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WKU

Western Kentucky 41 at Florida International 28

FIU
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:06 · Daton Montiel punt for 36 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.5+26.30−26.3−52.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 81Home team on offense−32.5Score differential−17.8Pregame prior−12.9Garbage-time factor−9.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:00: Upton Stout 16 Yd Fumble Return (Lucas Carneiro Kick) — WKU win probability +5.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:28: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Rocky Beers for 3 yds for a TD (Lucas Matias KICK) — FIU win probability +5.4 pts (now 24%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:58: Austin Reed pass complete to Easton Messer for 16 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — WKU win probability +8.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:05: Dalvin Smith pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 32 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro PAT MISSED) — WKU win probability +7.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:27: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 5 yds for a TD (Lucas Matias KICK) — FIU win probability +8.9 pts (now 12%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8WKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 7:13FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:27WKU 4th & 7 at WKU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:05FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 35, down 7
    Close callPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:49WKU 4th & 1 at FIU 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    77.5%−2.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    77.1%−2.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:53FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 33, down 21
    Close callPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:22WKU 4th & 11 at WKU 21, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:06FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 42, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:26WKU 4th & 17 at WKU 29, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−2.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:11FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 42, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−1.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:51WKU 4th & 3 at FIU 26, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:46WKU 4th & 19 at FIU 31, up 27
    Close callWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%−0.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:00WKU 4th & 11 at FIU 49, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:51FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 22, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:55FIU 4th & 3 at WKU 19, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.6
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:16FIU 4th & 15 at WKU 40, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−<0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 9:54WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:57WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:00WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:28FIU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:58WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:05WKU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:27FIU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:05WKU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:46FIU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:55FIU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.7%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:0673% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
26.8%
Austin Reed pass complete to Elijah Young for 1 yd to the WKU 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
26.8%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the WKU 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
26.8%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 5 yds to the WKU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
26.8%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the WKU 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+9
26.8%
Austin Reed pass complete to Easton Messer for 9 yds to the WKU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
26.8%
Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the FIU 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
26.8%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+14
27.9%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 14 yds to the FIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
27.9%
Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 4 yds to the FIU 31Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
27.8%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+13
27.9%
Austin Reed pass complete to Elijah Young for 13 yds to the FIU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
27.8%
REED, Austin pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for CORLEY, Malachi thrown to the FIU1; QB hurried by POTTS, Jamal. PENALTY FIU Holding on BLADES, Brian enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the FIU18 to the FIU9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
27.8%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 7 yds to the FIU 2Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
27.2%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 2 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:4128% → 28%
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
27.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 4 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
27.8%
Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
27.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the FIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
27.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
27.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 6 yds to the FIU 42Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
28.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:13
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
28.0%
Daton Montiel punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:4672% → 72%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
27.8%
Markese Stepp run for 3 yds to the WKU 21Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+9
27.8%
Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 9 yds to the WKU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
27.6%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
27.7%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 3 yds to the WKU 33Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
27.7%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:27
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
28.4%
Cory Munson punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2228% → 28%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
28.3%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the FIU 28Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+2
28.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for 2 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+5
28.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 5 yds to the FIU 35Similar
Q1 4:05
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
28.2%
Daton Montiel punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 2:5272% → 77%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
28.0%
Elijah Young run for no gain to the WKU 27Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
28.2%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+10
28.5%
Austin Reed pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 10 yds to the WKU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
27.8%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
27.9%
Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the WKU 40Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+12
27.7%
Austin Reed pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for 12 yds to the FIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
27.3%
Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 9 yds to the FIU 39Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+39
23.3%
Jimmy Holiday 39 Yd pass from Austin Reed (Lucas Carneiro Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6FUMBLE RETURN TD
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5124% → 18%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
24.4%
Eric Rivers run for 3 yds to the FIU 19Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
24.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:11
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+11
24.1%
(00:11) JENKINS, Keyone pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MITCHELL, Kris broken up by JOHNSON, JR., Anthony at the FIU35. PENALTY WKU Pass Interference on JOHNSON, JR., Anthony enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the FIU30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
18.4%
Upton Stout 16 Yd Fumble Return (Lucas Carneiro Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:3218% → 24%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
18.3%
run for 2 yds to the FIU 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
18.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 11 yds to the FIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
18.3%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the FIU 41Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+20
18.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 20 yds to the WKU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
18.3%
Keyone Jenkins run for no gain to the WKU 39Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
18.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 5 yds to the WKU 34Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+25
17.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 25 yds to the WKU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
18.1%
Keyone Jenkins run for 6 yds to the WKU 3Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
23.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Rocky Beers for 3 yds for a TD (Lucas Matias KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3079% → 89%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
21.5%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 6 yds to the WKU 31Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+24
21.4%
Austin Reed pass complete to River Helms for 24 yds to the FIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
20.9%
Markese Stepp run for 2 yds to the FIU 43Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
20.9%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+7
20.2%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 7 yds to the FIU 36Similar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+2
20.8%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the FIU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
20.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 18 yds to the FIU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
19.9%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
11.1%
Austin Reed pass complete to Easton Messer for 16 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0515% → 15%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
