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SJSU

San José State 28 at USC 56

USC
2023 · Week 1 · Aug 26, 2023 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
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Win probability · USC
modelUSC aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSC scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:07 · Miller Moss pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:41: Alex Weir punt for 56 yds for a touchback — SJSU win probability +6.3 pts (now 20%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:03: (00:03) [NH] Kneel down by WILLIAMS, Caleb at USC24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00. — USC win probability +3.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:11: Alex Weir punt for 48 yds — SJSU win probability +25.7 pts (now 57%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:46: Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete — SJSU win probability +12.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:07: Miller Moss pass incomplete — USC win probability +10.3 pts (now 13%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USC made the numbers' call on 3 of 4SJSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:16SJSU 4th & 14 at USC 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:52USC 4th & 20 at USC 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:33SJSU 4th & 13 at SJSU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:13SJSU 4th & 9 at SJSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:41SJSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:33USC 4th & 25 at USC 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−5.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:51USC 4th & 3 at SJSU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    84.3%−1.8
    23% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:12SJSU 4th & 5 at SJSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:11SJSU 4th & 5 at SJSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:46SJSU 4th & 2 at USC 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    82.3%−1.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    75.2%−8.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:07USC 4th & 8 at SJSU 46, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%
    23% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:32USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:12SJSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 4:443% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for no gain to the SJSU 25Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.3%
USC Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jaylin Smith) to the SJSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
97.2%
Isaac Jernagin run for 5 yds to the USC 48Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
97.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+5
97.1%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 5 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
97.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 4 yds to the USC 39Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-11
96.9%
(12:00) ROBINSON, Kairee rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the USC32 (WILLIAMS, Max;TA'UFO'OU, Stanley), clock 11:52. PENALTY SJS Holding on PARDUE, Anthony enforced 11 yards from the USC39 to the SJS50. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 17
50
-6
96.8%
Chevan Cordeiro run for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSU 44Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 23
OWN 44
+9
96.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 9 yds to the USC 47Similar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 14
OPP 47
0
96.6%
Alex Weir punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 2PUNT TD
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:4197% → 97%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
96.6%
Zachariah Branch run for 9 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
96.6%
Caleb Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:57
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+4
96.6%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the USC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+37
96.5%
Austin Jones run for 37 yds to the SJSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
96.6%
Caleb Williams run for 9 yds to the SJSU 21Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 1
OPP 21
0
96.4%
MarShawn Lloyd run for no gain to the SJSU 21Similar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+4
96.3%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the SJSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
96.2%
Caleb Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
96.2%
Quinten Joyner run for 4 yds to the SJSU 13Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+13
96.5%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Dorian Singer for 13 yds for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 7:124% → 7%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
96.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+20
96.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 20 yds to the SJSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
96.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 13 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
96.0%
Quali Conley run for no gain to the USC 39Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+9
95.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 9 yds to the USC 30Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+3
95.8%
Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the USC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
95.6%
San José State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 32Similar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 15
OPP 32
-6
95.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jabari Bates for a loss of 6 yards to the USC 38Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 21
OPP 38
-1
95.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 39Similar
Q1 1:28
3RD & 22
OPP 39
+28
95.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 28 yds to the USC 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
95.1%
Quali Conley run for 10 yds to the USC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
94.8%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 2Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
94.7%
(14:18) CORDEIRO, Chevan pass short to the right incomplete thrown to the USC0; QB hurried by COBB, Mason, clock 14:16. PENALTY USC Holding on BULLOCK, Calen enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the USC2 to the USC1 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.3%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 4TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 1:1994% → 95%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.1%
MarShawn Lloyd run for no gain to the USC 25Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.9%
Caleb Williams run for 2 yds to the USC 27Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
93.5%
USC Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the USC 15Similar
Q2 12:52
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
94.7%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:115% → 7%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
94.7%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 41Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 12
OWN 41
0
94.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 12
OWN 41
-5
94.8%
San José State Penalty, False Start (Sam Olson) to the SJSU 36Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 17
OWN 36
+4
94.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the SJSU 40Similar
Q2 11:33
4TH & 13
OWN 40
0
93.2%
Alex Weir punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:4893% → 93%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
93.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Dorian Singer for 4 yds to the USC 12Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+3
93.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 3 yds to the USC 15Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+9
92.5%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 9 yds to the USC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+76
92.6%
Tahj Washington 76 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Denis Lynch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:258% → 8%
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.1%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the SJSU 25Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for 1 yd to the SJSU 26Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
91.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:13
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
91.7%
Alex Weir punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 8PUNT TD
10 plays · -3 yds · 4:3293% → 91%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
92.5%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the SJSU 49Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
92.5%
Caleb Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+18
92.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 18 yds to the SJSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
92.3%
Caleb Williams run for 5 yds to the SJSU 23Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+3
92.2%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the SJSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
92.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 8 yds to the SJSU 12Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+3
92.0%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the SJSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
91.8%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the SJSU 5Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
91.5%
Quinten Joyner run for 3 yds to the SJSU 2Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.8%
Austin Jones 2 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 92 yds · 1:4411% → 20%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
88.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 16 yds to the SJSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
87.6%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the SJSU 40Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+4
87.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 4 yds to the SJSU 44Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
86.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
80.1%
Alex Weir punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:0182% → 79%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
