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SUU

Southern Utah 21 at Arizona State 24

ASU
2023 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2023 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadSUU aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreSUU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:50 · Josh Carlson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ethan Bolingbroke at the SUU 20 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 44Pregame prior+38.3Home team on offense+0.2Garbage-time factor−0.4Score differential−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:05: Targhee Lambson run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Graham KICK) — SUU win probability +3.0 pts (now 9%) (top driver: SUU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:02: Jaden Rashada pass complete to Troy Omeire for 3 yds for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK) — ASU win probability +3.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:49: Justin Miller pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 17 yds for a TD (Tyler Graham KICK) — SUU win probability +7.4 pts (now 13%) (top driver: SUU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:30: Reid Harris kickoff for 58 yds , Elijhah Badger return for 81 yds to the ASU -16 Southern Utah Penalty, Personal Foul (Conner Meyer) to the SUU 6 — ASU win probability +1.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: SUU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:50: George Ramirez 47 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Tyler Graham Kick) — SUU win probability +12.3 pts (now 20%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9SUU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:59SUU 4th & 11 at SUU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:36SUU 4th & 8 at SUU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:48ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:50ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:09SUU 4th & 6 at SUU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:32ASU 4th & 8 at SUU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    90.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:56SUU 4th & 8 at SUU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:52ASU 4th & 4 at ASU 26, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:17SUU 4th & 8 at ASU 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    4.8%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:22ASU 4th & 13 at ASU 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:27SUU 4th & 9 at SUU 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:28ASU 4th & 8 at ASU 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:41ASU 4th & 20 at SUU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−2.8
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    85.5%−6.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:30SUU 4th & 11 at SUU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:50ASU 4th & 7 at ASU 39, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:20ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%−4.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:19SUU 4th & 7 at SUU 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SUU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:00ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:05SUU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:32ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:02ASU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:49SUU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:50SUU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.3%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SUUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:563% → 4%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
97.1%
Braedon Wissler run for 1 yd to the SUU 16Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+2
97.1%
Braedon Wissler run for 2 yds to the SUU 18Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+13
97.1%
Justin Miller pass complete to Ethan Bolingbroke for 13 yds to the SUU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
97.1%
Braedon Wissler run for no gain to the SUU 31Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
97.1%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Isaiah WoodenSimilar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+1
97.1%
Braedon Wissler run for 1 yd to the SUU 30Similar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
96.5%
Alyas Vigil punt for 38 yds , Melquan Stovall returns for no gain to the ASU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:5996% → 97%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
96.4%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Cameron Skattebo for 3 yds to the ASU 35Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+12
96.4%
Cameron Skattebo run for 12 yds to the ASU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
96.5%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 8 yds to the SUU 45Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+39
96.5%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 33 yds to the SUU 12 for a 1ST down Southern Utah Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Kohner Cullimore) to the SUU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
96.5%
Cameron Skattebo run for 6 yds for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 4:244% → 4%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.4%
Isaiah Wooden run for 1 yd to the SUU 24Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
96.4%
Justin Miller pass complete to Francisco Calderon for 9 yds to the SUU 33Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
96.4%
Targhee Lambson run for 6 yds to the SUU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
96.3%
Targhee Lambson run for 4 yds to the SUU 43Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+1
96.3%
Justin Miller run for 1 yd to the SUU 44Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+3
96.3%
Justin Miller pass complete to Jordan Jefferson for 3 yds to the SUU 41Similar
Q1 4:36
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
95.8%
Alyas Vigil punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:4896% → 95%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
95.8%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 5 yds to the ASU 20Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+5
95.8%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 5 yds to the ASU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to DeCarlos BrooksSimilar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Jaden Rashada run for no gain to the ASU 25Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
95.7%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Jalin ConyersSimilar
Q1 2:48
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
95.4%
Josh Carlson punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 5TD
12 plays · 62 yds · 6:435% → 9%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
95.4%
Shotgun Robison,Grady rush middle for 11 yards gain to the SUU49 (Edmonds,Chris) PENALTY SUU Holding (Riley,Edward) 10 yards from SUU38 to SUU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+2
95.5%
Braedon Wissler run for 2 yds to the SUU 30Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 18
OWN 30
+15
95.5%
Arizona State Penalty, Targeting (Ed Woods) to the ASU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
95.2%
Braedon Wissler run for 2 yds to the ASU 39Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+5
94.6%
