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WIS

Wisconsin 28 at Minnesota 14

MINN
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:17 · Atticus Bertrams punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Corey Crooms Jr. at the MINN 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 138Home team on offense−39.3Score differential−19.9Pregame prior−0.5Garbage-time factor−10.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−7.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:30: Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 7 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK) — MINN win probability +11.0 pts (now 63%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:38: Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 11 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +13.0 pts (now 57%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:34: Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 16 yds to the MINN 40 for a 1ST down — MINN win probability +7.7 pts (now 51%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:24: Braelon Allen run for 4 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +16.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:10: Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 5 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +15.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 8WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 6
  1. Q1 10:30WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:29MINN 4th & 11 at MINN 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:13WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 28, down 7
    Close callPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:20MINN 4th & 3 at WIS 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    52.6%−0.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:35MINN 4th & 5 at MINN 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:06WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 35, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:07MINN 4th & 5 at MINN 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:42WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 48, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:49MINN 4th & 11 at MINN 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−2.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:18MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.3%−2.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:05MINN 4th & 7 at WIS 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    34.7%−2.0
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:16MINN 4th & 9 at WIS 27, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.7%−1.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    11.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−4.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:14WIS 4th & 9 at WIS 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:17WIS 4th & 5 at MINN 44, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%−0.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:21MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:04WIS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:30MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:38WIS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:24WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:10WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:3442% → 45%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+19
42.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Jordan Nubin for 19 yds to the MINN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
42.4%
Jordan Nubin run for 4 yds to the WIS 49Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
42.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+15
42.4%
KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JACKSON, Daniel thrown to the WIS31. PENALTY WIS Pass Interference on FOURQUREAN, Nyzier enforced 15 yards to the WIS34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+30
42.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 30 yds to the WIS 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
42.4%
Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the WIS 1Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
44.5%
Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:5156% → 55%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
44.1%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the WIS 29Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
44.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Hayden Rucci for 7 yds to the WIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
44.0%
Tanner Mordecai run for 4 yds to the WIS 40Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+2
43.9%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the WIS 42Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
43.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:30
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
45.3%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the MINN 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 4:0146% → 48%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
45.5%
Jordan Nubin run for 7 yds to the MINN 21Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+3
45.5%
Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the MINN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
45.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 10 yds to the MINN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
45.5%
Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd to the MINN 35Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 9
OWN 35
-8
45.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Ben Barten for a loss of 8 yards to the MINN 27Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 17
OWN 27
+6
45.3%
Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the MINN 33Similar
Q1 6:29
4TH & 11
OWN 33
0
47.6%
Mark Crawford punt for 48 yds, downed at the WIS 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1652% → 51%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
48.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+8
48.1%
Tanner Mordecai run for 8 yds to the WIS 27Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+1
48.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 1 yd to the WIS 28Similar
Q1 5:13
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
49.3%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5350% → 51%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
50
+7
50.0%
Jordan Nubin run for 7 yds to the WIS 43Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 3
OPP 43
-2
50.0%
Jordan Nubin run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIS 45Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+2
49.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 2 yds to the WIS 43Similar
Q1 3:20
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
50.5%
Mark Crawford punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6TD
12 plays · 86 yds · 5:1650% → 56%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
50.2%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 17Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+7
50.2%
Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the WIS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
50.1%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the WIS 25Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+4
50.2%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the WIS 29Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+8
50.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 8 yds to the WIS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
49.7%
Tanner Mordecai run for 19 yds to the MINN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
50.2%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the MINN 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+21
50.1%
Braelon Allen run for 21 yds to the MINN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
49.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Braelon Allen for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 20Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+15
50.4%
Tanner Mordecai run for 15 yds to the MINN 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
44.2%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2448% → 48%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
48.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Jordan Nubin for 5 yds to the MINN 34Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 5
OWN 34
0
49.0%
Jordan Nubin run for no gain to the MINN 34Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
47.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:35
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
48.0%
Mark Crawford punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2953% → 52%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
47.0%
Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the WIS 33Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+2
46.0%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the WIS 35Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 1
OWN 35
0
46.1%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the WIS 35Similar
Q2 10:06
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
47.7%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the MINN 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9TD
13 plays · 71 yds · 5:3649% → 63%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
49.4%
Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the MINN 32Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
49.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+8
48.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 8 yds to the MINN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
50.4%
Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd to the MINN 41Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+10
50.0%
Jordan Nubin run for 10 yds to the WIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
51.2%
KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for JACKSON, Daniel thrown to the WIS17. PENALTY WIS Pass Interference on FOURQUREAN, Nyzier enforced 15 yards to the WIS34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
51.9%
Sean Tyler run for 8 yds to the WIS 26Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+1
52.0%
Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd to the WIS 25Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
51.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the WIS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
52.0%
KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SPANN-FORD, Brevyn thrown to the WIS7. PENALTY WIS Pass Interference on WOHLER, Hunter enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the WIS9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
52.0%
Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd to the WIS 7Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
