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OSU

Ohio State 24 at Michigan 30

MICH
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:34 · Tommy Doman punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OSU 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 8Home team on offense+0.1Pregame prior+7.5Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score differential+0.0Blowout margin−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:22: J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 22 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) — MICH win probability +8.7 pts (now 72%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:27: Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 3 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +6.2 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 5:35: TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +16.4 pts (now 51%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:55: Blake Corum run for 22 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) — MICH win probability +19.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:05: Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 14 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +20.5 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 7 of 9OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 13:53OSU 4th & 4 at OSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:34MICH 4th & 5 at MICH 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:37OSU 4th & 1 at OSU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:41MICH 4th & 2 at MICH 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:36MICH 4th & 1 at OSU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    59.8%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    58.2%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:13OSU 4th & 7 at MICH 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    33.6%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:21MICH 4th & 1 at OSU 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    61.0%−1.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    61.0%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:21MICH 4th & 1 at OSU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.5%−1.0
    58% to make
    Punt
    59.3%−3.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:23MICH 4th & 10 at MICH 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00OSU 4th & 2 at MICH 34, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.6%−1.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    37.4%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:43MICH 4th & 5 at OSU 32, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.0%−0.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    64.0%−1.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:57OSU 4th & 9 at OSU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−2.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:57MICH 4th & 10 at OSU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−2.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    74.3%−9.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:05MICH 4th & 4 at OSU 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.7
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    68.8%−19.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 5:36MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:22MICH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:27OSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:35OSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:55MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:05OSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0742% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
57.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OSU 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
57.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the OSU 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
57.9%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:53
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
58.0%
Jesse Mirco punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1958% → 58%
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
57.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
57.9%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the MICH 40Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
57.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for no gain to the MICH 40Similar
Q1 12:34
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
57.9%
Tommy Doman punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:5742% → 42%
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
57.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OSU 26Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+11
57.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 11 yds to the OSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
57.9%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
57.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OSU 37Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+9
58.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 9 yds to the OSU 46Similar
Q1 9:37
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
57.9%
Jesse Mirco punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5658% → 58%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
58.1%
Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the MICH 22Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+5
58.1%
Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the MICH 27Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+2
58.0%
J.J. McCarthy run for 2 yds to the MICH 29Similar
Q1 7:41
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
57.6%
Tommy Doman punt for 71 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-18
57.9%
Kyle McCord pass intercepted by Will Johnson, return for 18 yds to the OSU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6TD
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5659% → 62%
Q1 7:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
59.0%
Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the OSU 6Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
59.0%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the OSU 1Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
58.7%
Blake Corum run for no gain to the OSU 1Similar
Q1 5:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.9%
Blake Corum run for 1 yd for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:2338% → 40%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OSU 29Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
61.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OSU 31Similar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+24
61.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 24 yds to the MICH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
60.6%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+15
60.7%
Michigan Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Derrick Moore) to the MICH 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
60.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the MICH 24Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
61.1%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 7
OPP 24
0
61.9%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:13
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+43
60.4%
Jayden Fielding 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:5160% → 72%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
60.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 9 yds to the MICH 34Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
60.9%
Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MICH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
61.4%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 16 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
62.2%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
62.2%
Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the OSU 46Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+7
62.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to AJ Barner for 7 yds to the OSU 39Similar
Q2 14:21
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+1
62.0%
Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the OSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
62.9%
Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the OSU 36Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+2
62.9%
Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the OSU 34Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+5
62.7%
J.J. McCarthy run for 5 yds to the OSU 29Similar
Q2 14:21
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+7
62.2%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 7 yds to the OSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
63.3%
Donovan Edwards run for no gain to the OSU 22Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
63.2%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+22
71.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 22 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 3:5029% → 39%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
70.6%
Chip Trayanum run for 9 yds to the OSU 36Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+32
69.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 32 yds to the MICH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
67.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 6 yds to the MICH 26Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+7
67.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 7 yds to the MICH 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
67.6%
Michigan Penalty, Defensive Holding (Mason Graham) to the MICH 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
67.6%
Chip Trayanum run for 4 yds to the MICH 3Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
