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NEB

Nebraska 17 at Wisconsin 24

WIS
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:35 · Atticus Bertrams punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NEB 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 15Pregame prior+17.3Home team on offense−1.1Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:37: Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jackson Acker for 26 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +6.7 pts (now 58%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:47: Braelon Allen run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +12.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 0:04: Tristan Alvano 30 yd FG GOOD — NEB win probability +29.6 pts (now 61%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:00: Tristan Alvano kickoff for 52 yds , Max Lofy return for 17 yds to the WIS 30 — WIS win probability +11.3 pts (now 50%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Braelon Allen 3 Yd Run (Nathanial Vakos Kick) — WIS win probability +36.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 7NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 9:35WIS 4th & 12 at WIS 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:10WIS 4th & 24 at WIS 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:24NEB 4th & 1 at WIS 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    48.7%−3.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    47.8%−4.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:54NEB 4th & 13 at NEB 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−2.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:54WIS 4th & 2 at NEB 17, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.7%−1.3
    80% to make
    Punt
    44.3%−7.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:22WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:55NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−1.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:01WIS 4th & 3 at NEB 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    67.1%−1.8
    49% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−3.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:01NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.9%−2.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:19NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:39WIS 4th & 1 at NEB 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    67.9%−6.6
    51% to make
    Punt
    65.0%−9.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:55NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 40, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%−2.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:37WIS 4th & 3 at NEB 45, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    74.6%−6.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%−3.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:33NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:00NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:37WIS Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:47WIS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:2731% → 33%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.0%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for no gain to the NEB 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
69.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 8 yds to the NEB 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
69.0%
Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
69.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the NEB 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+2
69.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 45Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+55
67.2%
Chubba Purdy run for 55 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 1:5367% → 66%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
67.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Vinny Anthony IISimilar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
67.4%
Jackson Acker run for 10 yds to the WIS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
67.5%
Jackson Acker run for 6 yds to the WIS 36Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
67.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Chimere DikeSimilar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 4
OWN 36
-5
67.5%
PENALTY WIS False Start (Nelson,Jack) 5 yards from WIS36 to WIS31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-3
67.3%
Tanner Mordecai sacked by Jimari Butler for a loss of 3 yards to the WIS 28Similar
Q1 9:35
4TH & 12
OWN 28
0
66.1%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NEB 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 3:3534% → 40%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
66.4%
Chubba Purdy run for 7 yds to the NEB 31Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+6
66.1%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 6 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
66.2%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Malachi Coleman for 6 yds to the NEB 43Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+9
66.0%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 9 yds to the WIS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
65.9%
Chubba Purdy run for 10 yds to the NEB 42Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 20
OWN 42
+58
60.5%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Jaylen Lloyd for 58 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 4 yds · 3:4462% → 57%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
61.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 3 yds to the WIS 36Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+3
61.8%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 39Similar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+12
61.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 12 yds to the NEB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-15
60.5%
Wisconsin Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the WIS 38Similar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 23
OWN 38
-6
59.8%
Tanner Mordecai sacked by Luke Reimer for a loss of 6 yards to the WIS 32Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 29
OWN 32
+5
59.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 5 yds to the WIS 37Similar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 24
OWN 37
0
59.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:10
4TH & 24
OWN 37
0
56.7%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5DOWNS
13 plays · 55 yds · 6:4643% → 52%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-3
56.6%
Chubba Purdy sacked by Jordan Turner for a loss of 3 yards to the NEB 8Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 13
OWN 8
0
56.8%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 13
OWN 8
+15
57.1%
Shotgun Purdy,Chubba pass incomplete deep right to Kemp,Billy PENALTY WIS Roughing The Passer (Alliegro,Christian) 15 yards from NEB08 to NEB23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
56.6%
Anthony Grant run for 10 yds to the NEB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
53.9%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the NEB 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+2
53.7%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the NEB 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+8
53.6%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 8 yds to the NEB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
53.3%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
50
+8
53.4%
Chubba Purdy run for 8 yds to the WIS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
53.3%
Emmett Johnson run for no gain to the WIS 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
53.4%
Chubba Purdy run for 5 yds to the WIS 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+4
53.5%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the WIS 33Similar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+1
48.2%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the WIS 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 3:4749% → 58%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
48.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tucker Ashcraft for 5 yds to the WIS 39Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+6
49.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Quincy Burroughs for 6 yds to the WIS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
50.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Will PaulingSimilar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
50.0%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 5
50
+6
50.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tucker Ashcraft for 6 yds to the NEB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
50.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 6 yds to the NEB 38Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+9
50.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Quincy Burroughs for 9 yds to the NEB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
50.9%
Tanner Mordecai run for 3 yds to the NEB 26Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+26
57.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jackson Acker for 26 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:4347% → 47%
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
52.7%
Anthony Grant run for 11 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
51.6%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the NEB 38Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-7
51.1%
Chubba Purdy sacked by Nyzier Fourqurean for a loss of 7 yards to the NEB 31Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 15
OWN 31
+2
54.1%
Chubba Purdy run for 2 yds to the NEB 33Similar
Q2 3:54
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
52.7%
Brian Buschini punt for 19 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8FG
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:0054% → 57%
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
54.3%
Tanner Mordecai run for 16 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
55.1%
Will Pauling run for 11 yds to the NEB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
56.2%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the NEB 27Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
55.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Will PaulingSimilar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+10
53.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 10 yds to the NEB 17Similar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+35
56.9%
