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IOWA

Iowa 13 at Nebraska 10

NEB
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2023 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:41 · Tory Taylor punt for 43 yds , Ethan Nation returns for 2 yds to the NEB 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 94Home team on offense−3.8Pregame prior+1.6Score differential−2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:43: Chubba Purdy pass complete to Jaylen Lloyd for 66 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK) — NEB win probability +9.3 pts (now 51%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:18: Chubba Purdy run for 9 yds to the NEB 20 — NEB win probability +8.5 pts (now 56%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:31: Chubba Purdy run for 3 yds to the NEB 48 — NEB win probability +9.4 pts (now 62%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:15: Leshon Williams run for 22 yds to the NEB 15 for a 1ST down — IOWA win probability +22.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Marshall Meeder 38 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +32.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 7 of 10IOWA made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 13:23IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:14NEB 4th & 3 at IOWA 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    56.4%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:35IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:24IOWA 4th & 12 at NEB 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    41.7%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:14NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:14NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:33IOWA 4th & 1 at NEB 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    50.1%−2.0
    45% to make
    Punt
    49.7%−2.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:12IOWA 4th & 9 at NEB 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    49.5%−5.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:50IOWA 4th & 6 at NEB 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    45.1%−6.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:20NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−0.6
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:41NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:41IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 28, up 3
    Close callPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.8%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:18NEB 4th & 6 at IOWA 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−9.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:50IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:06NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 36, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%−2.8
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:35IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 28, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%−1.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:15NEB 4th & 4 at IOWA 42, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    56.2%−4.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%−2.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:09IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−2.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:07NEB 4th & 11 at IOWA 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−3.9
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    35.9%−19.0
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:18IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 44, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.4 ptsPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%−5.4
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:55NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−6.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1IOWA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 13:22IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:43NEB Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3046% → 46%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the IOWA 25Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
53.8%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the IOWA 26Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
53.8%
Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q1 13:23
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
54.1%
Tory Taylor punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:0954% → 55%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
54.0%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Malachi Coleman for 4 yds to the NEB 37Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+4
54.1%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEB 41Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+6
54.1%
Emmett Johnson run for 6 yds to the NEB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
54.2%
Chubba Purdy run for 1 yd to the NEB 48Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+6
54.1%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 6 yds to the IOWA 46Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
54.2%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Malachi ColemanSimilar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
54.6%
Brian Buschini punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 37 yds · 5:3946% → 45%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
54.3%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Kaleb Brown for 1 yd to the IOWA 9Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+13
54.4%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Kaleb Brown for 13 yds to the IOWA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
54.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 23Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+6
54.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for 6 yds to the IOWA 29Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+4
54.3%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 4 yds to the IOWA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
54.1%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 37Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
54.0%
Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+6
54.2%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 6 yds to the IOWA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
53.9%
Kaleb Brown run for 2 yds to the IOWA 45Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+2
53.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 47 Kaleb Johnson fumbled, recovered by IOWA Kaleb Johnson Shotgun Johnson,Kaleb rush left for 2 yards gain to the IOWA47 fumbled by Johnson,Kaleb at IOWA47 forced by Lynum,Tamon recovered by IOWA Johnson,Kaleb at IOWA47, End Of Play.Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
53.9%
Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Addison OstrengaSimilar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 6
OWN 47
+4
54.7%
Tory Taylor punt for 40 yds , Ethan Nation returns for 4 yds to the NEB 17 Ethan Nation fumbled, recovered by IOWA Karson Sharar Taylor,Tory punt 40 yards to the NEB13 Nation,Ethan return 4 yards to the NEB15 fumbled by Nation,Ethan at NEB15 forced by Rexroth,Jaxon recovered by IOWA Sharar,Karson at NEB17, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4MISSED FG
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:1147% → 46%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
53.1%
Kaleb Brown run for 11 yds to the NEB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
53.1%
Shotgun Hill,Deacon pass incomplete short left to Large,Hayden PENALTY IOWA Illegal Shift 5 yards from NEB06 to NEB11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+1
53.1%
Jaziun Patterson run for 1 yd to the NEB 10Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
53.1%
Jaziun Patterson run for 3 yds to the NEB 7Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
53.5%
Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Kaleb BrownSimilar
Q1 4:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
54.3%
PENALTY IOWA Delay Of Game 5 yards from NEB07 to NEB12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
54.2%
Drew Stevens 30 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Ty RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1055% → 54%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
