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IU

Indiana 31 at Purdue 35

PUR
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:46 · Jack Ansell punt for 30 yds, fair catch by DeQuece Carter at the IU 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Pregame prior+13.0Home team on offense+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:12: Hudson Card pass complete to Drew Biber for 16 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — PUR win probability +9.3 pts (now 56%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:53: Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 38 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK) — PUR win probability +20.9 pts (now 50%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 8:41: Ben Freehill 35 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +16.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: 4th down).
  4. FG · Q4 5:09: Chris Freeman 39 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +20.5 pts (now 74%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:39: Hudson Card run for 10 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK) — PUR win probability +40.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 8 of 11IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:10PUR 4th & 11 at IU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    64.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:25IU 4th & 5 at IU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:46PUR 4th & 3 at IU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    64.7%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:45IU 4th & 13 at IU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:33PUR 4th & 4 at IU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    64.1%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:21IU 4th & 11 at PUR 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:33PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:26PUR 4th & 9 at PUR 21, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:43PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 25, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−1.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:14PUR 4th & 15 at IU 16, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−3.7
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    44.5%−11.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:37PUR 4th & 12 at IU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−2.2
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    34.7%−8.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:00IU 4th & 15 at IU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−4.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:58PUR 4th & 2 at IU 48, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%−2.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:53PUR 4th & 2 at IU 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    25.4%−2.9
    38% to make
    Punt
    25.3%−3.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:36IU 4th & 8 at IU 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−2.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:41PUR 4th & 14 at IU 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−7.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    29.0%−16.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:09IU 4th & 3 at PUR 21, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.9%−3.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−25.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 2 of 4IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 0:34IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:07PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    61.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:59IU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:12PUR Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    57.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    57.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:53PUR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:39PUR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−1.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:2836% → 36%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
64.3%
Jaylin Lucas run for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 19Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+2
64.3%
Trent Howland run for 2 yds to the IU 21Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 10
OWN 21
-32
64.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass intercepted Dillon Thieneman return for 32 yds to the IU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2MISSED FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:1664% → 64%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
64.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 3 yds to the IU 9Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 7
OPP 9
-4
64.4%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the IU 13Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 11
OPP 13
0
64.4%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:10
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+30
64.2%
Ben Freehill 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4536% → 36%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
64.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
64.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 5 yds to the IU 25Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
64.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:25
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
64.2%
James Evans punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:3964% → 64%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
64.1%
Hudson Card run for 21 yds to the IU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
64.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 6 yds to the IU 43Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+1
64.5%
Deion Burks run for 1 yd to the IU 42Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 3
OPP 42
0
64.4%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:46
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
64.2%
Jack Ansell punt for 30 yds, fair catch by DeQuece Carter at the IU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 2:0136% → 36%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
63.9%
Trent Howland run for 3 yds to the IU 15Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+3
63.9%
Brendan Sorsby run for 3 yds to the IU 18Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 4
OWN 18
-9
64.1%
Brendan Sorsby sacked by Nic Scourton for a loss of 9 yards to the IU 9Similar
Q1 7:45
4TH & 13
OWN 9
0
64.2%
James Evans punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1264% → 64%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
64.3%
Hudson Card run for 8 yds to the IU 44Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 2
OPP 44
-2
64.5%
Hudson Card run for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 46Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
64.3%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:33
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
63.8%
Jack Ansell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by DeQuece Carter at the IU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:1236% → 37%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
63.6%
Brendan Sorsby run for 5 yds to the IU 13Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+29
63.5%
Josh Henderson run for 29 yds to the IU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
62.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 12 yds to the PUR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
62.7%
Josh Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 47Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 11
OPP 47
0
62.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 11
OPP 47
0
63.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:21
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
63.5%
James Evans punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tyrone Tracy Jr. at the PUR 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:4863% → 63%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
63.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the PUR 16Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+10
63.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 10 yds to the PUR 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
63.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PUR 28Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
63.5%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
62.9%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
62.5%
