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LIB

Liberty 42 at UTEP 28

UTEP
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadLIB aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreLIB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:44 · Cade McConnell pass complete to Zach Fryar for 2 yds to the LIB 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Home team on offense−6.7Pregame prior−30.5Score differential−3.6Garbage-time factor−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:17: Deion Hankins run for 8 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK) — UTEP win probability +1.7 pts (now 16%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:15: Quinton Cooley run for 42 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK) — LIB win probability +2.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:51: Quinton Cooley 1 Yd Run (Nick Brown Kick) — LIB win probability +5.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:42: Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK) — LIB win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:30: Mike Franklin run for 2 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK) — UTEP win probability +2.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 7 of 8LIB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 3:18UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:17UTEP 4th & 3 at UTEP 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:44UTEP 4th & 5 at LIB 20, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    15.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    13.3%−2.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:21LIB 4th & 1 at UTEP 11, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.7%−1.5
    87% to make
    Punt
    80.6%−5.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:11UTEP 4th & 17 at UTEP 18, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:10LIB 4th & 25 at LIB 17, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−1.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:02UTEP 4th & 22 at UTEP 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00LIB 4th & 3 at LIB 17, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    92.9%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:06UTEP 4th & 6 at LIB 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%−0.9
    25% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:42UTEP 4th & 8 at LIB 36, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:59LIB 4th & 1 at LIB 45, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.1%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:27UTEP 4th & 18 at UTEP 33, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:34LIB 4th & 4 at UTEP 43, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−<0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 4LIB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:37LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:17UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:56LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:15LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:51LIB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:42LIB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:30UTEP Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:33LIB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:32UTEP Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:17UTEP Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:2387% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
13.1%
Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the LIB 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
13.1%
Kaidon Salter run for 8 yds to the LIB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
13.1%
Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds to the LIB 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
13.1%
Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+39
13.1%
Aaron Bedgood run for 39 yds to the UTEP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
13.1%
Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the UTEP 6Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
13.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 6 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:2014% → 16%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
14.0%
Cade McConnell run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+64
14.0%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 64 yds to the LIB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
15.7%
Deion Hankins run for 8 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:2185% → 85%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
15.3%
Vaughn Blue run for 9 yds to the LIB 34Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
15.1%
Billy Lucas run for 4 yds to the LIB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
15.1%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-1
15.1%
Billy Lucas run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 37Similar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+12
15.3%
Billy Lucas run for 12 yds to the LIB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
15.0%
Aaron Bedgood run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 48Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+9
15.1%
Aaron Bedgood run for 9 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+6
15.0%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 6 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
15.0%
Billy Lucas run for 7 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+25
14.9%
Aaron Bedgood run for 25 yds to the UTEP 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
15.1%
Billy Lucas run for 5 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3316% → 16%
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
15.9%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+1
16.1%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 35Similar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
15.8%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
16.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 43 yds, CJ Daniels return 13 yds to the LIB 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 5TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:0384% → 87%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
15.9%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
16.0%
Quinton Cooley run for 11 yds to the LIB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
15.6%
Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the LIB 48Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
15.6%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+10
15.7%
Kaidon Salter run for 10 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
13.2%
Quinton Cooley run for 42 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5814% → 14%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
13.7%
Cade McConnell sacked by Jaylon Jimmerson for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 16Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+11