15.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 5 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
15.7%
Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the FIU 31Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
15.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 2 yds to the FIU 33Similar
Q2 4:53
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
14.6%
Daton Montiel punt for 45 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3189% → 89%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
10.7%
Elijah Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 21Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 11
OWN 21
0
10.8%
Austin Reed pass complete to Elijah Young for no gain to the WKU 21Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 11
OWN 21
0
10.8%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:22
4TH & 11
OWN 21
0
10.8%
Cory Munson punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-18
14.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass intercepted Keyone Jenkins return for 18 yds to the FIU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12TD
1 play · 32 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
6.5%
Dalvin Smith pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 32 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 1:598% → 4%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
8.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Rocky Beers for 5 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
8.3%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
7.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the FIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
8.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
7.9%
Keyone Jenkins run for 5 yds to the FIU 42Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
4.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
4.4%
Daton Montiel punt for 36 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:5994% → 95%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-6
6.0%
Austin Reed sacked by Alex Nobles for a loss of 6 yards to the WKU 16Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 16
OWN 16
-10
6.5%
Western Kentucky Penalty, Offensive Holding (Craig Burt Jr.) to the WKU 15Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 17
OWN 15
+6
4.7%
Markese Stepp run for 6 yds to the WKU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:334% → 12%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
3.9%
run for 5 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
3.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 3 yds to the FIU 33Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
2.9%
Keyone Jenkins run for 5 yds to the FIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+29
3.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 29 yds to the WKU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
3.6%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the WKU 31Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
3.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+23
3.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 23 yds to the WKU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
3.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for 3 yds to the WKU 5Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
3.3%
run for no gain to the WKU 5Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
12.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 5 yds for a TD (Lucas Matias KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 4:0192% → 95%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
7.6%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the WKU 26Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-6
7.6%
Austin Reed pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for a loss of 6 yards to the WKU 20Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+16
7.9%
Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 16 yds to the WKU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
6.7%
L.T. Sanders run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 33Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+2
7.0%
Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the WKU 35Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-1
7.2%
Austin Reed pass complete to Elijah Young for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 34Similar
Q3 5:55
4TH & 12
OWN 34
-5
6.0%
Western Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Anthony Brackenridge) to the WKU 29Similar
Q3 5:26
4TH & 17
OWN 29
0
5.4%
Cory Munson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:158% → 5%
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
7.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Rocky Beers for 5 yds to the FIU 36Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+7
7.8%
Kejon Owens run for 7 yds to the FIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
8.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for a loss of 5 yards to the FIU 38 Florida International Penalty, Illegal Touch-Pass on BRACEY, Jalen enforced (Jalen Bracey) to the FIU 38Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 15
OWN 38
0
7.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 15
OWN 38
+4
7.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 4 yds to the FIU 42Similar
Q3 3:11
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
5.2%
Daton Montiel punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:2997% → 99%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
3.2%
Markese Stepp run for 1 yd to the WKU 34Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+4
3.2%
Austin Reed pass complete to L.T. Sanders for 4 yds to the WKU 38Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+10
3.1%
Austin Reed pass complete to River Helms for 10 yds to the WKU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
3.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to Markese Stepp for 5 yds to the FIU 47Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+2
2.9%
Markese Stepp run for 2 yds to the FIU 45Similar
Q3 0:05
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+45
0.9%
Austin Reed pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 45 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:142% → 2%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
2.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
1.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass intercepted Alex Ford return for no gain to the FIU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20FUMBLE RETURN TD
11 plays · 30 yds · 6:0599% → 99%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
0.8%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 7 yds to the FIU 39Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+6
0.8%
Turner Helton pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 6 yds to the FIU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
0.8%
Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds to the FIU 31Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+5
0.8%
Turner Helton run for 5 yds to the FIU 26Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 3
OPP 26
0
0.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+4
1.2%
Turner Helton pass complete to Marvin Sims for 4 yds to the FIU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
0.4%
Easton Messer run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 24Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 12
OPP 24
0
0.3%
L.T. Sanders run for no gain to the FIU 24Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 12
OPP 24
-7
0.3%
Turner Helton sacked by Jordan Guerad for a loss of 7 yards to the FIU 31Similar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 19
OPP 31
+84
1.2%
Adrian Cole 84 Yd Fumble Return (Lucas Matias Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 4:4599% → 99%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
1.2%
Markese Stepp run for 12 yds to the WKU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
1.1%
Markese Stepp run for 6 yds to the WKU 46Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-1
1.1%
L.T. Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 45Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+7
1.1%
Turner Helton pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for 7 yds to the FIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
0.8%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 49Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 11
OPP 49
-10
0.7%
Western Kentucky Penalty, Offensive Holding (Evan Wibberley) to the WKU 42Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 20
OWN 42
+4
0.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 4 yds to the WKU 46Similar
Q4 4:06
3RD & 16
OWN 46
+5
0.6%
Caden Veltkamp run for 5 yds to the FIU 49Similar
Q4 4:00
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
0.6%
Cory Munson punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22TD
16 plays · 87 yds · 3:051% → 4%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
1.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
1.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+9
1.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 9 yds to the FIU 22Similar
Q4 3:51
4TH & 1
OWN 22
+2
1.0%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the FIU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
1.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 11 yds to the FIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
1.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
0.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+21
0.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 21 yds to the WKU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
1.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for 4 yds to the WKU 40Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
1.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+14
0.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 14 yds to the WKU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
0.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
0.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+7
0.7%
Keyone Jenkins run for 7 yds to the WKU 19Similar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+19
4.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 19 yds for a TD (Lucas Matias KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:364% → 3%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
3.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+14
3.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 14 yds to the WKU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
5.1%
Florida International Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Keyone Jenkins) to the WKU 40Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 15
OPP 40
0
3.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 15
OPP 40
0
3.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:16
4TH & 15
OPP 40
0
3.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
1.4%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:27
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 5 yds for a TD (Lucas Matias KICK)
+8.9
TD · Q2 6:58
Austin Reed pass complete to Easton Messer for 16 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)
-8.8
TD · Q2 3:05
Dalvin Smith pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 32 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro PAT MISSED)
-7.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com