Darrian Anderson for no gain to the ORE 10Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+5
100.0%
Jayden Limar run for 5 yds to the ORE 15Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+4
100.0%
Austin Novosad pass complete to Jayden Limar for 4 yds to the ORE 19Similar
Q4 6:09
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
100.0%
Ross James punt for 58 yds, fair catch by Quincy Craig at the PRST 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
100.0%
Logan Gonzalez pass complete to Jaden Casey for 3 yds to the PRST 26Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Treyvon Easterling run for no gain to the PRST 26Similar
Q4 6:09
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Logan Gonzalez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:50
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
100.0%
George Triplett punt for 32 yds , returns for no gain to the PRST 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 25TD
5 plays · 41 yds · 2:46100% → 100%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
100.0%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the PRST 38Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+7
100.0%
Dante Dowdell run for 7 yds to the PRST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
100.0%
Jayden Limar run for 9 yds to the PRST 22Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+5
100.0%
Jayden Limar run for 5 yds to the PRST 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
100.0%
Jayden Limar run for 17 yds for a TD (Grant Meadors KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · 7 yds · 2:040% → 0%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Treyvon Easterling run for no gain to the PRST 25Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Treyvon Easterling run for 2 yds to the PRST 27Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
100.0%
Treyvon Easterling run for 5 yds to the PRST 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:11
Jordan James run for 9 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q1 7:01
Dante Chachere pass complete to Chance Miller for 9 yds for a TD (Gianni Smith KICK)
-0.2
TD · Q1 11:01
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 13 yds for a TD (T. Ferguson Run For Two-point Conversion)
-0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com