13.7%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Mike Franklin for 11 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
13.6%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 5 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 14:17
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
13.9%
Joshua Sloan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by CJ Daniels at the LIB 28Similar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
13.5%
Liberty Penalty, False Start (X'Zauvea Gadlin) to the LIB 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+2
13.6%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Elijah Smoot for 2 yds Elijah Smoot fumbled, recovered by UTEP Josiah Allen returned 0 yards to the LIB25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2715% → 14%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
14.8%
Mike Franklin run for 6 yds to the LIB 19Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 4
OPP 19
-1
14.8%
Mike Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 20Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
14.6%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:44
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+2
14.3%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Zach Fryar for 2 yds to the LIB 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9TD
15 plays · 82 yds · 6:5387% → 94%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
13.4%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+20
13.5%
Billy Lucas run for 20 yds to the LIB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
13.0%
Billy Lucas run for 2 yds to the LIB 40Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
13.0%
Kaidon Salter run for 2 yds to the LIB 42Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+7
13.1%
Kaidon Salter run for 7 yds to the LIB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
13.0%
Billy Lucas run for 3 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+28
13.0%
Kaidon Salter run for 28 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
12.9%
Vaughn Blue run for 5 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 5
OPP 15
0
12.2%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+4
12.3%
Billy Lucas run for 4 yds to the UTEP 11Similar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+3
12.9%
Billy Lucas run for 3 yds to the UTEP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
12.2%
COOLEY, Quinton rush to the right for a gain of 7 yards to the TEP1 (KNIGHT, Tyrice). PENALTY LIB Holding on HENDERSON, Austin enforced 10 yards from the TEP8 to the TEP18. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 18
+17
12.3%
Kaidon Salter run for 17 yds to the UTEP 1Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.4%
Quinton Cooley 1 Yd Run (Nick Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:409% → 9%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
9.3%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Daryon Triche for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-7
9.2%
Daryon Triche run for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 18 Daryon Triche fumbled, recovered by UTEP Daryon Triche, returned 0 yards to the TEP18.Similar
Q2 5:51
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
9.1%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:11
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
8.9%
Joshua Sloan punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -15 yds · 1:0193% → 93%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
6.6%
run for 3 yds to the LIB 35Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
6.6%
Liberty Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kaidon Salter) to the LIB 17Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 25
OWN 17
0
6.9%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:10
4TH & 25
OWN 17
0
6.8%
Max Morgan punt for 62 yds, downed at the UTEP 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12INT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:359% → 9%
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
8.9%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Deion Hankins for 9 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+5
9.2%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
8.5%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
8.4%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Daryon Triche for 11 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-18
9.0%
Cade McConnell pass intercepted Errol Rogers Jr. return for 18 yds to the LIB 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 13FUMBLE
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
5.2%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Billy Lucas for 8 yds Billy Lucas fumbled, recovered by UTEP RaQuan Thompson [SG] SALTER, Kaidon pass up the middle complete for 8 yards to LUCAS, Billy caught at the LIB40, LUCAS, Billy fumbled at LIB43 forced by ALLEN, Josiah, recovered by TEP THOMPSON, RaQuan at the LIB48, returned 0 yards to the LIB48, End of Play, clock 01:26.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:249% → 8%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
9.2%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
9.2%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
9.0%
UTEP Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Cade McConnell) to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 22
OWN 40
0
8.2%
Joshua Sloan punt for 50 yds, fair catch by CJ Daniels at the LIB 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:5894% → 95%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
5.6%
run for 2 yds to the LIB 12Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+1
5.4%
Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the LIB 13Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+4
5.6%
Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the LIB 17Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 3
OWN 17
0
5.4%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 4:548% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
8.1%
UTEP Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kelly Akharaiyi) to the UTEP 20Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+21
8.0%
Mike Franklin run for 21 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
8.8%
Mike Franklin run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+9
8.2%
Daryon Triche run for 9 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+4
8.8%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 4 yds to the LIB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
9.1%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
9.0%
Mike Franklin run for 2 yds to the LIB 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+2
8.9%
Mike Franklin run for 2 yds to the LIB 45Similar
Q3 10:06
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
7.7%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17TD
9 plays · 55 yds · 4:2496% → 99%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
4.4%
Kaidon Salter run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 5
50
+4
4.4%
Kaidon Salter run for 4 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+4