Justin Miller pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 5 yds TEAM fumbled, recovered by SUUSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+6
94.6%
Jordan Jefferson run for 6 yds to the ASU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
94.4%
Grady Robison pass complete to Justin Miller for 16 yds to the ASU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
94.4%
Braedon Wissler run for 2 yds to the ASU 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+7
94.4%
Isaiah Wooden run for 7 yds to the ASU 3Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+1
94.6%
Targhee Lambson run for 1 yd to the ASU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
94.4%
Targhee Lambson run for 1 yd to the ASU 1Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.4%
Targhee Lambson run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Graham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1593% → 92%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.6%
Cameron Skattebo run for no gain to the ASU 25Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.6%
Cameron Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ASU 29Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
92.4%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Xavier GuillorySimilar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
91.7%
Josh Carlson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ethan Bolingbroke at the SUU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:418% → 9%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
91.6%
Braedon Wissler run for 3 yds to the SUU 23Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
91.7%
Jordan Jefferson run for 1 yd to the SUU 24Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
91.8%
Justin Miller pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
91.1%
Alyas Vigil punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:3792% → 93%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
91.5%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Messiah Swinson for 5 yds to the ASU 28Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+12
91.6%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 12 yds to the ASU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
91.9%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to DeCarlos Brooks for 11 yds to the SUU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-6
92.2%
Jaden Rashada sacked by Anisi Purcell for a loss of 6 yards to the ASU 45Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 16
OWN 45
+8
91.7%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Cameron Skattebo for 8 yds to the SUU 47Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
91.9%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Cameron SkatteboSimilar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 8
OPP 47
+47
93.2%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 47 yds for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:317% → 7%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+21
93.1%
Braedon Wissler run for 21 yds to the SUU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.9%
Isaiah Wooden run for no gain to the SUU 35Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
93.0%
Braedon Wissler run for 2 yds to the SUU 37Similar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
93.1%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Zack MitchellSimilar
Q2 2:56
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
93.2%
Alyas Vigil punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:5493% → 96%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
93.1%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 43 yds to the SUU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
93.8%
Cameron Skattebo run for 12 yds to the SUU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
93.8%
Cameron Skattebo run for 2 yds to the SUU 18Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+11
93.8%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 11 yds to the SUU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
93.8%
Cameron Skattebo run for 4 yds to the SUU 11Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+1
92.9%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 1 yd to the SUU 12Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+4
92.2%
Southern Utah Penalty, Roughing The Passer (George Ramirez) to the SUU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.1%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Troy Omeire for 3 yds for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:5896% → 95%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
95.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Rashada,Jaden rush left for 7 yards gain to the ASU27 (Lockett-Smith,Quadir), out of bounds PENALTY ASU Holding (Glass,Isaia) 10 yards from ASU20 to ASU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+12
95.4%
Cameron Skattebo run for 12 yds to the ASU 22Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
95.4%
Cameron Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ASU 26Similar
Q3 14:50
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
95.3%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Bryce PierreSimilar
Q3 12:52
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
94.9%
Josh Carlson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ethan Bolingbroke at the SUU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:355% → 5%
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
94.8%
Braedon Wissler run for 1 yd to the SUU 38Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+15
94.8%
Shotgun Miller,Justin pass incomplete short right to Bolingbroke,Ethan PENALTY ASU Personal Foul (Green,B.J.) 15 yards from SUU38 to ASU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
94.4%
Braedon Wissler run for 1 yd to the ASU 46Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+1
94.4%
Braedon Wissler run for 1 yd to the ASU 45Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
94.6%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Ethan BolingbrokeSimilar
Q3 10:17
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
94.6%
Alyas Vigil punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ASU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:5595% → 95%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+17
95.2%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 17 yds to the ASU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
95.3%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 1 yd to the ASU 29Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+4
95.2%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 4 yds to the ASU 25Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 13
OWN 25
0
95.0%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Giovanni SandersSimilar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 13
OWN 25
0
94.9%
Josh Carlson punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SUU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 2:556% → 5%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
94.2%
Shotgun Miller,Justin pass complete short left to Wooden,Isaiah for 6 yards to the SUU44, End Of Play PENALTY SUU Holding (Gardner,Collin) 10 yards from SUU38 to SUU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+1
94.7%
Targhee Lambson run for 1 yd to the SUU 29Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 19
OWN 29
-15
94.8%
Southern Utah Penalty, Targeting (-15 Yards) to the SUU 30Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 18
OWN 30
0
94.8%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Tim Patrick Jr.Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 18
OWN 30
+9
94.9%