55.1%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEB 24Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
55.2%
Chubba Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
54.6%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Malachi ColemanSimilar
Q1 1:14
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+8
54.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IOWA 34 for a 1ST down , Kaden Wetjen returns for 8 yds to the IOWA 32 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Garrett Snodgrass) to the IOWA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:14
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+8
54.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IOWA 49 for a 1ST down , Kaden Wetjen returns for 8 yds to the IOWA 32 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Garrett Snodgrass) to the IOWA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6TD
7 plays · 51 yds · 2:5247% → 54%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
53.0%
Leshon Williams run for 7 yds to the NEB 44Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+1
52.7%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the NEB 43Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+5
52.8%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 5 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+37
52.8%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Steven Stilianos for 37 yds to the NEB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
52.2%
Jaziun Patterson run for no gain to the NEB 1Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
52.2%
Jaziun Patterson run for no gain to the NEB 1Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
46.3%
Deacon Hill run for 1 yd for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7FUMBLE
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:3048% → 49%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
48.4%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the NEB 24Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
48.3%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Anthony GrantSimilar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+22
47.5%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Alex Bullock for 22 yds to the NEB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
49.3%
Chubba Purdy run for 2 yds to the NEB 44 Chubba Purdy fumbled, recovered by IOWA Jay Higgins No Huddle-Shotgun Purdy,Chubba rush right for 2 yards loss to the NEB44 fumbled by Purdy,Chubba at NEB40 forced by Castro,Sebastian recovered by IOWA Higgins,Jay at NEB44, End Of Play. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field stands.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8FG
15 plays · 34 yds · 6:4054% → 60%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
45.6%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Steven Stilianos for 1 yd to the NEB 43Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
45.7%
Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Kaleb JohnsonSimilar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+8
46.0%
Deacon Hill run for 8 yds to the NEB 35Similar
Q2 10:33
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+1
46.7%
Deacon Hill run for 1 yd to the NEB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
45.5%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the NEB 30Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+5
45.4%
PENALTY NEB Offside (Robinson,Ty) 5 yards from NEB30 to NEB25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+3
45.4%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the NEB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
45.4%
Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Addison OstrengaSimilar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
45.5%
Jaziun Patterson run for 2 yds to the NEB 20Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+9
45.9%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Kaleb Brown for 9 yds to the NEB 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
45.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the NEB 11Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+1
45.4%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the NEB 10Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
45.9%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the NEB 10Similar
Q2 5:12
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+28
39.6%
Drew Stevens 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:2941% → 51%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
41.3%
Chubba Purdy sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 34Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
41.2%
Joshua Fleeks run for no gain to the NEB 34Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+66
50.5%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Jaylen Lloyd for 66 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10MISSED FG
9 plays · 69 yds · 2:5349% → 53%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
50.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 6 yds to the IOWA 31Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
49.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for 8 yds to the IOWA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
48.8%
Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+53
49.2%
Leshon Williams run for 53 yds to the NEB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
47.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 6Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
47.3%
Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Steven StilianosSimilar
Q2 3:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
48.2%
Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Kaleb BrownSimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
47.5%
Drew Stevens 24 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Nash Hutmacher Stevens,Drew field goal attempt from 24 yards NO GOOD blocked by Hutmacher,Nash (H: Taylor,Tory, LS: Elkin,Luke), clock 00:50 recovered by IOWA Stevens,Drew at NEB14, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:3051% → 47%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
50.7%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Jaylen LloydSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+2
50.6%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Ty Hahn for 2 yds to the NEB 16Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+7
49.4%
Chubba Purdy run for 7 yds to the NEB 23Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 1
OWN 23
+3
46.9%
Brian Buschini punt for 39 yds , Kaden Wetjen returns for 3 yds to the IOWA 41 Kaden Wetjen fumbled, recovered by IOWA John Nestor Buschini,Brian punt 39 yards to the IOWA38 Wetjen,Kaden return 3 yards to the IOWA41 fumbled by Wetjen,Kaden at IOWA41 forced by Bullock,John recovered by IOWA Nestor,John at IOWA41, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
45.5%
Kneel down by Iowa at IOWA39 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:1951% → 48%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
50.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEB 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
52.9%
Chubba Purdy run for 4 yds to the NEB 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+2
52.2%
Chubba Purdy run for 2 yds to the NEB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
52.9%
Chubba Purdy run for 3 yds to the NEB 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-1
53.2%
Chubba Purdy sacked by Nick Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
50.6%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Malachi ColemanSimilar
Q3 11:41
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
48.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IOWA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0052% → 50%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
48.2%
Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Leshon WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+7
48.5%
Leshon Williams run for 7 yds to the IOWA 28Similar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 3
OWN 28
0
48.2%
Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q3 10:41
4TH & 3
OWN 28
+2
50.1%
Tory Taylor punt for 43 yds , Ethan Nation returns for 2 yds to the NEB 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 4:2349% → 58%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
49.1%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Emmett JohnsonSimilar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