4.3%
Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
4.4%
Kylen Austin run for 16 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
4.2%
Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+7
4.2%
Vaughn Blue run for 7 yds to the UTEP 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
2.7%
Vaughn Blue run for 12 yds to the UTEP 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
1.0%
Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 7:121% → 3%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.0%
Mike Franklin run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
0.9%
Kevin Hurley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 27Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+20
0.9%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 20 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
1.0%
MCCONNELL, Cade pass deep to the left incomplete intended for TRICHE, Daryon thrown to the LIB4. PENALTY LIB Pass Interference on HODGE, Preston enforced 15 yards to the LIB38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
1.1%
Daryon Triche run for 6 yds to the LIB 32Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
1.1%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 4
OPP 32
-4
1.0%
Cade McConnell run for a loss of 4 yards to the LIB 36Similar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+9
1.0%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Javoni Gardere for 9 yds to the LIB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
1.1%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-10
1.0%
TRICHE, Daryon rush to the left for no gain to the LIB27 (GALLOWAY, Tysheik;JONES, A'Khori). PENALTY TEP Holding on HENRY, Zuri enforced 10 yards from the LIB27 to the LIB37 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 20
OPP 37
+13
1.0%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Javoni Gardere for 13 yds to the LIB 24Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+7
1.0%
Daryon Triche run for 7 yds to the LIB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
1.1%
Daryon Triche run for 6 yds to the LIB 11Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+5
0.5%
TRICHE, Daryon rush up the middle for no gain to the LIB11 (BAZILE, JR., CJ), clock 00:00. PENALTY Before the snap, LIB Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the LIB11 to the LIB6 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
0.6%
Mike Franklin run for 4 yds to the LIB 2Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
0.6%
Mike Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 3Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
0.6%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
0.6%
MCCONNELL, Cade pass short to the left incomplete intended for AKHARAIYI, Kelly thrown to the LIB0. PENALTY LIB Pass Interference on ROGERS, JR., Errol enforced 1 yards to the LIB2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
2.7%
Mike Franklin run for 2 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 7:5798% → 100%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
2.0%
Billy Lucas run for 6 yds to the LIB 31Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
2.0%
Vaughn Blue run for 5 yds to the LIB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
1.9%
Billy Lucas run for 2 yds to the LIB 38Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+2
1.8%
Billy Lucas run for 2 yds to the LIB 40Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+5
1.3%
Kaidon Salter run for 5 yds to the LIB 45Similar
Q4 9:59
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
1.4%
Kaidon Salter run for 2 yds to the LIB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
1.2%
James Jointer Jr. run for 6 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+9
1.1%
James Jointer Jr. run for 9 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
1.1%
James Jointer Jr. run for 6 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+6
1.1%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Billy Durocher for 6 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
0.2%
James Jointer Jr. run for 26 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
0.1%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 16 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
0.1%
UTEP Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Cade McConnell) to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 18
OWN 33
0
0.1%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 18
OWN 33
0
0.1%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:27
4TH & 18
OWN 33
0
0.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 66 yds, downed at the LIB 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:49100% → 100%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
0.2%
Nate Hampton run for 4 yds to the LIB 5Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 6
OWN 5
-3
0.2%
Nate Hampton run for a loss of 3 yards to the LIB 2 Nate Hampton fumbled, recovered by UTEP Kobe Hylton QB Keeper HAMPTON, Nate rush up the middle for a loss of 3 yards, HAMPTON, Nate fumbled at LIB3 , recovered by TEP HYLTON, Kobe at the LIB2, returned 0 yards to the LIB2, End of Play, clock 03:38.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.4%
Kevin Hurley run for 2 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 23DOWNS
10 plays · 25 yds · 2:4699% → 100%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
0.7%
Malik Caper run for no gain to the LIB 32Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
0.6%
Malik Caper run for 1 yd to the LIB 33Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 9
OWN 33
-5
0.6%
Liberty Penalty, Delay Of Game (Nate Hampton) to the LIB 28Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 14
OWN 28
+15
0.6%
UTEP Penalty, Personal Foul (Kanious Vaughn) to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
0.5%
Malik Caper run for 5 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-15
0.5%
Liberty Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the LIB 41Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 20
OWN 41
+11
0.5%
Malik Caper run for 11 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+5
0.5%
Malik Caper run for 5 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 0:34
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
0.4%
Nate Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 24TD
3 plays · 57 yds · 0:170% → 2%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+54
0.2%
Kevin Hurley pass complete to Emari White for 54 yds to the LIB 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
0.3%
Kevin Hurley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
1.8%
Kevin Hurley pass complete to Marcus Vinson for 3 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
1.5%
[SG] Kneel down by HAMPTON, Nate at TEP50 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:51
Quinton Cooley 1 Yd Run (Nick Brown Kick)
-5.8
TD · Q1 1:15
Quinton Cooley run for 42 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)
-2.5
TD · Q4 13:30
Mike Franklin run for 2 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)
+2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com