Nathanial Vakos 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9MISSED FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 1:5445% → 50%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
55.0%
Nebraska Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the NEB 16Similar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 19
OWN 16
+12
55.3%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 12 yds to the NEB 28Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
54.6%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 6 yds to the NEB 34Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
54.2%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
53.9%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Alex Bullock for 13 yds to the NEB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
52.4%
Shotgun Purdy,Chubba pass complete short right to Bullock,Alex for 18 yards to the WIS33, out of bounds at WIS33 PENALTY NEB Holding (Evans-Jenkins,Justin) 10 yards from NEB49 to NEB39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 20
OWN 39
+26
53.6%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Malachi Coleman for 26 yds to the WIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
49.7%
Chubba Purdy run for 11 yds to the WIS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
49.5%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Malachi ColemanSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+42
49.7%
Tristan Alvano 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3257% → 54%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
56.8%
Jackson Acker run for 1 yd to the WIS 25Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
56.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Will PaulingSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+4
55.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 4 yds to the WIS 29Similar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 7
OWN 29
+6
53.7%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 40 yds , Ethan Nation returns for 6 yds to the NEB 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:0447% → 45%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
53.2%
Chubba Purdy run for 2 yds to the NEB 39Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-5
52.1%
Shotgun Purdy,Chubba pass incomplete deep left to Bullock,Alex PENALTY NEB Delay Of Game (Purdy,Chubba) 5 yards from NEB39 to NEB34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 13
OWN 34
0
54.4%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Jaylen LloydSimilar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+4
55.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 49 yds , Vinny Anthony II returns for 4 yds to the WIS 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 4:3155% → 73%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
54.9%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the WIS 23Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+13
54.8%
Tanner Mordecai run for 13 yds to the WIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
55.8%
Jackson Acker run for 5 yds to the WIS 41Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
57.9%
Jackson Acker run for 4 yds to the WIS 45Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
57.3%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the WIS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
58.2%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the NEB 48Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+17
58.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 17 yds to the NEB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
60.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 9 yds to the NEB 22Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+6
60.5%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the NEB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
60.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Mordecai,Tanner pass incomplete short left to Pauling,Will PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (Hartzog,Malcolm) 14 yards from NEB16 to NEB02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
72.7%
Braelon Allen run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:4533% → 31%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
66.8%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Prochazka,Teddy) 5 yards from NEB27 to NEB22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 15
OWN 22
0
67.4%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the NEB 22Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 15
OWN 22
0
67.7%
Nebraska Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 15
OWN 22
+6
68.9%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 6 yds to the NEB 28Similar
Q3 5:55
4TH & 9
OWN 28
+25
69.5%
Brian Buschini punt for 37 yds , Vinny Anthony II returns for 25 yds to the NEB 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5472% → 69%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
72.0%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the NEB 36Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+3
72.0%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the NEB 33Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
71.5%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the NEB 33Similar
Q3 4:01
4TH & 3
OPP 33
0
69.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to C.J. WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 4:4233% → 31%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
66.8%
Jaylen Lloyd run for 5 yds to the NEB 28Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 15
OWN 28
+2
68.3%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 2 yds to the NEB 26Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 17
OWN 26
+16
69.5%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 16 yds to the NEB 42Similar
Q3 4:01
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+5
66.7%
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the NEB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
64.0%
Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
50
0
63.4%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
50
-5
65.0%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Prochazka,Teddy) 5 yards from NEB50 to NEB45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+4
68.2%
Chubba Purdy run for 4 yds to the NEB 49Similar
Q4 14:19
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
69.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Vinny Anthony II at the WIS 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16DOWNS
11 plays · 53 yds · 5:4072% → 75%
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
71.5%
Tanner Mordecai run for 2 yds to the WIS 17Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
71.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Riley NowakowskiSimilar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+12
69.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 12 yds to the WIS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
72.1%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 32Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+4
72.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tucker Ashcraft for 4 yds to the WIS 36Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+6
72.5%
Tanner Mordecai run for 6 yds to the WIS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+17
74.1%
Braelon Allen run for 17 yds to the NEB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
75.3%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the NEB 38Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+6
75.3%
Jackson Acker run for 6 yds to the NEB 32Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 1
OPP 32
0
74.8%
Jackson Acker run for no gain to the NEB 32Similar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 1
OPP 32
0
74.6%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the NEB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4432% → 32%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
67.8%
Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the NEB 36Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+1
66.7%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the NEB 37Similar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+3
68.0%
Chubba Purdy run for 3 yds to the NEB 40Similar
Q4 6:55
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
68.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Vinny Anthony II at the WIS 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:1873% → 80%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.2%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the WIS 20Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+11
72.4%
Tanner Mordecai run for 11 yds to the WIS 31Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+17
72.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 17 yds to the WIS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
76.3%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the NEB 49Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+4
76.8%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the NEB 45Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
76.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:37
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
80.3%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 3:3330% → 61%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
70.1%
Shotgun Purdy,Chubba pass incomplete short middle to Lloyd,Jaylen PENALTY WIS Holding (Fourqurean,Nyzier) 10 yards from NEB20 to NEB30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
68.8%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 5 yds to the NEB 35Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+18
66.7%
Emmett Johnson run for 18 yds to the WIS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
62.9%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the WIS 48Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+22
64.7%
Chubba Purdy run for 22 yds to the WIS 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
61.7%
Emmett Johnson run for 7 yds to the WIS 19Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+1
61.6%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the WIS 18Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+6
66.5%
Chubba Purdy run for 6 yds to the WIS 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
68.6%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+30
39.0%
Tristan Alvano 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
OT 0:00
1ST & 3
OPP 26
+3
86.6%
Braelon Allen 3 Yd Run (Nathanial Vakos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Braelon Allen 3 Yd Run (Nathanial Vakos Kick)
+36.3
FG · Q4 0:04
Tristan Alvano 30 yd FG GOOD
-29.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+13.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com