Targhee Lambson run for 9 yds to the SUU 39Similar
Q3 5:27
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
95.1%
Alyas Vigil punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5996% → 96%
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.9%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Xavier GuillorySimilar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
95.9%
Cameron Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ASU 22Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
95.7%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Bryce PierreSimilar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
95.7%
Josh Carlson punt for 46 yds , Isaiah Wooden returns for no gain to the SUU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 3:395% → 13%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
94.9%
Landon Freeman run for 3 yds to the SUU 33Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+3
94.9%
Landon Freeman run for 3 yds to the SUU 36Similar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+52
94.9%
Justin Miller pass complete to Isaiah Wooden for 52 yds to the ASU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
93.8%
Shotgun Wissler,Braedon rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ASU10 (Romney,Tate) PENALTY SUU Holding (Sfarcioc,Kyle) 10 yards from ASU12 to ASU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 20
OPP 22
+5
94.1%
Braedon Wissler run for 5 yds to the ASU 17Similar
Q3 0:49
2ND & 15
OPP 17
+17
86.7%
Justin Miller pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 17 yds for a TD (Tyler Graham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17FG
6 plays · -14 yds · 1:4993% → 92%
Q3 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
93.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Skattebo,Cameron rush left for 6 yards gain to the SUU00 (Pleasant-Johnson,LaCarea) PENALTY ASU Holding (Glass,Isaia) 10 yards from SUU06 to SUU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 16
-10
93.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Rashada,Jaden pass complete short right to Guillory,Xavier for 1 yard loss to the SUU17 (Sua-Filo,Rylen) PENALTY ASU Holding (Sanders,Giovanni) 10 yards from SUU16 to SUU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 26
0
93.4%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Bryce PierreSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 26
+8
93.2%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 8 yds to the SUU 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+8
92.5%
Jaden Rashada run for 8 yds to the SUU 10Similar
Q4 13:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 20
+38
92.4%
Dario Longhetto 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:038% → 7%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
92.4%
run for 1 yd to the SUU 31 fumbled, recovered by SUU Justin MillerSimilar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 11
OWN 31
0
93.0%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Braedon WisslerSimilar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 11
OWN 31
0
93.2%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Tim Patrick Jr.Similar
Q4 12:30
4TH & 11
OWN 31
0
93.3%
Alyas Vigil punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19PUNT TD
10 plays · 27 yds · 4:4093% → 80%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
92.6%
Cameron Skattebo run for 7 yds to the ASU 19Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+2
92.8%
Cameron Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ASU 21Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+5
92.4%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 5 yds to the ASU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
92.9%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 4 yds to the ASU 30Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+5
92.8%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 5 yds to the ASU 35Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+1
92.6%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 1 yd to the ASU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
93.0%
Cameron Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ASU 38Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
93.1%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Troy OmeireSimilar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+1
92.7%
Cameron Skattebo run for 1 yd to the ASU 39Similar
Q4 7:50
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+47
80.4%
George Ramirez 47 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Tyler Graham Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:3081% → 80%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.3%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Cameron Skattebo for 4 yds to the ASU 29Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
81.5%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 7 yds to the ASU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
82.3%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Xavier GuillorySimilar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
81.8%
Jaden Rashada pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
80.4%
Arizona State Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 6:20
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
79.5%
Josh Carlson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wooden at the SUU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0126% → 24%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
73.9%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Isaiah WoodenSimilar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
74.7%
Braedon Wissler run for 3 yds to the SUU 43Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
74.5%
Justin Miller pass incomplete to Zack MitchellSimilar
Q4 5:19
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
76.3%
Alyas Vigil punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22END OF GAME
13 plays · 56 yds · 5:1980% → 96%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
80.2%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 4 yds to the ASU 17Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+1
80.2%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 1 yd to the ASU 18Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+26
79.0%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Cameron Skattebo for 26 yds to the ASU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
82.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Skattebo,Cameron rush right for 4 yards gain to the ASU48 (Nellems,Aubrey) PENALTY ASU Illegal Formation 5 yards from ASU44 to ASU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+1
81.3%
Cameron Skattebo run for 1 yd to the ASU 40Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+16
81.0%
Jaden Rashada pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 16 yds to the SUU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
90.0%
Cameron Skattebo run for 2 yds to the SUU 42Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+6
91.1%
Cameron Skattebo run for 6 yds to the SUU 36Similar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+6
90.7%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 6 yds to the SUU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
92.2%
J. Rashada takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-1
96.0%
J. Rashada takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:50
George Ramirez 47 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Tyler Graham Kick)
-12.3
TD · Q3 0:49
Justin Miller pass complete to Zack Mitchell for 17 yds for a TD (Tyler Graham KICK)
-7.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com