Try the model
MD

Maryland 42 at Rutgers 24

RUTG
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023 · SHI Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:25 · Samuel Brown V run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:07: Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 44 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK) — MD win probability +12.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:43: Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aaron Young for 10 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +16.7 pts (now 27%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:57: Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +10.8 pts (now 32%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:15: Billy Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Howes KICK) — MD win probability +13.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:48: Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +12.2 pts (now 17%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 8 of 9MD made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 8:53RUTG 4th & 2 at MD 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    45.1%−0.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    45.4%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:20RUTG 4th & 6 at MD 31, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.7%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    39.0%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:16RUTG 4th & 27 at RUTG 34, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−3.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:43RUTG 4th & 5 at MD 10, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    12.3%−<0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−7.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:02RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 24, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:09MD 4th & 2 at MD 33, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:13RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.8
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:00RUTG 4th & 12 at RUTG 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−2.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:08RUTG 4th & 21 at RUTG 26, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−3.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:28MD 4th & 8 at MD 46, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:08RUTG 4th & 6 at midfield, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.3%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:54MD 4th & 8 at RUTG 44, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    93.0%−0.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:19MD 4th & 13 at RUTG 48, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:34MD 4th & 1 at RUTG 13, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    90.6%−1.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    87.1%−4.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MD made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:54MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:22MD Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:26MD Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:07MD Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:43RUTG Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:57RUTG Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:15MD Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:48RUTG Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:24MD Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5760% → 61%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
39.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 7 yds to the MD 47Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+4
40.1%
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the RUTG 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
40.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-2
40.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for a loss of 2 yards to the MD 49Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+13
40.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 13 yds to the RUTG 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
40.4%
Antwain Littleton II run for 4 yds to the RUTG 34Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+34
39.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 34 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:5740% → 40%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
39.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 38Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+10
40.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 10 yds to the RUTG 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
40.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the MD 48Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
40.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+4
40.2%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the MD 44Similar
Q1 8:53
4TH & 2
OPP 44
-1
39.9%
Gavin Wimsatt run for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3TD
2 plays · 55 yds · 0:2561% → 64%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+49
38.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 49 yds to the RUTG 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
36.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 6 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4FG
13 plays · 44 yds · 5:5937% → 37%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
37.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Kyle Monangai for 20 yds to the RUTG 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
37.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 6 yds to the MD 49Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+3
37.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the MD 46Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+1
37.4%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd to the MD 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
36.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Shawn Bowman for 8 yds to the MD 37Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+1
36.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the MD 36Similar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+1
36.2%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd to the MD 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
36.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
36.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Kyle Monangai for 7 yds to the MD 28Similar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 3
OPP 28
-3
34.9%
Aaron Young run for a loss of 3 yards to the MD 31Similar
Q1 2:20
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+50
36.9%
Jai Patel 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4963% → 74%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
36.9%
TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for KNOTTS, Shaleak thrown to the MD45, clock 02:15. PENALTY RU Holding on ROGERS, Eric enforced 10 yards from the MD25 to the MD35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
36.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 11 yds to the MD 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
36.0%
Roman Hemby run for 12 yds to the RUTG 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+23
35.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Preston Howard for 23 yds to the RUTG 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
35.4%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the RUTG 17Similar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+17
26.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 17 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 9 yds · 3:0729% → 28%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
29.4%
Samuel Brown V run for 5 yds to the RUTG 30Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
29.5%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the RUTG 34Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
29.5%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
29.1%
