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TA&M

Texas A&M 30 at LSU 42

LSU
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:48 · pass incomplete to Noah Thomas
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:14: Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Jake Johnson for 14 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +10.4 pts (now 40%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:04: Mark Nabou Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +14.6 pts (now 55%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:49: Damian Ramos kickoff for 65 yds , Ainias Smith return for 18 yds to the TA&M 18 — LSU win probability +21.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:21: Damian Ramos kickoff for 53 yds , Micah Tease return for 9 yds to the TA&M 44 LSU Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Laterrance Welch) to the TA&M 36 — LSU win probability +14.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:20: Max Wright 51 Yd pass from Jaylen Henderson (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — TA&M win probability +21.1 pts (now 31%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TA&M made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:24LSU 4th & 1 at LSU 25, tied
    Close callPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:04TA&M 4th & 2 at LSU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    23.7%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    23.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:12TA&M 4th & 1 at LSU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    22.9%−0.4
    54% to make
    Punt
    22.7%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:22LSU 4th & 16 at LSU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:17TA&M 4th & 4 at LSU 30, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.3%−0.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    29.5%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:57TA&M 4th & 1 at LSU 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    28.7%−1.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−4.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:00LSU 4th & 4 at LSU 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    44.6%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:43TA&M 4th & 1 at LSU 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    41.7%−3.3
    70% to make
    Punt
    31.9%−13.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:16TA&M 4th & 12 at LSU 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−4.0
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−15.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:43LSU 4th & 11 at LSU 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−2.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:44TA&M 4th & 17 at TA&M 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−4.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:48TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 17, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 13:43TA&M Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:14TA&M Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:04TA&M Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:20TA&M Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    19.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    19.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3680% → 79%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
79.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr., broken up by Jacoby MathewsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+6
79.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 6 yds to the LSU 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+3
79.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 3 yds to the LSU 25Similar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 1
OWN 25
+23
79.0%
Jay Bramblett punt for 38 yds LSU Penalty, kick catching interference (Sage Ryan) to the LSU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2021% → 21%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
78.9%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 3 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+2
78.9%
Jaylen Henderson run for 2 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+3
78.9%
Jaylen Henderson run for 3 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 2
OPP 40
0
78.6%
pass incomplete to Max WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3Uncategorized
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
78.9%
Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
79.0%
Williams,Josh rush middle (Anderson,Bryce;Nolen,Walter).Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+3
78.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
50
+18
79.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 18 yds to the TA&M 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
79.1%
Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the TA&M 29Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+21
79.1%
Jayden Daniels run for 21 yds to the TA&M 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
18 plays · 64 yds · 9:0221% → 28%
Q1 7:45
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+4
79.2%
Earnest Crownover run for 4 yds to the TA&M 40Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+6
79.1%
Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the TA&M 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
79.0%
pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+14
79.0%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 14 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
78.7%
Jaylen Henderson run for 6 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
78.4%
Daniels,Amari rush middle (Speights,Omar;Smith,Maason).Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+3
78.7%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Jake Johnson for 3 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q1 6:12
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+1
79.0%
Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the LSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
78.4%
Jaylen Henderson run for 3 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 7
OPP 27
-5
78.4%
Jaylen Henderson run for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 32Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 12
OPP 32
+13
79.1%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 13 yds to the LSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
78.4%
Jaylen Henderson sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 24Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 15
OPP 24
+4
78.7%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 4 yds to the LSU 20Similar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
79.2%
Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the TA&M 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+16
77.9%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to David Bailey for 16 yds to the LSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
77.2%
David Bailey run for 2 yds to the LSU 2Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
72.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:2175% → 73%
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.0%
Josh Williams run for 1 yd to the LSU 26Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
74.9%
pass incomplete to Malik NabersSimilar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-7
74.3%
Jayden Daniels sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 19Similar
Q2 12:22
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
73.4%
Jay Bramblett punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 4:0527% → 30%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
73.3%
pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
73.5%
Rueben Owens run for 12 yds to the TA&M 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
72.4%
Rueben Owens run for 2 yds to the TA&M 49Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+5
72.3%
Rueben Owens run for 5 yds to the LSU 46Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+10
72.4%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 10 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
72.1%
Rueben Owens run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 39Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 13
OPP 39
+8
72.6%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Noah Thomas for 8 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+1
72.2%
Rueben Owens run for 1 yd to the LSU 30Similar
Q2 8:17
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+48
69.6%
Randy Bond 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7Uncategorized
7 plays · 52 yds · 0:3770% → 72%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
70.2%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy, broken up by Deuce HarmonSimilar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+28
70.1%
Jayden Daniels run for 13 yds to the TA&M 48 Texas A&M Penalty, personal foul (Demani Richardson) to the TA&M 37Similar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
72.2%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik Nabers LSU Penalty, Offensive holding (Miles Frazier) to the TA&M 47Similar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 20
OPP 47
+23
70.0%
Jayden Daniels run for 23 yds to the TA&M 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
71.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 11 yds to the TA&M 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
71.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 5 yds to the TA&M 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8TD
14 plays · 78 yds · 4:4525% → 40%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
74.8%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 1 yd to the TA&M 23Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