61.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 3 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 3:0464% → 65%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
64.4%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 5 yds to the MICH 30Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+19
64.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 19 yds to the MICH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
66.1%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the OSU 48Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+2
66.2%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the OSU 46Similar
Q2 6:27
3RD & 5
OPP 46
-5
65.7%
J.J. McCarthy sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 5 yards to the MICH 49Similar
Q2 3:23
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
64.5%
Tommy Doman punt for 49 yds, downed at the OSU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11MISSED FG
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:2333% → 36%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
67.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OSU 4Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+1
67.7%
Chip Trayanum run for 1 yd to the OSU 5Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 7
OWN 5
+9
68.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 9 yds to the OSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+44
66.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 44 yds to the MICH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
63.5%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
63.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 1 yd to the MICH 41Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+7
64.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 7 yds to the MICH 34Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+52
64.5%
Jayden Fielding 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12FG
6 plays · 46 yds · 3:1064% → 72%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+21
63.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 21 yds to the MICH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
65.7%
Alex Orji run for 20 yds to the OSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
66.5%
Alex Orji run for 2 yds to the OSU 35Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+3
67.0%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the OSU 32Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
66.0%
J.J. McCarthy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:43
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+50
71.8%
James Turner 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:0830% → 51%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
70.3%
Kyle McCord sacked by Mason Graham and Xavier Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the OSU 22Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+14
70.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 14 yds to the OSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
69.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 39Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+15
68.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 15 yds to the MICH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
67.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the MICH 42Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+5
67.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the MICH 37Similar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+3
67.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the MICH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
65.8%
Chip Trayanum run for 12 yds to the MICH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
65.3%
Chip Trayanum run for 6 yds to the MICH 16Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+5
65.3%
Chip Trayanum run for 5 yds to the MICH 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
65.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 8 yds to the MICH 3Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+3
48.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:4058% → 82%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
58.3%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the MICH 30Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
59.1%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 10 yds to the MICH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
60.7%
Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the MICH 44Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+15
61.7%
J.J. McCarthy run for 15 yds to the OSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
62.6%
Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the OSU 40Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+18
62.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to AJ Barner for 18 yds to the OSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
81.8%
Blake Corum run for 22 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5826% → 22%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the OSU 26Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
74.2%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
75.3%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:57
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
78.0%
Jesse Mirco punt for 43 yds, downed at the MICH 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16FG
7 plays · 44 yds · 4:0082% → 86%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
82.1%
Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the MICH 41Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+5
84.4%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 5 yds to the MICH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+34
84.5%
Donovan Edwards pass complete to Colston Loveland for 34 yds to the OSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
85.1%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the OSU 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+3
85.1%
Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the OSU 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 15
-5
84.2%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Semaj Morgan for a loss of 5 yards to the OSU 20Similar
Q4 11:57
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+38
85.6%
James Turner 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:5216% → 41%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
83.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OSU 40Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+7
82.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the OSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+28
82.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 28 yds to the MICH 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
80.0%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
80.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the MICH 23Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+9
82.1%
Xavier Johnson run for 9 yds to the MICH 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
80.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the MICH 14Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
59.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 14 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18FG
16 plays · 56 yds · 7:0072% → 96%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
72.1%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 6 yds to the MICH 31Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
73.6%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the MICH 33Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
72.4%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 3 yds to the MICH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
73.4%
Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the MICH 42Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+6
75.1%
Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the MICH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
75.2%
Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the OSU 48Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+5
75.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 5 yds to the OSU 43Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+4
75.3%
Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the OSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
89.2%
Blake Corum run for 14 yds to the OSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
90.2%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the OSU 23Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+2
90.2%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the OSU 21Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+2
91.9%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the OSU 19Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+37
95.7%
James Turner 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19INT
4 plays · 44 yds · 0:3511% → 17%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
88.6%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+22
88.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 22 yds to the OSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+21
85.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 21 yds Julian Fleming fumbled, recovered by OSU Emeka Egbuka for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
82.8%
Michigan Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jaylen Harrell) to the MICH 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
96.2%
[NHSG] Kneel down by MCCARTHY, J.J. at MIC9 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:05
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 14 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
-20.5
TD · Q3 1:55
Blake Corum run for 22 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)
+19.2
TD · Q3 5:35
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
-16.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com