Jack Ansell punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:5938% → 45%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
62.5%
Jaylin Lucas run for 12 yds to the IU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
61.9%
Brendan Sorsby run for 5 yds to the IU 45Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+11
61.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 11 yds to the PUR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
61.4%
Brendan Sorsby run for 11 yds to the PUR 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
55.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to DeQuece Carter for 33 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:5357% → 64%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
57.3%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the PUR 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+14
57.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 14 yds to the PUR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
58.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 8 yds to the IU 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+3
58.8%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 3 yds to the IU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
58.8%
Hudson Card run for a loss of 3 yards to the IU 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 47
+14
57.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to George Burhenn for 14 yds to the IU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
64.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to George Burhenn for 33 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:5841% → 51%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
58.9%
Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd to the PUR 48Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+13
58.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 13 yds to the PUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
58.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 9 yds to the PUR 26Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+3
58.3%
Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the PUR 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
58.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to DeQuece Carter for 5 yds to the PUR 18Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+8
58.2%
Brendan Sorsby run for 8 yds to the PUR 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
58.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
49.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 10 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2751% → 47%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
50.8%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 6 yards to the PUR 14Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 16
OWN 14
0
50.7%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+7
49.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the PUR 21Similar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
47.4%
Jack Ansell punt for 43 yds, downed at the IU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13INT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:5651% → 55%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
48.7%
Trent Howland run for 4 yds to the IU 30Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
48.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+8
49.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 8 yds to the IU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
47.5%
Brendan Sorsby run for 5 yds to the IU 43Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+19
47.3%
Trent Howland run for 29 yds to the PUR 28 Indiana Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the IU 46Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 2
OWN 46
0
45.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass intercepted Cam Allen return for no gain to the PUR 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4748% → 45%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
47.6%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 1 yd to the PUR 24Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+6
47.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 6 yds to the PUR 30Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 3
OWN 30
-5
47.3%
Deion Burks run for a loss of 5 yards to the PUR 25Similar
Q2 3:43
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
44.7%
Jack Ansell punt for 42 yds, fair catch by DeQuece Carter at the IU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:5755% → 57%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
45.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Josh Henderson for 11 yds to the IU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
44.0%
Josh Henderson run for 1 yd to the IU 45Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
44.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
43.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass intercepted Dillon Thieneman return for no gain to the PUR 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16TD
17 plays · 78 yds · 2:3445% → 56%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
45.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the PUR 26Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+9
45.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to George Burhenn for 9 yds to the PUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
45.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to George Burhenn for 8 yds to the PUR 43Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
48.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the PUR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
47.1%
Hudson Card run for 8 yds to the IU 45Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+10
48.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 10 yds to the IU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
50.4%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
50.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 9 yds to the IU 26Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
46.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the IU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
47.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 2 yds to the IU 20Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+4
46.6%
Hudson Card run for 4 yds to the IU 16Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+16
55.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Drew Biber for 16 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
54.5%
[NH] Kneel down by SORSBY, Brendan at IND26 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18FG
9 plays · 29 yds · 1:3661% → 64%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
60.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 14 yds to the IU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
62.0%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for no gain to the IU 31Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
61.9%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:50
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+5
60.1%
Indiana Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the IU 26Similar
Q3 14:50
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
60.6%
CARD, Hudson pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BURKS, Deion thrown to the IND3. PENALTY IND Pass Interference on MINOR, Kobee enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the IND11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
62.0%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
62.0%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:50
3RD & 10
OPP 11
-5
60.5%
Hudson Card sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the IU 16Similar
Q3 13:14
4TH & 15
OPP 16
+33
63.9%
Ben Freehill 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:2145% → 42%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
45.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the PUR 23Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+12
45.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 12 yds to the PUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+40
44.5%
Hudson Card run for 25 yds to the IU 40 for a 1ST down Indiana Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (JoJo Johnson) to the IU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
49.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for a loss of 3 yards to the IU 28Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+1
47.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the IU 27Similar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 12
OPP 27
0
45.7%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:37
4TH & 12
OPP 27
+44
42.4%
Ben Freehill 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:3458% → 59%