74.9%
Henderson,Jaylen rush left (Sam,Andre).Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+10
75.6%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Noah Thomas for 10 yds to the TA&M 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-6
74.3%
Jaylen Henderson sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the TA&M 27Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 16
OWN 27
+9
75.1%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Le'Veon Moss for 9 yds to the TA&M 36Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+32
74.7%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 32 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
70.3%
pass incomplete to Jahdae WalkerSimilar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
70.4%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Noah Thomas for 2 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+7
71.4%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Le'Veon Moss for 7 yds to the LSU 23Similar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+2
72.1%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the LSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
70.1%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 6 yds to the LSU 15Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+1
70.1%
Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the LSU 14Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+14
59.7%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Jake Johnson for 14 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:5637% → 55%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
62.9%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 10 yds to the TA&M 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
62.2%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Noah Thomas for 12 yds to the TA&M 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
60.9%
LSU Penalty, off-side (Maason Smith) to the LSU 48Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 48
+5
60.1%
Jaylen Henderson run for 5 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+33
60.4%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 33 yds to the LSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
59.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the LSU 5Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
59.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the LSU 1Similar
Q3 11:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
44.8%
Mark Nabou Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11Uncategorized
8 plays · 69 yds · 0:0046% → 50%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
46.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 14 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
47.6%
pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr.Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
47.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Josh Williams for 6 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
47.4%
pass incomplete to Malik NabersSimilar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 4
OWN 47
+49
46.0%
Jayden Daniels run for 49 yds to the TA&M 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
50.4%
Daniels,Jayden rush middle (Regis,Albert).Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
50.4%
Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the TA&M 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12MISSED FG
14 plays · 49 yds · 6:2744% → 48%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
56.1%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TA&M 40Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
54.9%
Earnest Crownover run for 4 yds to the TA&M 44Similar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+7
55.1%
Jaylen Henderson run for 7 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
54.1%
Jaylen Henderson run for 6 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+11
53.7%
Le'Veon Moss run for 11 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
52.9%
pass incomplete to Jahdae WalkerSimilar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
53.0%
Rueben Owens run for 4 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+5
54.2%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 5 yds to the LSU 23Similar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+11
56.0%
Le'Veon Moss run for 11 yds to the LSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
52.5%
Bailey,David rush left (Jones,Sai'vion;Jefferson,Jordan).Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
52.5%
pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 10
OPP 12
-2
54.6%
Jaylen Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 14Similar
Q3 1:16
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+31
52.4%
Randy Bond 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3355% → 51%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
54.8%
Williams,Josh rush middle (Cooper,Edgerrin).Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
54.6%
Jayden Daniels sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
51.7%
pass incomplete to Malik NabersSimilar
Q4 14:43
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
50.5%
Jay Bramblett punt for 46 yds , Ainias Smith returns for no gain to the TA&M 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14INT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:5250% → 54%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
49.8%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TA&M 33Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+14
49.6%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 14 yds to the TA&M 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
47.2%
pass incomplete to Noah ThomasSimilar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
47.4%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 7
50
0
45.9%
Jaylen Henderson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
54.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 13 yds to the TA&M 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 2:0528% → 25%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
72.5%
Jaylen Henderson sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 16Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+2
73.1%
Jaylen Henderson run for 2 yds to the TA&M 18Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 10
OWN 18
-7
74.5%
Jaylen Henderson sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the TA&M 11Similar
Q4 9:44
4TH & 17
OWN 11
+10
74.8%
Nik Constantinou punt for 52 yds , Gregory Clayton Jr. returns for 10 yds to the LSU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17Uncategorized
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:0978% → 78%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
77.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 21 yds to the TA&M 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
79.4%
Josh Williams run for 1 yd to the TA&M 31Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
79.3%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+10
78.3%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik Nabers for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, Defensive holding (Demani Richardson) to the TA&M 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:019% → 34%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
90.7%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Max Wright for 9 yds to the TA&M 45Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+4
89.7%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 4 yds to the TA&M 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
68.6%
Max Wright 51 Yd pass from Jaylen Henderson (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
Q4 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
65.7%
Jaylen Henderson pass incomplete to Jahdae Walker, broken up by Ashton StampsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19Uncategorized
8 plays · 55 yds · 1:0085% → 87%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
84.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 45 yds to the TA&M 30 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Offensive holding (Kyren Lacy) to the TA&M 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
87.2%
Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the TA&M 36Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+10
87.7%
Jayden Daniels run for 10 yds to the TA&M 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
88.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr. Texas A&M Penalty, off-side (Shemar Turner) to the TA&M 21Similar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 5
OPP 21
+1
88.3%
Kaleb Jackson run for 1 yd to the TA&M 20Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 4
OPP 20
0
88.3%
pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr.Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+5
87.3%
Logan Diggs run for 5 yds to the TA&M 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:255% → 4%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
94.7%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 4 yds to the TA&M 14Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
94.6%
pass incomplete to Max WrightSimilar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+3
94.8%
Jaylen Henderson run for 3 yds to the TA&M 17Similar
Q4 2:48
4TH & 3
OWN 17
0
95.9%
pass incomplete to Noah ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:20
Max Wright 51 Yd pass from Jaylen Henderson (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-21.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 11:49
Damian Ramos kickoff for 65 yds , Ainias Smith return for 18 yds to the TA&M 18
+21
TD · Q3 11:04
Mark Nabou Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)
-14.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com