81.8%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the USC 23Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-10
81.4%
(01:13) WILLIAMS, Caleb scrambles to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the USC25 (WOOD, Elijah), out of bounds, clock 01:04. PENALTY USC Holding on MONHEIM, Jonah enforced 10 yards from the USC23 to the USC13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+3
81.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 3 yds to the USC 16Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 14
OWN 16
-11
79.1%
Caleb Williams sacked by Tre Smith and Bryun Parham for a loss of 11 yards to the USC 5Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 25
OWN 5
0
78.6%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:1924% → 25%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+18
75.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 18 yds to the USC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
74.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
75.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+28
75.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 28 yds for a TD, (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 12TD
1 play · 52 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.9%
(00:03) [NH] Kneel down by WILLIAMS, Caleb at USC24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 13PUNT TD
10 plays · 22 yds · 4:1588% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.0%
Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the USC 30Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+17
87.9%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Dorian Singer for 17 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
88.5%
Caleb Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
88.2%
Caleb Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+7
87.2%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Dorian Singer for 7 yds to the SJSU 46Similar
Q3 12:51
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+23
87.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 23 yds to the SJSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
88.4%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 12 yds to the SJSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
88.0%
Caleb Williams run for 3 yds to the SJSU 8Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+5
87.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Lake McRee for 5 yds to the SJSU 3Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
86.8%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:0217% → 18%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
83.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
83.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 11 yds to the SJSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
81.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 9 yds to the USC 45Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+10
79.8%
(09:24) CORDEIRO, Chevan pass short to the right incomplete thrown to the USC44; QB hurried by COBB, Mason, clock 09:18. PENALTY USC Holding on WILLIAMS, Max enforced 10 yards from the USC45 to the USC35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
79.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
79.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the USC 34Similar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 9
OPP 34
-22
79.9%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Solomon Byrd and Bear Alexander for a loss of 22 yards to the SJSU 44Similar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 31
OWN 44
0
82.3%
Alex Weir punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 1:3585% → 86%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
85.3%
Caleb Williams pass complete to MarShawn Lloyd for 12 yds to the SJSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
85.5%
Caleb Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-1
85.3%
Caleb Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 41Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+16
83.7%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 16 yds to the SJSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
85.6%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 25 yds for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 46 yds · 4:0920% → 30%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
79.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
80.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 11 yds to the SJSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
78.1%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSU 33Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+18
78.1%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 18 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
74.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 7 yds to the USC 42Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+5
73.2%
Jabari Bates run for 5 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
72.6%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 5 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+32
70.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 32 yds for a TD, (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:2225% → 25%
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 1 yd to the SJSU 26Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
74.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:48
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
75.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Quali Conley for 4 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q3 0:12
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
75.4%
Alex Weir punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 18END OF HALF
6 plays · -1 yds · 2:3279% → 80%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
79.4%
Caleb Williams run for 3 yds to the USC 48Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+22
79.3%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Lake McRee for 22 yds to the SJSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
80.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Lake McRee for 9 yds to the SJSU 21Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+9
80.4%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 9 yds to the SJSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
79.7%
Caleb Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
79.6%
C. Williams pass to B. Rice for 12 yds for a TD, (D. Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1630% → 57%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
70.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the SJSU 28Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
69.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 2 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
68.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:11
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
43.0%
Alex Weir punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 20PUNT TD
9 plays · 9 yds · 4:1146% → 42%
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
45.9%
Miller Moss pass complete to Duce Robinson for 2 yds to the USC 24Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+12
42.5%
Darwin Barlow run for 12 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
43.1%
Miller Moss pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+13
42.6%
Quinten Joyner run for 13 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
45.0%
Quinten Joyner run for 7 yds to the SJSU 44Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+5
45.2%
Miller Moss pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 5 yds to the SJSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
43.0%
Miller Moss pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+35
42.7%
Miller Moss pass complete to Duce Robinson for 35 yds to the SJSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
42.3%
M. Moss run for 4 yds for a TD, (D. Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3872% → 84%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+13
27.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Quali Conley for 13 yds to the SJSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
23.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+57
23.9%
Quali Conley run for 57 yds to the USC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
16.2%
(05:18) CORDEIRO, Chevan pass to the right incomplete intended for NASH, Nick thrown to the USC0, clock 05:13. PENALTY USC Pass Interference on JACKSON, Domani enforced 13 yards to the USC2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
15.7%
C. Cordeiro pass to N. Nash for 2 yds for a TD, (K. Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 1:1784% → 97%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
16.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+20
16.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 20 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
14.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
14.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+8
15.6%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 8 yds to the USC 26 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SJSUSimilar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 2
OPP 26
0
3.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 23TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:364% → 13%
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
4.2%
Darwin Barlow run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 24Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+7
3.6%
Quinten Joyner run for 7 yds to the USC 31Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+7
3.4%
Miller Moss pass complete to Duce Robinson for 7 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
2.8%
Miller Moss pass complete to Raleek Brown for 14 yds to the SJSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
3.0%
USC Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the USC 47Similar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+7
2.8%
Matt Colombo run for 7 yds to the SJSU 46Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
2.8%
Miller Moss pass complete to Makai Lemon for no gain to the SJSU 46Similar
Q4 0:09
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
2.6%
Miller Moss pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:07
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
12.9%
Miller Moss pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+87.1
TD · Q4 11:11
Alex Weir punt for 48 yds
-25.7
TD · Q4 3:46
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete
-12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com