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
41.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 12 yds to the IU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
40.3%
SORSBY, Brendan pass short to the right complete for 2 yards to LUCAS, Jaylin caught at the IND38 and advanced to the IND39 (STEPTOE, Zion). PENALTY IND Holding on WILLIAMS JR., E.J. enforced 10 yards from the IND37 to the IND27 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+4
42.0%
Trent Howland run for 4 yds to the IU 31Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 16
OWN 31
+1
42.5%
Trent Howland run for 1 yd to the IU 32Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 15
OWN 32
0
43.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 15
OWN 32
0
41.5%
James Evans punt for 51 yds, downed at the PUR 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 3:0241% → 41%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
40.8%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 10 yds to the PUR 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
41.3%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 9 yds to the PUR 36Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+8
43.8%
Dylan Downing run for 8 yds to the PUR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
43.9%
Hudson Card run for 2 yds to the PUR 46Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+5
44.0%
Dylan Downing run for 5 yds to the IU 49Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+1
44.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the IU 48Similar
Q3 4:58
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
41.0%
Jack Ansell punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lucas at the IU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 3:1563% → 76%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
36.9%
Josh Henderson run for 2 yds to the IU 15Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+3
37.1%
Brendan Sorsby run for 3 yds to the IU 18Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 5
OWN 18
0
38.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:58
4TH & 5
OWN 18
+5
39.4%
Purdue Penalty, Offsides (Markevious Brown) to the IU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+25
36.7%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 25 yds to the IU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+26
33.7%
Brendan Sorsby run for 11 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST down Purdue Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jeffrey M'Ba) to the PUR 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+17
32.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 17 yds to the PUR 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
32.1%
Brendan Sorsby run for no gain to the PUR 9Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
23.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Josh Henderson for 9 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:4328% → 50%
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
28.2%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 2 yards to the PUR 35Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+19
27.1%
Hudson Card run for 19 yds to the IU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
30.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 9 yds to the IU 37Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 1
OPP 37
0
31.0%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 37
-1
29.5%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 38Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+38
50.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 38 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1355% → 51%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
45.5%
Brendan Sorsby run for a loss of 3 yards to the IU 27 Brendan Sorsby fumbled, recovered by IU Trent Howland [SG] QB Keeper SORSBY, Brendan rush up the middle for a loss of 3 yards, SORSBY, Brendan fumbled at IND23 , recovered by IND HOWLAND, Trent at the IND23, returned 4 yards to the IND27 (SCOURTON, Nic;KARLAFTIS, Yanni).Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+6
45.9%
Trent Howland run for 6 yds to the IU 33Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
44.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 3
OWN 33
-5
47.3%
Indiana Penalty, False Start (Jared Casey) to the IU 28Similar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
48.6%
James Evans punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 4:5548% → 59%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+28
47.7%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 28 yds to the IU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
52.5%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 1 yd to the IU 41Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+2
52.3%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 2 yds to the IU 39Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+10
47.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to George Burhenn for 10 yds to the IU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
51.1%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 1 yd to the IU 28Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+5
51.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 5 yds to the IU 23Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+9
46.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 9 yds to the IU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
49.1%
Hudson Card run for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 16Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 12
OPP 16
-2
48.8%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 18Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 14
OPP 18
0
43.3%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:41
4TH & 14
OPP 18
+35
59.4%
Ben Freehill 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26FG
7 plays · 49 yds · 3:2649% → 74%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
51.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 19 yds to the IU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
47.0%
Josh Henderson run for 7 yds to the PUR 44Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+16
45.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 16 yds to the PUR 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
43.6%
Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the PUR 25Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+4
43.6%
Brendan Sorsby run for 4 yds to the PUR 21Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 3
OPP 21
0
46.7%
Josh Henderson run for no gain to the PUR 21Similar
Q4 5:09
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+39
26.1%
Chris Freeman 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 27TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 2:3039% → 89%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+44
39.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 44 yds to the IU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
48.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the IU 20Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+14
48.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 14 yds to the IU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
48.2%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 4 yards to the IU 10Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
88.5%
Hudson Card run for 10 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 28DOWNS
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:1424% → 21%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
76.3%
Purdue Penalty, Targeting on KARLAFTIS, Yanni enforced (Yanni Karlaftis) to the PUR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
71.5%
Brendan Sorsby run for 9 yds to the PUR 35Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 1
OPP 35
0
66.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
74.9%
Josh Henderson run for no gain to the PUR 35Similar
Q4 1:20
4TH & 1
OPP 35
0
78.6%
Indiana Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Intentional Grounding on SORSBY, Brendan enforced a result of a (Yards) to the PUR 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:4295% → 96%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
95.2%
Kneel down by CARD, Hudson at PUR42 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 42
0
96.0%
[NHSG] Kneel down by CARD, Hudson at PUR38 (team loss of 4), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:39
Hudson Card run for 10 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)
+40.3
TD · Q4 14:53
Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 38 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)
+20.9
FG · Q4 5:09
Chris Freeman 39 yd FG GOOD
-20.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com