48.8%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the NEB 35Similar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+11
48.0%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 11 yds to the NEB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
52.0%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the NEB 45Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 11
OWN 45
0
49.9%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Ty HahnSimilar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+25
48.6%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Joshua Fleeks for 25 yds to the IOWA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
54.2%
Joshua Fleeks run for 2 yds to the IOWA 28Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
54.2%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Jaylen LloydSimilar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+2
52.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 26Similar
Q3 6:18
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+44
58.4%
Tristan Alvano 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2847% → 45%
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 28Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
53.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 30Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
53.7%
Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Jacob BostickSimilar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+1
55.5%
Tory Taylor punt for 44 yds , Ethan Nation returns for 1 yd to the NEB 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4457% → 56%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
56.8%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Anthony Grant for 1 yd to the NEB 28Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+2
56.8%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the NEB 30Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+6
55.2%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 6 yds to the NEB 36Similar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
55.7%
Brian Buschini punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3147% → 44%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
52.9%
Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
53.3%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the IOWA 22Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+6
54.7%
Leshon Williams run for 6 yds to the IOWA 28Similar
Q3 1:35
4TH & 3
OWN 28
0
55.6%
Tory Taylor punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:2058% → 58%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
58.2%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the NEB 38Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+14
58.2%
Chubba Purdy run for 14 yds to the IOWA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
61.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+4
59.9%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 4 yds to the IOWA 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+3
60.9%
Chubba Purdy run for 3 yds to the IOWA 42 Chubba Purdy fumbled, recovered by NEB Billy Kemp IV No Huddle-Shotgun Purdy,Chubba rush right for 3 yards gain to the IOWA42 fumbled by Purdy,Chubba at IOWA42 recovered by NEB Kemp,Billy at IOWA42, End Of Play.Similar
Q4 13:15
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
58.1%
Brian Buschini punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:0647% → 44%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
52.8%
Deacon Hill run for 2 yds to the IOWA 3Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 3
0
53.4%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the IOWA 3Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+3
54.9%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the IOWA 6Similar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 5
OWN 6
+5
56.3%
Tory Taylor punt for 49 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21MISSED FG
11 plays · 24 yds · 6:0262% → 56%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
50
0
61.7%
Billy Kemp IV run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 10
50
0
60.9%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 10
50
+13
57.7%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Alex Bullock for 13 yds to the IOWA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
62.2%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 34Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+1
63.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 33Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+8
61.4%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 8 yds to the IOWA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
63.5%
Emmett Johnson run for no gain to the IOWA 25Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-5
63.3%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Benhart,Bryce) 5 yards from IOWA25 to IOWA30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 15
OPP 30
+3
60.7%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 27Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+1
60.0%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 1 yd to the IOWA 26Similar
Q4 5:07
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+44
56.4%
Tristan Alvano 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:4950% → 52%
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
49.7%
Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+8
50.5%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 8 yds to the IOWA 34Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+3
47.9%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 3 yds to the IOWA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
47.6%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the IOWA 35Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+9
50.5%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Seth Anderson for 9 yds to the IOWA 44Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
44.9%
Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
47.9%
Tory Taylor punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 1:2356% → 55%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
56.4%
Chubba Purdy run for 9 yds to the NEB 20Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 1
OWN 20
-5
57.4%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Nouili,Nouredin) 5 yards from NEB20 to NEB15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+15
56.2%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Malachi Coleman for 15 yds to the NEB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
57.4%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
56.1%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 5 yds to the NEB 35Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
56.1%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Malachi ColemanSimilar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
54.7%
Brian Buschini punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:2451% → 48%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
48.9%
Deacon Hill pass incomplete to Seth AndersonSimilar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-2
50.1%
Deacon Hill sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the IOWA 25Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 12
OWN 25
-10
52.3%
Deacon Hill pass intercepted Tommi Hill return for no gain to the NEB 25 Nebraska Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tamon Lynum) to the NEB 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:1662% → 63%
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
61.6%
Chubba Purdy run for 3 yds to the NEB 48Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
63.3%
Chubba Purdy pass intercepted Ethan Hurkett return for no gain to the NEB 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 26FG
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:1560% → 95%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+22
40.5%
Leshon Williams run for 22 yds to the NEB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
37.4%
Kneel down by Iowa at NEB20 for loss of 5 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 20
+38
5.3%
Marshall Meeder 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Marshall Meeder 38 yd FG GOOD
-32.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:15
Leshon Williams run for 22 yds to the NEB 15 for a 1ST down
-22.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:31
Chubba Purdy run for 3 yds to the NEB 48
+9.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com