WIMSATT, Gavin pass to the left incomplete intended for STRONG, Ian thrown to the RU45, clock 14:10. PENALTY MD Pass Interference on STILL, Tarheeb enforced 15 yards to the MD49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
29.8%
Samuel Brown V run for 1 yd to the MD 48Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-15
29.3%
(13:23) WIMSATT, Gavin pass short to the right incomplete intended for DREMEL, Christian thrown to the MD43, clock 13:22. PENALTY RU Pass Interference on BOWMAN, Shawn enforced 15 yards to the RU37 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 24
OWN 37
0
28.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 24
OWN 37
+7
28.2%
Aaron Young run for 7 yds to the RUTG 44 Aaron Young fumbled, recovered by RUTG Christian Dremel (12:58) [NHSG] YOUNG, Aaron rush to the right for a gain of 7 yards, YOUNG, Aaron fumbled at RU45 forced by TRADER JR., Dante, recovered by RU DREMEL, Christian at the RU44, returned 0 yards to the RU44, End of Play, clock 12:24.Similar
Q2 12:24
4TH & 17
OWN 44
-5
28.1%
Rutgers Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the RUTG 39Similar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 22
OWN 39
-5
27.9%
Rutgers Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the RUTG 34Similar
Q2 12:16
4TH & 27
OWN 34
0
27.6%
Flynn Appleby punt for 10 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7TD
1 play · 44 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
15.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 44 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:2116% → 27%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
15.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 6 yds to the RUTG 31Similar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+25
13.3%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 25 yds to the MD 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
12.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
12.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the MD 39Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+24
12.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 24 yds to the MD 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
11.4%
Samuel Brown V run for 3 yds to the MD 12Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+1
10.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Shawn Bowman for 1 yd to the MD 11Similar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+1
9.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 1 yd to the MD 10Similar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+10
26.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aaron Young for 10 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9FUMBLE
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:3979% → 83%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
21.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Braeden Wisloski for a loss of 2 yards to the MD 11Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 12
OWN 11
0
20.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 12
OWN 11
+10
20.6%
TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass up the middle incomplete intended for JONES, Jeshaun thrown to the MD20, clock 05:52. PENALTY RU Holding on AMANKWAA, Thomas enforced 10 yards from the MD11 to the MD21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
20.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 14 yds to the MD 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
19.9%
(05:14) LITTLETON II, Antwain rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the MD37 (ANGOY, Zaire), clock 05:10. PENALTY MD Holding on PURCELL, Mike enforced 10 yards from the MD35 to the MD25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+57
19.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 57 yds to the RUTG 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
17.4%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Colby McDonald for a loss of 1 yard Colby McDonald fumbled, recovered by RUTG Isaiah Iton [NHSG] TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass to the right complete for -1 yard to MCDONALD, Colby caught at the RU20, MCDONALD, Colby fumbled at RU20 forced by DIXON, Flip, recovered by RU ITON, Isaiah at the RU19, returned 0 yards to the RU19, End of Play, clock 03:56.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5323% → 21%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
22.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
22.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the RUTG 24Similar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 5
OWN 24
0
21.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:02
4TH & 5
OWN 24
0
21.4%
Flynn Appleby punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11INT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:3582% → 81%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
18.2%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the MD 39Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-9
17.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa sacked by Mohamed Toure for a loss of 9 yards to the MD 30Similar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 17
OWN 30
-3
18.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass intercepted Max Melton return for 3 yds to the MD 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12TD
2 plays · 43 yds · 0:0822% → 32%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+42
21.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 42 yds to the MD 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
32.3%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:4570% → 71%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
29.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 2 yds to the MD 27Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
29.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
28.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 6 yds to the MD 33Similar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
28.7%
Brenden Segovia punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Christian Dremel at the RUTG 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5628% → 27%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
28.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 6 yds to the RUTG 26Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
28.0%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd to the RUTG 27Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
27.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
26.6%
Flynn Appleby punt for 44 yds, downed at the MD 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 45 yds · 0:0573% → 75%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+26
27.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 26 yds to the MD 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
25.3%
Roman Hemby run for 19 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5729% → 27%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
29.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 28Similar
Q3 14:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
29.1%
Rutgers Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the RUTG 23Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
28.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
27.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
26.9%
Flynn Appleby punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tarheeb Still at the MD 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 4:3672% → 89%
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
28.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 5 yds to the MD 39Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 5
OWN 39
-1
27.3%
Roman Hemby run for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 38Similar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+26
27.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Preston Howard for 26 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
26.7%
Antwain Littleton II run for 4 yds to the RUTG 32Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+5
25.8%
Antwain Littleton II run for 5 yds to the RUTG 27Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+5
26.0%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the RUTG 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
24.6%
Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the RUTG 21Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+20
24.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 20 yds to the RUTG 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.8%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 3:0515% → 13%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
15.3%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 7 yds to the RUTG 32Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
15.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
15.4%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 5 yds to the RUTG 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
14.8%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the RUTG 37Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-15
14.1%
WIMSATT, Gavin pass to the left incomplete intended for MONANGAI, Kyle thrown to the RU37, clock 07:10. PENALTY RU Pass Interference on BOWMAN, Shawn enforced 15 yards to the RU22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 25
OWN 22
+4
13.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Kyle Monangai for 4 yds to the RUTG 26Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 21
OWN 26
0
13.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:08
4TH & 21
OWN 26
0
13.1%
Flynn Appleby punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:3291% → 91%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
9.3%
Colby McDonald run for 4 yds to the MD 35Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+9
9.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Colby McDonald for 9 yds to the MD 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
8.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 2 yds to the MD 46Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
8.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
8.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
8.6%
Brenden Segovia punt blocked by Eric RogersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 13 yds · 2:1513% → 11%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
12.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 13 yds to the RUTG 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
13.1%
Samuel Brown V run for 3 yds to the RUTG 49Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
12.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+1
12.6%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:08
4TH & 6
50
-4
11.1%
Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Tommy Akingbesote and TEAM for a loss of 4 yards to the RUTG 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:1094% → 95%
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
5.6%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the RUTG 44Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-4
5.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for a loss of 4 yards to the RUTG 48Similar
Q3 0:47
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+9
5.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 9 yds to the RUTG 39Similar
Q3 0:03
4TH & 3
OPP 39
-5
5.3%
Maryland Penalty, False Start (Tai Felton) to the RUTG 44Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
5.2%
Brenden Segovia punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Christian Dremel at the RUTG 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22INT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:078% → 6%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
8.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+9
8.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Shawn Bowman for 9 yds to the RUTG 22Similar
Q4 13:54
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+2
7.5%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the RUTG 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
6.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
6.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+12
6.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 12 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
6.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass intercepted Glendon Miller return for no gain to the RUTG 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:1296% → 96%
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
3.9%
Colby McDonald run for 1 yd to the RUTG 44Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
3.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 9
OPP 44
-4
3.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for a loss of 4 yards to the RUTG 48Similar
Q4 11:19
4TH & 13
OPP 48
0
3.8%
Brenden Segovia punt for 42 yds, downed at the RUTG 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24TD
14 plays · 94 yds · 4:275% → 17%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
4.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 9Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+18
4.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 18 yds to the RUTG 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
4.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+14
4.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to JaQuae Jackson for 14 yds to the RUTG 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
5.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
4.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the RUTG 45Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+13
4.9%
Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Lavon Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the MD 43 for a 1ST down Maryland Penalty, Targeting on FONTUS, Dillan enforced (Dillan Fontus) to the MD 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
5.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 11 yds to the MD 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
5.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds to the MD 24Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+8
5.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 8 yds to the MD 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
5.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+14
5.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 14 yds to the MD 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
5.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the MD 1Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
17.3%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:2090% → 99%
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
9.7%
Roman Hemby run for 13 yds to the MD 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+40
8.0%
Roman Hemby run for 40 yds to the RUTG 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
7.4%
Roman Hemby run for 9 yds to the RUTG 13Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 1
OPP 13
0
7.1%
Roman Hemby run for no gain to the RUTG 13Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 1
OPP 13
0
7.0%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for no gain to the RUTG 13Similar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+1
6.4%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the RUTG 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
4.9%
Roman Hemby run for 7 yds to the RUTG 5Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+2
4.2%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the RUTG 3Similar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+1
4.2%
Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the RUTG 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
4.3%
Antwain Littleton II run for 1 yd to the RUTG 1Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.8%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:501% → 1%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
0.7%
Samuel Brown V run for 2 yds to the RUTG 33Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+7
0.7%
Samuel Brown V run for 7 yds to the RUTG 40Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 1
OWN 40
-1
0.6%
Samuel Brown V run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:43
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aaron Young for 10 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)
+16.7
TD · Q3 9:15
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)
-13.4
TD · Q4 6:48
Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)
+12.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com