52.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
63.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 7 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:5240% → 57%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
60.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chimere Dike for 35 yds to the MINN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+24
57.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Braelon Allen for 24 yds to the MINN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
56.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Braelon Allen for 5 yds to the MINN 11Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+11
43.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 11 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:2751% → 51%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
51.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 16 yds to the MINN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
52.9%
Jordan Nubin run for 5 yds to the MINN 45Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
53.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
53.0%
Jordan Nubin run for no gain to the MINN 45Similar
Q2 1:07
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
51.4%
Mark Crawford punt for 40 yds, downed at the WIS 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12INT
10 plays · 32 yds · 1:0752% → 56%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
48.5%
Tanner Mordecai run for 9 yds to the WIS 24Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 1
OWN 24
0
47.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+2
48.0%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the WIS 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
48.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+11
48.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chimere Dike for 11 yds to the WIS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
47.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
47.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+10
47.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 10 yds to the WIS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-52
44.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass intercepted Tyler Nubin return for 52 yds to the WIS 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 27 yds · 2:1453% → 53%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+20
47.2%
Braelon Allen run for 20 yds to the WIS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
45.1%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the WIS 45Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
44.6%
Tanner Mordecai run for 2 yds to the WIS 47Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+1
45.0%
Tanner Mordecai run for 1 yd to the WIS 48Similar
Q3 12:42
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
47.2%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:5351% → 49%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
50.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 12 yds to the MINN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
51.2%
Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd to the MINN 22Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 9
OWN 22
-5
51.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Nyzier Fourqurean for a loss of 5 yards to the MINN 17Similar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 14
OWN 17
+8
49.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 8 yds to the MINN 25Similar
Q3 12:42
4TH & 6
OWN 25
-5
48.8%
Minnesota Penalty, False Start (Danny Striggow) to the MINN 20Similar
Q3 9:49
4TH & 11
OWN 20
0
49.2%
Mark Crawford punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15TD
2 plays · 54 yds · 0:2554% → 71%
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+50
45.6%
Braelon Allen run for 50 yds to the MINN 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
29.2%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 4:1335% → 35%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
34.7%
Jordan Nubin run for 6 yds to the MINN 35Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+3
36.1%
Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the MINN 38Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 1
OWN 38
0
36.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for no gain to the MINN 38Similar
Q3 9:18
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+17
34.8%
Jordan Nubin run for 17 yds to the WIS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
38.3%
Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd to the WIS 44Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+2
38.1%
Jordan Nubin run for 2 yds to the WIS 42Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
37.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:05
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
34.5%
Mark Crawford punt for 28 yds, downed at the WIS 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17TD
11 plays · 86 yds · 4:5569% → 89%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
30.7%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 17Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+3
30.8%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 20Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+25
31.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Hayden Rucci for 25 yds to the WIS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
28.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 3 yds to the WIS 48Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+13
27.9%
Cade Yacamelli run for 13 yds to the MINN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
27.4%
MORDECAI, Tanner pass deep to the left incomplete intended for DIKE, Chimere thrown to the UMN0. PENALTY UMN Pass Interference on BRYAN, Za'Quan enforced 15 yards to the UMN24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
26.8%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the MINN 18Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+3
26.8%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the MINN 15Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+5
27.5%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the MINN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
26.8%
Tanner Mordecai run for 5 yds to the MINN 5Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
11.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 5 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18DOWNS
13 plays · 61 yds · 4:4414% → 12%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+16
14.4%
Jordan Nubin run for 16 yds to the MINN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
14.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+23
14.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 23 yds to the WIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
16.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 5 yds to the WIS 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
17.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+6
16.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 6 yds to the WIS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
17.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Jordan Nubin for 1 yd to the WIS 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+7
16.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 7 yds to the WIS 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+2
17.5%
Jordan Nubin run for 2 yds to the WIS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
18.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
17.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Jordan Nubin for 1 yd to the WIS 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 27
0
17.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 9
OPP 27
0
11.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:0292% → 93%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
7.7%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the WIS 29Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 8
OWN 29
-3
7.7%
Braelon Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the WIS 26Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+2
8.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Cade Yacamelli for 2 yds to the WIS 28Similar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
7.1%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 41 yds, downed at the MINN 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · 30 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+30
7.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 30 yds Daniel Jackson fumbled, recovered by WIS Maema Njongmeta [NHSG] KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass deep up the middle complete for 30 yards to JACKSON, Daniel caught at the WIS48, JACKSON, Daniel fumbled at WIS39 forced by TURNER, Jordan, recovered by WIS NJONGMETA, Maema at the WIS39, returned 0 yards to the WIS39, End of Play, clock 08:02.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:4594% → 96%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
6.2%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 42Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+3
6.2%
Cade Yacamelli run for 3 yds to the WIS 45Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+6
6.2%
Tanner Mordecai run for 6 yds to the MINN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
6.0%
Cade Yacamelli run for 3 yds to the MINN 46Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+2
6.0%
Cade Yacamelli run for 2 yds to the MINN 44Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
6.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
4.4%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Corey Crooms Jr. at the MINN 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
4.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass intercepted Ricardo Hallman return for no gain to the MINN 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23END OF GAME
7 plays · 14 yds · 4:0996% → 98%
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
4.1%
Cade Yacamelli run for 6 yds to the MINN 16Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+1
4.1%
Cade Yacamelli run for 1 yd to the MINN 15Similar
Q4 4:09
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+4
4.2%
Cade Yacamelli run for 4 yds to the MINN 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
1.7%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the MINN 9Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
1.7%
Cade Yacamelli run for no gain to the MINN 9Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+1
1.6%
Cade Yacamelli run for 1 yd to the MINN 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:24
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)
-16.3
TD · Q3 0:10
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 5 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)
-15.7
TD · Q2 2:38
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 11 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)
-13
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com